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A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

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1345 · Jul 201819922001200920182026
48 results for winter finishing

Winterization of Texas power system profitable but risky, estimated at $11.74bn over 30 years.

problem Profitability and risk of winterizing Texas power system infrastructure.
method Combined temperature-dependent load and outage estimates over 71 years of climate data.
result Large-scale winterization of gas infrastructure and power plants is profitable, but risks are high due to low-frequency of cold spells.

Advanced forecasting models outperform Holt-Winters and ARIMA for stock market data.

problem Forecasting stock market data with improved accuracy.
method Developed 24 two-parameter families of forecasting functions using a nonparametric approach.
result Our models outperform Holt-Winters and ARIMA in terms of lower sum of absolute errors and higher number of accurate forecasts.

New framework predicts crypto volatility, outperforming traditional models.

problem Forecasting volatility in cryptocurrencies during the crypto-winter.
method Combines LSTM and rough volatility models, using a parsimonious parametric model.
result Similar prediction performances with fewer parameters, suggesting universality of volatility mechanisms.

This is a survey of recent contributions to the area of special Kaehler geometry. It is based on lectures given at the 21st Winter School on Geometry and Physics held in Srni in January 2001.

2001-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Frame flows on certain symmetric spaces mix exponentially.

problem Exponential mixing of frame flows in convex cocompact locally symmetric spaces.
method Generalized local non-integrability and non-concentration properties to apply Dolgopyat's method.
result Exponential mixing of frame flows proved for convex cocompact locally symmetric spaces.

Benchmark improves object detection robustness in winter weather.

problem Assessing object detection models' performance under image corruptions.
method Developed three benchmark datasets with various image corruptions; used data augmentation to improve robustness.
result Simple data augmentation significantly enhances model robustness across different corruptions and datasets.

These notes are based on a lecture course given by the first author in the Sedano Winter School on K-theory held in Sedano, Spain, on January 22-27th of 2007. They aim at introducing K-theory of C^*-algebras, equivariant K-homology and KK-theory in the context of the Baum-Connes conjecture.

2009-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Study examines equity in post-Snow Uri recovery, finds disparities.

problem Disproportionate impacts on vulnerable populations during recovery.
method County and census tract level data analysis, satellite imagery, statistical procedures.
result Negative associations between non-Hispanic whites and outages, positive associations with certain demographic variables.

These lecture notes are based on a mini-course given by the author at the sixth KAWA Winter School on March 23-26, 2015 at the Centro De Giorgi of Scuola Normale Superiore in Pisa. They provide an introduction to the study of the Kahler-Ricci flow on compact Kahler manifolds, and a detailed exposition of some recent de…

2015-08-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach detects small defects on car surfaces with high accuracy.

problem Automated detection of small defects on specular car surfaces.
method Spline smoothing for feature extraction and k-nearest neighbour classifier.
result Near zero misclassification error rate achieved with standard learning classifiers.

Notions of Darwinian selection have been implicit in economic theory for at least sixty years. Richard Nelson and Sidney Winter have argued that while evolutionary thinking was prevalent in prewar economics, the postwar Neoclassical school became almost entirely preoccupied with equilibrium conditions and their mathema…

2007-07-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves precipitation predictions for High Mountain Asia using machine learning.

problem Uncertainty in future precipitation over High Mountain Asia due to regional climate model biases.
method Probabilistic machine learning framework combining 13 regional climate models via a mixture of experts.
result 32% improvement over equally-weighted average and 254% improvement over single ensemble member.

These are the lecture notes from the 26th Winter School "Geometry and Physics", Czech Republic, Srni, January 14 - 21, 2006. These lectures are an introduction into the realm of generalized geometry based on the tangent plus the cotangent bundle. In particular we discuss the relation of this geometry to physics, namely…

2006-05-15abs ↗pdf ↗

This is a set of expository lecture notes created originally for a graduate course on holomorphic curves taught at ETH Zurich and the Humboldt University Berlin in 2009/2010. The notes are still incomplete, but due to recent requests from readers, I've decided to make a presentable half-finished version available here.…

2010-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Notes on Whitney towers in 4-manifolds, focusing on local surface manipulations and invariants.

problem Classifying and understanding Whitney towers in 4-manifolds.
method Local manipulations of surfaces, definitions of Whitney towers and trees, geometric Jacobi identities, classification of twisted Whitney towers.
result Classification of order n twisted Whitney towers in the 4-ball and related invariants.

In this paper we summarize our recent work in the construction of Lagrangian torus fibrations for Calabi-Yau hypersurfaces in toric varieties and the symplectic Strominger-Yau-Zaslow conjecture, together with some new development. It is submittded to the Proceedings of the Conference in Symplectic Geometry and Mirror S…

2001-03-31abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose here a geometric and topological setting for the study of branching effects arising in various fields of research, e.g. in statistical mechanics and turbulence theory. We describe various aspects that appear key points to us, and finish with a limit of such a construction which stand in the dynamics on proba…

2013-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study uses machine learning and topological features to diagnose chatter in milling.

problem Chatter detection in milling to improve tool life and surface finish.
method Combines topological features with supervised machine learning algorithms.
result Carlsson Coordinates and Template Functions achieve high accuracy (96% and 95%) in diagnosing chatter.

Choose two points in the tangent bundle of the Euclidean plane (x,X),(y,Y)TR2(x,X),(y,Y)\in T{ \mathbb R}^2. In this work we characterise the immersed length minimising paths with a prescribed bound on the curvature starting at xx, tangent to XX; finishing at yy, tangent to YY, in each connected component of the space of paths…

2014-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Archetypal analysis represents a set of observations as convex combinations of pure patterns, or archetypes. The original geometric formulation of finding archetypes by approximating the convex hull of the observations assumes them to be real valued. This, unfortunately, is not compatible with many practical situations…

2013-12-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We prove a structure theorem for 3-manifolds with non-trivial JSJ-decomposition and 2-generated fundamental group. We deduce a variety of Corollaries. Note this is not a complete classification of such manifolds. In particular we believe that one of the families in our list is empty. If you know something about hyperbo…

2001-11-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The abstract discusses how trisections relate to 4-manifolds, similar to how Heegaard splittings relate to 3-manifolds.

problem Exploring the analogy between Heegaard splittings and trisections in 3D and 4D manifolds.
method Develops the analogy through definitions, Morse theory, and diagrammatic descriptions in both 4-manifolds and those with boundaries or embedded submanifolds.
result Clarifies the distinction between different perspectives on decompositions of manifolds in 4D.

The Willmore conjecture, proposed in 1965, concerns the quest to find the best torus of all. This problem has inspired a lot of mathematics over the years, helping bringing together ideas from subjects like conformal geometry, partial differential equations, algebraic geometry and geometric measure theory. In this arti…

2014-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

This is an expanded version of a series of lectures delivered at the 25th Winter School ``Geometry and Physics'' in Srni. After a short introduction to Cartan geometries and parabolic geometries, we give a detailed description of the equivalence between parabolic geometries and underlying geometric structures. The seco…

2005-04-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Study non-formal pseudo-differential operators over formal ones.

problem Understanding structure of non-formal pseudo-differential operators.
method Diffeological principal bundles, smoothing connections.
result Structure of diffeological bundle of non-formal pseudo-differential operators over formal ones.

We study equations on a principal bundle over a compact complex manifold coupling a connection on the bundle with a Kahler structure on the base. These equations generalize the conditions of constant scalar curvature for a Kahler metric and Hermite-Yang-Mills for a connection. We provide a moment map interpretation of …

2011-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The purpose of this paper is to introduce the Ricci Yang-Mills soliton equations on nilpotent Lie groups. In the 2-step nilpotent setting, we show that these equations are strictly weaker than the Ricci soliton equations. Using techniques from Geometric Invariant Theory, we develop a procedure to build many different k…

2009-07-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Consider two elements in the tangent bundle of the Euclidean plane (x,X),(y,Y)TR2(x,X),(y,Y)\in T{\mathbb R}^2. In this work we address the problem of characterizing the paths of bounded curvature and minimal length starting at xx, finishing at yy and having tangents at these points XX and YY respectively. This problem was fir…

2014-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗