Proposes methods to accurately learn manifolds and their distributions.
problem Data often lives on low-dimensional manifolds, but normalizing flows struggle with this.
method Introduces two methods to calculate the volume-change term for flows on manifolds.
result Tractable calculation of volume-change term leads to more accurate manifold learning.
Given a hyperbolic 3-manifold M containing an embedded closed geodesic, we estimate the volume of a complete hyperbolic metric on the complement of the geodesic in terms of the geometry of M. As a corollary, we show that the smallest volume orientable hyperbolic 3-manifold has volume >.32 .
Model predicts trade volume changes from financial filings.
problem Improving financial market understanding through machine learning.
method Hierarchical Reformer model trained on SEDAR filings.
result Model can predict trade volume changes without explicit training.
Study proves a new flow method for mean curvature with volume change analysis.
problem Existence of BV flow via mean curvature flow.
method Elliptic regularization to prove existence of generalized BV flow.
result Proves existence of generalized BV flow with volume change expression.
Uniform linear bounds on volume changes in 3D hyperbolic spaces.
problem Volume variation in hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Uniform linear bounds proof for drilling and filling operations.
result Uniform linear bounds on volume variation proved.
Normalizing flows optimize Jacobian determinant for unique likelihood objective.
problem Optimizing normalizing flows for unique likelihood.
method Showed Jacobian determinant is unique for given distributions, leading to a unique global optimum. Used eigenvalues of auto-correlation matrix for explicit likelihood expression.
result Explicit expression of likelihood for flows, independent of neural network parameterization, with theoretical optimal value.
In finance, one usually deals not with prices but with growth rates R, defined as the difference in logarithm between two consecutive prices. Here we consider not the trading volume, but rather the volume growth rate R~, the difference in logarithm between two consecutive values of trading volume. To this end…
Study of volume dynamics at market spread in Bitcoin/USD.
problem Understanding the statistical properties of order volumes in financial markets.
method Examined the dynamical properties of volume available at the spread, focusing on mean reversion, asymmetry, and clustering.
result Evidence of mean reverting volume changes and strong asymmetries in sell and buy orders.
Study shows how COVID-19 pandemic affected China's crude oil futures market efficiency.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on China's crude oil futures market efficiency.
method Multifractal analysis to compare market efficiency before and during the pandemic.
result Market efficiency of SC and its cross-correlations with other assets increased significantly after the outbreak of COVID-19.
Proves existence of multi-phase flows from arbitrary initial data.
problem Non-uniqueness issue in Brakke flows.
method Global existence proof for multi-phase mean curvature flow.
result Validates explicit identity for evolving grain volumes.
Users in social networks whose posts stay at the top of their followers'{} feeds the longest time are more likely to be noticed. Can we design an online algorithm to help them decide when to post to stay at the top? In this paper, we address this question as a novel optimal control problem for jump stochastic different…
With the increased need for multi-center magnetic resonance imaging studies, problems arise related to differences in hardware and software between centers. Namely, current algorithms for brain volume quantification are unreliable for the longitudinal assessment of volume changes in this type of setting. Currently most…
One-step diffusion samplers reduce sampling time and computational costs.
problem Efficient sampling from complex distributions.
method One-step diffusion, self-distillation, deterministic flow.
result Achieves competitive sample quality with fewer evaluations.
A new method for learning manifolds efficiently using canonical basis functions.
problem Learning manifolds in high-dimensional data with efficient and distinct latent dimensions.
method Proposes a novel optimization objective to enforce a transformation matrix with a few prominent and non-degenerate basis functions.
result Demonstrates that minimizing the off-diagonal manifold metric elements ℓ1-norm results in a more efficient latent space representation. QC-SPHARM detects Alzheimer's Disease early using hippocampal surface geometry.
problem Early detection of Alzheimer's Disease (AD) using hippocampal surface geometry.
method Spherical harmonics registration, conformality and curvature distortions quantification, t-test feature selection, SVM classification.
result 85.2% testing accuracy on ADNI data, 81.2% on aMCI progression data.
New KNN test improves association analysis of high-dimensional sequencing data.
problem Challenges in using neural networks for high-dimensional sequencing data analysis.
method Kernel-based neural network (KNN) test for complex association analysis.
result KNN test outperforms SKAT in detecting non-linear and interaction effects.
Model combines long-term and short-term memory using conceptors.
problem Transfer between long-term and short-term memory.
method Recurrent neural network with gated reservoir for short-term memory and conceptors for long-term memory.
result Standard operations on conceptors allow combining long-term memories and describing their effect on short-term memory.
Kernel method estimates long-term effects from short-term data.
problem Estimating long-term effects from short-term data in continuous actions.
method Kernel ridge regression to embed and extrapolate long-term effects.
result Uniform consistency and nonasymptotic error bounds for the estimator.
New framework estimates long-term outcomes from short-term data.
problem Estimating long-term outcomes from short-term data.
method Reward function decomposition-based framework (LOPE).
result LOPE outperforms existing methods, especially when surrogacy is violated.
The paper presents the comparative study of the nature of stock markets in short-term and long-term time scales with and without structural break in the stock data. Structural break point has been identified by applying Zivot and Andrews structural trend break model to break the original time series (TSO) into time ser…
TimeBridge addresses non-stationarity in long-term time series forecasting.
problem Non-stationarity in multivariate time series leads to spurious regressions and obscures long-term relationships.
method TimeBridge segments series into patches, applying Integrated Attention for short-term non-stationarity and Cointegrated Attention for long-term cointegration.
result TimeBridge achieves state-of-the-art performance in both short-term and long-term forecasting.
This paper balances short-term and long-term rewards in policy learning.
problem Balancing short-term and long-term rewards in policy learning.
method Formalizes a new framework to balance rewards, identifies rewards under mild assumptions, deduces efficiency bounds, and develops a policy learning approach.
result The proposed method improves the estimator of long-term reward and reduces regret.
This paper proposes a framework to predict long-term trends and short-term fluctuations in multivariate time series.
problem Existing prediction methods often ignore the distinction between long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.
method The paper introduces a MTS forecasting framework that uses both original time series and its first difference to capture long-term trends and short-term fluctuations.
result The proposed method improves forecasting performance by using more supervision information.
MTAdam optimizes multiple loss terms in neural models, balancing gradients dynamically.
problem Balancing multiple loss terms in neural model training is challenging and computationally demanding.
method Generalized Adam algorithm that computes separate derivatives and balances gradients across layers dynamically.
result Training with MTAdam leads to faster recovery from suboptimal initial loss weighting and matches conventional training outcomes.
We introduce here for the first time the long-term swap rate, characterised as the fair rate of an overnight indexed swap with infinitely many exchanges. Furthermore we analyse the relationship between the long-term swap rate, the long-term yield, see Biagini et al. [2018], Biagini and Härtel [2014], and El Karoui et a…
Enhanced word embedding creates new consumer-friendly health terms.
problem Laymen's health terms are often jargon and hard to understand.
method Developed an enhanced GloVe word embedding technique to generate new consumer-friendly terms.
result New CHV terms generated from consumer-generated text.
This paper uses Bayesian models to analyze CTA returns across short and long-term trends.
problem The relative merits and interactions of short- and long-term trend systems in CTA replication remain controversial.
method Dynamic decomposition of CTA returns into short-term trend, long-term trend, and market beta factors using a Bayesian graphical model.
result The blend of horizons shapes the strategy's risk-adjusted performance.
The paper tackles long-term treatment effects with persistent confounders using sequential short-term outcomes.
problem Estimating long-term treatment effects with persistent unmeasured confounders.
method Exploiting the sequential structure of short-term outcomes, the paper develops three novel identification strategies and corresponding estimators.
result The proposed methods outperform existing approaches in handling persistent confounders.
TimeMixer predicts global financial asset volatility, excelling in short-term forecasts.
problem Predicting volatility in global financial markets is challenging due to complexity and non-linear dynamics.
method Uses TimeMixer, a multiscale-mixing model for forecasting across different scales.
result TimeMixer performs exceptionally well in short-term volatility forecasting but less so in longer-term predictions.
We study the mean curvature flow with given non-smooth transport term and forcing term, in suitable Sobolev spaces. We prove the global existence of the weak solutions for the mean curvature flow with the terms, by using the modified Allen-Cahn equation that holds useful properties such as the monotonicity formula.
In this paper, we proposed a deep learning-based end-to-end method on the domain specified automatic term extraction (ATE), it considers possible term spans within a fixed length in the sentence and predicts them whether they can be conceptual terms. In comparison with current ATE methods, the model supports nested ter…
The study finds solar terms significantly impact China's stock market returns and volatility.
problem Investigating the effect of solar terms on China's stock market.
method Regression framework, analyzing multiple solar terms and their impact on return and volatility.
result Solar terms 1, 3, and 4 cause significant positive returns, while 8, 11, and 14 bring high volatility.
We derive a closed formula for the Heegaard Floer correction terms of lens spaces in terms of the classical Dedekind sum and its generalization, the Dedekind-Rademacher sum. Our proof relies on a reciprocity formula for the correction terms established by Ozsvath and Szabo. A consequence of our result is that the Casso…
Estimates long-term effects from short-term experiments and observational data with unobserved confounders.
problem Estimating long-term causal effects from short-term experiments and long-term observational data with unobserved confounding.
method Combining regression residuals with short-term experimental outcomes to create an instrumental variable for estimating long-term causal effects.
result The estimator is unbiased and its variance is analytically studied.
A new term weighting scheme TF-IDFC-RF outperforms others in sentiment analysis.
problem Improving text classification in sentiment analysis.
method Proposes a novel supervised term weighting scheme TF-IDFC-RF and compares it with other schemes.
result TF-IDFC-RF outperforms all other schemes on two sentiment analysis datasets.
In information retrieval (IR) and related tasks, term weighting approaches typically consider the frequency of the term in the document and in the collection in order to compute a score reflecting the importance of the term for the document. In tasks characterized by the presence of training data (such as text classifi…
Combines CNN and Transformer for financial time series forecasting.
problem Forecasting financial time series, especially stock prices, is challenging due to short-term and long-term dependencies.
method Uses CNN for short-term dependencies and Transformer for long-term dependencies.
result Demonstrated superior performance in forecasting stock price changes compared to traditional methods.
Combining experimental and observational data for long-term causal effects.
problem Estimating causal effects of treatment on long-term outcomes using mixed data types.
method Three approaches for fusing experimental and observational data: equal confounding, shared confounder, and proxy variables.
result Developed estimators for each approach and analyzed their robustness.
Study curve flows with global forcing terms using a distance comparison principle.
problem Analyse the behavior of curves under curve flows with global forcing terms.
method Prove a distance comparison principle for curve shortening flow with arbitrary global forcing terms.
result Established a distance comparison principle for curve flows with global forcing terms.
We study the long-term memory in diverse stock market indices and foreign exchange rates using the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis(DFA). For all daily and high-frequency market data studied, no significant long-term memory property is detected in the return series, while a strong long-term memory property is found in th…
Much work has been done on feature selection. Existing methods are based on document frequency, such as Chi-Square Statistic, Information Gain etc. However, these methods have two shortcomings: one is that they are not reliable for low-frequency terms, and the other is that they only count whether one term occurs in a …
New algorithm optimizes for long-term user satisfaction in delayed reward settings.
problem Optimizing for long-term user satisfaction in delayed reward settings.
method Developed a predictive model of delayed rewards and a bandit algorithm that combines rewards and surrogate outcomes.
result Our algorithm significantly outperforms methods that optimize for short-term proxies or rely solely on delayed rewards.
We propose a new algorithm---Stochastic Proximal Langevin Algorithm (SPLA)---for sampling from a log concave distribution. Our method is a generalization of the Langevin algorithm to potentials expressed as the sum of one stochastic smooth term and multiple stochastic nonsmooth terms. In each iteration, our splitting t…
Study analyzes fintech terms in news and blogs, revealing specialized attributes of fintech companies.
problem Understanding specialized attributes of fintech companies through term analysis.
method Large scale analysis of fintech terms in news and blogs, using complex networks and statistically validated networks.
result Companies with fintech terms have over-expressions of specific attributes related to geography and economy.
This paper examines the volatility and covariance dynamics of cash and futures contracts that underlie the Optimal Hedge Ratio (OHR) across different hedging time horizons. We examine whether hedge ratios calculated over a short term hedging horizon can be scaled and successfully applied to longer term horizons. We als…
New algorithm optimizes long-term user satisfaction in recommendation systems.
problem Optimizing long-term user satisfaction in recommendation systems with delayed rewards.
method Developed a predictive model of delayed rewards and a bandit algorithm that balances exploration and exploitation.
result Our approach results in substantially better performance compared to short-term or delayed optimization.
Different investment strategies are adopted in short-term and long-term depending on the time scales, even though time scales are adhoc in nature. Empirical mode decomposition based Hurst exponent analysis and variance technique have been applied to identify the time scales for short-term and long-term investment from …
Digital transformation boosts corporate financial asset allocation, especially short-term.
problem Understanding how digital transformation affects corporate financial decisions.
method Fixed-effects models and staggered DID design using A-share listed companies data.
result Digital transformation significantly promotes corporate financial asset allocation, more pronounced in short-term.