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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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108216323431 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for variational mean-field theory

Unified theory for training neural networks with binary synapses.

problem Discrete nature of synapses and complex interactions in neural networks.
method Variational mean-field theory decomposing learning into maximization and expectation steps.
result Unified framework for unsupervised learning in neural networks.

A new particle algorithm improves mean-field variational inference.

problem Efficiently approximating nonparametric posterior distributions in machine learning.
method Introduces PArticle VI (PAVI), a novel particle-based algorithm for nonparametric mean-field approximation.
result Obtains non-asymptotic error bounds for PArticle VI, providing the first end-to-end guarantee for particle-based MFVI.

Develops methods for structured variational inference with star-structured models.

problem Inference in models with interdependent variables.
method Star-structured variational inference, existence, uniqueness, self-consistency proofs, approximation error bounds, gradient-based algorithm.
result First results for existence, uniqueness, and self-consistency of variational approximations in star-structured models.

The paper analyzes mean-field variational Bayes for complex models and proposes new uncertainty quantification methods.

problem Approximating posterior distributions in complex Bayesian models with latent variables.
method Non-asymptotic analysis on mean-field variational inference, showing that a normal distribution with the MLE center approximates the posterior well.
result The mean-field approximation matches the MLE up to higher-order terms and is essentially efficient for regular parametric models.

Develops a mean-field theory for multi-head self-attention under cross-entropy training.

problem Mean-field analysis of multi-head self-attention under cross-entropy training.
method Mean-field theory for a simplified single-layer causal multi-head self-attention model.
result Proves a static finite-head approximation bound for the optimal risk.

Mean Field Variational Bayes (MFVB) is a popular posterior approximation method due to its fast runtime on large-scale data sets. However, it is well known that a major failing of MFVB is its (sometimes severe) underestimates of the uncertainty of model variables and lack of information about model variable covariance.…

2014-10-24abs ↗pdf ↗

New method improves uncertainty estimation in complex statistical models.

problem Challenges in estimating high-dimensional mixed models due to computational complexity.
method Partially factorized variational inference to relax mean-field assumption.
result Relaxed variational inference provides accurate uncertainty quantification without high computational cost.

The paper studies stability of mean-field variational inference for log-concave distributions.

problem Stability of mean-field variational inference for log-concave distributions.
method Novel approach via linearized optimal transport, lifting non-convex problem to convex optimization over transport maps.
result Dimension-free Lipschitz continuity of the MFVI optimizer with respect to the target distribution, measured in 2-Wasserstein distance.

Deep Bayesian neural nets can use simpler weight approximations without sacrificing performance.

problem The need for complex weight posterior approximations in deep Bayesian neural networks.
method Theoretical and empirical analysis of mean-field variational inference in deep networks.
result Mean-field variational weight posteriors in deep networks can induce similar function-space distributions as complex approximations in shallower networks.

DADVI improves ADVI by using deterministic approximation for faster, more accurate posterior estimation.

problem Intractable posterior uncertainty estimates and lack of clear convergence criteria in ADVI.
method Replaces stochastic MFVB objective with deterministic Monte Carlo approximation (SAA) and uses second-order optimization.
result DADVI provides faster and more accurate posterior estimates with default settings.

The paper introduces structured variational families to improve scalability in black-box variational inference.

problem Scalability issues in black-box variational inference, especially for large datasets and hierarchical models.
method Developed structured variational families that achieve better iteration complexity of O(N) compared to full-rank families.
result Structured variational families can achieve better scaling with respect to dataset size N, improving iteration complexity from O(N^2) to O(N).

Develops variational framework for LQG risk-sensitive MFGs with major-minor interactions.

problem Risk-sensitive optimal control in LQG systems with major-minor interactions.
method Variational approach, nonlinear necessary and sufficient condition of optimality, equivalent risk-neutral measure, Markovian closed-loop best-response strategies.
result Derives optimal control strategies for LQG risk-sensitive MFGs with major-minor interactions, establishing Nash and ε\varepsilon-Nash equilibria.

Uniform-in-time analysis for Stein Variational Gradient Descent across various metrics.

problem Understanding long-term behavior of finite-particle systems in relation to their mean-field limits.
method Developed uniform-in-time propagation-of-chaos results for continuous-time SVGD using cutoff strategies and finite-dimensional theories.
result Uniform-in-time propagation-of-chaos bounds in various metrics, including Langevin kernel Stein discrepancy, Wasserstein-1, and Wasserstein-2 distances.

Mean-field variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference in many probabilistic models. In a typical application, mean-field methods approximately compute the posterior with a coordinate-ascent optimization algorithm. When the model is conditionally conjugate, the coordinate updates are easily …

2012-09-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Compact parameterization improves Bayesian neural network performance.

problem Improving performance of Bayesian neural networks using variational methods.
method Restricting variational distribution to a k-tied Normal distribution with low-rank factorization.
result Compact parameterization improves signal-to-noise ratio and convergence speed.

Develops a new framework for analyzing MFVI algorithms.

problem Analyzes mean field variational inference (MFVI) formulations.
method Inspired by variational Bayesian formulations, represents MFVI problem in three ways: gradient flow, Fokker-Planck-like equations, and diffusion process.
result Establishes rigorous guarantees for convergence of time-discretized coordinate ascent variational inference algorithms.

Bayesian model selection via mean-field variational approximation improves efficiency and accuracy.

problem Bayesian model selection under model mis-specification and latent variables.
method Mean-field variational approximation with non-asymptotic properties and geometric convergence.
result ELBO tends to select models closer to the true model than BIC as sample size increases.

Revises mean-field theory of Santa Fe model using kinetic theory.

problem Deriving a solid mathematical foundation for the Santa Fe model.
method Systematic derivation of BBGKY hierarchy from exact master equation.
result Explicit and closed-form solutions for mean-field equations.

Federated learning linked to mean-field games for large-scale learning.

problem Large-scale distributed and privacy-preserving learning algorithms.
method Established a connection between federated learning and mean-field games, presenting federated learning as a differential game.
result Properties of the equilibrium of the federated learning game were discussed.

Geometric framework analyzes bias in variational inference for posterior functionals.

problem Analyzing the bias of posterior functionals under variational approximations.
method Developed a geometric framework to evaluate the bias of posterior functionals using the variational tangent space.
result The leading-order bias of a posterior functional is determined by its component orthogonal to the variational tangent space.

We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the dependency that is not captured by the original variational distribution, and thus …

2015-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

New method for handling multi-dimensional singular controls with jump costs in mean-field problems.

problem Handling jump costs in multi-dimensional singular controls.
method Introducing two-layer parametrisations to interpolate jumps on both distributional and pathwise levels.
result Derivation of a DPP and characterisation of the value function as a minimal super-solution to a quasi-variational inequality.

This work introduces a fixed-point optimization for variational inference.

problem Improving quantified uncertainty in predictions by optimizing a simplified distribution over parameters.
method Projective integral updates for high-dimensional variational inference.
result Efficient quasirandom quadrature sequence for mean-field distributions, leading to quasi-Newton variational Bayes (QNVB).

We propose a general framework for solving statistical mechanics of systems with finite size. The approach extends the celebrated variational mean-field approaches using autoregressive neural networks, which support direct sampling and exact calculation of normalized probability of configurations. It computes variation…

2018-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm speeds up large-scale statistical inference.

problem Efficiently solving large-scale mean-field variational inference problems.
method Developed a novel primal-dual algorithm (PD-VI) and a block-preconditioned extension (P2^2D-VI) for mean-field variational inference.
result PD-VI and P2^2D-VI achieve faster convergence and better solution quality compared to existing methods.

New method for high-dimensional linear regression using empirical Bayes.

problem Estimating prior in high-dimensional linear regression.
method Variational empirical Bayes approach with NPMLE and mean field approximation.
result Established asymptotic consistency and computational efficiency of the method.

We propose a family of variational approximations to Bayesian posterior distributions, called αα-VB, with provable statistical guarantees. The standard variational approximation is a special case of αα-VB with α=1α=1. When α(0,1]α\in(0,1], a novel class of variational inequalities are developed for linking the Bayes risk …

2017-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper models asset pricing in a partially observed market using mean field game theory and exponential quadratic Gaussian framework.

problem Asset pricing in a market with partial observation and heterogeneous agents.
method Mean field game theory, exponential quadratic Gaussian framework, Kalman-Bucy filtering theory.
result Characterization of equilibrium risk premium through mean field BSDE and construction of unobservable risk premium process.

Develops a dynamic mean field theory for reinforcement learning.

problem Finite state and action Bayesian reinforcement learning in large state spaces.
method Analogies with statistical physics, interpreting probabilities as couplings and values as spins, solving mean field equations.
result State-action values are statistically independent in the asymptotic state space limit, with exact or approximate equations for computation.

BBVI converges nearly dimensionally independent for log-concave targets.

problem Efficiently optimizing variational parameters in high-dimensional spaces.
method Proved convergence rate of BBVI with reparametrization gradient for log-concave targets.
result BBVI converges with nearly independent dimension dependence for log-concave targets.

Improved Bayesian uncertainty quantification using variational bagging.

problem Inefficient and underestimating uncertainty in mean-field variational Bayes.
method Integrates bagging with variational Bayes for improved inference.
result Bagged variational posterior provides proper uncertainty quantification.