A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Adaptive display exposure improves e-commerce platform revenue.
New model for display advertising with stochastic and adversarial components.
The paper tackles the issue of preferential attachment in targeted display advertising by developing domain-adaptation approaches.
Optimizes reserve prices for first-price auctions to maximize revenue.
This work addresses various open questions in the theory of active learning for nonparametric classification. Our contributions are both statistical and algorithmic: -We establish new minimax-rates for active learning under common \textit{noise conditions}. These rates display interesting transitions -- due to the inte…
We introduce an unsupervised approach to efficiently discover the underlying features in a data set via crowdsourcing. Our queries ask crowd members to articulate a feature common to two out of three displayed examples. In addition we also ask the crowd to provide binary labels to the remaining examples based on the di…
We introduce a simple extension of the minority game in which the market rewards contrarian (resp. trend-following) strategies when it is far from (resp. close to) efficiency. The model displays a smooth crossover from a regime where contrarians dominate to one where trend-followers dominate. In the intermediate phase,…
A new adaptive splitting method improves accuracy for Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model.
Bayesian model identifies three types of travelers adapting to feedback.
We propose and document the evidence for an analogy between the dynamics of granular counter-flows in the presence of bottlenecks or restrictions and financial price formation processes. Using extensive simulations, we find that the counter-flows of simulated pedestrians through a door display many stylized facts obser…
A new bandit algorithm for web page item display.
The agent-based model of stock price dynamics on a directed evolving complex network is suggested and studied by direct simulation. The stationary regime is maintained as a result of the balance between the extremal dynamics, adaptivity of strategic variables and reconnection rules. The inherent structure of node agent…
We proposed a market simulation model (micro model) which displays multifractality and reproduces many important stylized facts of speculative markets. From this model we analytically extracted the MMAR model (Multifractal Model of Asset Returns) for the macroscopic limit.
The article improves the display of acceptable exchange ratios for merging companies.
A new method detects and displays pairwise dependence between variates.
If financial markets displayed the informational efficiency postulated in the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH), arbitrage operations would be self-extinguishing. The present paper considers arbitrage sequences in foreign exchange (FX) markets, in which trading platforms and information are fragmented. In Kozyakin et …
New privacy method for eye tracking data reduces correlations and maintains accuracy.
New algorithm reduces multi-agent bandit regret by sharing data.
Accurate real time crime prediction is a fundamental issue for public safety, but remains a challenging problem for the scientific community. Crime occurrences depend on many complex factors. Compared to many predictable events, crime is sparse. At different spatio-temporal scales, crime distributions display dramatica…
Paper presents a method for probabilistic load forecasting using adaptive online learning.
Graph convolutional networks adapt the architecture of convolutional neural networks to learn rich representations of data supported on arbitrary graphs by replacing the convolution operations of convolutional neural networks with graph-dependent linear operations. However, these graph-dependent linear operations are d…
This paper introduces tangent display maps to simplify tangent category theory.
A PID-based feedback-control system improves multiple KPIs in RTB display advertising.
Study examines how industrial emissions evolve over time in response to various factors.
Study adapts liquidity model to equity auctions, revealing accelerated event rates and reduced price impact.
Taobao, as the largest online retail platform in the world, provides billions of online display advertising impressions for millions of advertisers every day. For commercial purposes, the advertisers bid for specific spots and target crowds to compete for business traffic. The platform chooses the most suitable ads to …
Study proposes a time-aware model to predict user conversion intent.
Method tracks finger movements to render shapes on display devices.
Adaptive algorithm for online evaluation of targeted audiences in advertising.
Prob2Vec embeds problems for adaptive tutoring, achieving high similarity accuracy.
Study predicts ad conversions based on URL embeddings.
This paper uses fuzzy C-Means clustering and sonification to analyze heart rate variability.
We use geometric algebra techniques to give a synthetic and computationally efficient approach to Fierz identities in arbitrary dimensions and signatures, thus generalizing previous work. Our approach leads to a formulation which displays the underlying real, complex or quaternionic structure in an explicit and concept…
Standard economic theory assumes that agents in markets behave rationally. However, the observation of extremely large fluctuations in the price of financial assets that are not correlated to changes in their fundamental value, as well as the extreme instance of financial bubbles and crashes, imply that markets (at lea…
Much of human knowledge sits in large databases of unstructured text. Leveraging this knowledge requires algorithms that extract and record metadata on unstructured text documents. Assigning topics to documents will enable intelligent search, statistical characterization, and meaningful classification. Latent Dirichlet…
The goal of online display advertising is to entice users to "convert" (i.e., take a pre-defined action such as making a purchase) after clicking on the ad. An important measure of the value of an ad is the probability of conversion. The focus of this paper is the development of a computationally efficient, accurate, a…
MuLANN tackles multi-domain learning with adversarial approach.
We investigate the correlation properties of transaction data from the New York Stock Exchange. The trading activity f(t) of each stock displays a crossover from weaker to stronger correlations at time scales 60-390 minutes. In both regimes, the Hurst exponent H depends logarithmically on the liquidity of the stock, me…
Boosting improves data fitting while maintaining fairness guarantees.
We provide complete source code for a front-end GUI and its back-end counterpart for a stock market visualization tool. It is built based on the "functional visualization" concept we discuss, whereby functionality is not sacrificed for fancy graphics. The GUI, among other things, displays a color-coded signal (computed…
Dual learning algorithm addresses delayed conversions in CVR prediction.
Records of the traded value f_i(t) of stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <f(i)>: sigma(i) ~ f(i)^alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(dt). The non-trivial (i.e., neither 0.5 nor 1) value of alpha may have different origins and provid…
Price fluctuations of commodities like cotton and wheat are thought to display probability distributions of returns that follow a Lévy stable distribution. Recent analysis of stocks and foreign exchange markets show that the probability distributions are not Lévy stable, a plausible result since commodity markets have …
This paper investigates the investment behaviour of a large unregulated financial institution (FI) with CARA risk preferences. It shows how the FI optimizes its trading to account for market illiquidity using an extension of the Almgren-Chriss market impact model of multiple risky assets. This expected utility optimiza…
Adapts Gaussian process surrogate evaluation with conformal prediction for better coverage guarantees.
Neural networks trained on natural scenes exhibit Gestalt closure.
A determinantal point process (DPP) is a random process useful for modeling the combinatorial problem of subset selection. In particular, DPPs encourage a random subset Y to contain a diverse set of items selected from a base set Y. For example, we might use a DPP to display a set of news headlines that are relevant to…
We study a minimalist kinetic model for economies. A system of agents with local trading rules display emergent demand behaviour. We examine the resulting wealth distribution to look for non-thermal behaviour. We compare and contrast this model with other similar models.