We examine the relationship between trading volumes, number of transactions, and volatility using daily stock data of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Following the mixture of distributions hypothesis, we use trading volumes and the number of transactions as proxy for the rate of information arrivals affecting stock volatilit…
On-device research index
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
168,695 papers · 148 categories
Trend · papers per month
48 results for “volume of transactions”
Motivated by how transaction amount constrain trading volume and price volatility in stock market, we, in this paper, study the relation between volume and price if amount of transaction is given. We find that accumulative trading volume gradually emerges a kurtosis near the price mean value over a trading price range …
Study reveals dynamic causal relationships between Ethereum transaction fees and economic subsystems.
problem Historical gas fee volatility caused economic disequilibria and stakeholder challenges.
method Time-varying Granger causality analysis using data on active wallets and transaction volume.
result Dynamic bidirectional causal relationships between transaction fees and economic subsystems across Ethereum.
There's more to volatility than volumephysics.soc-ph
It is widely believed that fluctuations in transaction volume, as reflected in the number of transactions and to a lesser extent their size, are the main cause of clustered volatility. Under this view bursts of rapid or slow price diffusion reflect bursts of frequent or less frequent trading, which cause both clustered…
The paper explores various option pricing models by considering the volume of transactions and its impact on volatility.
problem The classical BSM model's assumption of identical Brownian processes for value and volume of transactions is challenged.
method The paper derives and analyzes 2D, 3D, and nonlinear BSM-like equations by considering the volume of transactions and agents' expectations.
result The introduction of volume into option pricing models leads to more complex and accurate equations.
Generalized Technical Analysis. Effects of transaction volume and riskcond-mat.stat-mech
We generalize the momentum indicator idea taking into account the volume of transactions as a multiplicative factor. We compare returns obtained following strategies based on the classical or the generalized technical analysis, taking into account a sort of risk investor criterion.
Study of volume dynamics at market spread in Bitcoin/USD.
problem Understanding the statistical properties of order volumes in financial markets.
method Examined the dynamical properties of volume available at the spread, focusing on mean reversion, asymmetry, and clustering.
result Evidence of mean reverting volume changes and strong asymmetries in sell and buy orders.
Optimizes large stock order execution with LSTM neural networks.
problem Minimizing transaction costs in large stock order execution.
method Trained LSTM neural network to minimize transaction costs.
result LSTM strategy outperforms TWAP and VWAP strategies.
In a market with one safe and one risky asset, an investor with a long horizon, constant investment opportunities, and constant relative risk aversion trades with small proportional transaction costs. We derive explicit formulas for the optimal investment policy, its implied welfare, liquidity premium, and trading volu…
This paper conducts an empirically study on the trade package composed of a sequence of consecutive purchases or sales of 23 stocks in Chinese stock market. We investigate the probability distributions of the execution time, the number of trades and the total trading volume of trade packages, and analyze the possible s…
The Lightning Network is a so-called second-layer technology built on top of the Bitcoin blockchain to provide "off-chain" fast payment channels between users, which means that not all transactions are settled and stored on the main blockchain. In this paper, we model the emergence of the Lightning Network as a (bond) …
We empirically study the trading activity in the electronic on-book segment and in the dealership off-book segment of the London Stock Exchange, investigating separately the trading of active market members and of other market participants which are non-members. We find that (i) the volume distribution of off-book tran…
We study the problem of optimal execution of a trading order under Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) benchmark, from the point of view of a risk-averse broker. The problem consists in minimizing mean-variance of the slippage, with quadratic transaction costs. We devise multiple ways to solve it, in particular we stu…
Detecting unusual trading patterns on cryptocurrency exchanges by means of complexity measuresq-fin.TR
Study detects unusual trading patterns on crypto exchanges using complexity measures.
problem Detecting artificial trading activity on cryptocurrency exchanges.
method Complexity and statistical-structure measures derived from high-frequency trade-level data.
result Unusual trading patterns detected on Bitget for BTC and ETH after mid-May 2025.
We report on the occurrence of an anomaly in the price impacts of small transaction volumes following a change in the fee structure of an electronic market. We first review evidence for the existence of a master curve for price impact on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). On attempting to re-estimate a master curve…
We investigate the general structure of optimal investment and consumption with small proportional transaction costs. For a safe asset and a risky asset with general continuous dynamics, traded with random and time-varying but small transaction costs, we derive simple formal asymptotics for the optimal policy and welfa…
This paper examines challenges in analyzing NFT transaction data.
problem Challenges in analyzing NFT transaction data due to non-fungible nature and blockchain.
method Analysis of transaction history of eight NFT collections.
result Illustrates challenges such as price differentiation, lateral swaps, and volatility.
In this paper, we study the possibility of inferring early warning indicators (EWIs) for periods of extreme bitcoin price volatility using features obtained from Bitcoin daily transaction graphs. We infer the low-dimensional representations of transaction graphs in the time period from 2012 to 2017 using Bitcoin blockc…
Stock mechanics: unification with economyphysics.comp-ph
Associating stock mechanics to real economy, in terms of volume, number of transactions, and cost, i.e. money flow for shares, we obtained the fundamental laws of stock mechanics.
We develop a theoretical trading conditioning model subject to price volatility and return information in terms of market psychological behavior, based on analytical transaction volume-price probability wave distributions in which we use transaction volume probability to describe price volatility uncertainty and intens…
New tontine model with transaction costs for retirees.
problem Maximizing consumption and bequest utilities for retirees.
method Formulated as a stochastic and impulse control problem, characterized by viscosity solutions.
result V-shaped transaction region with two stages: smoothing and gambling.
On the Origin of Power-Law Fluctuations in Stock Pricescond-mat.dis-nn
We respond to the issues discussed by Farmer and Lillo (FL) related to our proposed approach to understanding the origin of power-law distributions in stock price fluctuations. First, we extend our previous analysis to 1000 US stocks and perform a new estimation of market impact that accounts for splitting of large ord…
Proves FTAP in markets with or without transaction costs.
problem Applying FTAP to markets with transaction costs.
method Proof based on strict no-arbitrage condition, no concatenation or boundedness properties required.
result FTAP proven for both frictionless and markets with transaction costs.
Statistical Properties of Share Volume Traded in Financial Marketscond-mat.stat-mech
We quantitatively investigate the ideas behind the often-expressed adage `it takes volume to move stock prices', and study the statistical properties of the number of shares traded for a given stock in a fixed time interval . We analyze transaction data for the largest 1000 stocks for the two-year period 1…
Traditional market makers are losing their importance as automated systems have largely assumed the role of liquidity provision in markets. We update the model of Glosten and Milgrom (1985) to analyze this new world: we add multiple securities and introduce an automated market maker who uses the relationships between s…
Market Impact Paradoxesq-fin.TR
The market impact (MI) of Volume Weighted Average Price (VWAP) orders is a convex function of a trading rate, but most empirical estimates of transaction cost are concave functions. How is this possible? We show that isochronic (constant trading time) MI is slightly convex, and isochoric (constant trading volume) MI is…
Price without transaction makes no sense. Trading volume authenticates its corresponding price, so there exist mutual information and correlation between price and trading volume. We are curious about fractal features of this correlation and need to know how structures in different scales translate information. To expl…
Deep learning optimizes VWAP strategy for lower transaction costs.
problem Designing an efficient VWAP strategy for dynamic markets.
method Hierarchical deep reinforcement learning (Macro-Meta-Micro Trader).
result Our approach achieves an average cost saving of 1.16 base points.
Trading large volumes of a financial asset in order driven markets requires the use of algorithmic execution dividing the volume in many transactions in order to minimize costs due to market impact. A proper design of an optimal execution strategy strongly depends on a careful modeling of market impact, i.e. how the pr…
The study examines cryptocurrency market activity, revealing multifractal inter-transaction times and challenging traditional statistical models.
problem Analyzing long-range autocorrelations and multifractality in cryptocurrency market activity.
method Analysis of tick-by-tick data from multiple cryptocurrency trading platforms, focusing on inter-transaction times, transaction volumes, and volatility.
result Inter-transaction times exhibit multifractality, indicating periods of increased market activity are more complex than quiet periods.
An investor with constant relative risk aversion and an infinite planning horizon trades a risky and a safe asset with constant investment opportunities, in the presence of small transaction costs and a binding exogenous portfolio constraint. We explicitly derive the optimal trading policy, its welfare, and implied tra…
Temporal mixture ensemble models for intraday volume forecasting in cryptocurrency exchange marketsq-fin.TR
Temporal mixture ensemble predicts cryptocurrency exchange volumes better than traditional methods.
problem Intraday volume forecasting in cryptocurrency markets.
method Temporal mixture ensemble model using transaction and order book data.
result The model outperforms traditional time series and machine learning methods.
This paper creates a comprehensive BTC transaction network dataset spanning 15 years.
problem Lack of a full-history BTC graph and network property dataset.
method Thorough analysis of BTC transaction network, creating a dataset and investigating decentralization.
result First systematic investigation of BTC's asset decentralization and design of decentralization degrees.
Volume of the steady-state space of financial flows in a monetary stock-flow-consistent modelphysics.soc-ph
We show that a steady-state stock-flow consistent macro-economic model can be represented as a Constraint Satisfaction Problem (CSP).The set of solutions is a polytope, which volume depends on the constraintsapplied and reveals the potential fragility of the economic circuit,with no need to study the dynamics. Several …
Ethereum transition to PoS reduces energy consumption and decentralizes the network.
problem Transitioning from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake to reduce energy consumption and decentralize the network.
method Analyzed the impact of the Ethereum transition to proof-of-stake on network performance, competing platforms, and transaction fees.
result The transition to PoS has reduced energy consumption by 99.98% and decreased network concentration.
On the origin of power law tails in price fluctuationscond-mat.stat-mech
In a recent Nature paper, Gabaix et al. \cite{Gabaix03} presented a theory to explain the power law tail of price fluctuations. The main points of their theory are that volume fluctuations, which have a power law tail with exponent roughly -1.5, are modulated by the average market impact function, which describes the r…
Power Laws and Gaussians for Stock Market Fluctuationsphysics.soc-ph
The daily volume of transaction on the New York Stock Exchange and its day-to-day fluctuations are analysed with respect to power-law tails as well long-term trends. We also model the transition to a Gaussian distribution for longer time intervals, like months instead of days.
The observation of power laws in the time to extrema of volatility, volume and intertrade times, from milliseconds to years, are shown to result straightforwardly from the selection of biased statistical subsets of realizations in otherwise featureless processes such as random walks. The bias stems from the selection o…
We investigate the correlation properties of transaction data from the New York Stock Exchange. The trading activity f(t) of each stock displays a crossover from weaker to stronger correlations at time scales 60-390 minutes. In both regimes, the Hurst exponent H depends logarithmically on the liquidity of the stock, me…
We introduce a new model in order to describe the fluctuation of tick-by-tick financial time series. Our model, based on marked point process, allows us to incorporate in a unique process the duration of the transaction and the corresponding volume of orders. The model is motivated by the fact that the "excitation" of …
Model liquidity premia using a risk-sharing economy with quadratic costs.
problem Understanding the cross-section of liquidity premia earned by assets with different trading costs.
method Developed a risk-sharing economy model with quadratic transaction costs, leading to matrix-valued Riccati equations for equilibrium.
result Calibrated model to time series data, revealing liquidity premia across assets with varying trading costs.
The study challenges the reliability of VaR due to market randomness.
problem Reliability and accuracy of VaR predictions are compromised by market randomness.
method Introduces market-based probabilities of price and return, dependent on trade values and volumes.
result Market-based price volatility is more accurate than frequency-based VaR predictions.
In the seminal paper on optimal execution of portfolio transactions, Almgren and Chriss (2001) define the optimal trading strategy to liquidate a fixed volume of a single security under price uncertainty. Yet there exist situations, such as in the power market, in which the volume to be traded can only be estimated and…
Ethereum trends analyzed through blockchain transactions and Google searches.
problem Identifying market manipulation in crypto prices.
method Big data analysis of Ethereum transactions, smart contracts, and search volumes.
result Big players manipulate crypto markets after price drops.
A new sequencing rule prevents miners from front-running transactions in decentralized exchanges.
problem Miners exploit their privileged position to front-run transactions, leading to unfair profits.
method Introduce verifiable sequencing rules that constrain transaction execution order and are verifiable.
result A verifiable sequencing rule ensures users receive at least fair execution prices, preventing front-running.
Universal Patterns in the Blockchain: Analysis of EOAs and Smart Contracts in ERC20 Token Networksq-fin.ST
This study reveals statistical patterns in ERC20 token transactions on Ethereum blockchain.
problem Understanding transactional dynamics in decentralized systems.
method Examined over 44 million ERC20 token transfers, categorized by address type (EOA or SC), and analyzed using scaling laws.
result EOA-driven transactions exhibit consistent statistical behavior, while SC-driven activity displays sublinear scaling and bursty activity.
Human stablecoin transactions predict political risk in cryptocurrency markets.
problem Predicting political risk in cryptocurrency markets.
method Structural break analysis and surrogate-based robustness tests.
result Human-driven stablecoin transactions shift significantly before major political events.
Scaling Law for the Distribution of Fluctuations of Share Volumecond-mat.stat-mech
We show power-scaling behaviors for fluctuations in share volume, which no other studies have so far done. After analyzing a database of the daily transactions for all securities listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, we selected 1050 large companies that each had an unbroken series of daily trading activity from January …