A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Identifying patients who will be discharged within 24 hours can improve hospital resource management and quality of care. We studied this problem using eight years of Electronic Health Records (EHR) data from Stanford Hospital. We fit models to predict 24 hour discharge across the entire inpatient population. The best …
Interpretation of electroencephalogram (EEG) signals can be complicated by obfuscating artifacts. Artifact detection plays an important role in the observation and analysis of EEG signals. Spatial information contained in the placement of the electrodes can be exploited to accurately detect artifacts. However, when few…
Investigations have been performed into using clustering methods in data mining time-series data from smart meters. The problem is to identify patterns and trends in energy usage profiles of commercial and industrial customers over 24-hour periods, and group similar profiles. We tested our method on energy usage data p…
We define a methodology to quantify market activity on a 24 hour basis by defining a scale, the so-called scale of market quakes (SMQ). The SMQ is designed within a framework where we analyse the dynamics of excess price moves from one directional change of price to the next. We use the SMQ to quantify the FX market an…
Revises precision-recall curves for generative models.
problem Improves evaluation of generative models by distinguishing mode-collapse and quality issues.
method Generalizes PR curve formulation to arbitrary measures, exposes a bridge to error rates, proposes a new algorithm to approximate precision-recall curves.
result Demonstrates the interest of the new formulation over the original approach on multi-modal datasets.
For information retrieval and binary classification, we show that precision at the top (or precision at k) and recall at the top (or recall at k) are maximised by thresholding the posterior probability of the positive class. This finding is a consequence of a result on constrained minimisation of the cost-sensitive exp…
The optimal ranking score between precision and recall is rarely F1 and can be found using specific methods.
problem Finding a meaningful and optimal compromise between precision and recall scores.
method Established a shortest path between precision- and recall-induced rankings, framed the problem as an optimization problem, and provided theoretical tools to find the optimal β.
result F1 and its skew-insensitive version are not optimal tradeoffs between precision and recall scores.
Improves interpretability of neural network intermediate layers by making concept activations more robust and effective.
problem Challenges in interpreting neural network decisions and learning in intermediate layers due to opacity and shared interactions.
method Proposes A-CAV to increase effectiveness and employs Gram-Schmidt process to improve robustness.
result Significant improvement in recall rate of concept images from 18.35% to 76.83% for VGG16, with reduced variance in recall across different random seeds.
The local Hurst exponent, a measure employed to detect the presence of dependence in a time series, may also be used to investigate the source of intraday variation observed in the returns in foreign exchange markets. Given that changes in the local Hurst exponent may be due to either a time-varying range, or standard …
Evaluation often aims to reduce the correctness or error characteristics of a system down to a single number, but that always involves trade-offs. Another way of dealing with this is to quote two numbers, such as Recall and Precision, or Sensitivity and Specificity. But it can also be useful to see more than this, and …
Differential equations can be used to construct predictive models of a diverse set of real-world phenomena like heat transfer, predator-prey interactions, and missile tracking. In our work, we explore one particular application of stochastic differential equations, the Black-Scholes-Merton model, which can be used to p…
Deep neural networks continue to show improved performance with increasing depth, an encouraging trend that implies an explosion in the possible permutations of network architectures and hyperparameters for which there is little intuitive guidance. To address this increasing complexity, we propose Evolutionary DEep Net…
We analyze a model of learning and belief formation in networks in which agents follow Bayes rule yet they do not recall their history of past observations and cannot reason about how other agents' beliefs are formed. They do so by making rational inferences about their observations which include a sequence of independ…