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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,738 papers · 148 categories

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75150224299 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for weighted responses

A new model estimates mixed memberships for categorical data with weighted responses.

problem Limited applicability of existing GoM model to weighted categorical data.
method Proposes Weighted Grade of Membership (WGoM) model, relaxing distribution constraints.
result WGoM can describe any response matrix with finite distinct elements.

Proposes a method for generating prediction intervals in dose-response models using conformal prediction.

problem Uncertainty quantification in continuous treatments for personalized healthcare decisions.
method Causal dose-response problem framed as covariate shift, using weighted conformal prediction with propensity estimation and kernel functions.
result Demonstrates the significance of covariate shift assumptions for robust prediction intervals.

New method decomposes local projections to reveal historical drivers of estimates.

problem Uncertainty in interpreting local projections due to black-box nature.
method Decomposes LP estimates into contributions of historical events, interpreting weights as shocks and proximity scores.
result Dominant historical events drive impulse response estimates, revealing underlying mechanisms.

Proposes a method to estimate causal effects of continuous treatments using instrumental variables.

problem Estimating causal effects of continuous treatments in the presence of unmeasured confounders.
method Introduces a novel framework using instrumental variables and a uniform regular weighting function to identify and estimate average dose-response functions.
result Establishes the asymptotic properties of the proposed methods for estimating average dose-response functions.

DFR models dynamic distributional data with weighted Fréchet means.

problem Regression of distribution-valued responses over time.
method Dynamic Fréchet Regression (DFR) with index-aware weighting and feature selection.
result Improved predictive accuracy and feature recovery over existing methods.

The study uses response theory to understand RNNs processing input signals.

problem Understanding how RNNs process sequential data.
method Deriving a Volterra series representation for SRNNs output using response theory from nonequilibrium statistical mechanics.
result SRNNs can be viewed as kernel machines operating on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space associated with the response feature.

Paper develops methods to estimate derivative of dose-response curve for continuous treatments.

problem Estimating the derivative of the dose-response curve for continuous treatments.
method Doubly robust (DR) inference method using kernel smoothing, bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators.
result Proposes novel bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators for continuous treatments.

Deep Neural Networks are robust to minor perturbations of the learned network parameters and their minor modifications do not change the overall network response significantly. This allows space for model stealing, where a malevolent attacker can steal an already trained network, modify the weights and claim the new ne…

2019-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new random forest weighted local Fréchet regression method.

problem Complex metric space valued responses and curse of dimensionality in Fréchet regression.
method Locally adaptive kernel generated by random forests for local average and local linear Fréchet regression.
result Significantly improves existing Fréchet regression methods with theoretical guarantees.

A new test validates ensemble models against the null hypothesis.

problem Validating ensemble models against the null hypothesis of a constant response.
method Randomized permutation test on SVEM model predictions.
result The test maintains Type I error rate even with more parameters than observations.

In this article, we propose a novel probabilistic framework to improve the accuracy of a weighted majority voting algorithm. In order to assign higher weights to the classifiers which can correctly classify hard-to-classify instances, we introduce the Item Response Theory (IRT) framework to evaluate the samples' diffic…

2019-11-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes methods to correct bias and missing data in regression models.

problem Nonignorable selection bias and missing response in regression models.
method Imputation-based and importance weighted regression methods, including repeated regression and doubly robust combination.
result Repeated regression can effectively correct bias and outperforms weighted regression in extrapolation.

Estimates personalized treatment response curves using covariates.

problem Flexible estimation of personalized treatment response curves.
method Sieve based nonparametric estimator of smoothed regimen-response curve function.
result Asymptotic linearity and undersmoothing criteria for efficient estimation.

In the multiple linear regression setting, we propose a general framework, termed weighted orthogonal components regression (WOCR), which encompasses many known methods as special cases, including ridge regression and principal components regression. WOCR makes use of the monotonicity inherent in orthogonal components …

2017-09-13abs ↗pdf ↗

The vast majority of current machine learning algorithms are designed to predict single responses or a vector of responses, yet many types of response are more naturally organized as matrices or higher-order tensor objects where characteristics are shared across modes. We present a new machine learning algorithm BaTFLE…

2016-12-09abs ↗pdf ↗

New analysis shows how cross-entropy training shapes attention in transformers.

problem Understanding how gradient-based learning creates the required internal geometry in transformers.
method Developed a first-order analysis of cross-entropy training effects on attention scores and values in a transformer attention head.
result Introduced an advantage-based routing law and responsibility-weighted update for attention scores and values, respectively.

Nonparametric estimation of the conditional distribution of a response given high-dimensional features is a challenging problem. It is important to allow not only the mean but also the variance and shape of the response density to change flexibly with features, which are massive-dimensional. We propose a multiscale dic…

2013-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new algorithm solves signed Fréchet regression on manifolds with bounded curvature.

problem Signed Fréchet regression on Riemannian manifolds with bounded curvature.
method Proximal DC algorithm (FRIDA) for computing signed Fréchet regression fits.
result Existence and interiority of minimizers, strong convexity of proximal subproblems, and convergence to stationary points.

Improved hypernetwork for efficient neural network hyperparameter tuning.

problem Efficiently optimizing hyperparameters in neural networks.
method Proposed ΔΔ-STN architecture focusing on accurate best-response Jacobian approximation.
result Significantly improved hyperparameter tuning accuracy and stability.

We introduce an autoregressive-type model of prices in financial market taking into account the self-modulation effect. We find that traders are mainly using strategies with weighted feedbacks of past prices. These feedbacks are responsible for the slow diffusion in short times, apparent trends and power law distributi…

2003-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a new method to improve regression models with reweighted samples.

problem Improves regression models' performance under low sample sizes and covariate perturbations.
method Reparametrizes sample weights using a doubly non-negative matrix and solves the reweighted estimate efficiently.
result Adversarial reweighting strategy delivers promising results on various datasets.

Proposes a new method for rank-consistent ordinal regression without weight-sharing constraints.

problem Ordinal response variables in real-world prediction problems are often ignored by conventional classification losses.
method CORN framework using conditional training sets and the chain rule for conditional probability distributions.
result Improves performance substantially compared to the CORAL reference approach without weight-sharing restrictions.

Among interpretable machine learning methods, the class of Generalised Additive Neural Networks (GANNs) is referred to as Self-Explaining Neural Networks (SENN) because of the linear dependence on explicit functions of the inputs. In binary classification this shows the precise weight that each input contributes toward…

2019-08-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Whatever information a deep neural network has gleaned from training data is encoded in its weights. How this information affects the response of the network to future data remains largely an open question. Indeed, even defining and measuring information entails some subtleties, since a trained network is a determinist…

2019-05-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Neural networks with learned biases can approximate any function.

problem Whether neural networks with only learned biases can approximate any continuous function.
method Theoretical and numerical analysis of random weights and learned biases in neural networks.
result Feedforward and recurrent neural networks with random weights can approximate any continuous function and dynamical systems.

SHIFT improves robustness in estimating dose-response functions with heavy-tailed contamination.

problem Outliers bias estimates of average dose-response functions in heavy-tailed data.
method SHIFT combines cross-fit nuisance orthogonalization, Welsch-loss, and defensive OLS refit.
result SHIFT reduces RMSE from 1.03 to 0.33 on localized contamination test.

TransNet improves community detection on target networks using privacy-preserved source networks.

problem Community detection on sensitive network data with privacy constraints.
method Spectral clustering framework leveraging locally distributed privacy-preserved auxiliary networks via randomized response and adaptive weighting.
result TransNet delivers strong gains in community detection across various privacy levels and heterogeneity patterns.

Study examines how body segments respond to random vibrations.

problem Understanding human body responses to random vibrations.
method 35 participants were tested with random noise signals. Multiple linear regression models were created to determine influential predictors of peak translational gains.
result Multiple predictors, including motion direction and body segment, significantly influence peak translational gains.

Hybrid deep learning model predicts urban floods with high accuracy.

problem Urban flood prediction and situation awareness using channel network sensors data.
method FastGRNN-FCN hybrid deep learning model trained on Harris County, Texas flood data.
result Test accuracy and F-measure reach 97.8% and 0.792, respectively.