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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,932 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for voxel-wise uncertainty

Unified framework for medical image segmentation using active and semi-supervised learning.

problem Training medical image segmentation models with limited annotated data.
method RegAL, a unified active semi-supervised framework that optimizes sample acquisition and unlabeled data utilization.
result RegAL consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods across various datasets and metrics under extreme annotation scarcity.

Deep learning methods quantify uncertainty in neuroimage enhancement.

problem Uncertainty in deep learning models for medical image enhancement.
method Heteroscedastic noise model and approximate Bayesian inference for uncertainty quantification.
result Uncertainty quantification improves predictive performance and risk assessment.

Proposes a multi-resolution model for prostate cancer classification using mpMRI.

problem Improving voxel-wise classification of prostate cancer using multi-parametric MRI data.
method Multi-resolution Super Learner framework combining local base learners at multiple resolutions and spatial Gaussian kernel smoothing.
result Enhanced voxel-wise classification of prostate cancer status and clinical significance.

fcHMRF-LIS controls FDR in neuroimaging data, improving power and scalability.

problem Complex spatial dependencies and high variability in FDR control methods for neuroimaging data.
method fcHMRF-LIS integrates LIS-based testing with fcHMRF to model spatial structures efficiently.
result fcHMRF-LIS achieves accurate FDR control, lower FNR, and higher true positives compared to existing methods.

MRI method predicts glioma features, survival, and endothelial proliferation.

problem Invasive biopsy limits detection of glioma features due to tumor heterogeneity.
method Voxel-wise, multiparametric MRI radiomics with k-NN classifier.
result Model accurately predicts disease compositions, survival, and endothelial proliferation.

New biomarker predicts MRgFUS treatment outcome without contrast agents.

problem Inaccurate assessment of treated tissue viability after MRgFUS.
method Deep learning on noncontrast multiparametric MRI images, voxel-wise registration.
result Predicted follow-up NPV with DICE coefficient 0.71, outperforming current standard.

The paper uses distance correlation for brain connectivity and a novel multi-task learning model for age prediction.

problem Estimating age-related gender differences in brain functional connectivity.
method Estimates functional connectivity using distance correlation and proposes a non-convex multi-task learning model.
result The proposed non-convex multi-task learning model outperforms other models in age prediction and gender-specific connectivity.

Unified method for input, data, and model uncertainty in neural networks.

problem Uncertainty in neural network inputs and outputs.
method Propagating uncertainty through inputs using a unified formulation.
result More stable decision boundaries with input noise, and propagation of input uncertainty to model outputs.

This paper benchmarks uncertainty disentanglement across various tasks.

problem Disentangling multiple sources of uncertainty for specialized tasks.
method Reimplemented and evaluated a wide range of uncertainty estimators.
result No existing approach provides disentangled uncertainty estimators in practice.

Unified Bayesian framework for quantifying GNN uncertainty.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in GNN predictions due to modeling errors and measurement uncertainty.
method Unified Bayesian framework with aleatoric uncertainty from probabilistic links and feature noise, and epistemic uncertainty from model parameter distribution. Uses Assumed Density Filtering for aleatoric uncertainty and Monte Carlo dropout for model parameter uncertainty.
result Bayesian model performs similarly to frequentist model and provides additional uncertainty information.

Proposes a new criterion for reliable uncertainty estimation in deep neural networks.

problem Inability of existing approaches to provide reliable uncertainty estimates for deep neural networks.
method Develops a density uncertainty layer architecture that satisfies the proposed criterion.
result Density uncertainty layers provide more reliable uncertainty estimates and robust out-of-distribution detection.

Proposes a method to quantify uncertainty in graph neural networks for node classification.

problem Uncertainty in graph neural networks for node classification.
method Bayesian uncertainty propagation (BUP) method embedding GNNs in a Bayesian framework.
result Demonstrates superior performance of the proposed method on benchmark datasets.

A framework for estimating both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties in reinforcement learning.

problem Estimating risk and uncertainty in deep reinforcement learning.
method Proposed a framework for disentangling and estimating epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties on learned Q-values, derived unbiased estimators, and introduced an uncertainty-aware DQN algorithm.
result The uncertainty-aware DQN algorithm exhibits safe learning behavior and outperforms other DQN variants on the MinAtar testbed.

Survey on uncertainty in ML and DL, covering sources, quantification, and decision-making.

problem Understanding and quantifying uncertainty in ML and DL for risk-sensitive applications.
method Structured review of literature, categorizing uncertainty, assessing uncertainty quantification techniques.
result Broadened scope of uncertainty discussion and updated DL uncertainty quantification methods.

Unified Uncertainty Calibration improves AI predictions by combining different types of uncertainty.

problem AI classifiers struggle with uncertainty, leading to miscalibrated predictions and poor performance.
method Unified Uncertainty Calibration (U2C) combines aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties to improve prediction quality.
result U2C outperforms traditional reject-or-classify methods across various ImageNet benchmarks.

New method combines ODE filters and numerical quadrature to propagate model uncertainty.

problem Propagation of model uncertainty in ODE solutions with uncertain parameters.
method Combining ODE filters with numerical quadrature.
result Effective propagation of both numerical and parametric uncertainty.

Paper decomposes risk into aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties and generates predictive uncertainty measures.

problem Unclear relationships between various predictive uncertainty measures in literature.
method Bayesian estimation to decompose risk into aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties, generating different predictive uncertainty measures.
result Experimental validation confirms usefulness of derived predictive uncertainty measures for detecting out-of-distribution and misclassified instances.

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to distributional mismatch between the test and training data distributions. Differe…

2018-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose orthogonality as a necessary condition for disentangling aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.

problem Jointly estimating aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty is problematic and non-trivial.
method We propose orthogonality as a necessary condition for disentanglement and construct UDE to measure orthogonality and consistency.
result Orthogonality and consistency are necessary and sufficient criteria for disentanglement.

New method RECAST improves uncertainty calibration in neural networks.

problem Improving uncertainty estimation in neural networks for better predictions.
method Proposed RECAST method combining cosine annealing, warm restarts, and Stochastic Gradient Langevin Dynamics.
result RECAST offers the best calibrated measure of uncertainty compared to recent methods.

This work introduces a method to decompose uncertainty in in-context learning for large language models.

problem Understanding the sources of uncertainty in in-context learning for large language models.
method Variational uncertainty decomposition framework without sampling from latent parameter posterior.
result Quantitative and qualitative validation of decomposed epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties.

Cooperative model disentangles data uncertainties.

problem Disentangling aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties in real-world data.
method Cooperatively trains a variance estimation network with a Bayesian neural network.
result Improves mean estimation and disentangles uncertainties.

Framework disentangles deep feature uncertainty for efficient inference.

problem Inference-time uncertainty estimation for reliable decision-making.
method Uncertainty-Guided Inference-Time Selection framework.
result Significantly tighter prediction intervals and 60% compute reduction.

This study introduces axioms to assess regression uncertainty measures.

problem Limited formal justification and evaluations of uncertainty measures in regression settings.
method Introduces axioms and analyzes entropy- and variance-based measures in a predictive exponential family context.
result Provides a principled foundation for reliable uncertainty assessment in regression.

Develops a framework to quantify uncertainties in multiple ML models.

problem Uncertainty in ML model predictions and model inputs.
method Develops a theoretical framework to decouple and transform uncertainties.
result Generates joint distribution of ML predictions considering uncertainties.

Second-order methods fail to fully quantify epistemic uncertainty, leading to biased predictions.

problem Incomplete quantification of epistemic uncertainty in machine learning models.
method Analysis of existing second-order uncertainty estimation methods.
result Current methods overestimate aleatoric uncertainty and underestimate epistemic uncertainty, leading to biased predictions.

Bayesian inference improves neural network predictions by separating aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties.

problem Improving prediction accuracy of neural networks by quantifying and separating uncertainties.
method Approximated posterior distributions using deep ensembles for various neural network architectures.
result Prediction accuracy depends on both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties, not just marginalized uncertainty.

This paper tackles uncertainty in deep learning for construction of prediction intervals.

problem Deep learning models lack the ability to provide reliable prediction intervals for high-risk tasks.
method The authors design a special loss function to learn both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties without requiring uncertainty labels.
result The method constructs prediction intervals that are competitive with state-of-the-art methods on publicly available datasets.

This paper examines sources of uncertainty in machine learning from a statistical perspective.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in supervised machine learning models.
method A conceptual, basic science approach examining aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty.
result Sources of uncertainty are diverse and cannot always be decomposed into aleatoric and epistemic.

Study decomposes uncertainty in HK-distribution parameter estimation for QUS.

problem Uncertainty in HK-distribution parameter estimation for quantitative ultrasound.
method Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) for parameter estimation and uncertainty decomposition.
result Decomposes total predictive uncertainty into epistemic and aleatoric components.

This paper uses a diffusion model to forecast electrical loads with uncertainty.

problem Uncertainties in electrical load forecasting due to renewable energy and external events.
method Diffusion-based Seq2Seq structure for epistemic uncertainty and robust additive Cauchy distribution for aleatoric uncertainty.
result Ability to separate and quantify both types of uncertainties in load forecasting.