A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We propose a methodology for computing single and multi-asset European option prices, and more generally expectations of scalar functions of (multivariate) random variables. This new approach combines the ability of Monte Carlo simulation to handle high-dimensional problems with the efficiency of function approximation…
The least squares Monte Carlo algorithm has become popular for solving portfolio optimization problems. A simple approach is to approximate the value functions on a discrete grid of portfolio weights, then use control regression to generalize the discrete estimates. However, the classical global control regression can …
Least squares kernel based methods have been widely used in regression problems due to the simple implementation and good generalization performance. Among them, least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) and extreme learning machine (ELM) are popular techniques. However, the noise sensitivity is a major bottlene…
We obtain an improved finite-sample guarantee on the linear convergence of stochastic gradient descent for smooth and strongly convex objectives, improving from a quadratic dependence on the conditioning (L/μ)2 (where L is a bound on the smoothness and μ on the strong convexity) to a linear dependence on L/μ. …
The accuracy of least squares calibration using option premiums and particle filtering of price data to find model parameters is determined. Derivative models using exponential Lévy processes are calibrated using regularized weighted least squares with respect to the minimal entropy martingale measure. Sequential impor…
The paper addresses statistical inference for online decision-making in a contextual bandit setting.
problem Understanding the performance of reward models in online decision-making with contextual information.
method The paper uses the contextual bandit framework with a linear reward model and the ε-greedy policy to address the exploration-exploitation dilemma. It employs the martingale central limit theorem and inverse propensity score weighting to establish asymptotic normality of parameter estimators.
result The online ordinary least squares estimator and the online weighted least squares estimator are asymptotically normal, providing insights into the performance of the reward model.
Develops a diagnostic framework for interest rate model calibration, showing equivalence to Weighted Least Squares and revealing boundary-dominated leverage and local parameter instability.
problem Calibration of stochastic interest rate models
method Diagnostic framework using non-linear regression and analytical tractability of At-The-Money caps
result Reveals boundary-dominated leverage and local parameter instability
Dynamic trading strategies, in the spirit of trend-following or mean-reversion, represent an only partly understood but lucrative and pervasive area of modern finance. Assuming Gaussian returns and Gaussian dynamic weights or signals, (e.g., linear filters of past returns, such as simple moving averages, exponential we…
We propose and analyze a variant of the classic Polyak-Ruppert averaging scheme, broadly used in stochastic gradient methods. Rather than a uniform average of the iterates, we consider a weighted average, with weights decaying in a geometric fashion. In the context of linear least squares regression, we show that this …
Based on the property that solving the system of linear matrix equations via the column space and the row space projections boils down to an approximation in the least squares error sense, a formulation for learning the weight matrices of the multilayer network can be derived. By exploiting into the vast number of feas…
We study the total least squares (TLS) problem that generalizes least squares regression by allowing measurement errors in both dependent and independent variables. TLS is widely used in applied fields including computer vision, system identification and econometrics. The special case when all dependent and independent…
Presents SPEED, an algorithm for optimal policy evaluation in linear bandits with heteroscedastic noise.
problem Optimal data collection for policy evaluation in linear bandits with heteroscedastic reward noise.
method Formulated an optimal design for weighted least squares estimates, derived the optimal sample allocation, introduced SPEED algorithm, and derived regret bounds.
result SPEED leads to policy evaluation with MSE comparable to oracle strategy and significantly lower than random policy execution.
This paper is concerned with the sparsification of the input-hidden weights of ELM (Extreme Learning Machine). For ordinary feedforward neural networks, the sparsification is usually done by introducing certain regularization technique into the learning process of the network. But this strategy can not be applied for E…
Normalization methods such as batch [Ioffe and Szegedy, 2015], weight [Salimansand Kingma, 2016], instance [Ulyanov et al., 2016], and layer normalization [Baet al., 2016] have been widely used in modern machine learning. Here, we study the weight normalization (WN) method [Salimans and Kingma, 2016] and a variant call…