Machine learning improves measuring climate adaptation impacts.
problem Measuring adaptation to climate change using weather damage elasticities.
method Debiased machine learning approach in panel data settings.
result Long-run impacts of damaging heat exposure significantly offset short-run impacts.
Paper proposes a novel approach to improve spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of spatiotemporal precipitation forecasts for flood damage mitigation.
method Introduces a rain-code fusion approach using ConvLSTM and multi-frame fusion for spatiotemporal precipitation code-to-code forecasting.
result Demonstrates enhanced accuracy in precipitation forecasts beyond 3 timesteps using the rain-code fusion.
Robots adapt to damage with a single policy and diagnosis.
problem Robotic failure due to damage during mission-critical tasks.
method Damage-aware control architecture using supervised learning for diagnosis and policy adaptation.
result Single-shot diagnosis and adaptation achieved with a single policy.
The high structural deficient rate poses serious risks to the operation of many bridges and buildings. To prevent critical damage and structural collapse, a quick structural health diagnosis tool is needed during normal operation or immediately after extreme events. In structural health monitoring (SHM), many existing …
Climate change is widely expected to increase weather related damage and the insurance claims that result from it. This will increase insurance premiums, in a way that is independent of a customer's contribution to the causes of climate change. Insurance provides a financial mechanism that mitigates some of the consequ…
This paper reviews traditional and modern methods for detecting structural damage using vibrations.
problem Early warning of structural damage to maintain civil structures.
method Vibration-based methods and ML/DL algorithms.
result ML and DL algorithms show superior performance in detecting structural damage.
Proposes a multi-objective variational autoencoder for smart infrastructure damage detection.
problem Detecting and diagnosing damage in smart infrastructure using multi-way data.
method Multi-objective variational autoencoder (MVA) method for smart infrastructure damage detection and diagnosis.
result The method accurately detects structural damage, estimates severity, and captures damage locations.
Gaussian Process Regression improves damage assessment in structural health monitoring.
problem Inaccurate damage quantification in varying conditions and environments.
method Gaussian Process Regression models with Damage Indices for probabilistic damage assessment.
result The method provides probability-based decision-making for structural health monitoring.
Paper improves disaster damage detection using modern transfer learning.
problem Harder to obtain damaged examples than undamaged ones.
method Revisits classical bagging with modern transfer learning.
result Significantly outperforms existing methodologies.
Optimizes package types for e-commerce to reduce damage and costs.
problem Sub-optimal package types lead to damaged shipments and high costs.
method Multi-stage approach that balances shipment and damage costs using a scalable algorithm.
result Significant cost savings of tens of millions of dollars achieved.
Machine learning detects building damage in satellite images.
problem Extracting damage information from satellite imagery is slow and labor-intensive.
method Used four convolutional neural network models to detect damaged buildings.
result Models performed well in detecting damaged buildings in the 2010 Haiti earthquake.
Generative Adversarial Networks create synthetic data for structural damage detection.
problem Data scarcity in structural damage detection.
method 1-D Wasserstein Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Networks (1-D WDCGAN-GP) for synthetic data generation.
result Generated synthetic data improves damage detection accuracy in 1-D Deep Convolutional Neural Networks.
Tornadoes are the most violent of all atmospheric storms. In a typical year, the United States experiences hundreds of tornadoes with associated damages on the order of one billion dollars. Community preparation and resilience would benefit from accurate predictions of these economic losses, particularly as populations…
A model predicts building damage locations in near real-time using intensity-based features.
problem Accurate and timely damage diagnosis of building structures after extreme events.
method Support vector machines and Bayesian optimization for probabilistic hazard intensity determination.
result The model achieves 83.1% accuracy in identifying damage locations in a reinforced concrete moment frame.
Generative model predicts remaining life of damaged structures.
problem Prognosis of damage and remaining useful life of structures.
method Generative adversarial networks (GANs) in a population-based SHM framework.
result Algorithm provides confident predictions about structures' remaining useful life.
Research shows higher damages may encourage more disclosure in corporate disputes.
problem How to resolve disputes over undisclosed material events in a way that encourages voluntary disclosure.
method Dynamic continuous-time model of management's equilibrium disclosure decision.
result Increased damages may lead to an endogenous increase in voluntary disclosure.
A new framework combines CNN and GRU for better structural damage detection.
problem Improving damage detection in structural engineering using machine learning.
method Hierarchical CNN and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) framework to model spatial and temporal relations.
result The proposed HCG framework significantly outperforms existing methods for structural damage detection.
This paper classifies typhoon damage features using aerial photography.
problem Typhoon damages and slow recovery times.
method Aerial photography for classification of eight classes including land covers and disaster areas.
result Visualize and explain typhoon disaster features using convolutional activation maps.
Structural damage due to excessive loading or environmental degradation typically occurs in localized areas in the absence of collapse. This prior information about the spatial sparseness of structural damage is exploited here by a hierarchical sparse Bayesian learning framework with the goal of reducing the source of …
Weather balloons deploy sensors to collect stratospheric data.
problem Limited data collection in the stratosphere.
method Modeling forecast deviation as a Gaussian process to determine sensor release times; novel hardware system for optimal sensor release.
result Data engineering framework effectively collects stratospheric data through real flights and simulations.
PhysicsFormer improves TSF models for GSWF with WEATHER-5K dataset.
problem Lack of comprehensive datasets for GSWF.
method PhysicsFormer combines dynamic core and Transformer, enforcing physical consistency.
result PhysicsFormer outperforms TSF models in operational forecasting.
Deep learning improves damage localization in ultrasonic waves under uncertainty.
problem Uncertainty in wave propagation due to environmental factors and noise.
method Deep learning model trained on simulated wave data with uncertainty.
result Deep learning model learns robust representations of wave data with uncertainty.
Study optimizes climate adaptation strategies for NYC.
problem Catastrophic damages from extreme weather in NYC.
method Real options analysis and extreme value theory.
result Optimal adaptation pathways identified for NYC.
Enhances weather detection by learning from auxiliary information.
problem Mispredictions in unsupervised severe weather detection.
method Learning joint representations of textual and weather data.
result Improved decision boundaries for severe weather detection.
New methods quantify uncertainties in AI weather forecasts.
problem Uncertainty in AI weather predictions.
method Comparing ensemble and post-hoc uncertainty quantification methods.
result Probabilistic forecasts improve over ensemble physics-based models.
As renewable distributed energy resources (DERs) penetrate the power grid at an accelerating speed, it is essential for operators to have accurate solar photovoltaic (PV) energy forecasting for efficient operations and planning. Generally, observed weather data are applied in the solar PV generation forecasting model w…
The effects of weather on agriculture in recent years have become a major global concern. Hence, the need for an effective weather risk management tool (i.e., weather derivatives) that can hedge crop yields against weather uncertainties. However, most smallholder farmers and agricultural stakeholders are unwilling to p…
Deep neural networks reduce weather forecast uncertainty estimation costs.
problem Accurate estimation of weather forecast uncertainty using ensemble prediction systems.
method Modified 3D U-Net architecture and models incorporating temporal data.
result Deep neural networks can estimate weather forecast uncertainty with fewer simulations.
Signature kernel scoring rule improves weather forecasting by capturing temporal and spatial dependencies.
problem Lack of suitable scoring rules for probabilistic weather forecasting.
method Reframe weather variables as continuous paths using iterated integrals (signature kernels) to capture temporal and spatial dependencies.
result Signature kernel scoring rule outperforms conventional methods in weather forecasting, especially for long-term forecasts.
WeatherFormer learns robust weather features from small datasets.
problem Modeling complex weather dynamics from limited data.
method Pretrained transformer encoder on large satellite dataset, with spatiotemporal encoding.
result State-of-the-art performance in county-level soybean yield prediction and influenza forecasting.
This study analyzes how weather impacts bike sharing usage in Washington D.C.
problem Understanding how weather affects bike sharing usage patterns.
method Gathered bike usage and weather data, used k-means clustering algorithm to identify clusters.
result Weather significantly impacts bike usage, with temperature and precipitation being the most influential factors.
The accurate diagnosis and assessment of neurodegenerative disease and traumatic brain injuries (TBI) remain open challenges. Both cause cognitive and functional deficits due to focal axonal swellings (FAS), but it is difficult to deliver a prognosis due to our limited ability to assess damaged neurons at a cellular le…
Nowadays, with the unprecedented penetration of renewable distributed energy resources (DERs), the necessity of an efficient energy forecasting model is more demanding than before. Generally, forecasting models are trained using observed weather data while the trained models are applied for energy forecasting using for…
This study tackles basis risk in weather parametric insurance using Monte Carlo simulations.
problem Mismatch between actual loss and payout in weather parametric insurance leads to loss without payout or payout without loss.
method Empirical research using Monte Carlo simulations to test diversification and hedging strategies.
result Portfolio basis risk and volatility decrease with more contracts, and spatial relationships significantly impact basis risk.
Study improves accuracy of weather data for real-time building simulations.
problem Anomalous and missing weather data affect real-time building energy simulations.
method Introduces a framework for quality control of measured weather data using anomaly detection and neural network infilling.
result Neural Networks enhance the accuracy of data imputation compared to traditional methods.
Deep neural networks improve ensemble weather forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy and efficiency of ensemble weather forecasts.
method Mixed model combining subset of trajectories with deep neural networks for post-processing.
result Achieved over 14% relative improvement in ensemble forecast skill.
A framework assesses the quality of crowdsourced weather data.
problem Quality control and assessment of crowdsourced weather data from third-party stations.
method Proposes a simple, scalable, and interpretable AI/Stats/ML framework to assess TPAWS data.
result Demonstrates the performance of the framework using synthetic and real data.
We introduce economic models based on Boolean Delay Equations: this formalism makes easier to take into account the complexity of the interactions between firms and is particularly appropriate for studying the propagation of an initial damage due to a catastrophe. Here we concentrate on simple cases, which allow to und…
Graph-EFM models weather uncertainty with graph-based ensembles.
problem Accurately capturing forecast uncertainty in chaotic weather.
method Flexible latent-variable formulation with hierarchical graph construction.
result Graph-EFM ensembles achieve equivalent or lower errors than deterministic models.
Antifreeze proteins (AFPs) are the sub-set of ice binding proteins indispensable for the species living in extreme cold weather. These proteins bind to the ice crystals, hindering their growth into large ice lattice that could cause physical damage. There are variety of AFPs found in numerous organisms and due to the h…
We price weather-contingent options by use of Monte Carlo simulations. After calibrating the models to fit quoted prices, we analyze bid-ask spreads in terms of correlations across markets. Results are presented for a double-trigger Weather vs. Natural Gas call option.
We present the results of study of a possible relationship between the space weather and terrestrial markets of agricultural products. It is shown that to implement the possible effect of space weather on the terrestrial harvests and prices, a simultaneous fulfillment of three conditions is required: 1) sensitivity of …
AI boosts study of rare weather extremes with lower costs.
problem Difficulty in studying rare weather events due to limited data and models.
method Coupling AI forecasts with physics models using rare-event algorithms.
result Efficiently characterizes very rare events like once-per-millennium heatwaves.
Improved weather forecasting with gridded pseudo-token TNPs.
problem Handling large-scale, unstructured spatio-temporal data in weather forecasting.
method Introducing gridded pseudo-token transformer neural processes (TNPs) with efficient attention mechanisms.
result Consistently outperforms baselines on various synthetic and real-world regression tasks involving large-scale data.
Neural network predicts weather probabilities with added uncertainty.
problem Inferring uncertainty from weather predictions.
method Data-driven neural network trained on WeatherBench dataset, combining outputs from subsets of variables.
result More accurate than some numerical models, provides probabilistic information.
This paper reviews radar-based nowcasting techniques for short-term weather predictions.
problem Short-term weather predictions for adverse events like heavy rain and flooding.
method Analysis of existing radar-based nowcasting techniques and machine learning approaches.
result New partnerships between environmental science and machine learning can improve nowcasting.
Graph-based weather prediction adapted for local models.
problem Applying neural weather prediction to limited area modeling.
method Adapting graph-based Neural Weather Prediction approach to local models.
result Validation of multi-scale hierarchical model extension for Nordic region.
Study uses SVM to predict weather-induced home insurance claims and losses.
problem Assessing future weather-induced home insurance claims and losses for disaster preparedness.
method Support Vector Machine (SVM) regression for forecasting future claim dynamics.
result Illustrates SVM approach in forecasting weather-induced home insurance claims in a Canadian city.