The study finds a long-term relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.
problem Examining the relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.
method Used unit root and cointegration tests, ARDL cointegration technique, and Toda-Yamamoto causality test.
result There is a long-run relationship with unidirectional causality from Dubai crude oil to US natural gas.
Study shows Bitcoin security tied to mining rewards and prices.
problem Understanding Bitcoin security's dependency on market outcomes.
method Used ARDL approach with daily blockchain and Bitcoin data from 2014-2019.
result Bitcoin security outcomes linked to Bitcoin price and mining rewards.
Study shows oil prices but not COVID-19 cases affect US economic policy uncertainty.
problem Effect of COVID-19 and crude oil prices on US economic policy uncertainty.
method Used ARDL model with daily data from January 21-March 13, 2020.
result Crude oil price dynamics increase US economic policy uncertainty, while COVID-19 cases have mixed effects.
This study analyzes factors affecting China's stock market volatility.
problem Investigating factors influencing China's stock market volatility.
method Used ARDL model and principal component analysis on daily data from 2010-2024.
result Exchange rate and bond yields significantly impact stock market volatility.
Coronavirus impacts oil prices through volatility and direct effects.
problem Impact of coronavirus on oil prices and volatility.
method ARDL estimation controlling for financial volatility and US economic policy uncertainty.
result COVID-19 daily infections have a negative long-term impact on oil prices.
This study examines the interaction between CDS and stock indices, revealing significant short and long-term impacts.
problem Understanding the interaction between Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and national stock indices.
method ARDL technique applied to analyze short and long-run interactions between BIST-100 index and CDS prices over a specific period.
result The study finds that changes in CDS and BIST-100 index prices have significant impacts on each other, with long-term effects being more pronounced.
The study identifies key factors affecting cryptocurrency prices, including market beta, trading volume, and volatility.
problem Understanding the factors influencing cryptocurrency prices and their dynamics over time.
method ARDL technique and error-correction models applied to weekly data of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dash, Litecoin, and Monero from 2010-2018.
result Cryptomarket-related factors are significant determinants of cryptocurrency prices in both short- and long-run, while attractiveness matters only in the long-run.
This paper compares ML models for predicting COVID-19 trends.
problem Forecasting the spread of COVID-19 to reduce its impact.
method Applied ARDL method to identify relationships, then used ML models (SVM, RF, KNN, ANN) for prediction.
result Models accurately forecasted COVID-19 cases with low MAPE.
Study examines remittances in Nepal, linking external demand and domestic monetary conditions.
problem Understanding the dynamics of remittances in Nepal's economy.
method Constructed composite indices via PCA for external demand and domestic monetary conditions. Used ARDL, cointegration, DOLS, ECM, and machine learning for analysis.
result Strong positive long-run effect of external demand on remittances, significant negative impact of tighter domestic monetary conditions.
JFR-rg model explains Japan's stable debt despite high interest rates and low growth.
problem Understanding Japan's stable government debt despite high interest rates and low growth.
method Formalizes financial repression channels through JFR-rg model, incorporating financial repression bias and exchange-rate channel.
result Identifies Normalization Trap and Captive Financial System Parameter, showing debt dynamics under financial repression.
Geometric approach combines asset returns and investor views for better portfolio optimization.
problem Optimizing portfolios with investor-specific views.
method Generalized Wasserstein barycenter (GWB) to integrate statistical asset returns and investor views.
result The geometric approach offers more flexibility and rewards for correct investor views.
Paper proposes an alternative method to price American options using HJM approach.
problem Price American options efficiently and accurately.
method Utilizes HJM technique to model term structure of volatility for equity markets.
result Proposes a new value function, stopping criteria, and stopping time for American options.
We study inference and learning based on a sparse coding model with `spike-and-slab' prior. As in standard sparse coding, the model used assumes independent latent sources that linearly combine to generate data points. However, instead of using a standard sparse prior such as a Laplace distribution, we study the applic…
Quantum machine learning: Adiabatic quantum SVM outperforms classical methods.
problem Training support vector machines efficiently on large datasets.
method Adiabatic quantum computing for SVM training.
result Quantum approach outperforms classical methods in accuracy and scalability.
We develop a semi-analytic approach to the valuation of auto-callable structures with accrual features subject to barrier conditions. Our approach is based on recent studies of multi-assed binaries, present in the literature. We extend these studies to the case of time-dependent parameters. We compare numerically the s…
Two ML approaches learn local volatility surfaces from option prices, with GP being arbitrage-free.
problem Interpolating European vanilla option prices to create a local volatility surface.
method Gaussian process regression and neural net with arbitrage penalties.
result GP approach is arbitrage-free and yields best out-of-sample calibration error.
This paper critiques the Standardized Measurement Approach (SMA) for operational risk and recommends maintaining Advanced Measurement Approach (AMA).
problem Weaknesses and failures of the Standardized Measurement Approach (SMA) in operational risk.
method Critical review and analysis of SMA and AMA approaches.
result SMA is unstable, insensitive to risk, and implicitly related to systemic risk in the banking sector.
Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) using fiber optic cables is a promising new technology for pipeline monitoring and protection. In this work, we applied and compared two approaches for event detection using DAS: Classic machine learning approach and the approach based on image processing and deep learning. Although w…
A new Euclidean approach reveals the pentagram map's beauty.
problem Exploring the pentagram map through classical geometry.
method Introducing an alternative Euclidean approach.
result Demonstrates the pentagram map's elegance through classical geometry.
Two approaches extend knowledge distillation to Gaussian Processes, showing relationships to existing methods.
problem Applying knowledge distillation to Gaussian Processes for regression and classification.
method Data-centric and distribution-centric approaches to extend distillation to GPR and GPC.
result Distribution-centric approach for GPC approximately corresponds to data duplication and scaling.
We discuss the relative merits of optimistic and randomized approaches to exploration in reinforcement learning. Optimistic approaches presented in the literature apply an optimistic boost to the value estimate at each state-action pair and select actions that are greedy with respect to the resulting optimistic value f…
Classical approaches for approximate inference depend on cleverly designed variational distributions and bounds. Modern approaches employ amortized variational inference, which uses a neural network to approximate any posterior without leveraging the structures of the generative models. In this paper, we propose Amorti…
Online boosting method improves weak to strong learner.
problem Online learning of weak to strong learner.
method Extends batch GentleAdaBoost to online approach with line search.
result Online boosting performs better than other methods.
Predicting potential credit default accounts in advance is challenging. Traditional statistical techniques typically cannot handle large amounts of data and the dynamic nature of fraud and humans. To tackle this problem, recent research has focused on artificial and computational intelligence based approaches. In this …
In this paper, we present a new wrapper feature selection approach based on Jensen-Shannon (JS) divergence, termed feature selection with maximum JS-divergence (FSMJ), for text categorization. Unlike most existing feature selection approaches, the proposed FSMJ approach is based on real-valued features which provide mo…
Two new methods for option pricing without or with a riskless asset.
problem Traditional option pricing methods require a riskless asset and may not be market-complete.
method Develops two approaches: one without a riskless asset and one with.
result Both methods produce the same option prices as classical approaches.
An integrated and extendable approach for stress-testing loan portfolios
problem Stress-testing loan portfolios
method Simulate completed portfolios, generate uncertain cash flow history, compute credit risk metrics
result Enhanced stress-testing practices within any bank
Bayesian symbolic regression automates model discovery from data.
problem Learning closed-form mathematical models from data using heuristic methods.
method Probabilistic approach to symbolic regression, connecting to information theory and statistical physics.
result Probabilistic approach provides model plausibility and performance guarantees.
Common Representation Learning (CRL), wherein different descriptions (or views) of the data are embedded in a common subspace, is receiving a lot of attention recently. Two popular paradigms here are Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) based approaches and Autoencoder (AE) based approaches. CCA based approaches learn …
Two approaches detect EV charging patterns at stations.
problem Identify charging patterns at electric vehicle charging stations.
method Two approaches: rule-based and hierarchical clustering.
result Hierarchical clustering revealed unexpected charging patterns.
Recently, Nyström method has proved its prominence empirically and theoretically in speeding up the training of kernel machines while retaining satisfactory performances and accuracy. So far, there are several different approaches proposed to exploit Nyström method in scaling up kernel machines. However, there is no co…
The floating body approach to affine surface area is adapted to a holomorphic context providing an alternate approach to Fefferman's invariant hypersurface measure.
We review classical approaches to the problem of isometrically embedding a Riemannian surface into Euclidean 3-space, including coordinate-based approaches exposited by Darboux and Eisenhart, as well as the moving-frames based approaches advocated by Cartan. In particular, the first approach involves reducing the probl…
Paper evaluates CNN-based facial landmark detection methods.
problem Evaluate characteristics and performance of CNN-based facial landmark detection methods.
method Divided into regression and heatmap approaches, investigated using a hybrid loss function and discrimination network.
result Proposed model outperforms other models in all tested datasets.
This paper provides a comprehensive benchmark and taxonomy for certifiably robust DNN defenses.
problem Certifiably robust defenses against adversarial attacks for deep neural networks.
method Taxonomy and benchmark of certifiably robust approaches.
result First comprehensive benchmark of certifiably robust approaches on different datasets.
Saliency maps are often used in computer vision to provide intuitive interpretations of what input regions a model has used to produce a specific prediction. A number of approaches to saliency map generation are available, but most require access to model parameters. This work proposes an approach for saliency map gene…
VB approach for dynamic network models improves efficiency and accuracy.
problem Estimating dynamic network models in large-scale systems.
method Variational Bayesian inference for network autoregression.
result VB approach detects proper active structures and achieves similar or better accuracy.
New approach for prudent risk evaluation using model aggregation.
problem Risk evaluation and optimization under uncertainty.
method Model Aggregation (MA) approach based on stochastic dominance.
result Produces robust risk evaluation and distributional models.
Study proposes a new approach for deep hedging using artificial market simulations.
problem Challenges in selecting the best model for underlying asset simulations in deep hedging.
method Proposes artificial market simulations to replicate financial market stylized facts.
result Achieves similar performance to traditional approaches without mathematical finance models.
Some of recent developments, including recent results, ideas, techniques, and approaches, in the study of degenerate partial differential equations are surveyed and analyzed. Several examples of nonlinear degenerate, even mixed, partial differential equations, are presented, which arise naturally in some longstanding, …
We compare several approaches to learn an Optimal Map, represented as a neural network, between probability distributions. The approaches fall into two categories: ``Heuristics'' and approaches with a more sound mathematical justification, motivated by the dual of the Kantorovitch problem. Among the algorithms we consi…
This paper examines how optimization methods affect the reliability of detecting inputs outside a model's training distribution.
problem The unreliability of deep neural networks on out-of-distribution inputs.
method Analysis of optimization methods' impact on OOD detection approaches.
result Optimization methods significantly influence the robustness of OOD detection approaches.
Deep Neural Networks have shown tremendous success in the area of object recognition, image classification and natural language processing. However, designing optimal Neural Network architectures that can learn and output arbitrary graphs is an ongoing research problem. The objective of this survey is to summarize and …
In this paper, we propose three approaches for the estimation of the Tucker decomposition of multi-way arrays (tensors) from partial observations. All approaches are formulated as convex minimization problems. Therefore, the minimum is guaranteed to be unique. The proposed approaches can automatically estimate the numb…
Optimal sample complexity analysis for plug-in approach in average-reward MDPs.
problem Learning optimal policies in average-reward MDPs with a generative model.
method Plug-in approach that constructs a model estimate and computes an optimal policy.
result Optimal sample complexities for the plug-in approach without prior knowledge of problem parameters.
We devise a one-shot approach to distributed sparse regression in the high-dimensional setting. The key idea is to average "debiased" or "desparsified" lasso estimators. We show the approach converges at the same rate as the lasso as long as the dataset is not split across too many machines. We also extend the approach…
We introduce a fully stochastic gradient based approach to Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED). Our approach utilizes variational lower bounds on the expected information gain (EIG) of an experiment that can be simultaneously optimized with respect to both the variational and design parameters. This allows the …
Recent success in deep reinforcement learning for continuous control has been dominated by model-free approaches which, unlike model-based approaches, do not suffer from representational limitations in making assumptions about the world dynamics and model errors inevitable in complex domains. However, they require a lo…