New bounds improve pruning for BDeu score in BNSL.
problem Improving pruning for BDeu score in BNSL.
method Deriving new upper bounds for BDeu score.
result New bounds are tighter and computationally efficient.
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
169,051 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “Bayesian Dirichlet equivalent uniform”
Recent reports have described that learning Bayesian networks are highly sensitive to the chosen equivalent sample size (ESS) in the Bayesian Dirichlet equivalence uniform (BDeu). This sensitivity often engenders some unstable or undesirable results. This paper describes some asymptotic analyses of BDeu to explain the …
Bayesian network structure learning is often performed in a Bayesian setting, by evaluating candidate structures using their posterior probabilities for a given data set. Score-based algorithms then use those posterior probabilities as an objective function and return the maximum a posteriori network as the learned mod…
Bayesian network structure learning is often performed in a Bayesian setting, evaluating candidate structures using their posterior probabilities for a given data set. Score-based algorithms then use those posterior probabilities as an objective function and return the maximum a posteriori network as the learned model.…
A classic approach for learning Bayesian networks from data is to identify a maximum a posteriori (MAP) network structure. In the case of discrete Bayesian networks, MAP networks are selected by maximising one of several possible Bayesian Dirichlet (BD) scores; the most famous is the Bayesian Dirichlet equivalent unifo…
In the Bayesian approach to structure learning of graphical models, the equivalent sample size (ESS) in the Dirichlet prior over the model parameters was recently shown to have an important effect on the maximum-a-posteriori estimate of the Bayesian network structure. In our first contribution, we theoretically analyze…
Proposes a new Bayesian score for learning network structure from related datasets.
problem Learning network structure from heterogeneous related data sets.
method Bayesian Hierarchical Dirichlet (BHD) score based on a hierarchical model.
result BHD outperforms BDeu in reconstruction accuracy and sparsity for related datasets.
WBCP improves conformal prediction for distribution shifts using weighted Dirichlet posteriors.
problem Handling distribution shifts in conformal prediction.
method Generalizes Bayesian Quadrature Conformal Prediction (BQ-CP) to arbitrary importance-weighted settings.
result WBCP maintains coverage guarantees while providing richer uncertainty information.
A centered innovation MA is equivalent to a digamma-link DARMA for bank-asset shares.
problem Predicting bank-asset shares using Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA models.
method Replacing raw additive log-ratio residuals with centered innovations in B--DARMA.
result Centered specification and digamma-link DARMA are predictively equivalent under specified conditions.
A Bayesian approach termed BAyesian Least Squares Optimization with Nonnegative L1-norm constraint (BALSON) is proposed. The error distribution of data fitting is described by Gaussian likelihood. The parameter distribution is assumed to be a Dirichlet distribution. With the Bayes rule, searching for the optimal parame…
Bayesian framework improves LLM evaluation stability and transparency.
problem Pass@k and avg@N are unstable and misleading for LLMs.
method Bayesian evaluation with posterior estimates and credible intervals.
result Posterior-based evaluation yields stable and transparent rankings.
RAMBO optimizes multi-regime problems by discovering and modeling distinct energy basins.
problem Multi-regime problems in molecular conformation and drug discovery.
method Dirichlet Process Mixture of Gaussian Processes with adaptive hyperparameters and concentration parameters.
result Consistent improvements over state-of-the-art on multi-regime objectives.
Ribbon: Scalable Approximation and Robust Uncertainty Quantification
problem Reliably quantifying predictive uncertainty for complex models
method Ribbon, a scalable approximation to Dirichlet-reweighted bootstrap uncertainty
result Asymptotically equivalent to a flat-prior Laplace approximation under correct likelihood specification, recovers robust sandwich covariance under misspecification
Study on posterior distribution for cluster number in DPMM models.
problem Understanding the posterior distribution of the number of clusters in Dirichlet process mixture models.
method Rigorous study of posterior distribution under different prior distributions and constraints on data distributions.
result Provide novel lower bounds on the ratios of probabilities between clusters and clusters.
Corrected and improved simulation methods for Dirichlet-Laplace prior.
problem Incorrect sampling order in original MCMC method for DL prior.
method Provided two solutions: correction and alternative algorithm.
result Improved simulation methods for DL prior without affecting theoretical results.
Bayesian framework estimates label shift for improved classifier performance.
problem Label shift in supervised learning leading to degraded classifier performance.
method Bayesian framework with dynamic Dirichlet priors and online EM algorithms.
result Significant improvements in classifier accuracy over state-of-the-art methods.
Recent reports have described that the equivalent sample size (ESS) in a Dirichlet prior plays an important role in learning Bayesian networks. This paper provides an asymptotic analysis of the marginal likelihood score for a Bayesian network. Results show that the ratio of the ESS and sample size determine the penalty…
Uniformizes surfaces using discrete harmonic maps and hyperbolic metrics.
problem Uniformizing surfaces with complex geometries.
method Least Dirichlet energy harmonic embedding of graphs on surfaces.
result Existence of hyperbolic metrics realizing least energy embeddings.
New approach to extremal hyperbolic surfaces using NEC groups.
problem Structural description of extremal hyperbolic surfaces.
method Uniformization by NEC groups for surfaces with cusps and/or geodesic boundary.
result Full description of automorphism groups of extremal surfaces.
Uniform Shapiro-Lopatinski conditions and boundary value problems on manifolds with bounded geometrymath.AP
We study the regularity of the solutions of second order boundary value problems on manifolds with boundary and bounded geometry. We first show that the regularity property of a given boundary value problem is equivalent to the uniform regularity of the natural family of associated boundary value …
Bayes-assisted confidence sequences improve efficiency for bounded means.
problem Efficient uncertainty quantification for bounded IID means without parametric assumptions.
method Bayesian working predictive model selects adaptive martingale updates maximizing predictive log-growth.
result Asymptotically log-optimal performance with informative priors reducing width and sampling effort.
Sharp bounds for Dirichlet sums lead to improved Bayesian algorithm analysis.
problem Improving Bayesian algorithm performance through precise deviation bounds.
method Novel integral representation of Dirichlet sum density, Gaussian approximation, complex analysis.
result Significantly sharpened regret bounds for Multinomial Thompson Sampling.
Novel method for model selection in Bayesian autoencoders.
problem Model selection for Bayesian autoencoders.
method Prior hyper-parameter optimization using distributional sliced-Wasserstein distance.
result State-of-the-art results in small-data regimes.
Develops a Bayesian method for an infinite mixture of inverted Dirichlet distributions.
problem Overcoming the need to pre-determine the number of mixture components in Dirichlet process models.
method Adopted the extended variational inference framework to derive an analytically tractable solution.
result Demonstrates good performance and effectiveness compared to other DP-related methods.
Bayesian model learns complex multivariate dependencies.
problem Learning dependency structures across multiple dimensions.
method Flexible Gaussian process priors and Dirichlet process for structure learning.
result Efficient variational inference for model parameters.
We derive and approximate the conjugate prior of Dirichlet and beta distributions.
problem Intractability of conjugate prior for Dirichlet and beta distributions.
method Derive conjugate prior, define closed-form approximation, and provide algorithm.
result Closed-form approximation enables fully tractable Bayesian treatment.
New portfolios outperform traditional methods by using factor weights.
problem Improving portfolio allocation in markets driven by factors.
method Factor-weighted Dirichlet portfolios outperform uniform Dirichlet portfolios.
result Factor-weighted portfolios outperform uniformly sampled portfolios in market returns.
Latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) is useful in document analysis, image processing, and many information systems; however, its generalization performance has been left unknown because it is a singular learning machine to which regular statistical theory can not be applied. Stochastic matrix factorization (SMF) is a res…
A new method for density estimation using nearest neighbor Dirichlet mixtures.
problem Slow and unstable Bayesian density estimation methods.
method Nearest neighbor grouping, local Bayesian parametric models, Dirichlet prior, Monte Carlo sampling.
result Effective density estimation with improved computational efficiency.
Bayesian neural networks improve with summary information and Dirichlet process.
problem Lack of prior knowledge in BNNs for complex architectures.
method Incorporates external summary information about predicted probabilities using a Dirichlet process.
result Improves model accuracy, uncertainty calibration, and robustness.
Efficiently approximates uncertainty in classification models using Dirichlet distributions.
problem Inefficient computation of uncertainty estimates in Bayesian deep learning.
method Revised Laplace Bridge method to construct a Dirichlet approximation of softmax output distributions.
result The Dirichlet approximation leads to more efficient computation and better uncertainty estimates.
Dirichlet Active Learningstat.ML
DiAL uses Bayesian Dirichlet random fields for active learning with sparse labels.
problem Active learning with limited labeled data.
method Bayesian Dirichlet random field for feature-conditional class probabilities, calibrating with graph Laplacian.
result Competitive performance in low-label rate graph learning tasks.
Study evaluates initialization strategies for infinite hidden Markov models.
problem Limited attention to initialization in infinite hidden Markov models.
method Systematically evaluated distance-based clustering, model-based, and uniform initializations.
result Distance-based clustering initializations consistently outperform other methods.
Unified framework for DRO and DTA using Bayesian nonparametrics.
problem Combining DRO and DTA under ambiguity.
method Unified framework using DP and HDPs, with outlier robustness.
result Favorable performance in prediction accuracy and stability.
Bayesian nonparametric approach for clustering non-exchangeable groups.
problem Clustering grouped data with dependencies among groups.
method Graphical Dirichlet process modeling with Markov property.
result Efficient posterior inference algorithm developed.
The study shows that random surfaces built from polygons converge to a Poisson-Dirichlet partition.
problem Understanding geometric properties of random surfaces constructed from polygons.
method Uniformly pairing polygon sides to form surfaces, analyzing degree sequences and geometric properties using probabilistic techniques.
result Several geometric properties of the graph are universal, converging to a Poisson-Dirichlet partition as .
Enhances uncertainty estimation in neural networks using Dirichlet-based MC Dropout.
problem Deterministic predictions without uncertainty estimates in neural networks.
method Integrates Dirichlet-based framework within Monte Carlo Dropout.
result Improves quality of uncertainty estimates in deep learning models.
Causal Inference with the Instrumental Variable Approach and Bayesian Nonparametric Machine Learningstat.ML
Bayesian nonparametric machine learning improves instrumental variable inference.
problem Estimating causal effects with nonlinear relationships.
method Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) for estimating functions and Dirichlet Process mixtures for error terms.
result Dramatic improvements in inference with nonlinear data, no manual tuning required.
The study assesses sensitivity to prior choices in Bayesian nonparametric models.
problem Difficulty in specifying priors for Bayesian nonparametric models.
method Utilizes variational Bayesian methods to assess sensitivity to concentration parameter and stick-breaking distribution.
result Demonstrates how to evaluate sensitivity to prior choices in Dirichlet process mixtures and related models.
From Partial Exchangeability to Predictive Probability: A Bayesian Perspective on Classificationstat.ME
Bayesian model improves classification performance with flexible uncertainty modeling.
problem Improving classification performance with flexible uncertainty modeling.
method Combines Gaussian process and Dirichlet process priors for latent function and link function, respectively.
result Outperforms standard logistic regression on simulated data.
Paper calculates the exact error of LDA models.
problem Bayesian generalization error in Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA).
method Theoretical analysis of learning coefficient using algebraic geometry.
result Exact asymptotic form of LDA's generalization error.
Study on Dirichlet process mixtures for clustering consistency.
problem Consistency of clustering with Dirichlet process mixtures.
method Analysis of posterior distribution as sample size increases, focusing on consistency for the number of clusters.
result Consistency for the number of clusters can be achieved with a properly adapted concentration parameter in a Bayesian setting.
Bayesian framework improves robustness in nonlinear regression models.
problem Measurement error, model misspecification, and distributional misspecification in regression analyses.
method Joint Dirichlet process prior on latent covariate-response distribution, updating with posterior pseudo-samples.
result Improved stability and consistency in estimators under increasing measurement error.
Bayesian framework mixes imperfect models for improved predictions.
problem Improving predictions of complex computational models in unknown domains.
method Local Bayesian Dirichlet mixing of imperfect models using the Dirichlet distribution.
result Global and local mixtures of models achieve excellent performance in prediction accuracy and uncertainty quantification.
Bayesian model fuses multiple classifiers with explicit correlation modeling.
problem Combining outputs of multiple classifiers with explicit correlation.
method Hierarchical Bayesian model with correlated Dirichlet distribution.
result Fused classifier performance can be Bayes optimal even for highly correlated base classifiers.
Datasets containing large samples of time-to-event data arising from several small heterogeneous groups are commonly encountered in statistics. This presents problems as they cannot be pooled directly due to their heterogeneity or analyzed individually because of their small sample size. Bayesian nonparametric modellin…
Sharp lower bound found for geodesic ball eigenvalues.
problem Finding the minimum eigenvalue for geodesic balls.
method Applied Li-Schoen's uniform Poincare inequality for non-negative Ricci curvature manifolds.
result Sharp lower bound of the first Dirichlet eigenvalue for geodesic balls.
Bayesian nonparametric model learns new categories without predefined limits.
problem Learning new categories unseen in labeled training data.
method Hierarchical Dirichlet process and latent Dirichlet allocation for automatic category inference.
result Nonparametric approach yields comparable performance to parametric methods with pre-specified new categories.