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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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18355370 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for AI hallucinations

New framework assesses AI hallucinations in inverse problems.

problem Artificial intelligence can produce incorrect details in imaging problems.
method Theoretical framework and algorithms to estimate and assess hallucinations.
result Developed necessary and sufficient conditions for hallucinations and computable bounds.

Paper estimates AI hallucinations in conditional generation tasks.

problem Estimating the frequency of AI-generated incorrect responses.
method Developed a method to estimate hallucination probability from generated responses and log probabilities.
result Method accurately estimates hallucination rate in natural language and synthetic tasks.

ECLIPSE detects AI hallucinations in finance with high accuracy.

problem Hallucinations in AI-generated answers limit safe deployment in finance.
method Combines entropy estimation and perplexity decomposition to measure model evidence use.
result ECLIPSE achieves ROC AUC of 0.89 and average precision of 0.90 on financial QA dataset.

Benchmark evaluates AI-generated financial QA hallucinations, highlighting system vulnerabilities.

problem Ensuring factual accuracy of AI-generated financial QA outputs.
method Developed a benchmark dataset and evaluated six detection methods under clean and noisy conditions.
result LLM-based judges and embedding methods perform best, but degrade under noisy conditions.

Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.

problem New model risks from Generative AI applications in financial institutions.
method Enhanced model risk framework with additional testing and controls.
result Financial institutions need to enhance their model risk management for Generative AI applications.

ChatGPT selects stocks for investment portfolios, but optimization models improve results.

problem Using AI for investment advice due to model inaccuracies.
method Used ChatGPT to generate a stock universe, then compared various portfolio optimization strategies.
result Combining AI-generated stock selection with advanced optimization models yields better investment outcomes.

Paper proves impossible for large language models to control hallucinations without sacrificing other properties.

problem Achieving truthful knowledge representation, semantic information conservation, and knowledge-constrained optimality simultaneously in large language models.
method Modeling inference as an auction of ideas, using mechanism design, proper scoring rules, and transformer architecture analysis.
result No LLM can simultaneously achieve all four essential properties without violating at least one.

Study finds uncertainty estimators weakly correlate with LLM hallucinations.

problem Characterizing the relationship between uncertainty estimators and LLM hallucinations.
method Systematic empirical study of diverse uncertainty estimators across hallucination types and benchmarks.
result Uncertainty estimators weakly correlate with LLM hallucinations, depending on hallucination type and LLM.

Hallucinations in models are mislinked estimates, not errors.

problem Hallucinations in generative models as failures to link estimates to plausible causes.
method Formalized hallucinations, showed even optimal estimators hallucinate, provided a general lower bound on hallucinate rate, reframed hallucination as structural misalignment, and experimentally supported theory.
result Hallucinations are structural misalignments between loss minimization and human-acceptable outputs, leading to estimation errors.

A new method detects hallucinations in medical image restoration using Fourier Ring Correlation.

problem Detecting hallucinations in DL outputs for medical image restoration.
method sFRC (s(c)can FRC) over small patches of DL outputs and reference images.
result sFRC effectively detects hallucinations in CT and MRI restoration problems.

Work shows hallucination detection by LLMs is impossible without expert feedback.

problem Detecting hallucinations in LLMs is theoretically impossible without expert-labeled feedback.
method Investigated hallucination detection using a theoretical framework inspired by language identification.
result Automated hallucination detection is impossible for most language collections without expert-labeled feedback.

HalluWorld benchmarks hallucinations in language models across diverse tasks.

problem Inconsistent benchmarks of hallucination in language models.
method Explicit reference-world formulation, synthetic and semi-synthetic environments, controlled variation of world complexity.
result Models struggle with perceptual hallucination but not multi-step state tracking.

This paper maps the insurability of AI risks across various insurance products.

problem Emerging AI risks and their implications for insurance coverage.
method Coding 55 AI threat classes against 26 insurance products using public carrier materials and threat catalogs.
result Identification of a four-tier insurability frontier: affirmatively insured, silent-AI exposures, actively excluded, and unstructured perils.

AI needs causal inference to avoid being just a correlation machine.

problem AI's inability to distinguish correlation from causation.
method Develops a unified framework connecting various causal statistical estimators and proves a Statistical Necessity Theorem for causal generalization.
result AI systems without causal grounding are brittle and biased, highlighting the need for causal statistics.

Graph signal processing detects hallucinations in large language models.

problem Detecting factual reasoning from hallucinations in large language models.
method Modeling transformer layers as dynamic graphs, using spectral analysis to define diagnostics.
result Spectral signatures can distinguish different types of hallucinations and achieve high accuracy.

The paper explores fundamental limits of learning non-hallucinating generative models.

problem Hallucinations in generative models producing invalid outputs.
method Developed a theoretical framework to analyze learnability from a learning-theoretic perspective, incorporating inductive biases.
result Non-hallucinating learning is statistically impossible without additional inductive biases.

Paper proposes a method to reduce hallucinations in diffusion models using Laplacian score sharpening.

problem Hallucinations in diffusion models create incoherent or unrealistic samples.
method Post-hoc adjustment to the score function during inference using Laplacian approximation.
result Significantly reduces the rate of hallucinated samples across various data types.

MMD-Flagger detects hallucinations in LLMs by tracking MMD between outputs and temperature-generated counterparts.

problem Detecting hallucinations in large language models.
method Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) to track the difference between model outputs and temperature-generated counterparts.
result MMD-Flagger detects most hallucinations by analyzing the shape of the MMD trajectory.

Auto-CEI improves LLM reasoning by balancing assertiveness and conservativeness.

problem Hallucinations and laziness in LLM reasoning tasks.
method Expert Iteration explores reasoning trajectories, guiding incorrect paths back on track and promoting appropriate 'I don't know' responses.
result Auto-CEI achieves superior alignment in logical reasoning, mathematics, and planning tasks.

Paper introduces SDM for detecting LLM hallucinations, improving on entropy tests.

problem Challenges of Large Language Models (LLMs) with non-factual, nonsensical responses.
method Joint clustering on sentence embeddings to measure semantic divergence between prompts and responses.
result SDM framework detects deeper form of arbitrariness in LLM responses.

HAMBO estimates policy performance by hallucinating worst-case trajectories, providing valid lower bounds.

problem Conservative off-policy evaluation of policies in real-world applications.
method HAMBO hallucinates worst-case trajectories based on learned model uncertainty.
result Valid lower bounds on policy performance, converging to true expected return under regular conditions.

The paper addresses Dyna-style RL's value hallucination issue by proposing a new algorithm.

problem Value hallucination in Dyna-style RL due to bootstrapping simulated states.
method Introduces a new Dyna algorithm using predecessor models with multi-step updates.
result Evidence supports the Hallucinated Value Hypothesis (HVH), suggesting predecessor models with multi-step updates are promising.

OOM-RL uses financial market losses to align AI agents in autonomous systems.

problem Constrained alignment of autonomous software agents in live financial markets.
method Deploying agents in live financial markets to enforce strict test-driven workflows.
result Final OOM-RL-aligned system achieved a stable equilibrium with an annualized Sharpe ratio of 2.06.

Study compares DSPy teleprompter algorithms for aligning LLM evaluations with human annotations.

problem Aligning LLM evaluation metrics with human annotations.
method Comparative analysis of five teleprompter algorithms within the DSPy framework.
result Certain teleprompters outperform others in detecting hallucinations.

New findings show language models can't simultaneously avoid hallucinations and capture all language richness.

problem Achieving both valid output and full language richness in language generation.
method Investigates language generation within a statistical setting, focusing on consistency and breadth.
result For most collections of candidate languages, a language model cannot simultaneously avoid hallucinations and capture all language richness.

This paper evaluates LLMs for technical market analysis, finding GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks.

problem Evaluating LLMs for technical market analysis in financial markets.
method Structured evaluation of five LLMs (GPT-4 Turbo, Claude 3 Opus, Gemini 1.5 Pro, Llama 3 70B, FinGPT) on four tasks: candlestick pattern recognition, directional signal generation, backtesting, and financial report comprehension.
result GPT-4 Turbo and FinGPT outperform passive benchmarks in simulated backtesting, with GPT-4 Turbo achieving the highest annualized return and Sharpe ratio.

We characterize language generation with stability and breadth, proving impossibility results.

problem Characterizing and proving impossibility results for language generation with stability and breadth.
method Analysis of existing notions of breadth and stability, proving lower bounds.
result Proven impossibility of generating with higher perplexity or lower hallucination rate for stable generators.

New method uses LLMs to extract financial insights from Q&A sections of reports.

problem Scalability and accuracy issues in extracting valuable insights from financial report Q&A sections.
method Combines retrieval-augmented generation technique with metadata.
result Empirically demonstrates superior performance of the proposed method.

Generative Score Inference improves uncertainty quantification for multimodal data.

problem Accurate uncertainty quantification in multimodal learning tasks.
method Generative Score Inference (GSI) uses synthetic samples to approximate conditional score distributions.
result GSI achieves state-of-the-art performance in hallucination detection and image captioning uncertainty estimation.

New framework tackles deep financial reporting bottleneck by improving hallucination and coherence.

problem Statistical smoothing trap in LLMs limits deep financial reporting quality.
method DeepNews Framework integrates information foraging, schema-guided planning, and adversarial prompting.
result DeepNews system achieves 25% acceptance rate in blind test, significantly outperforming SOTA.

FactTest assesses LLM factuality with Type I error control.

problem Lack of rigorous factuality verification for LLMs.
method Formulates factuality testing as hypothesis testing, ensuring Type I and II error control.
result Improves model accuracy by over 40% in abstaining from unknown questions.

Proposes H-UCRL for efficient model-based RL with sublinear regret.

problem Greedy policy exploration in model-based RL ignores epistemic uncertainty.
method Reparameterizes plausible models, hallucinates control, augments input space, solves with greedy planners.
result H-UCRL achieves provably sublinear regret for Gaussian Process models.

Transformer architecture struggles with complex tasks due to limitations in function composition.

problem Transformer architecture's limitations in handling complex tasks.
method Used Communication Complexity to prove limitations in composing functions.
result Transformer layer is incapable of handling large domain functions, even when domains are small.