A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study rough volatility models using path-dependent PDEs and fractional Brownian motions.
problem Modeling and analyzing rough volatility in financial markets.
method Showed conditional expectations are unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs derived from functional Itô formula. Leverage these to study weak rates of convergence for discretized stochastic integrals.
result Obtained optimal weak error rates for approximating log-stock prices in rough volatility models.
Establishes a microstructural foundation for a rough log-normal volatility model.
problem Developing a robust model for financial volatility under microstructural effects.
method Introduced a sequence of order-driven financial market models with Poisson process arrivals and analyzed their convergence to a log-normal rough volatility model.
result Weak convergence of price-volatility process to a log-normal rough volatility model with established weak error rates.
Large sectors of the recent optimization literature focused in the last decade on the development of optimal stochastic first order schemes for constrained convex models under progressively relaxed assumptions. Stochastic proximal point is an iterative scheme born from the adaptation of proximal point algorithm to nois…
In this paper, we quantitative convergence in W2 for a family of Langevin-like stochastic processes that includes stochastic gradient descent and related gradient-based algorithms. Under certain regularity assumptions, we show that the iterates of these stochastic processes converge to an invariant distribution at a…
New algorithm improves convergence of gradient boosting trees.
problem Global convergence of Newton boosting in tabular machine learning.
method Introduces Gradient Regularized Newton Descent for GBDTs, proving linear convergence for smooth, strongly convex losses and O(k21) rate for general convex losses.
result Achieves globally convergent second-order GBDT algorithm with rate matching first-order boosting.
Boosting is a learning scheme that combines weak prediction rules to produce a strong composite estimator, with the underlying intuition that one can obtain accurate prediction rules by combining "rough" ones. Although boosting is proved to be consistent and overfitting-resistant, its numerical convergence rate is rela…
We present a novel approach for nonparametric regression using wavelet basis functions. Our proposal, waveMesh, can be applied to non-equispaced data with sample size not necessarily a power of 2. We develop an efficient proximal gradient descent algorithm for computing the estimator and establish adaptive m…
The stochastic gradient descent has been widely used for solving composite optimization problems in big data analyses. Many algorithms and convergence properties have been developed. The composite functions were convex primarily and gradually nonconvex composite functions have been adopted to obtain more desirable prop…
Variable selection for models including interactions between explanatory variables often needs to obey certain hierarchical constraints. The weak or strong structural hierarchy requires that the existence of an interaction term implies at least one or both associated main effects to be present in the model. Lately, thi…
In usual stochastic volatility models, the process driving the volatility of the asset price evolves according to an autonomous one-dimensional stochastic differential equation. We assume that the coefficients of this equation are smooth. Using Itô's formula, we get rid, in the asset price dynamics, of the stochastic i…
The AdaBoost algorithm was designed to combine many "weak" hypotheses that perform slightly better than random guessing into a "strong" hypothesis that has very low error. We study the rate at which AdaBoost iteratively converges to the minimum of the "exponential loss." Unlike previous work, our proofs do not require …
The significance of the study of the theoretical and practical properties of AdaBoost is unquestionable, given its simplicity, wide practical use, and effectiveness on real-world datasets. Here we present a few open problems regarding the behavior of "Optimal AdaBoost," a term coined by Rudin, Daubechies, and Schapire …
In this paper we study utility maximization with proportional transaction costs. Assuming extended weak convergence of the underlying processes we prove the convergence of the corresponding utility maximization problems. Moreover, we establish a limit theorem for the optimal trading strategies. The proofs are based on …
We study the rate of growth of normalized Hodge numbers along a tower of abelian covers of a smooth projective variety with semismall Albanese map. These bounds are in some cases optimal. Moreover, we compute the L2-Betti numbers of irregular varieties that satisfy the weak generic Nakano vanishing theorem e.g., var…
Discrete time analogues of ergodic stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are one of the most popular and flexible tools for sampling high-dimensional probability measures. Non-asymptotic analysis in the L2 Wasserstein distance of sampling algorithms based on Euler discretisations of SDEs has been recently develop…
Gradient boosting is a prediction method that iteratively combines weak learners to produce a complex and accurate model. From an optimization point of view, the learning procedure of gradient boosting mimics a gradient descent on a functional variable. This paper proposes to build upon the proximal point algorithm, wh…
This paper investigates tradeoffs among optimization errors, statistical rates of convergence and the effect of heavy-tailed errors for high-dimensional robust regression with nonconvex regularization. When the additive errors in linear models have only bounded second moment, we show that iteratively reweighted $\ell_1…
We construct a general stochastic process and prove weak convergence results. It is scaled in space and through the parameters of its distribution. We show that our simplified scaling is equivalent to time scaling used frequently. The process is constructed as an integral with respect to a Poisson random measure which …
In this paper we discuss the possibility of using multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for weak approximation schemes. It turns out that by means of a simple coupling between consecutive time discretisation levels, one can achieve the same complexity gain as under the presence of a strong convergence. We exemplify thi…