DABS uses a policy network to select experiments in high-dimensional design spaces.
problem Adaptive factorial screening in high-dimensional discrete design spaces.
method DABS learns a policy network offline to sequentially select experiments, incorporating sparsity and interactions via a spike-and-slab prior.
result DABS achieves superior accuracy and scalability over classical and Bayesian baselines under tight experimental budgets.
We present an adaptive approach to the construction of Gaussian process surrogates for Bayesian inference with expensive-to-evaluate forward models. Our method relies on the fully Bayesian approach to training Gaussian process models and utilizes the expected improvement idea from Bayesian global optimization. We adapt…
DAD learns to design experiments quickly, outperforming traditional methods.
problem Real-time decision-making in sequential Bayesian experimental design.
method Amortized design network trained with contrastive information bounds.
result DAD outperforms alternative strategies on various problems.
JADAI optimizes design and inference for parameter estimation.
problem Parameter estimation with active optimization of design variables.
method Jointly trains a policy, history network, and inference network to minimize posterior error.
result Achieves superior or competitive performance across benchmarks.
Bayesian adaptive designs can be biased by active learning, especially with misspecified models.
problem Active learning bias in Bayesian adaptive experimental designs.
method Analysis of linear and preference learning models, empirical testing.
result Model misspecification and noise influence active learning bias in Bayesian designs.
Step-DAD improves BED by periodically updating a design policy during experiments.
problem Improving flexibility and robustness in Bayesian experimental design.
method Semi-amortized, policy-based approach that updates a design policy during data collection.
result Consistently superior decision-making and robustness compared to current BED methods.
Bayesian optimization reduces hyperparameters for mixed variable design problems.
problem Optimizing designs with a large number of mixed continuous, integer, and categorical variables.
method Adaptive dimension reduction using partial least squares for fewer hyperparameters.
result Significant improvement in performance compared to genetic algorithms.
Adaptive querying learns user psychometrics with AI personas.
problem Learning user psychometrics within query budgets.
method Persona-induced latent variable model with AI personas and large language model response distributions.
result Persona-based posteriors deliver accurate probabilistic predictions.
Adaptive calibration improves model accuracy with fewer simulations.
problem Inefficient calibration of complex models using fixed designs.
method Bayesian adaptive experimental design to optimize simulation runs.
result The method achieves better parameter estimation with fewer simulations.
Adaptive Bayesian Optimization for resource-constrained experiments with switching costs.
problem Sequential experimental design with varying costs for changing design variables.
method Adapted batch algorithms to sequential problem, proposing cost-aware and cost-ignorant methods.
result Cost-aware algorithm outperforms tuned process-constrained algorithms in all settings considered.
BED-LLM uses Bayesian experimental design to improve LLMs' information gathering.
problem Improving LLMs' ability to gather information adaptively.
method Iteratively choosing questions to maximize expected information gain using a probabilistic model.
result BED-LLM achieves substantial performance gains compared to other adaptive design strategies.
Improves Bayesian optimisation for engineering design problems with many variables.
problem Efficiently searching for global minima in high-dimensional design spaces.
method Integrates input and output data to identify a reduced latent subspace using probabilistic partial least squares.
result Significant improvements in convergence to the global minimum compared to existing methods.
Shared Keyboard design improves phase I clinical trials by borrowing information across doses.
problem Interim decisions based on current dose data may overlook signals from neighboring doses.
method Bayesian model-assisted design using Beta kernel process with kernel-weighted pseudo-counts.
result Significant improvements in identifying maximum tolerated dose and safety.
iDAD uses neural networks to quickly adapt experiments without likelihoods.
problem Performing adaptive experiments in real-time with implicit models.
method iDAD learns a design policy network upfront to make quick design decisions.
result iDAD can make design decisions in milliseconds, unlike traditional BOED approaches.
Algorithm identifies Pareto optimal designs efficiently for noisy, multi-objective functions.
problem Optimizing multi-objective functions with noisy data and large design spaces.
method Adaptive discretization and tree-based approach to identify Pareto optimal designs.
result Algorithm identifies Pareto optimal designs with fewer evaluations than exhaustive search.
ARCO-BO optimizes multi-agent design under heterogeneity, improving efficiency and performance.
problem Heterogeneous multi-agent optimization challenges in resource use and information sharing.
method ARCO-BO integrates a consensus mechanism, budget-aware sampling, and partial input sharing for heterogeneous design spaces.
result ARCO-BO outperforms independent and collaborative BO methods in complex multi-agent settings.
Adaptive BO improves solder joint reliability by 3% with half the computational cost.
problem Improving solder joint reliability under thermomechanical loading.
method Adaptive Bayesian optimization with Gaussian process regression.
result Adaptive BO outperforms regular BO by 3% on average at any given computational budget.
Bayesian model estimates treatment effects near cutoffs in regression discontinuity designs.
problem Estimating conditional average treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs.
method Develops a Bayesian additive regression tree (BART) model with linear leaf-level regressions.
result Adapts to different slopes on the running variable near the cutoff, providing interpretable inference.
Paper proposes a new method for more accurate group testing of infected patients.
problem Identifying infected patients efficiently with reduced tests and corrected errors.
method Adaptive design of pools based on Bayesian posterior prediction using belief propagation algorithm.
result The proposed method results in more accurate identification of infected patients.
New method optimizes experiments under constraints.
problem Adapting BED to dynamic constraints in real-world tasks.
method Offline pre-training of an amortized policy and posterior network with online multi-step lookahead planning.
result Significantly more informative design sequences than existing methods.
Adapts Bayesian optimization for mixed constraints in aircraft design.
problem Optimizing expensive black box functions with mixed constraints.
method Super efficient global optimization with upper trust bound for constraints, Gaussian process uncertainty, refinement procedure.
result Superior performance on aircraft design problem compared to state-of-the-art solvers.
Optimization is becoming increasingly common in scientific and engineering domains. Oftentimes, these problems involve various levels of stochasticity or uncertainty in generating proposed solutions. Therefore, optimization in these scenarios must consider this stochasticity to properly guide the design of future exper…
PASOA optimizes Bayesian design by improving SMC samplers and EIG.
problem Sequential design optimization for accurate parameter inference.
method Sequential optimization using contrastive estimation, SMC samplers, and tempering.
result PASOA optimizes design and inference with improved consistency.
Bayesian design improves by reducing policy training cost.
problem Double intractability in expected information gain limits policy learning.
method Score matching to isolate EIG, then train policy singly intractably.
result Reduced computational burden for policy training, allowing multiple iterations.
In this paper, we provide two main contributions in PAC-Bayesian theory for domain adaptation where the objective is to learn, from a source distribution, a well-performing majority vote on a different target distribution. On the one hand, we propose an improvement of the previous approach proposed by Germain et al. (2…
TAD efficiently finds optimal settings for advanced manufacturing.
problem Optimizing high-dimensional process control parameters for optimal design features.
method TAD uses Gaussian process surrogate models and optimizes log-predictive likelihood to find optimal settings.
result TAD efficiently locates optimal settings with quantified uncertainty.
TALBO optimizes latent spaces for evolving design objectives.
problem Temporal drift in design objectives.
method GP-prior variational autoencoder for time-varying latent space.
result Consistently outperforms LSBO baselines across varying drift speeds and objectives.
Probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for robust safety of autonomous driving. Current methods for long-term trajectory prediction cannot guarantee the physical feasibility of predicted distribution. Moreover, their models cannot adapt to the driving policy of the predicted target human driver. In th…
We consider the problem of adaptively placing sensors along an interval to detect stochastically-generated events. We present a new formulation of the problem as a continuum-armed bandit problem with feedback in the form of partial observations of realisations of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We design a solution m…
We consider Bayesian inference problems with computationally intensive likelihood functions. We propose a Gaussian process (GP) based method to approximate the joint distribution of the unknown parameters and the data. In particular, we write the joint density approximately as a product of an approximate posterior dens…
BoFire optimizes chemistry experiments using Bayesian Optimization.
problem Effective deployment of Bayesian Optimization in the chemical industry.
method Combines Bayesian Optimization with DoE strategies, providing a rich feature-set.
result BoFire enables seamless integration into RESTful APIs for real-world use.
A new method designs batches for Bayesian optimization more efficiently.
problem Efficiently designing batches for Bayesian optimization to reduce total time.
method Minimal Terminal Variance (MTV) acquisition function, optimizing I-optimality criterion.
result MTV designs batches more efficiently than other methods, as shown by numerical experiments.
Bayesian nonparametric LABS model adapts to function smoothness in Besov spaces.
problem Estimating functions with unknown smoothness in Besov spaces.
method Lévy Adaptive B-spline (LABS) regression model with automatic smoothness adaptation.
result LABS posterior contracts around true function in Besov classes at nearly minimax-optimal rates.
We introduce a fully stochastic gradient based approach to Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED). Our approach utilizes variational lower bounds on the expected information gain (EIG) of an experiment that can be simultaneously optimized with respect to both the variational and design parameters. This allows the …
New algorithm improves Bayesian neural networks using adaptive importance sampling.
problem High computational cost in training Bayesian neural networks.
method Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS) integrated into a novel algorithm (PMCnet).
result Improved performance and exploration capabilities for both shallow and deep neural networks.
Bayesian posterior contraction rates improve with decreasing tails
problem Bayesian posterior contraction in nonparametric settings
method Using p-exponential tails for contraction rates result Improvement in contraction rates with decreasing tails
Bayesian approach improves Shapley value estimation efficiency.
problem Efficiently estimating Shapley values in machine learning models.
method Bayesian experimental design using Gaussian process surrogate and adaptive coalition selection.
result Consistently improves sample efficiency in low-budget settings.
New framework for adaptive clinical trials to address real-world challenges.
problem Real-world challenges in post-regulatory clinical trials.
method RFAN framework integrating regulatory constraints and treatment policy value.
result Empirical evaluation of RFAN's performance.
POLAR learns efficient data acquisition policies using pretrained belief representations.
problem Challenges in learning effective policies for adaptive data acquisition.
method POLAR decouples representation learning from policy learning by leveraging pretrained predictive foundation models as belief-state encoders.
result POLAR outperforms state-of-the-art methods across diverse tasks while requiring fewer training samples.
New method improves robustness of Bayesian experimental design.
problem Bayesian experimental design's sensitivity to prior distribution changes.
method Introduces robust expected information gain (REIG) and uses KL-divergence ambiguity sets.
result REIG stabilizes sampling-based EIG estimation and compensates for prior variability.
Bayesian optimization identifies optimal alloy formulations.
problem Accelerated discovery in materials science with autonomous systems.
method Bayesian optimization over problem formulation space.
result Framework converges on optimal alloy formulations.
Unified perspective unites Bayesian optimization and active learning for efficient goal-oriented optimization.
problem Efficiently optimize expensive engineering and scientific problems with limited data.
method Unified framework linking Bayesian infill criteria and active learning criteria.
result Unified approach formalizes Bayesian infill criteria and active learning criteria.
Improving in-context learning for latent space Bayesian optimization by adapting pretraining on molecular latent space.
problem Improving in-context learning for latent space Bayesian optimization.
method Adapting pretraining on molecular latent space.
result Achieving strong performance on held-out molecular optimization benchmarks.
New PAC-Bayesian bounds improve Sliced-Wasserstein distances.
problem Improving statistical properties of Sliced-Wasserstein distances.
method Leveraging PAC-Bayesian theory to provide bounds and learning procedures.
result PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for adaptive SW distances.
The paper proposes AIS for Bayesian inversion of multioutput signals with covariance estimation.
problem Performing uncertainty analysis of covariance matrices in Bayesian inversion problems for multioutput signals.
method Adaptive Importance Sampling (AIS) scheme, split variables, frequentist approach for noise covariance, prior density over covariance matrix.
result Estimation of model parameters and covariance matrix of noise.
New algorithm optimizes MCMC sampling for structural dynamic models.
problem Time-consuming retraining of neural networks in MCMC methods.
method Adaptive meta-learning SGHMC algorithm that optimizes sampling strategy.
result Trained sampler can be applied to various problems without retraining.
New MCMC method improves sampling efficiency across diverse structural models.
problem Low sampling efficiency in generic MCMC methods for specific problems.
method Adaptive Principal-Component (PC) Meta-learning Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (APM-SGHMC) algorithm.
result Universal samplers achieve zero-shot generalization across structurally distinct models.
Bayesian optimization has become a fundamental global optimization algorithm in many problems where sample efficiency is of paramount importance. Recently, there has been proposed a large number of new applications in fields such as robotics, machine learning, experimental design, simulation, etc. In this paper, we foc…