New partition designs reduce star discrepancy in high-dimensional sampling.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Paper reinterprets ARP algorithm and improves its analysis and speed.
Active Learning (AL) is a learning task that requires learners interactively query the labels of the sampled unlabeled instances to minimize the training outputs with human supervisions. In theoretical study, learners approximate the version space which covers all possible classification hypothesis into a bounded conve…
We study dual volume sampling, a method for selecting k columns from an n x m short and wide matrix (n <= k <= m) such that the probability of selection is proportional to the volume spanned by the rows of the induced submatrix. This method was proposed by Avron and Boutsidis (2013), who showed it to be a promising met…
Efficiently samples arbitrary compact bodies with polynomial complexity.
Efficient algorithm for sampling from arbitrary compact bodies.
We study the following basic machine learning task: Given a fixed set of -dimensional input points for a linear regression problem, we wish to predict a hidden response value for each of the points. We can only afford to attain the responses for a small subset of the points that are then used to construct linear pre…
Consider linear regression where the examples are generated by an unknown distribution on . Without any assumptions on the noise, the linear least squares solution for any i.i.d. sample will typically be biased w.r.t. the least squares optimum over the entire distribution. However, we show that if an i.i.d…
We revisit and demonstrate the Epps effect using two well-known non-parametric covariance estimators; the Malliavin and Mancino (MM), and Hayashi and Yoshida (HY) estimators. We show the existence of the Epps effect in the top 10 stocks from the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) by various methods of aggregating Trade …
One-step diffusion samplers reduce sampling time and computational costs.
Modeling trading volume curves using hierarchical Poisson processes.
Extends conformal prediction to contrastive learning for better coverage of positive samples.
A new method improves Bayesian deep learning by balancing scalability and accuracy.
We study the optimal design problems where the goal is to choose a set of linear measurements to obtain the most accurate estimate of an unknown vector in dimensions. We study the -optimal design variant where the objective is to minimize the average variance of the error in the maximum likelihood estimate of th…
Improved sample efficiency for private learning of Gaussian mixtures.
Paper uses Transformers to predict intraday volume ratio with high accuracy.
We introduce a new model in order to describe the fluctuation of tick-by-tick financial time series. Our model, based on marked point process, allows us to incorporate in a unique process the duration of the transaction and the corresponding volume of orders. The model is motivated by the fact that the "excitation" of …
The robustness and integrity of IP networks require efficient tools for traffic monitoring and analysis, which scale well with traffic volume and network size. We address the problem of optimal large-scale flow monitoring of computer networks under resource constraints. We propose a stochastic optimization framework wh…
CVAE improves stock volume forecasting with advanced input variables.
Carbon capture and storage (CCS) can aid decarbonization of the atmosphere to limit further global temperature increases. A framework utilizing unsupervised learning is used to generate a range of subsurface geologic volumes to investigate potential sites for long-term storage of carbon dioxide. Generative adversarial …
Optimizes minimum-volume prediction sets for multivariate regression.
We describe a model of random links based on random 4-valent maps, which can be sampled due to the work of Schaeffer. We will look at the relationship between the combinatorial information in the diagram and the hyperbolic volume. Specifically, we show that for random alternating diagrams, the expected hyperbolic volum…
This work introduces a new sampling method to approximate an optimal design problem in ridge regression.
This paper studies the geometry of minimum-volume confidence sets for multinomial parameters.
Study optimizes prediction intervals in conformal regression.
Non-Negative Matrix Factorization, NMF, attempts to find a number of archetypal response profiles, or parts, such that any sample profile in the dataset can be approximated by a close profile among these archetypes or a linear combination of these profiles. The non-negativity constraint is imposed while estimating arch…
Swept Volume (SV), the volume displaced by an object when it is moving along a trajectory, is considered a useful metric for motion planning. First, SV has been used to identify collisions along a trajectory, because it directly measures the amount of space required for an object to move. Second, in sampling-based moti…
Estimates dimension of subsets from random samples, proving consistency.
We relate some basic constructions of stochastic analysis to differential geometry, via random walk approximations. We consider walks on both Riemannian and sub-Riemannian manifolds in which the steps consist of travel along either geodesics or integral curves associated to orthonormal frames, and we give particular at…
New method calculates Ricci curvature from distances between weighted volumes.
We give the first rigorous proof of the convergence of Riemannian Hamiltonian Monte Carlo, a general (and practical) method for sampling Gibbs distributions. Our analysis shows that the rate of convergence is bounded in terms of natural smoothness parameters of an associated Riemannian manifold. We then apply the metho…
Algorithm finds small confidence sets for arbitrary distributions.
Study improves MACD trading strategy with volume and price adjustments.
Reinforcement learning is explored as a candidate machine learning technique to enhance existing analytical solutions for optimal trade execution with elements from the market microstructure. Given a volume-to-trade, fixed time horizon and discrete trading periods, the aim is to adapt a given volume trajectory such tha…
A fundamental task in kernel methods is to pick nodes and weights, so as to approximate a given function from an RKHS by the weighted sum of kernel translates located at the nodes. This is the crux of kernel density estimation, kernel quadrature, or interpolation from discrete samples. Furthermore, RKHSs offer a conven…
We study the problem of "isotropically rounding" a polytope , that is, computing a linear transformation which makes the uniform distribution on the polytope have roughly identity covariance matrix. We assume is defined by linear inequalities, with guarantee that , w…
We develop an efficient algorithm to find confidence ellipsoids with volume guarantees in high dimensions.
The aim of this paper is to establish two fundamental measure-metric properties of particular random geometric graphs. We consider -neighborhood graphs whose vertices are drawn independently and identically distributed from a common distribution defined on a regular submanifold of . We show t…
The Epps effect varies under different sampling schemes, affecting correlation emergence rates.
The paper investigates topic models, ensuring their statistical identifiability and accuracy.
Time and Sales of corn futures traded electronically on the CME Group Globex are studied. Theories of continuous prices turn upside down reality of intra-day trading. Prices and their increments are discrete and obey lattice probability distributions. A function for systematic evolution of futures trading volume is pro…
Unsupervised learning of probabilistic models is a central yet challenging problem in machine learning. Specifically, designing models with tractable learning, sampling, inference and evaluation is crucial in solving this task. We extend the space of such models using real-valued non-volume preserving (real NVP) transf…
SVR-Tree improves classification trees for imbalanced and sparse data.
Novel analysis of neural networks using geometric algebra and convex optimization.
In linear regression we wish to estimate the optimum linear least squares predictor for a distribution over -dimensional input points and real-valued responses, based on a small sample. Under standard random design analysis, where the sample is drawn i.i.d. from the input distribution, the least squares solution for…
We introduce a method that uses the Cauchy-Crofton formula and a new curvature formula from integral geometry to reweight the sampling probabilities of Metropolis-within-Gibbs algorithms in order to increase their convergence speed. We consider algorithms that sample from a probability density conditioned on a manifold…
MRI image quality affects statistical and predictive analysis of brain morphology.
We examine volume computation of general-dimensional polytopes and more general convex bodies, defined as the intersection of a simplex by a family of parallel hyperplanes, and another family of parallel hyperplanes or a family of concentric ellipsoids. Such convex bodies appear in modeling and predicting financial cri…