A new method forecasts financial tail risks by combining and weighting quantiles.
problem Reducing uncertainty in financial tail risk forecasting.
method Two-step procedure: quantile combination followed by ES computation.
result The proposed framework outperforms individual models and simple approaches.
A new stock selection strategy uses combined machine learning with dynamic weighting methods.
problem Improving stock selection accuracy and performance.
method Combined machine learning algorithms with static and dynamic weighting methods.
result IC-based dynamic weighting outperforms static evaluation metrics in backtested returns and predictive performance.
The paper proposes a method to improve forecast combination accuracy using portfolio theory.
problem Improving forecast accuracy by combining multiple forecasts.
method Generates forecast combinations using a portfolio analogy, allowing negative weights for hedging.
result Demonstrates improved performance in weighted random forest forecasts.
New method improves deep RL by combining emphatic weightings with replay data.
problem Improving sample efficiency and scaling model-free RL methods.
method Developed a multi-step emphatic weighting and time-reversed n-step TD learning algorithm. result The new approach reduces variance and provides convergence guarantees.
Combines VaR and ES forecasts from a large pool of methods.
problem Combining forecasts from a large pool of VaR and ES methods.
method Adapted interval forecast combination methods, including trimmed means and mixtures approach.
result Trimmed mean combinations, mixtures method, and performance-based weighting delivered strong results.
A novel weighted feature selection method using fuzzy sets improves classification accuracy and stability.
problem Improving feature selection accuracy and stability in machine learning models.
method Combination of four feature selection methods using fuzzy sets and bootstrap.
result Our method achieved significantly higher stability than individual methods.
A new algorithm improves federated learning by combining knowledge distillation and weighted combination loss.
problem Non-IID client data in federated learning leads to model drift and poor generalization.
method pFedKD-WCL integrates knowledge distillation with bi-level optimization to address non-IID challenges.
result pFedKD-WCL outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in accuracy and convergence speed.
We give an explicit algorithm and source code for combining alpha streams via bounded regression. In practical applications typically there is insufficient history to compute a sample covariance matrix (SCM) for a large number of alphas. To compute alpha allocation weights, one then resorts to (weighted) regression ove…
Partial fusion combines neural networks to balance accuracy and efficiency.
problem Balancing accuracy and computational cost in neural networks.
method Extending weight aggregation methods based on neuron-level similarity, using partial optimal transport to match similar neurons.
result Achieves a flexible tradeoff between computational cost and performance.
This paper reviews forecast combinations over 50 years, highlighting their evolution and utility.
problem Improving forecast accuracy through combining multiple forecasts.
method Evolution of forecast combination methods, from simple to sophisticated.
result Forecast combinations have become a mainstream approach in forecasting.
Novel characterization of augmented balancing weights combining outcome and weighting models.
problem Improving estimation accuracy in machine learning models with balancing weights.
method Characterization of augmented balancing weights as linear models, extending to ridge and lasso regression.
result Equivalence and closed-form expressions for specific model choices, providing insights into performance.
The paper proves lower bounds for Gaussian-weighted curvature integrals of self-shrinkers.
problem Proving lower bounds for Gaussian-weighted \(L^2\)-curvature integrals of self-shrinkers.
method Combining normal coordinate functions with weighted Poincaré inequalities and first-eigenvalue estimates.
result Explicit lower bounds in terms of entropy for closed self-shrinkers, leading to curvature gaps.
Efficiently combines probabilistic predictions using kernel embeddings.
problem Combining multiple probabilistic predictions to improve forecast accuracy.
method Embed predictions into RKHS, optimizes kernel-based scoring rules, finds efficient implementation.
result Generalised linear pool outperforms traditional linear pool in operational wind speed forecasts.
EVCL combines VCL and EWC to prevent forgetting new tasks.
problem Preventing catastrophic forgetting in continual learning.
method Hybrid model integrating VCL and EWC.
result Consistently outperforms baselines in learning new tasks.
It is well known that Expected Shortfall (also called Average Value-at-Risk) is a convex risk measure, i. e. Expected Shortfall of a convex linear combination of arbitrary risk positions is not greater than a convex linear combination with the same weights of Expected Shortfalls of the same risk positions. In this shor…
We improve prediction set coverage by assigning weights to individual sets.
problem Aggregating multiple prediction sets weakens overall coverage guarantee.
method Propose a framework for weighted aggregation of prediction sets.
result Achieve tighter coverage bounds that interpolate between 1−2α and 1−α guarantees. Estimates multiple means in high dimensions using convex combinations.
problem Estimating multiple multi-dimensional means from samples.
method Convex combinations of empirical means with data-dependent weights.
result Our methods asymptotically approach oracle (minimax) improvement.
Improves conformal prediction by combining multiple score functions and optimizing weights.
problem Limitations of single-score conformal predictors in multi-class classification.
method Combines multiple score functions and optimizes weights to minimize prediction set size.
result Consistently outperforms single-score conformal predictors while maintaining valid coverage.
AlphaForge mines and dynamically combines alpha factors for better investment performance.
problem Inconsistency and inflexibility of fixed factor weights in alpha factor mining.
method Generative-predictive neural network for factor generation and dynamic weight adjustment.
result Demonstrated superior performance in formulaic alpha factor mining and portfolio returns.
Estimates LATE using combined datasets, overcoming data limitations.
problem Estimating LATE when compliance is incomplete and data is split.
method Combines separately observed datasets to estimate LATE using direct and weighted least squares methods.
result Proposes a stable and practical estimator for LATE.
For a linear combination of random variables, fix some confidence level and consider the quantile of the combination at this level. We are interested in the partial derivatives of the quantile with respect to the weights of the random variables in the combination. It turns out that under suitable conditions on the join…
TSC improves causal effect estimation in panel data.
problem Estimating causal effects in panel data with a single treated unit.
method Targeted synthetic control method that refines initial weights through a one-dimensional targeted update.
result TSC consistently improves estimation accuracy over state-of-the-art SCM baselines.
The paper explores rigidity of hypersurfaces with constant shifted curvature functions in hyperbolic space.
problem Rigidity of hypersurfaces with constant shifted curvature functions in hyperbolic space.
method Characterizations and rigidity investigations for hypersurfaces with constant weighted shifted mean curvatures or ratios.
result Rigidity results for hypersurfaces with constant linear combinations of weighted shifted mean curvatures and radially symmetric shifted mean curvatures.
Simplifies forecast combination by using diversity of out-of-sample forecasts.
problem Estimating optimal weights for forecast combinations is challenging.
method Use out-of-sample forecasts to extract features and calculate weights for forecast combination.
result Achieves superior forecasting performance in point forecasts and prediction intervals.
Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending, have been studied and adopted extensively in research and practice. While baggi…
Classifier ensembles are pattern recognition structures composed of a set of classification algorithms (members), organized in a parallel way, and a combination method with the aim of increasing the classification accuracy of a classification system. In this study, we investigate the application of a generalized mixtur…
Enhances power of covariance matrix tests for high-dimensional data.
problem Testing large covariance matrices in high-dimensional data.
method Proposes a new Fisher's combined probability test for quadratic form and maximum form statistics.
result Boosts power against more general alternatives.
Proves weight polytope matches with energy vectors in toric varieties.
problem Understanding the relationship between weight polytopes and energy functionals in toric varieties.
method Combines two slope formulas of K-energy in the toric setting.
result Weight polytope of Hurwitz form matches with convex hull of characteristic vectors.
Defines diversification as a binary relationship between financial portfolios.
problem Defines diversification in a new binary relationship for financial portfolios.
method Proposes a new definition of diversification based on convex linear combinations and second order stochastic dominance.
result The proposed definition coincides with second order stochastic dominance.
Asymptotic results for weighted floating bodies are established and used to obtain new proofs for the existence of floating areas on the sphere and in hyperbolic space and to establish the existence of floating areas in Hilbert geometries. Results on weighted best and random approximation and the new approach to floati…
Article provides Bernstein gradient estimates for heat equations with potential terms.
problem Gradient estimates for heat equations with potential terms on weighted Riemannian manifolds.
method Derived Bernstein type gradient estimates for two systems of heat equations with linear, exponential, and combined potentials.
result Resolves part of the problem raised by Bhattacharyya et al. in \cite{SB-1}.
clusterBMA combines clustering results from multiple models using Bayesian model averaging.
problem Uncertainty in model selection for clustering.
method Bayesian model averaging to combine results from multiple clustering algorithms.
result ClusterBMA offers probabilistic cluster allocations and quantifies model-based uncertainty.
Unified framework evaluates different nearest neighbor classification methods.
problem Evaluating and comparing classical, fuzzy, and fuzzy rough nearest neighbor classification methods.
method Standardized nearest neighbor weighting with kernel functions applied to distance and/or rank values of nearest neighbors.
result NN, FNN, and FRNN perform best with Boscovich distance, and NN and FRNN perform best with specific combinations of weights and scaling measures.
Improved kernel quadrature with convex weights using subsampling.
problem Constructing quadrature rules with small worst-case error.
method Combining spectral properties of the kernel with recombination results.
result Effective algorithms for constructing convex quadrature rules with i.i.d. samples.
We study channel number reduction in combination with weight binarization (1-bit weight precision) to trim a convolutional neural network for a keyword spotting (classification) task. We adopt a group-wise splitting method based on the group Lasso penalty to achieve over 50% channel sparsity while maintaining the netwo…
The state-of-art DNN structures involve high computation and great demand for memory storage which pose intensive challenge on DNN framework resources. To mitigate the challenges, weight pruning techniques has been studied. However, high accuracy solution for extreme structured pruning that combines different types of …
We give a detailed explicit computation of weights of Kontsevich graphs which arise from connection and curvature terms within the globalization picture for the special case of symplectic manifolds. We will show how the weights for the curvature graphs can be explicitly expressed in terms of the hypergeometric function…
Multiple kernel learning (MKL), structured sparsity, and multi-task learning have recently received considerable attention. In this paper, we show how different MKL algorithms can be understood as applications of either regularization on the kernel weights or block-norm-based regularization, which is more common in str…
A new autoencoder combines deep learning with SVD to reduce model complexity.
problem Overcoming the Kolmogorov barrier in high-dimensional systems.
method Learnable weighted hybrid autoencoder combining SVD and deep learning.
result Empirically, the model exhibits a sharpness thousands of times smaller than other models.
ZeroS improves Transformers by adding negative weights, matching or beating softmax attention.
problem Limited performance of linear attention methods, especially in long context sequences.
method Proposes Zero-Sum Linear Attention (ZeroS) that removes the zero-order term and reweights zero-sum softmax residuals.
result ZeroS matches or exceeds standard softmax attention across various benchmarks, theoretically expanding representable functions.
We consider the problem of estimating a low-rank matrix from a noisy observed matrix. Previous work has shown that the optimal method depends crucially on the choice of loss function. In this paper, we use a family of weighted loss functions, which arise naturally for problems such as submatrix denoising, denoising wit…
Low regularity spacetimes split into simpler structures.
problem Proving splitting theorem for C1 metrics and weights. method Combining elliptic techniques and line-adapted curves.
result Extends Lorentzian splitting theorem to C1 settings. Random weights in GNNs match learned weights in performance.
problem Feature rank collapse in GNNs.
method Replacing learned weights with random weights.
result Random weights achieve comparable performance to learned weights, reducing training time and memory usage.
We introduce a new class of lower bounds on the log partition function of a Markov random field which makes use of a reversed Jensen's inequality. In particular, our method approximates the intractable distribution using a linear combination of spanning trees with negative weights. This technique is a lower-bound count…
GSAN learns adaptive node representations using geometric scattering and attention.
problem Oversmoothing in node representation learning.
method Attention-based architecture integrating geometric scattering and GCN channels.
result GSAN outperforms previous networks in semi-supervised node classification.
We develop ensemble Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to classify the transportation mode of trip data collected as part of a large-scale smartphone travel survey in Montreal, Canada. Our proposed ensemble library is composed of a series of CNN models with different hyper-parameter values and CNN architectures. In o…
This paper describes a novel approach of packing sparse convolutional neural networks for their efficient systolic array implementations. By combining subsets of columns in the original filter matrix associated with a convolutional layer, we increase the utilization efficiency of the systolic array substantially (e.g.,…
A new framework for federated continual learning reduces interference and improves performance.
problem Learning from a sequence of tasks with limited data from each client.
method Federated Weighted Inter-client Transfer (FedWeIT) framework.
result FedWeIT significantly outperforms existing methods with reduced communication cost.