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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for ARDL Technique

The study finds a long-term relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.

problem Examining the relationship between Dubai crude oil and US natural gas prices.
method Used unit root and cointegration tests, ARDL cointegration technique, and Toda-Yamamoto causality test.
result There is a long-run relationship with unidirectional causality from Dubai crude oil to US natural gas.

This study examines the interaction between CDS and stock indices, revealing significant short and long-term impacts.

problem Understanding the interaction between Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and national stock indices.
method ARDL technique applied to analyze short and long-run interactions between BIST-100 index and CDS prices over a specific period.
result The study finds that changes in CDS and BIST-100 index prices have significant impacts on each other, with long-term effects being more pronounced.

The study identifies key factors affecting cryptocurrency prices, including market beta, trading volume, and volatility.

problem Understanding the factors influencing cryptocurrency prices and their dynamics over time.
method ARDL technique and error-correction models applied to weekly data of Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dash, Litecoin, and Monero from 2010-2018.
result Cryptomarket-related factors are significant determinants of cryptocurrency prices in both short- and long-run, while attractiveness matters only in the long-run.

Study shows oil prices but not COVID-19 cases affect US economic policy uncertainty.

problem Effect of COVID-19 and crude oil prices on US economic policy uncertainty.
method Used ARDL model with daily data from January 21-March 13, 2020.
result Crude oil price dynamics increase US economic policy uncertainty, while COVID-19 cases have mixed effects.

Study examines remittances in Nepal, linking external demand and domestic monetary conditions.

problem Understanding the dynamics of remittances in Nepal's economy.
method Constructed composite indices via PCA for external demand and domestic monetary conditions. Used ARDL, cointegration, DOLS, ECM, and machine learning for analysis.
result Strong positive long-run effect of external demand on remittances, significant negative impact of tighter domestic monetary conditions.

JFR-rg model explains Japan's stable debt despite high interest rates and low growth.

problem Understanding Japan's stable government debt despite high interest rates and low growth.
method Formalizes financial repression channels through JFR-rg model, incorporating financial repression bias and exchange-rate channel.
result Identifies Normalization Trap and Captive Financial System Parameter, showing debt dynamics under financial repression.

Study finds different active learning techniques better for various learning objectives.

problem Matching active learning techniques to specific learning objectives.
method Survey of students' perceptions and ratings of various techniques.
result Different active learning techniques are best suited for different learning objectives.

Enhanced Bayesian target encoding uses sampling techniques to improve model performance.

problem Improving target encoding for better model performance in machine learning.
method Using sampling techniques in Bayesian target encoding to extract intra-category distribution information.
result Improves generalization and reduces target leakage in machine learning models.

Models obtained by decision tree induction techniques excel in being interpretable.However, they can be prone to overfitting, which results in a low predictive performance. Ensemble techniques are able to achieve a higher accuracy. However, this comes at a cost of losing interpretability of the resulting model. This ma…

2016-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

This review explores resampling techniques for imbalanced binary classification.

problem Imbalanced classes lead to poor prediction results in classification.
method Classical, cost-sensitive, and Neyman-Pearson paradigms with resampling techniques and classification methods.
result Complex dynamics among resampling techniques, base methods, metrics, and imbalance ratios.

Broad adoption of machine learning techniques has increased privacy concerns for models trained on sensitive data such as medical records. Existing techniques for training differentially private (DP) models give rigorous privacy guarantees, but applying these techniques to neural networks can severely degrade model per…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes a black-box technique to generate adversarial samples.

problem Robustness of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to adversarial samples.
method Black-box Momentum Iterative Fast Gradient Sign Method (BMI-FGSM) using Differential Evolution to approximate gradients.
result Achieves high success rates in generating adversarial samples and misclassification.

The pursuit of explaining and improving generalization in deep learning has elicited efforts both in regularization techniques as well as visualization techniques of the loss surface geometry. The latter is related to the intuition prevalent in the community that flatter local optima leads to lower generalization error…

2019-07-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Various stochastic models have been proposed to estimate mortality rates. In this paper we illustrate how machine learning techniques allow us to analyze the quality of such mortality models. In addition, we present how these techniques can be used for differentiating the different causes of death in mortality modeling…

2017-05-07abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper compares traditional econometric and contemporary machine/deep learning techniques for forecasting foreign exchange rates.

problem Accurate prediction of foreign exchange rates for investment purposes.
method Multivariate time series analysis using Vector Auto Regression, Support Vector Machine, and Recurrent Neural Networks.
result Contemporary machine/deep learning techniques outperform traditional econometric methods in forecasting foreign exchange rates.

Screening is an effective technique for speeding up the training process of a sparse learning model by removing the features that are guaranteed to be inactive the process. In this paper, we present a efficient screening technique for sparse support vector machine based on variational inequality. The technique is both …

2013-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Most of the existing studies on voice conversion (VC) are conducted in acoustically matched conditions between source and target signal. However, the robustness of VC methods in presence of mismatch remains unknown. In this paper, we report a comparative analysis of different VC techniques under mismatched conditions. …

2016-12-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We develop a technique for deriving data-dependent error bounds for transductive learning algorithms based on transductive Rademacher complexity. Our technique is based on a novel general error bound for transduction in terms of transductive Rademacher complexity, together with a novel bounding technique for Rademacher…

2014-01-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Here, we propose a clustering technique for general clustering problems including those that have non-convex clusters. For a given desired number of clusters KK, we use three stages to find a clustering. The first stage uses a hybrid clustering technique to produce a series of clusterings of various sizes (randomly se…

2015-03-04abs ↗pdf ↗