We introduce a measure for estimating the best risk-return relation of power production in wind farms within a given time-lag, conditioned to the velocity field. The velocity field is represented by a scalar that weighs the influence of the velocity at each wind turbine at present and previous time-steps for the presen…
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Braided vector fields on spatial subdomains homeomorphic to the cylinder play a crucial role in applications such as solar and plasma physics, relativistic astrophysics, fluid and vortex dynamics, elasticity, and bio-elasticity. Often the vector field's topology -- the entanglement of its field lines -- is non-trivial,…
Generative model improves wind field downscaling from coarse climate models.
Proposes bivariate DeepKriging for efficient wind field prediction.
Methodology extrapolates wind fields from sparse data with uncertainty quantification.
A meticulous assessment of the risk of impacts associated with extreme wind events is of great necessity for populations, civil authorities as well as the insurance industry. Using the concept of spatial risk measure and related set of axioms introduced by Koch (2017, 2019), we quantify the risk of losses due to extrem…
Study examines causal properties of Finsler spacetimes with cone Killing vectors.
Random Fourier features model reconstructs wind fields from sparse measurements.
Wind energy resource quantification, air pollution monitoring, and weather forecasting all rely on rapid, accurate measurement of local wind conditions. Visual observations of the effects of wind---the swaying of trees and flapping of flags, for example---encode information regarding local wind conditions that can pote…
DeepMIDE forecasts wind speeds across space, time, and height for offshore wind energy.
Study examines how wind affects shortest paths on Finsler manifolds.
The normal map of curves is analyzed as a vector field on a cylinder.
Study geodesics on a special cylinder with arbitrary wind.
The notion of wind Finslerian structure is developed; this is a generalization of Finsler metrics where the indicatrices at the tangent spaces may not contain the zero vector. In the particular case that these indicatrices are ellipsoids, called here wind Riemannian structures, they admit a double interpretation which …
Shapelet transform improves time series classification for earthquake, wind, and wave events.
Study uses CNNs to upscale wind speed data from 100 km to 3 km, improving subgrid-scale variability.
Recently, wind Riemannian structures (WRS) have been introduced as a generalization of Randers and Kropina metrics. They are constructed from the natural data for Zermelo navigation problem, namely, a Riemannian metric and a vector field (the wind), where, now, the restriction of mild wind is dro…
Using our earlier proposal for Ramond-Ramond fields in an H-flux on loop space, we extend the Hori isomorphism of Bouwknegt-Evslin-Mathai from invariant differential forms, to invariant exotic differential forms such that the momentum and winding numbers are exchanged, filling in a gap in the literature. We also extend…
Researchers use Gaussian Process Regression to improve accuracy of a low-cost hot-wire anemometer.
We propose a novel Bayesian approach to modelling nonlinear alignments of time series based on latent shared information. We apply the method to the real-world problem of finding common structure in the sensor data of wind turbines introduced by the underlying latent and turbulent wind field. The proposed model allows …
The paper introduces novel Gaussian process models for vector-valued signals on manifolds.
Paper uses Gaussian processes and neural nets to model sub-km wind accurately.
This work develops discrete Gaussian models for vector-valued data on triangular meshes.
Deep learning improves stochastic downscaling of climate variables.
Study short-term wind power and speed predictions using machine learning.
An extreme wind speed estimation method that considers wind hazard climate types is critical for design wind load calculation for building structures affected by mixed climates. However, it is very difficult to obtain wind hazard climate types from meteorological data records, because they restrict the application of e…
WindDragon forecasts wind power with deep learning.
Precisely forecasting wind speed is essential for wind power producers and grid operators. However, this task is challenging due to the stochasticity of wind speed. To accurately predict short-term wind speed under uncertainties, this paper proposed a multi-variable stacked LSTMs model (MSLSTM). The proposed method uti…
New method calculates winding of geodesics on surfaces.
We consider the fusion of two aerodynamic data sets originating from differing fidelity physical or computer experiments. We specifically address the fusion of: 1) noisy and in-complete fields from wind tunnel measurements and 2) deterministic but biased fields from numerical simulations. These two data sources are fus…
Improved wind speed forecasts for power generation using machine learning.
DA improves solar wind forecasts by updating model boundary conditions.
Geometric families of low-rank covariances improve flexibility and tractability in high dimensions.
Wind power, as an alternative to burning fossil fuels, is abundant and inexhaustible. To fully utilize wind power, wind farms are usually located in areas of high altitude and facing serious ice conditions, which can lead to serious consequences. Quick detection of blade ice accretion is crucial for the maintenance of …
Recently, a link between Lorentzian and Finslerian Geometries has been carried out, leading to the notion of wind Riemannian structure (WRS), a generalization of Finslerian Randers metrics. Here, we further develop this notion and its applications to spacetimes, by introducing some characterizations and criteria for th…
Wind farm layout optimisation tackles space constraints with Bayesian multi-objective approach.
Method reconstructs missing wind farm data using graph theory and nearest neighbors.
The quantum navigation problem of finding the time-optimal control Hamiltonian that transports a given initial state to a target state through quantum wind, that is, under the influence of external fields or potentials, is analysed. By lifting the problem from the state space to the space of unitary gates realising the…
Bayesian method models multivalued power data from wind farms.
New method predicts wind farm power and wakes using weather patterns.
We focus on wind power modeling using machine learning techniques. We show on real data provided by the wind energy company Ma{ï}a Eolis, that parametric models, even following closely the physical equation relating wind production to wind speed are outperformed by intelligent learning algorithms. In particular, the CA…
Study on geodesics in Kropina metrics with applications.
Wind power prediction is of vital importance in wind power utilization. There have been a lot of researches based on the time series of the wind power or speed, but In fact, these time series cannot express the temporal and spatial changes of wind, which fundamentally hinders the advance of wind power prediction. In th…
A detailed understanding of wind turbine performance status classification can improve operations and maintenance in the wind energy industry. Due to different engineering properties of wind turbines, the standard supervised learning models used for classification do not generalize across data sets obtained from differ…
We study periodic wind-tree models, billiards in the plane endowed with -periodically located identical connected symmetric right-angled obstacles. We show asymptotic formulas for the number of (isotopy classes of) closed billiard trajectories (up to -translations) on the wind-tree billiard.…
Numerous studies have been carried out to measure wind pressures around circular cylinders since the early 20th century due to its engineering significance. Consequently, a large amount of wind pressure data sets have accumulated, which presents an excellent opportunity for using machine learning (ML) techniques to tra…
This paper combines and improves probabilistic forecasts of wind speeds using advanced statistical methods.
This study explores wind energy resources in different locations through the Gulf of Oman and also their future variability due climate change impacts. In this regard, EC-EARTH near surface wind outputs obtained from CORDEX-MENA simulations are used for historical and future projection of the energy. The ERA5 wind data…