arXiv research

Improved visibility forecasts using statistical post-processing.

Enhanced visibility forecasts using CAMS data improve accuracy.

YC Bench forecasts startup success in Y Combinator batches with a short-term metric.

A graph neural network improves multivariate post-processing of ensemble forecasts.

Weather and atmospheric patterns are often persistent. The simplest weather forecasting method is the so-called persistence model, which assumes that the future state of a system will be similar (or equal) to the present state. Machine learning (ML) models are widely used in different weather forecasting applications, …

Cryptocurrency, the most controversial and simultaneously the most interesting asset, has attracted many investors and speculators in recent years. The visibly significant market capitalization of cryptos also motivates modern financial instruments such as futures and options. Those will depend on the dynamics, volatil…

Visible Lagrangians in Hitchin systems are studied for pillowcase covers.

Characterizes visibility and geodesic loops in complex domains.

Study visibility properties of Kobayashi distance on unbounded domains.

We show that the translation length of any parabolic isometry on a complete semi-uniformly visible CAT(0) space is always zero. As a consequence, we will classify the isometries on visible CAT(0) spaces in terms of translation lengths. We will also show that the moduli space $\mathbb{M}(S_{g,n})$ of surface $S_{g,n}$ o…

Research focuses on predicting electricity prices with complex models considering probabilistic forecasts.

Model forecasts natural gas consumption with Fourier series and feedback.

Recently, the visibility graph has been introduced as a novel view for analyzing time series, which maps it to a complex network. In this paper, we introduce new algorithm of visibility, "cross-visibility", which reveals the conjugation of two coupled time series. The correspondence between the two time series is mappe…

This article is devoted to the study of prime alternating +achiral knots. In the case of arborescent knots, we prove in +AAA Visibility Theorem 5.1, that the symmetry is visible on a certain projection (not necessarily minimal) and that it is realised by a homeomorphism of order 4. In the general case (arborescent or n…

Prediction markets can shape political behavior through persistent signals, not just forecast accuracy.

The visibility transformation embeds data position into signature features for efficient pattern recognition.

We give emphasis on the use of chaos-based rigorous nonlinear technique called Visibility Graph Analysis, to study one economic time series - gold price of USA. This method can offer reliable results with fiinite data. This paper reports the result of such an analysis on the times series depicting the fluctuation of go…

Deep Learning is a consolidated, state-of-the-art Machine Learning tool to fit a function when provided with large data sets of examples. However, in regression tasks, the straightforward application of Deep Learning models provides a point estimate of the target. In addition, the model does not take into account the u…

The family of image visibility graphs (IVGs) have been recently introduced as simple algorithms by which scalar fields can be mapped into graphs. Here we explore the usefulness of such operator in the scenario of image processing and image classification. We demonstrate that the link architecture of the image visibilit…

The study shows that the visible range from a point on harmonic manifolds follows an exponential distribution.

We study relations of some classes of $k$-convex, $k$-visible bodies in Euclidean spaces. We introduce and study \textrm{circular projections} in normed linear spaces and classes of bodies related with families of such maps, in particular, \textrm{$k$-circular convex} and \textrm{$k$-circular visible} ones. Investigati…

NDI aims to forecast future natural disasters risk for insurers.

We show that complete uniform visibility manifolds of finite volume with sectional curvature $-1 \leq K \leq 0$ have positive simplicial volumes. This implies that their minimal volumes are non-zero.

A visible action on a complex manifold is a holomorphic action that admits a $J$-transversal totally real submanifold $S$. It is said to be strongly visible if there exists an orbit-preserving anti-holomorphic diffeomorphism $σ$ such that $σ|_S = \mathrm{id}$. In this paper, we prove that for any Hermitian symmetric sp…

We show that the visible sector probability density function of the Riemann-Theta Boltzmann machine corresponds to a gaussian mixture model consisting of an infinite number of component multi-variate gaussians. The weights of the mixture are given by a discrete multi-variate gaussian over the hidden state space. This a…

The paper connects geodesic flows and limit sets on visibility manifolds.

T-KAN improves HFT LOB forecasting with learnable splines.

Study on visibility properties of spiral sets in higher dimensions.

Structural RBM reduces parameters for image denoising and classification.

Characterizes causal structure dominance for latent variables.

The investigations of financial markets from a complex network perspective have unveiled many phenomenological properties, in which the majority of these studies map the financial markets into one complex network. In this work, we investigate 30 world stock market indices through their visibility graphs by adopting the…

Sunshine trading theory predicts lower execution costs and liquidity provision through explicit preannouncements, but evidence is scarce in traditional markets.

Multi-view data are becoming common in real-world modeling tasks and many multi-view data clustering algorithms have thus been proposed. The existing algorithms usually focus on the cooperation of different views in the original space but neglect the influence of the hidden information among these different visible vie…

A general Boltzmann machine with continuous visible and discrete integer valued hidden states is introduced. Under mild assumptions about the connection matrices, the probability density function of the visible units can be solved for analytically, yielding a novel parametric density function involving a ratio of Riema…

Many users in online social networks are constantly trying to gain attention from their followers by broadcasting posts to them. These broadcasters are likely to gain greater attention if their posts can remain visible for a longer period of time among their followers' most recent feeds. Then when to post? In this pape…

Measuring the impact of scientific articles is important for evaluating the research output of individual scientists, academic institutions and journals. While citations are raw data for constructing impact measures, there exist biases and potential issues if factors affecting citation patterns are not properly account…

The probability density function for the visible sector of a Riemann-Theta Boltzmann machine can be taken conditional on a subset of the visible units. We derive that the corresponding conditional density function is given by a reparameterization of the Riemann-Theta Boltzmann machine modelling the original probability…

This paper studies periodic and free periodic knots in alternating projections.

VGRSI uses price visibility graphs to generate profitable trading signals.

Study equilibrium measures on manifolds without conjugate points with visibility covering.

A Kronecker product model is the set of visible marginal probability distributions of an exponential family whose sufficient statistics matrix factorizes as a Kronecker product of two matrices, one for the visible variables and one for the hidden variables. We estimate the dimension of these models by the maximum rank …

The Tits alternative applies to groups acting on specific CAT(0) spaces.

Transforms web content for better visibility in AI-driven search engines.

This study analyzes economic policy uncertainty indices using visibility graphs.

Model shows how diversity on corporate boards influences decision-making and innovation.

JEPA fails to improve language model performance when fine-tuning.

A recent result of Bader, Gelander and Sauer shows that for manifolds of pinched negative curvature, the torsion part of the homology can be controlled by the volume. This is done by constructing an efficient simplicial model of the thick part, which also provides another proof of the analogous statement for the free p…

Estimates roughness of financial volatility paths using horizontal visibility graphs.