Bayesian KANs achieve near-minimax posterior contraction rates in anisotropic Besov spaces.
problem Statistical foundation for Bayesian Kolmogorov-Arnold networks in anisotropic Besov spaces.
method Sparse Bayesian KANs with spike-and-slab priors, hyperprior on model size, and approximation complexity bounds.
result Posterior contraction rates depend on intrinsic anisotropic smoothness and effective dimension of the compositional structure.
Bayesian neural networks achieve optimal posterior contraction rates in Besov spaces with intrinsic dimensionality.
problem High-dimensional structured estimation problems with unknown smoothness levels.
method Sparse Bayesian neural networks with either sparse or continuous shrinkage priors.
result Optimal posterior contraction rates are achieved, adapting to the unknown smoothness level of the true function.
Bayesian PINNs learn elliptic PDEs with near-minimax posterior contraction rate.
problem Learning elliptic PDEs with noisy data and non-homogeneous boundary conditions.
method Bayesian approach with a Hölder space prior on neural network weights.
result Posterior contracts at near-minimax rate without prior knowledge of solution smoothness.
Bayesian posterior contraction rates improve with decreasing tails
problem Bayesian posterior contraction in nonparametric settings
method Using p p p -exponential tails for contraction rates result Improvement in contraction rates with decreasing tails
Bayesian nonparametric models get better posterior estimates via SPDE methods.
problem Estimating posterior distributions in nonparametric Bayesian models.
method Extending diffusion methods to SPDEs on Hilbert spaces for posterior contraction and Laplace approximation.
result Derivation of posterior contraction rates and finite-sample Bernstein von Mises results.
Bayesian analysis shows unlabeled data improve graph-based semi-supervised learning.
problem Improving semi-supervised learning with limited labeled data.
method Bayesian nonparametric approach using unlabeled data for graph-based learning.
result Posterior contracts optimally around the truth with sufficient unlabeled data.
The paper analyzes distributed Bayesian inference and its Frequentist guarantees.
problem Analyzing large decentralized datasets with distributed Bayesian inference.
method Establishes Frequentist properties for distributed (non-)Bayesian inference.
result Distributed Bayesian inference retains parametric efficiency and enhances robustness.
Bayesian framework for sphere regression using Gaussian fields.
problem Nonparametric regression on the sphere with Gaussian priors.
method Isotropic Gaussian field priors, harmonic structure, exact posterior distributions, optimal spectral truncation, posterior contraction rates.
result Sharp posterior contraction rates for Gaussian priors with polynomially decaying angular power spectra.
New algorithms improve Bayesian linear regression with spike-and-slab priors.
problem Efficiently sampling from Bayesian linear regression models with sparsity-inducing priors.
method Design of two sampling algorithms: Gibbs sampling and Stochastic Localization.
result Stochastic Localization sampler shows significant advantage for poorly designed data matrices.
Bayesian nonparametric LABS model adapts to function smoothness in Besov spaces.
problem Estimating functions with unknown smoothness in Besov spaces.
method Lévy Adaptive B-spline (LABS) regression model with automatic smoothness adaptation.
result LABS posterior contracts around true function in Besov classes at nearly minimax-optimal rates.
SBT model uses randomized sharding and sub-models to improve Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
problem Improving efficiency and accuracy of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees.
method Randomized sharding, sub-models, intersection tree structure, optimal design.
result Theoretical optimal weights and worst-case complexity of SBT model.
Algorithm improves variational inference in Wasserstein distance.
problem Improving variational inference methods for complex models.
method Wasserstein contraction analysis of coordinate ascent.
result General and sharp convergence guarantees for various models.
Bayesian model averaging fails under covariate shift, affecting neural networks' performance.
problem Bayesian model averaging's failure in neural networks under covariate shift.
method Explained the issue and proposed novel priors to improve robustness.
result Bayesian model averaging is problematic under covariate shift, especially with linear feature dependencies.
Transformer pretraining yields strong EB performance without explicit adaptation.
problem Empirical Bayes problems with unknown test distributions.
method Indirect analysis of pretrained transformer's performance under universal priors.
result Near-optimal regret bound of O ~ ( 1 n ) \widetilde{O}(\frac{1}{n}) O ( n 1 ) for arbitrary test distributions. LDP is equivalent to contraction of E_γ-divergence, impacting privacy and utility.
problem Analyzing trade-offs between privacy and utility in estimation problems.
method Equivalence of LDP constraints to contraction coefficients of E_γ-divergence, using f-divergences and estimation-theoretic tools.
result LDP guarantees can be expressed in terms of contraction coefficients of arbitrary f-divergences.
Bayesian methods estimate regression functions on submanifolds using graph Laplacian eigenbasis.
problem Estimating regression functions on unknown smooth submanifolds.
method Random geometric graph structure, Bayesian priors based on random basis expansion in graph Laplacian eigenbasis.
result Posterior contraction rates are minimax optimal for any positive smoothness index.
Bayesian approach learns nonparametric mixture components from heterogeneous data.
problem Realistic modeling of heterogeneous data populations with nonparametric mixture components.
method Bayesian nonparametric modeling using Dirichlet process mixture priors.
result Posterior contraction rates for component densities are nearly polynomial, improving over deconvolution methods.
Bayesian method improves predictions in overparameterized nonlinear regression.
problem Understanding overparameterization in nonlinear regression models.
method Bayesian framework with adaptive prior considering data spectral structure.
result Posterior contraction established for generalized linear and single-neuron models, demonstrating prediction consistency.
Bayesian method with Gaussian process priors achieves optimal convergence rates for regression function and its derivatives.
problem Estimating the regression function and its derivatives in nonparametric regression.
method Bayesian approach with Gaussian process priors, focusing on convergence rates and plug-in property.
result Equivalence of convergence rates of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators for regression function and its derivatives.
Bayesian models combine experts with a flexible gating mechanism for complex data.
problem Theoretical properties of Bayesian mixture-of-experts models with softmax gating remain unexplored.
method Investigated asymptotic behavior of posterior distribution for density estimation, parameter estimation, and model selection.
result Established posterior contraction rates for density estimation and parameter estimation, providing insights for practical model design.
Bayesian deep learning with heavy-tailed weights achieves near-optimal performance.
problem Deep neural networks with heavy-tailed weights achieve near-optimal performance in various contexts.
method Introduced a Bayesian deep learning prior based on heavy-tailed weights and ReLU activation, showing near-optimal minimax contraction rates.
result Posterior distribution achieves near-optimal minimax contraction rates, adaptive to smoothness and intrinsic dimension.
Theoretical framework for M-posteriors connects Bayesian and frequentist statistics.
problem Connecting Bayesian and frequentist approaches in statistical inference.
method Developed a theoretical framework for M-posteriors, showing asymptotic normality and frequentist consistency.
result M-posteriors are robust and contract around M-estimators under mild conditions.
Bayesian approach learns linear operators from noisy data.
problem Learning linear operators from noisy data in infinite-dimensional spaces.
method Bayesian approach with Gaussian priors.
result Establishes posterior contraction rates and generalization error guarantees.
We study E γ E_γ E γ -divergence contraction and its privacy implications.
problem Analyzing privacy in data processing and algorithms.
method Generalizing Dobrushin's coefficient to E γ E_γ E γ -divergence and deriving contraction coefficients. result Local differential privacy can be expressed in terms of E γ E_γ E γ -divergence contraction, leading to precise sample size reductions. New method designs fairer transport plans with uncertainty.
problem Designing fair and balanced mass transport plans.
method Hierarchical fully probabilistic design (HFPD) for transport plans.
result Optimal hyperprior for transport plans with uncertain marginals.
Bayesian SSR on graphs improves regression with noisy labels.
problem Estimating function values on graphs from noisy labeled data.
method Bayesian approach using graph Laplacian and Gaussian prior.
result Rates of contraction of posterior measure around ground truth.
Bayesian method for dynamic correlation matrices improves accuracy and responsiveness.
problem Challenges in estimating time-varying correlation matrices, including slow adaptation, insufficient regularization, and diffuse uncertainty.
method Low-rank factor representation with dynamic shrinkage prior and multivariate factor stochastic volatility model.
result Improved accuracy and responsiveness compared to competing methods in various challenging scenarios.
The paper revisits and improves on a Bayesian relevance vector machine method for small sample sizes.
problem Statistical modeling with small sample sizes relative to the number of covariates.
method Introduces a new class of global-local priors and provides theoretical properties.
result Results on posterior consistency and contraction rates are provided.
Novel mutual information bound improves statistical inference rates.
problem Improving statistical inference rates in Bayesian nonparametrics.
method Introduces a novel mutual information bound.
result Improved contraction rates for fractional posteriors.
New bound relaxes uniform gradient norm assumptions for PAC-Bayesian bounds.
problem Generalization bounds with strict assumptions like uniformly bounded loss.
method Relax uniform bounds assumptions to on-average bounded loss and gradient norm.
result Proposes a new generalization bound with a surrogate of model complexity.
New algorithms improve sampling from constrained distributions.
problem Generating samples from distributions under constraints.
method Kinetic Langevin dynamics and splitting schemes.
result Improved complexity bounds over existing methods.
New method for variational inference without conjugacy constraints.
problem Efficient variational inference with flexible prior and approximation families.
method Wasserstein gradient flow for mean-field approximation.
result Improved convergence and efficiency of variational inference.
Generalization bounds which assess the difference between the true risk and the empirical risk have been studied extensively. However, to obtain bounds, current techniques use strict assumptions such as a uniformly bounded or a Lipschitz loss function. To avoid these assumptions, in this paper, we propose a new general…
Spike-and-slab priors are popular Bayesian solutions for high-dimensional linear regression problems. Previous theoretical studies on spike-and-slab methods focus on specific prior formulations and use prior-dependent conditions and analyses, and thus can not be generalized directly. In this paper, we propose a class o…
Novel quasi-Bayesian method for IV regression using machine learning models.
problem Uncertainty quantification in IV regression with machine learning models.
method Quasi-Bayesian procedure based on kernelized IV models and dual formulation.
result Established minimax optimal contraction rates and scalable inference algorithm.
New approach to quantify posterior concentration rates using Wasserstein dynamics.
problem Quantifying the speed of posterior distribution concentration in Bayesian statistics.
method Combining local Lipschitz-continuity with dynamic formulation of Wasserstein distance.
result Optimal posterior contraction rates in finite and infinite-dimensional models.
There is renewed interest in formulating integration as an inference problem, motivated by obtaining a full distribution over numerical error that can be propagated through subsequent computation. Current methods, such as Bayesian Quadrature, demonstrate impressive empirical performance but lack theoretical analysis. A…
Bayesian method uses data spectra to estimate non-sparse high-dimensional models.
problem Handling many parameters in high-dimensional Bayesian statistics.
method Data-adaptive Gaussian prior aligned with leading eigenvectors of sample covariance.
result Posterior contraction rates reveal the effect of spectral mass on prediction error.
Bayesian Invariant Prediction models stable features from multi-environment data.
problem Analyzing stable features across multiple environments for better prediction and understanding.
method Developed Bayesian Invariant Prediction (BIP) model that encodes invariant feature indices as latent variables and infers them via posterior inference.
result BIP and its variational approximation (VI-BIP) outperform existing methods in accuracy and scalability for invariant prediction.
Develops a new method for sampling from Bayesian credible sets using deep generative quantile learning.
problem Sampling from posterior distributions in high-dimensional spaces with intractable likelihoods.
method Uses deep neural networks to implicitly sample from Bayesian credible sets via a push-forward mapping and Monge-Kantorovich depth.
result Demonstrates improved performance and theoretical consistency of the quantile learning framework.
Contracts for Difference (CfDs) are forwards on the spread between an area price and the system price. Together with the system price forwards, these products are used to hedge the area price risk in the Nordic electricity market. The CfDs are typically available for the next two months, three quarters and three years.…
Paper proposes new Bayesian neural network models for efficient learning.
problem Efficient learning and model compression in deep neural networks.
method Proposes Spike-and-Slab Group Lasso (SS-GL) and Spike-and-Slab Group Horseshoe (SS-GHS) priors for structured sparsity in Bayesian neural networks.
result Establishes competitive performance in prediction accuracy, model compression, and inference latency compared to baseline models.
Gaussian process (GP) regression is a powerful interpolation technique due to its flexibility in capturing non-linearity. In this paper, we provide a general framework for understanding the frequentist coverage of point-wise and simultaneous Bayesian credible sets in GP regression. As an intermediate result, we develop…
The paper explores coalescent contractions in contractible spaces, providing criteria and examples.
problem Existence and absence of coalescent contractions in contractible spaces.
method Analysis of contractible finite simplicial complexes and criteria for coalescent contractions.
result Criteria for contractible finite simplicial complexes that ensure no coalescent contractions.
Intricating cardiac complexities are the primary factor associated with healthcare costs and the highest cause of death rate in the world. However, preventive measures like the early detection of cardiac anomalies can prevent severe cardiovascular arrests of varying complexities and can impose a substantial impact on h…
Bayesian SPCA method tackles orthogonality constraint with spike and slab prior.
problem Bayesian SPCA method for high-dimensional data with orthogonality constraint.
method Parameter-expanded coordinate ascent variational inference (PX-CAVI) with spike and slab prior.
result PX-CAVI algorithm outperforms existing SPCA approaches in performance.
Bayesian neural networks reveal multimodal predictive distributions.
problem Uncertainty quantification and interpretability in neural networks.
method Discretized prior for inner layer weights, Gaussian mixture approximation of posterior predictive distribution.
result Distinct parameter realizations can produce the same training error but different posterior predictive distributions.
Unified Bayesian framework for CAT bond pricing.
problem Uncertainty in catastrophe occurrences and interest rates in CAT bond markets.
method Bayesian framework based on uncertainty quantification of catastrophes and interest rates.
result Unified asset pricing approach with informative expected risk premia.