Survey examines agentic AI in finance, highlighting its autonomy and challenges.
problem Autonomous AI systems in finance and their implications.
method Systematic review of research, technical architectures, market applications, and governance frameworks.
result Agentic AI offers enhanced market efficiency but introduces new risks.
AI stocks hedge against AI singularity's economic impact.
problem AI singularity's displacement of consumption.
method Developed an asset pricing model with incomplete markets.
result AI stocks command a premium due to market incompleteness.
AI simplifies trading strategies, potentially making markets more efficient.
problem Efficient market hypothesis (EMH) relies on traders optimising trading strategies based on information.
method Generalised notion of market efficiency, distinguishing model complexity through investor beliefs and trading strategies.
result Increased availability of low-cost AI systems may push towards more advanced trading strategies, potentially harder for inefficient traders.
New method handles missing data using AI for efficient inference.
problem Parameter estimation and inference with blockwise missing data.
method Tractable solution using AI models and semiparametric theory.
result IBM(RAY) and IBM(Adaptive) estimators achieve efficiency gains.
CR-AIS improves AIS efficiency by constant rate annealing.
problem Efficiently sample from intractable distributions.
method Constant rate annealing schedule for AIS.
result CR-AIS outperforms existing Adaptive AIS methods.
AI methods are energy-intensive, but efficiency alone isn't enough for sustainability.
problem AI methods are energy-intensive and contribute to climate change.
method Critically examines the limitations of efficiency in improving environmental sustainability of AI.
result Efficiency alone is insufficient to address the environmental impacts of AI.
AI threatens financial stability through misuse and stealth adoption.
problem Misuse and stealth adoption of AI in financial regulations.
method Analysis of AI's potential risks and criteria for AI suitability.
result AI will likely become widely used by stealth, affecting high-level financial functions.
mAIS improves free energy evaluation efficiency.
problem Computational infeasibility of exact free energy evaluation.
method mAIS, a marginalized version of AIS.
result mAIS is more efficient under certain conditions.
AI progress measured by reduced compute needed to reach past performance.
problem Quantifying algorithmic progress in AI.
method Analysis of floating-point operations required to train neural networks.
result Algorithmic efficiency doubled every 16 months over 7 years.
AI enhances financial services but humans are irreplaceable for empathy, presence, and ethics.
problem AI's limitations in financial services, especially with small datasets and human judgment.
method EPOCH framework highlighting five irreplaceable human capabilities: Empathy, Presence, Opinion, Creativity, and Hope.
result Humans are essential for trust, innovation, and consumer experience in financial services.
Deep neural networks (DNNs) are vulnerable to adversarial examples, which are crafted by adding imperceptible perturbations to inputs. Recently different attacks and strategies have been proposed, but how to generate adversarial examples perceptually realistic and more efficiently remains unsolved. This paper proposes …
AI boosts study of rare weather extremes with lower costs.
problem Difficulty in studying rare weather events due to limited data and models.
method Coupling AI forecasts with physics models using rare-event algorithms.
result Efficiently characterizes very rare events like once-per-millennium heatwaves.
AI-driven investment strategies self-defeat at scale due to signal crowding and erosion.
problem Excess returns from AI-driven investment strategies diminish at scale due to signal crowding and erosion.
method Theoretical model and empirical validation using SEC Form 13F filings and hedge fund return dynamics.
result The alpha half-life of signals decreases significantly with AI adoption, leading to diminishing returns.
The paper uses XAI to predict RFQ fulfillment accuracy.
problem Improving accuracy in predicting RFQ fulfillment for less liquid asset classes.
method Advanced algorithms like Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, and Bayesian Neural Tree.
result Improved accuracy in RFQ fill rate predictions.
In a world of global trading, maritime safety, security and efficiency are crucial issues. We propose a multi-task deep learning framework for vessel monitoring using Automatic Identification System (AIS) data streams. We combine recurrent neural networks with latent variable modeling and an embedding of AIS messages t…
New AI model improves grid planning efficiency and reliability.
problem Improving distribution grid planning with AI for energy sustainability.
method Hyperstructures Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (Hyper-GCNNs) with attention mechanism.
result Hyper-GCNNs outperforms existing models in computational efficiency and accuracy.
Develops methods to correct bias in AI feedback for more accurate alignment.
problem Systematic bias in AI feedback compared to human labels.
method Two debiased alignment methods: DDPO and DIPO.
result Methods improve alignment efficiency and performance close to human-labeled data.
ProEval efficiently estimates AI performance and discovers failures using pre-trained Gaussian Processes.
problem Resource-intensive evaluation of generative AI models.
method ProEval uses pre-trained Gaussian Processes and Bayesian quadrature to estimate performance and discover failures.
result ProEval requires significantly fewer samples to achieve accurate performance estimates and reveals more diverse failure cases.
Do-AIQ framework evaluates AI algorithms' quality using DOE.
problem Quality evaluation of AI mislabel detection algorithms.
method Design-of-experiment approach with high-dimensional constraint space design and surrogate modeling.
result Established framework for evaluating AI algorithm quality robustly.
Paper tackles hidden game problem in AI alignment and language games.
problem Hidden game problem in AI alignment and language games.
method Developed a composition of regret minimization techniques to discover and exploit hidden structures.
result Achieved optimal external and swap regret bounds for rapid convergence to correlated equilibria.
CoCoPIE shows AI can run on regular devices without special hardware.
problem Real-time AI on mobile devices without special hardware.
method Compression-compiler co-design using CoCoPIE framework.
result Real-time AI applications on off-the-shelf mobile devices.
Experiment shows cognitive biases impact human-AI collaboration, highlighting the need for diverse evaluator samples.
problem Cognitive biases affect human-AI collaboration, leading to suboptimal outcomes.
method Randomized experiment with 2,784 participants, manipulating AI suggestion quality, task burden, and financial incentives.
result Individual attitudes toward AI are the strongest predictor of performance, influencing accuracy and overcorrection.
Optimizes AI learning with limited human feedback budgets.
problem Optimizing allocation of a fixed annotation budget for AI learning.
method Preference-Calibrated Active Learning (PCAL) using semi-parametric inference.
result Proves asymptotic optimality and robustness of the PCAL estimator.
RestoreAI predicts landmine risk from patterns, improving clearance efficiency.
problem Predicting landmine risk from spatial patterns to enhance clearance efficiency.
method RestoreAI uses landmine patterns for risk prediction, implementing three deminers: linear, curved, and Bayesian.
result RestoreAI significantly boosts clearance efficiency, achieving a 14.37 percentage point increase in cleared landmines per timestep.
Generative Augmented Inference improves AI-generated data for causal inference.
problem Challenges in using AI-generated annotations for reliable causal inference.
method Generative Augmented Inference (GAI) treats AI outputs as informative features for learning true labels, flexibly modeling the relationship using nonparametric methods.
result GAI significantly reduces estimation error and improves confidence interval quality compared to human-only and PPI-based methods.
Paper develops framework for AI agents in financial markets.
problem Systemic implications of AI in finance depend on agent architectures.
method Four-layer architecture and AFMM model for analysis.
result AI agents can improve market efficiency and resilience.
CoE modularizes LLMs for scalable, cost-effective AI systems.
problem Challenges in scalability, cost, and customization of monolithic LLMs.
method Composition of Experts (CoE) leverages multiple expert LLMs with a router for dynamic selection.
result CoE achieves superior performance with reduced computational overhead and cost.
Financial institutions face new model risks with AI, requiring enhanced model risk management.
problem New model risks from Generative AI applications in financial institutions.
method Enhanced model risk framework with additional testing and controls.
result Financial institutions need to enhance their model risk management for Generative AI applications.
This paper introduces Probability Engineering to improve deep learning models.
problem Challenges in traditional probabilistic modeling for AI applications.
method Treats learned probability distributions as engineering artifacts and actively modifies them.
result Improves robustness, efficiency, adaptability, and trustworthiness of deep learning models.
Sparsity helps reduce diffusion model costs.
problem High computational costs in diffusion models.
method Introduced sparsity concept to reduce input dimensionality.
result Sparsity reduces computational complexity to intrinsic data dimension.
DAIS improves AIS by resampling, avoiding gradient issues.
problem Low effective sample size in DAIS.
method DAIS with resampling step to improve efficiency.
result Resampling step avoids gradient variance issues.
Examines AI regulation in finance, highlighting risks and gaps in current laws.
problem Rapid AI adoption in finance introduces risks and compliance challenges.
method Reviews current legislation, industry guidelines, and real-world use cases.
result Need for adaptive, technology-neutral policies to balance innovation and consumer protection.
Optimal allocation of human effort to correct AI assessments in decision-making.
problem How to allocate costly human effort to correct noisy or biased AI-generated assessments.
method Decision-theoretic framework treating AI assessments as signals and human judgments as costly information. Developed estimation procedures under nonparametric and linear models.
result Our approach substantially outperforms LLM-only predictions and achieves performance comparable to full human review while using only 20-30% of the human information.
Optimizes AIS hyperparameters for efficient marginal likelihood estimation.
problem Limited computation budget affects AIS performance.
method Flexible intermediary distributions defined by residual density, parameter sharing, and fix linear schedule.
result Optimized-Path AIS reduces sampling iterations and improves performance.
Method curates cost-effective, high-quality datasets using AI models.
problem Costly manual labeling of datasets.
method Probably Approximately Correct Labels (PACL) method.
result Curates high-quality datasets with low overall labeling error.
Tensor logic aims to unify AI types with scalable and transparent features.
problem Lack of a unified AI programming language with scalability and transparency.
method Introduces tensor logic, a new AI language based on tensor equations.
result Tensor logic enables key AI forms like transformers, formal reasoning, and graphical models.
We study the problem of designing AI agents that can robustly cooperate with people in human-machine partnerships. Our work is inspired by real-life scenarios in which an AI agent, e.g., a virtual assistant, has to cooperate with new users after its deployment. We model this problem via a parametric MDP framework where…
ALPODS AI diagnoses high-dimensional biomedical data with human-understandable explanations.
problem AI decisions in high-dimensional biomedical data are not explainable to humans.
method ALPODS method classifies data based on clusters and generates fuzzy reasoning rules.
result ALPODS provides understandable explanations for AI diagnoses.
Paper examines Go AI robustness against adversarial attacks.
problem Superhuman Go AIs are vulnerable to simple adversarial strategies.
method Three defenses tested: adversarial training, iterated adversarial training, and changing network architecture.
result No defense is robust against newly trained adversaries, and attacks are similar to cyclic attacks.
Humans increasingly interact with Artificial intelligence(AI) systems. AI systems are optimized for objectives such as minimum computation or minimum error rate in recognizing and interpreting inputs from humans. In contrast, inputs created by humans are often treated as a given. We investigate how inputs of humans can…
AI platforms disrupt investment by personalizing deal sourcing and insights.
problem Lack of scalable, personalized, and privacy-compliant deal sourcing and insights solutions.
method Development of in-house AI platforms that interact directly with funds and learn from interactions.
result AI platforms provide smarter, personalized use cases for funds, offering a competitive advantage.
Paper detects bias in AI medical models using CART.
problem Ensuring fairness in AI medical decision support systems.
method Uses Classification and Regression Trees (CART) algorithm to identify bias.
result Validated the CART approach in both synthetic and real-world data.
U-Cast simplifies AI weather forecasting with a standard U-Net and efficient training.
problem Complex AI models limit accessibility and cost for weather forecasting.
method Simple U-Net backbone, deterministic pre-training, and probabilistic fine-tuning with Monte Carlo Dropout.
result U-Cast matches or exceeds state-of-the-art models in accuracy while reducing training and inference costs.
A new AI framework optimizes expert labeling of unlabeled data.
problem Efficiently labeling unlabeled data for AI systems.
method Human-in-the-loop active learning framework with innovative query schemes.
result Higher accuracy and lower loss compared to other methods.
Generative AI predicts Arctic sea ice dynamics over decades.
problem Reproducing realistic sea ice dynamics from days to decades is computationally challenging.
method Introduced GenSIM, a generative AI model trained on 20 years of sea-ice-ocean simulation data.
result Generative AI predicts realistic sea ice evolution for 30 years, capturing long-term trends and physical consistency.
Designing AI market for content creation
problem Balancing technological progress and individual incentives for content creation
method Dynamic Stackelberg game model
result Inducing greater reliance on AI-assisted creation
Paper proposes a new AI design philosophy for distributed learning.
problem Designing AI systems that mimic human cognitive capabilities.
method Democratized learning (Dem-AI) with self-organized hierarchical agents.
result Self-organized learning systems can perform complex tasks more efficiently.
We study adaptive importance sampling (AIS) as an online learning problem and argue for the importance of the trade-off between exploration and exploitation in this adaptation. Borrowing ideas from the bandits literature, we propose Daisee, a partition-based AIS algorithm. We further introduce a notion of regret for AI…