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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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3468101135 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for zero-shot rule extrapolation

New research shows LLMs can't be explained by statistical generalization alone.

problem Understanding why large language models (LLMs) perform well despite statistical generalization limitations.
method Examined the non-identifiability of AR probabilistic models and their implications for LLMs.
result Non-identifiability of LLMs leads to different behaviors and requires a separate theoretical explanation.

Study shows LLMs can extrapolate rules from out-of-distribution prompts.

problem Understanding LLMs' ability to generalize from unexpected inputs.
method Formal languages and rule-based scenarios to evaluate LLMs' OOD behavior.
result LLMs can extrapolate rules from out-of-distribution prompts, even in complex scenarios.

Paper tackles multi-object reinforcement learning, improving skill extrapolation.

problem Learning robust manipulation tasks in multi-object settings.
method Introduces a linear relation network module to enhance skill generalization.
result Agents can extrapolate and generalize to any new object number, scaling linearly.

pRSL combines probabilistic rules to improve multi-label classification.

problem Modeling the structure between multi-label classes for better performance.
method Uses probabilistic propositional logic rules and belief propagation to combine predictions from multiple classifiers.
result pRSL achieves state-of-the-art performance on various benchmark datasets.

Wittgenstein's Rule Following evolves datasets by extrapolating structural descriptors.

problem Generating meaningful continuations of evolving datasets.
method Wittgenstein's Rule Following (WRF) uses structural descriptors to extrapolate trajectories and average historical descriptors.
result WRF can generate meaningful continuations of evolving datasets.

Neural networks struggle with TSP beyond small instances, requiring new approaches.

problem Neural networks struggle to generalize to larger instances of the TSP.
method Unified pipeline to identify inductive biases and promote generalization.
result Zero-shot generalization requires rethinking neural combinatorial optimization.

Convex sparsity-inducing regularizations are ubiquitous in high-dimensional machine learning, but solving the resulting optimization problems can be slow. To accelerate solvers, state-of-the-art approaches consist in reducing the size of the optimization problem at hand. In the context of regression, this can be achiev…

2018-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

The generalization properties of Gaussian processes depend heavily on the choice of kernel, and this choice remains a dark art. We present the Neural Kernel Network (NKN), a flexible family of kernels represented by a neural network. The NKN architecture is based on the composition rules for kernels, so that each unit …

2018-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Martingale Doppelgänger-Eval benchmarks VLMs on candlestick evidence vs. trend extrapolation

problem Auditing whether VLMs use chart evidence or trend extrapolation
method Proving formal limitations and designing controlled mechanisms
result Identifying regression coefficients for evidence vs. trend

Paper proposes redundancy-free features for zero-shot object recognition.

problem Redundant visual features degrade zero-shot object recognition.
method Project original features into a new, statistically independent space.
result RFF-GZSL achieves competitive results on benchmark datasets.

Neural production systems learn visual dynamics by applying rule templates to entities.

problem Modeling interactions among entities in structured visual environments.
method Inspired by production systems, the paper uses rule templates to bind placeholder variables to specific entities, scoring and applying the best fitting rules to update entity properties.
result The architecture achieves robust future-state prediction and extrapolation from simple to complex environments, outperforming GNNs.

Study shows zero-shot super-resolution in neural operators is impossible in many cases.

problem Understanding the theoretical limits of zero-shot super-resolution in neural operators.
method Systematic theoretical study including information-theoretic and generalization bounds analysis.
result Zero-shot super-resolution is information-theoretically impossible in many settings.

RTE enables extrapolation to new tasks by learning task transformations.

problem Learning systems struggle to generalize to unseen tasks.
method Relational Task Extrapolator (RTE) learns task transformations to enable extrapolation.
result RTE substantially outperforms existing approaches on extrapolation tasks.

The ability to explain decisions made by AI systems is highly sought after, especially in domains where human lives are at stake such as medicine or autonomous vehicles. While it is often possible to approximate the input-output relations of deep neural networks with a few human-understandable rules, the discovery of t…

2020-02-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We extend nonparametric models to handle extrapolation, providing bounds for inference.

problem Challenges in nonparametric statistical inference when evaluating outside the conditioning variable's support.
method Introduced a class of extrapolation assumptions and a consistent estimation procedure to handle extrapolation.
result Validated extrapolation-aware conclusions through various applications and real-world data.

Aggregates diverse zero-shot LLM outputs for better corporate disclosure classification.

problem Combining varied zero-shot LLM predictions for improved stock return prediction.
method Multi-prompt framework with three fixed zero-shot LLM classifiers, logistic meta-classifier aggregation.
result Aggregated model outperforms single classifiers and baseline models, increasing balanced accuracy from 0.566 to 0.606.

Generalization and reliability of multilingual translation often highly depend on the amount of available parallel data for each language pair of interest. In this paper, we focus on zero-shot generalization---a challenging setup that tests models on translation directions they have not been optimized for at training t…

2019-04-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper improves zero-shot protein stability prediction by clarifying free-energy foundations.

problem Improving zero-shot protein stability prediction using inverse folding models.
method Clarifying the free-energy foundations of inverse folding models and proposing better estimates of relative stability.
result Significant gains in zero-shot performance can be achieved with simple methods.

Study uses zero-shot models to forecast mortality rates globally.

problem Forecasting mortality rates without task-specific fine-tuning.
method Two state-of-the-art foundation models (TimesFM and CHRONOS) and traditional/machine learning methods were evaluated.
result CHRONOS outperformed traditional methods for shorter-term forecasts, but TimesFM consistently underperformed.

We address the problem of learning fine-grained cross-modal representations. We propose an instance-based deep metric learning approach in joint visual and textual space. The key novelty of this paper is that it shows that using per-image semantic supervision leads to substantial improvement in zero-shot performance ov…

2019-05-31abs ↗pdf ↗

ZegOT uses optimal transport to zero-shot segment images with text prompts.

problem Zero-shot semantic segmentation with limited image-text alignment knowledge.
method ZegOT uses optimal transport to match multiple text prompts with frozen image embeddings.
result ZegOT achieves state-of-the-art performance in zero-shot semantic segmentation.

Method controls extrapolation in prediction profiles for statistical and machine learning models.

problem Avoiding invalid predictions due to extrapolation in prediction profiles.
method Genetic algorithm optimization over constrained factor regions.
result Optimal factor settings without constraint are often invalid and extrapolated.

Neural networks struggle with extrapolation, but a new framework allows them to learn counterfactual invariances.

problem Neural networks' inability to extrapolate beyond training data distribution.
method Introduces a learning framework that allows neural networks to extrapolate over group transformations based on counterfactual invariances.
result Neural networks can learn counterfactual invariances from a single environment, overcoming their limitations in extrapolation.

Dissertation tackles zero-shot anomaly detection, focusing on consistent anomalies and proposing CoDeGraph framework.

problem Consistent anomalies bias distance-based zero-shot anomaly detection methods.
method Formalized consistent anomalies, identified similarity scaling and neighbor-burnout phenomena, introduced CoDeGraph framework.
result CoDeGraph effectively suppresses consistent anomalies in zero-shot anomaly detection.

New method optimizes language model performance for test-time strategies.

problem Mismatch between training objectives and test-time deployment of large language models.
method Tail-Extrapolated estimators to approximate best-of-N performance from limited training rollouts.
result Improved performance of best-of-N deployment across various models and datasets.

This work improves fairness in federated learning by using zero-shot data augmentation.

problem Statistical heterogeneity leads to biased and less uniform accuracy across clients in federated learning.
method Proposes a federated learning system with zero-shot data augmentation to mitigate statistical heterogeneity and improve fairness.
result Empirical results show improved test accuracy and fairness across clients.

M2M tackles zero-shot structured noise suppression in images.

problem Structured noise with strong anisotropic correlations in real-world images.
method M2M introduces a novel sampling strategy that generates pseudo-independent sub-image pairs from a single noisy input, using directional interpolation and generalized median filtering.
result M2M consistently outperforms state-of-the-art zero-shot methods under correlated noise.

CLIP learns joint image-text representations for zero-shot learning.

problem Understanding and improving zero-shot transfer performance in CLIP.
method Formal study of transferrable representation learning and analysis of zero-shot transfer performance.
result Proposes a new CLIP-type approach that outperforms existing methods.

We introduce a new weight-decay scaling rule to maintain sublayer gains across different widths in modern scale-invariant architectures.

problem In modern scale-invariant architectures, training quickly enters a steady state where normalization layers create backward scale sensitivity, degrading learning-rate transfer.
method We introduce a weight-decay scaling rule for AdamW that preserves sublayer gain across widths by equalizing the effective learning rate.
result Our empirical weight-decay scaling rule λ2dλ_2\propto \sqrt{d} approximately keeps sublayer gains width invariant, enabling zero-shot transfer of learning rate and weight decay.

Zero-shot understanding of accidents from surveillance videos using vision-language models

problem Accident understanding from surveillance videos
method Three-stage pipeline with vision-language similarity, metadata-driven multi-prompt reasoning, and entropy-gated pairwise adjudicator
result Substantial improvement in harmonic-mean score over baseline

New methods reduce extrapolation errors in feature importance.

problem Flawed feature importance methods using unrestricted permutations lead to extrapolation errors.
method Three new approaches: conditional model reliance, Knockoffs with Gaussian transformation, and restricted ALE plot designs.
result Theoretical and numerical results show our strategies reduce/eliminate extrapolation.

With the recent renaissance of deep convolution neural networks, encouraging breakthroughs have been achieved on the supervised recognition tasks, where each class has sufficient training data and fully annotated training data. However, to scale the recognition to a large number of classes with few or now training samp…

2017-10-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural networks extrapolate poorly in simple tasks but succeed in complex ones.

problem Understanding neural networks' extrapolation capabilities and conditions for success.
method Analyzing ReLU MLPs and GNNs, connecting to neural tangent kernel.
result ReLU MLPs learn linear functions but not most nonlinear ones, while GNNs succeed in complex tasks due to task-specific non-linearities.

Zero-shot contrastive loss improves text-guided image style transfer without extra training.

problem Stochastic nature of diffusion models leads to trade-offs between style transformation and content preservation.
method Proposes a zero-shot contrastive loss for diffusion models that doesn't require additional fine-tuning or auxiliary networks.
result Method outperforms existing methods while preserving content and requiring no additional training.

Faster ZSL with continual learning and self-gating.

problem Generalizing models to unseen categories and handling sequential data.
method Meta-continual zero-shot learning (MCZSL) with self-gating and scaled class normalization.
result Outperforms state-of-the-art results with faster training (>100imes>100 imes).

We extend return extrapolation to incorporate asymmetry and saturation, finding that asymmetric nonlinear extrapolation leads to lower welfare loss.

problem Optimal portfolio choice under stochastic volatility
method Smooth, nonlinear extrapolation function with sentiment and variance hedging
result Lower welfare loss with asymmetric nonlinear extrapolation