Estimating the Stochastic Discount Factor from Option Prices and Predicting the Equity Premiumq-fin.MF
The paper proposes a new SDF scaled by time-varying volatility from S&P 500 options.
problem Estimating the SDF from option prices and predicting the equity premium.
method Utilizes S&P 500 options data to recover a stable, non-monotonic SDF.
result The SDF exhibits a hump on the put side, which transitions into a W-shape with maturity.