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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,738 papers · 148 categories

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3877115153 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for zero-shot uncertainty

Study evaluates ensemble methods for zero-shot uncertainty quantification with diffusion models.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in zero-shot regression problems using diffusion models.
method Used diffusion probabilistic models for ensemble prediction and evaluated their effectiveness on various regression tasks.
result Ensemble methods consistently improve model prediction accuracy across different regression tasks.

Paper explores using LLMs for zero-shot reinforcement learning in continuous spaces.

problem Leveraging LLMs for continuous state spaces in reinforcement learning.
method Disentangled In-Context Learning (DICL) to handle multivariate data and control signal.
result DICL produces well-calibrated uncertainty estimates in reinforcement learning settings.

Generative model learns functional vector fields for pharmacokinetics.

problem Generating accurate virtual cohorts and forecasting patient trajectories without manual tuning.
method Prior-Fitted Functional Flows model, learning functional vector fields conditioned on sparse, irregular data.
result State-of-the-art predictive accuracy on real-world datasets.

A method for estimating signal distributions from inverse problems using normalizing flows.

problem Estimating the distribution of the underlying signal from observations in inverse problems.
method A framework for approximate inference on a pre-trained unconditional flow model, using a composition of two flow models for stable variational inference.
result Our method produces high-quality samples with uncertainty quantification and can be amortized for zero-shot inference.

URL benchmark evaluates uncertainty quantification in pretrained models.

problem Need for reliable uncertainty estimates in transferable pretrained models.
method Proposes URL benchmark to measure transferability of representations and uncertainty estimates.
result Transferable uncertainty quantification remains challenging but not contradictory to traditional goals.

Paper proposes redundancy-free features for zero-shot object recognition.

problem Redundant visual features degrade zero-shot object recognition.
method Project original features into a new, statistically independent space.
result RFF-GZSL achieves competitive results on benchmark datasets.

Study shows zero-shot super-resolution in neural operators is impossible in many cases.

problem Understanding the theoretical limits of zero-shot super-resolution in neural operators.
method Systematic theoretical study including information-theoretic and generalization bounds analysis.
result Zero-shot super-resolution is information-theoretically impossible in many settings.

Aggregates diverse zero-shot LLM outputs for better corporate disclosure classification.

problem Combining varied zero-shot LLM predictions for improved stock return prediction.
method Multi-prompt framework with three fixed zero-shot LLM classifiers, logistic meta-classifier aggregation.
result Aggregated model outperforms single classifiers and baseline models, increasing balanced accuracy from 0.566 to 0.606.

Generalization and reliability of multilingual translation often highly depend on the amount of available parallel data for each language pair of interest. In this paper, we focus on zero-shot generalization---a challenging setup that tests models on translation directions they have not been optimized for at training t…

2019-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepONet accelerates reliability analysis of stochastic nonlinear systems.

problem Time-dependent reliability analysis of systems with stochastic forcing.
method DeepONet, a novel operator network, learns function-to-function mappings.
result DeepONet efficiently and accurately predicts system responses.

Paper improves zero-shot protein stability prediction by clarifying free-energy foundations.

problem Improving zero-shot protein stability prediction using inverse folding models.
method Clarifying the free-energy foundations of inverse folding models and proposing better estimates of relative stability.
result Significant gains in zero-shot performance can be achieved with simple methods.

Study uses zero-shot models to forecast mortality rates globally.

problem Forecasting mortality rates without task-specific fine-tuning.
method Two state-of-the-art foundation models (TimesFM and CHRONOS) and traditional/machine learning methods were evaluated.
result CHRONOS outperformed traditional methods for shorter-term forecasts, but TimesFM consistently underperformed.

ProbFM provides principled uncertainty quantification for financial forecasting.

problem Lack of principled uncertainty quantification in financial applications.
method Probabilistic Time Series Foundation Model with Uncertainty Decomposition using Deep Evidential Regression (DER).
result DER maintains competitive forecasting accuracy while providing explicit epistemic-aleatoric uncertainty decomposition.

Paper tackles zero-shot activity recognition using video features and text embeddings.

problem Zero-shot activity recognition with videos.
method Auto-encoder model for multimodal joint embedding, 3D convolutional action recognition for visual features, GloVe word embeddings for textual features.
result Improved zero-shot recognition results with top-n accuracy and mean Nearest Neighbor Overlap.

We address the problem of learning fine-grained cross-modal representations. We propose an instance-based deep metric learning approach in joint visual and textual space. The key novelty of this paper is that it shows that using per-image semantic supervision leads to substantial improvement in zero-shot performance ov…

2019-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

ZegOT uses optimal transport to zero-shot segment images with text prompts.

problem Zero-shot semantic segmentation with limited image-text alignment knowledge.
method ZegOT uses optimal transport to match multiple text prompts with frozen image embeddings.
result ZegOT achieves state-of-the-art performance in zero-shot semantic segmentation.

Paper introduces CRP-O framework for uncertainty quantification in deep operators.

problem Uncertainty quantification in energy-efficient deep learning algorithms, especially in SNNs.
method CRP-O framework using RP networks and SCP, with Gaussian Process Regression for super-resolution.
result Enhanced uncertainty bounds improve UQ estimates compared to existing methods.

Dissertation tackles zero-shot anomaly detection, focusing on consistent anomalies and proposing CoDeGraph framework.

problem Consistent anomalies bias distance-based zero-shot anomaly detection methods.
method Formalized consistent anomalies, identified similarity scaling and neighbor-burnout phenomena, introduced CoDeGraph framework.
result CoDeGraph effectively suppresses consistent anomalies in zero-shot anomaly detection.

This work improves fairness in federated learning by using zero-shot data augmentation.

problem Statistical heterogeneity leads to biased and less uniform accuracy across clients in federated learning.
method Proposes a federated learning system with zero-shot data augmentation to mitigate statistical heterogeneity and improve fairness.
result Empirical results show improved test accuracy and fairness across clients.

M2M tackles zero-shot structured noise suppression in images.

problem Structured noise with strong anisotropic correlations in real-world images.
method M2M introduces a novel sampling strategy that generates pseudo-independent sub-image pairs from a single noisy input, using directional interpolation and generalized median filtering.
result M2M consistently outperforms state-of-the-art zero-shot methods under correlated noise.

CLIP learns joint image-text representations for zero-shot learning.

problem Understanding and improving zero-shot transfer performance in CLIP.
method Formal study of transferrable representation learning and analysis of zero-shot transfer performance.
result Proposes a new CLIP-type approach that outperforms existing methods.

A scalable framework selects top factors from CAE latent factors for better portfolio optimization.

problem Limited latent factor dimension in CAE models degrades performance.
method Couple high-dimensional CAE with uncertainty-aware factor selection.
result Pruning strategy delivers substantial gains in risk-adjusted performance.

Zero-shot understanding of accidents from surveillance videos using vision-language models

problem Accident understanding from surveillance videos
method Three-stage pipeline with vision-language similarity, metadata-driven multi-prompt reasoning, and entropy-gated pairwise adjudicator
result Substantial improvement in harmonic-mean score over baseline

With the recent renaissance of deep convolution neural networks, encouraging breakthroughs have been achieved on the supervised recognition tasks, where each class has sufficient training data and fully annotated training data. However, to scale the recognition to a large number of classes with few or now training samp…

2017-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Zero-shot contrastive loss improves text-guided image style transfer without extra training.

problem Stochastic nature of diffusion models leads to trade-offs between style transformation and content preservation.
method Proposes a zero-shot contrastive loss for diffusion models that doesn't require additional fine-tuning or auxiliary networks.
result Method outperforms existing methods while preserving content and requiring no additional training.

Faster ZSL with continual learning and self-gating.

problem Generalizing models to unseen categories and handling sequential data.
method Meta-continual zero-shot learning (MCZSL) with self-gating and scaled class normalization.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art results with faster training (>100imes>100 imes).

SURGIN uses generative models to infer subsurface flow data efficiently.

problem Inefficient and task-specific inversion methods for subsurface multiphase flow.
method SURGIN integrates U-FNO surrogate with SGM for zero-shot conditional generation.
result Decent inference of heterogeneous geological fields and flow dynamics with uncertainty quantification.

OTSeg uses multi-prompt Sinkhorn attention to improve zero-shot semantic segmentation.

problem Leveraging pre-trained CLIP knowledge to align text embeddings with pixel embeddings.
method OTSeg employs Multi-Prompts Sinkhorn (MPS) and Multi-Prompts Sinkhorn Attention (MPSA) to enhance semantic feature matching.
result OTSeg achieves state-of-the-art performance in zero-shot semantic segmentation tasks.

Paper tackles target shift in zero-shot learning using adversarial learning.

problem Target shift in zero-shot learning leads to performance degradation.
method Estimates target shift using class-attribute mapping and applies grouped adversarial learning.
result Improves zero-shot learning performance on multiple datasets.

Despite the advancement of supervised image recognition algorithms, their dependence on the availability of labeled data and the rapid expansion of image categories raise the significant challenge of zero-shot learning. Zero-shot learning (ZSL) aims to transfer knowledge from labeled classes into unlabeled classes to r…

2018-05-18abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper addresses score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.

problem Theoretical guarantees for score-mismatched diffusion models in zero-shot conditional sampling.
method Theoretical analysis of score-mismatched diffusion models and zero-shot conditional samplers.
result Theoretical performance guarantees with explicit dimensional dependencies for score-mismatched diffusion samplers.

A new framework reduces inconsistencies in chaotic surrogate modeling.

problem Consistency issues between probabilistic objectives and dynamical system dynamics.
method KAFFEE (Kalman-Aware Framework For Ergodic Emulation), a differentiable extended Kalman filter.
result KAFFEE mitigates the dynamic-probabilistic consistency gap, improving reconstruction and predictive scores.

TempoPFN models for zero-shot time series forecasting using synthetic data.

problem Efficient long-horizon prediction and reproducibility in zero-shot time series forecasting.
method Linear RNNs pre-trained on synthetic data with GatedDeltaProduct architecture and state-weaving.
result Achieves top-tier competitive performance on various benchmarks.

ZeroSCROLLS benchmarks zero-shot natural language understanding over long texts.

problem Evaluate natural language understanding models over long texts without training data.
method Adapt six tasks from SCROLLS benchmark and add four new datasets, including novel aggregation tasks.
result Claude outperforms ChatGPT, and GPT-4 achieves highest average score.

ZSL-KG learns class representations from common sense knowledge graphs.

problem Predicting classes without labeled examples using semantic class representations.
method TrGCN, a novel transformer graph convolutional network, embeds nodes from common sense knowledge graphs in a vector space.
result ZSL-KG improves over existing methods on five out of six zero-shot benchmark datasets.