Due to the ease of modern data collection, applied statisticians often have access to a large set of covariates that they wish to relate to some observed outcome. Generalized linear models (GLMs) offer a particularly interpretable framework for such an analysis. In these high-dimensional problems, the number of covaria…
Generalized linear models (GLMs) -- such as logistic regression, Poisson regression, and robust regression -- provide interpretable models for diverse data types. Probabilistic approaches, particularly Bayesian ones, allow coherent estimates of uncertainty, incorporation of prior information, and sharing of power acros…
New method for GLMs under DP provides private uncertainty quantification.
problem Private inference for GLMs with uncertainty quantification.
method Noise-aware DP Bayesian inference method for GLMs.
result Posterior uncertainty allows determination of statistically significant coefficients.
New method simplifies Bayesian analysis for categorical data.
problem Difficulties in scaling GLMs for categorical data due to non-conjugacy or posterior dependencies.
method Defining CB models with binary approximations for tractable inference.
result Fast and scalable inference for thousands of categories, outperforming competitors.
We propose Dirichlet Process mixtures of Generalized Linear Models (DP-GLM), a new method of nonparametric regression that accommodates continuous and categorical inputs, and responses that can be modeled by a generalized linear model. We prove conditions for the asymptotic unbiasedness of the DP-GLM regression mean fu…
Bayesian pliable lasso with horseshoe prior models interactions in GLMs with missing data.
problem Modeling interactions in sparse regression problems with missing responses.
method Bayesian pliable lasso with hierarchical horseshoe prior for sparsity and uncertainty quantification.
result Advantages over existing methods in recovering complex interaction patterns under incomplete data.
This paper improves Bayesian neural nets by using local linearization.
problem Underfitting in Bayesian neural networks.
method Local linearization of Bayesian neural networks to create a generalized linear model (GLM) for predictions.
result The GLM predictive resolves common underfitting problems of the Laplace approximation.
Bayesian models predict Collatz stopping times with high accuracy.
problem Predicting the total stopping time of Collatz sequences.
method Developed two complementary models: a hierarchical Negative Binomial regression and a mechanistic generative approximation.
result Bayesian models outperform generative approximations in predicting Collatz stopping times.
Bayesian active learning reduces data needed for latent variable models.
problem Active learning for latent variable models, especially mixtures of linear regressions and HMMs with GLM observations.
method Maximum-mutual-information input selection for discrete latent variable regression models.
result Active learning can achieve large gains for mixtures of linear-Gaussian models and substantially reduces data needed for GLM-HMM.
Paper introduces fair GLMs with convex penalty for equalizing GLM outcomes.
problem Achieving fairness in GLMs for practical use.
method Two fairness criteria based on GLM outcomes/log-likelihoods, achieved via a convex penalty on linear components.
result The fair GLM estimator is efficient and can handle various response variables.
Unified CS for GLMs improves bandit regret bounds.
problem Improving regret bounds for GLMs in bandit settings.
method Unified likelihood ratio-based CS with PAC-Bayesian bound.
result Unified CS attains poly(S)-free regret for Bernoulli.
We study two randomized algorithms for generalized linear bandits. The first, GLM-TSL, samples a generalized linear model (GLM) from the Laplace approximation to the posterior distribution. The second, GLM-FPL, fits a GLM to a randomly perturbed history of past rewards. We analyze both algorithms and derive $\tilde{O}(…
Last-layer approximation improves UQ performance without sacrificing computational efficiency.
problem Epistemic uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks.
method Comparison of full-network and last-layer linearization using theoretical and empirical approaches.
result Last-layer approximation yields comparable UQ performance with improved computational efficiency.
Neural circuits contain heterogeneous groups of neurons that differ in type, location, connectivity, and basic response properties. However, traditional methods for dimensionality reduction and clustering are ill-suited to recovering the structure underlying the organization of neural circuits. In particular, they do n…
New methods for quantifying insurance claim cost uncertainty using LightGBM and GLMs.
problem Quantifying prediction uncertainty in insurance claim costs.
method Proposed non-conformity measures for GLMs and GBMs with Tweedie loss.
result Locally weighted Pearson residuals outperform other methods in maintaining nominal coverage with smallest average width.
Automates model selection for GLMs using optimization.
problem Automating model selection for generalized linear models.
method Mixed-integer conic optimization for feature subset selection and model constraints.
result Optimization of AIC and BIC criteria with multicollinearity constraints.
Paper analyzes GLM-tron for high-dimensional ReLU regression, providing upper and lower bounds.
problem Learning a single ReLU neuron in high-dimensional settings with overparameterization.
method Perceptron-type algorithm GLM-tron, with finite-sample analysis.
result Sharp characterization of high-dimensional ReLU regression problems via GLM-tron, contrasting with SGD.
Framework assesses autograders' reliability and biases.
problem Mixed reliability and biases in autograders for LLM evaluation.
method Bayesian GLMs to model evaluation outcomes.
result Explicit quantification of scoring differences and biases.
A new method connects GLM and MLE for neuroimaging analysis.
problem Limited mathematical elegance and interpretation of MLE for neuroimaging.
method Derives a refined statistical test using SVR-iGLM and RFT.
result MLE and GLM parameter estimations are significantly related to functional tasks.
New AMP algorithm detects change points in high-dimensional GLMs.
problem Detecting change points in high-dimensional GLMs.
method Approximate Message Passing (AMP) algorithm for estimating signals and change points.
result Characterization of AMP algorithm's performance in high-dimensional limit.
New algorithm learns sparse GLMs for binary outcomes efficiently.
problem Sparse modeling of binary outcomes in high-dimensional data.
method Iterative hard thresholding algorithm (BIHT) for sparse GLMs.
result BIHT achieves statistical optimality for logistic regression.
The generalized linear model (GLM) plays a key role in regression analyses. In high-dimensional data, the sparse GLM has been used but it is not robust against outliers. Recently, the robust methods have been proposed for the specific example of the sparse GLM. Among them, we focus on the robust and sparse linear regre…
Over the years, ensemble methods have become a staple of machine learning. Similarly, generalized linear models (GLMs) have become very popular for a wide variety of statistical inference tasks. The former have been shown to enhance out- of-sample predictive power and the latter possess easy interpretability. Recently,…
New tensor model reduces GLM estimation error and sample complexity.
problem Estimating GLM coefficients with reduced sample complexity.
method Developed LSR tensor model and block coordinate descent algorithm.
result Minimax lower bound on estimation error, suggesting lower sample complexity.
Accurate statistical models of neural spike responses can characterize the information carried by neural populations. But the limited samples of spike counts during recording usually result in model overfitting. Besides, current models assume spike counts to be Poisson-distributed, which ignores the fact that many neur…
DP-GD achieves dimension-independent convergence for unconstrained private GLMs.
problem Differentially private empirical risk minimization for unconstrained GLMs.
method Differentially private gradient descent (DP-GD).
result DP-GD achieves an excess empirical risk of $ ilde O\left(\sqrt{ exttt{rank}}/εn
ight)$ for unconstrained GLMs.
Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) and Single Index Models (SIMs) provide powerful generalizations of linear regression, where the target variable is assumed to be a (possibly unknown) 1-dimensional function of a linear predictor. In general, these problems entail non-convex estimation procedures, and, in practice, itera…
Generalized principal component analysis (GLM-PCA) facilitates dimension reduction of non-normally distributed data. We provide a detailed derivation of GLM-PCA with a focus on optimization. We also demonstrate how to incorporate covariates, and suggest post-processing transformations to improve interpretability of lat…
Genomic models learn DNA sequences to predict functions.
problem Understanding complex genetic interactions.
method Training LLMs on DNA sequences to predict functions.
result gLMs can predict functions of DNA elements.
Paper analyzes sparse aggregation in GLMs with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.
problem Sparse aggregation in GLMs for parameter approximation.
method Exponential weighted aggregation scheme with Kullback-Leibler risk bounds.
result Sharp oracle inequality for Kullback-Leibler risk with leading constant 1 and minimax-optimal rate of aggregation.
Develops a new GLM framework for claims reserving with adaptive estimation.
problem Accurate assessment of claims reserves with dynamic and dependent claim activity.
method Multivariate evolutionary GLM framework with adaptive particle filtering algorithm.
result Adaptive estimation of evolving factors improves claims reserve accuracy.
Extends matrix factorization for deviance-based losses with GLM theory.
problem Improving data loss models beyond squared error.
method Adapts GLM theory to matrix factorization for deviance losses.
result Strong consistency and robustness of the proposed decomposition.
In this paper, we study the problem of estimating smooth Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) in the Non-interactive Local Differential Privacy (NLDP) model. Different from its classical setting, our model allows the server to access some additional public but unlabeled data. In the first part of the paper we focus on GLMs…
New method controls FDR for sparse GLMs, identifying positive and negative relationships.
problem Sparse GLMs with high-dimensional data and varying sample size.
method Debiased-Lasso estimator and CLIME method for precision matrix estimation.
result Asymptotically controls directional FDR and FDV for sparse GLMs.
Paper proposes an alternative to MLE for GLMs with non-canonical link functions.
problem Challenges in MLE for GLMs with non-canonical link functions.
method Variational Inequality (VI) estimation framework.
result Established finite-sample error bounds and asymptotic normality for VI estimator.
The balance property is crucial for insurance pricing, ensuring total actuarial price equals loss. Maximum likelihood GLMs fulfill it, but Lindholm-Wüthrich suggests three methods, with constrained GLM being superior.
problem Ensuring the balance property in insurance pricing models
method Using constrained GLM fitting
result Constrained GLM fitting is superior to the two previously discussed balance correction methods
Paper develops methods for estimating GLMs and SNR under proportional asymptotics.
problem Estimation of regression coefficients and SNR in high-dimensional GLMs.
method Method-of-Moments type estimators that bypass nuisance function estimation.
result Consistent and asymptotically normal estimators derived for targets of inference.
Holistic GLMs add constraints for better model quality.
problem Improving classical linear regression models.
method Sparsity-inducing, sign-coherence, and linear constraints.
result Holistic GLMs reliably solve GLMs for various responses.
Learning and memory in the brain are implemented by complex, time-varying changes in neural circuitry. The computational rules according to which synaptic weights change over time are the subject of much research, and are not precisely understood. Until recently, limitations in experimental methods have made it challen…
New algorithms for private GLM estimation with minimax lower bounds.
problem Privacy in generalized linear models.
method Differentially private algorithms using projected gradient descent.
result Nearly rate-optimal performance with privacy-constrained minimax lower bounds.
Study improves model fit by transferring info from related datasets.
problem Improving model fit on target data using source data.
method Proposes a transfer learning algorithm for GLMs, derives error bounds, and introduces detection of informative sources.
result Theoretical and practical improvements over classical methods in high-dimensional GLM settings.
Automates finding interactions in GLMs using neural networks.
problem Time-consuming and expert-dependent search for GLM interactions.
method Neural networks and model-specific interaction detection method.
result Computational speed improvement over traditional methods.
BELIEF framework interprets GLMs using binary linear models.
problem Understanding and interpreting generalized linear models (GLMs) with binary outcomes.
method Developed a framework called binary expansion linear effect (BELIEF) to interpret GLMs through transparent linear models.
result BELIEF framework reveals perfect predictors in complete separation scenarios.
Improved tensor GLM estimation for complex data.
problem Complex tensor data in GLMs leads to high-dimensional, ill-posed estimation.
method Proposed LSRTR-M algorithm using Muon updates for faster convergence and lower errors.
result LSRTR-M converges faster and achieves lower errors than LSRTR.
Paper connects GLM and LRM for better classification performance.
problem Improving classification performance using statistical inference.
method Derives a statistical test based on SVM and permutation analysis.
result MLE-based inference provides better parameter estimation.
Framework for domain adaptation using pseudo-labels from unlabeled data.
problem Improving prediction accuracy in target domain with covariate shift.
method Kernel GLMs with labeled and pseudo-labeled data, using imputation model for target data.
result Non-asymptotic excess-risk bounds for effective labeled sample size.
Principal component regression (PCR) is a widely used two-stage procedure: principal component analysis (PCA), followed by regression in which the selected principal components are regarded as new explanatory variables in the model. Note that PCA is based only on the explanatory variables, so the principal components a…
TabPFN doesn't outperform GLM and XGBoost for motor insurance pricing.
problem Improving insurance pricing models using Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs).
method Pre-training on synthetic datasets and in-context learning for inference.
result TabPFN does not consistently outperform established baselines, has longer inference times, and is sensitive to training set size.