A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Clarifies EM algorithm and variational Bayesian inference concepts.
In classical Hawkes process, the baseline intensity and triggering kernel are assumed to be a constant and parametric function respectively, which limits the model flexibility. To generalize it, we present a fully Bayesian nonparametric model, namely Gaussian process modulated Hawkes process and propose an EM-variation…
Bayesian model fuses diverse microbiome data types.
This paper presents a Bayesian approach to symbol and phase inference in a phase-unsynchronized digital receiver. It primarily extends [Quinn 2011] to the multi-symbol case, using the variational Bayes (VB) approximation to deal with the combinatorial complexity of the phase inference in this case. The work provides a …
We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states and the static parameters of the model. We build up on recent advances in compu…
Hidden Markov Models (HMM) have been used for several years in many time series analysis or pattern recognitions tasks. HMM are often trained by means of the Baum-Welch algorithm which can be seen as a special variant of an expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. Second-order training techniques such as Variational Ba…
A new method clusters data from multiple sources using a mixture of multilayer SBMs.
The speed of convergence of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture model fitting is known to be dependent on the amount of overlap among the mixture components. In this paper, we study the impact of mixing coefficients on the convergence of EM. We show that when the mixture components exhibit …
Bayesian SPCA method tackles orthogonality constraint with spike and slab prior.
The detection of rare variants is important for understanding the genetic heterogeneity in mixed samples. Recently, next-generation sequencing (NGS) technologies have enabled the identification of single nucleotide variants (SNVs) in mixed samples with high resolution. Yet, the noise inherent in the biological processe…
We consider the problem of discriminative factor analysis for data that are in general non-Gaussian. A Bayesian model based on the ranks of the data is proposed. We first introduce a new {\em max-margin} version of the rank-likelihood. A discriminative factor model is then developed, integrating the max-margin rank-lik…
We derive both {\em local} and {\em global} generalized {\em Bianchi identities} for classical Lagrangian field theories on gauge-natural bundles. We show that globally defined generalized Bianchi identities can be found without the {\em a priori} introduction of a connection. The proof is based on a {\em global} decom…
Bayesian networks (BN) are used in a big range of applications but they have one issue concerning parameter learning. In real application, training data are always incomplete or some nodes are hidden. To deal with this problem many learning parameter algorithms are suggested foreground EM, Gibbs sampling and RBE algori…
As an automatic method of determining model complexity using the training data alone, Bayesian linear regression provides us a principled way to select hyperparameters. But one often needs approximation inference if distribution assumption is beyond Gaussian distribution. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian linear reg…
CMCD sampler connects transport and variational inference for efficient sampling.
Multi-task learning leverages shared information among data sets to improve the learning performance of individual tasks. The paper applies this framework for data where each task is a phase-shifted periodic time series. In particular, we develop a novel Bayesian nonparametric model capturing a mixture of Gaussian proc…
In recent years there has been a flurry of works on learning Bayesian networks from data. One of the hard problems in this area is how to effectively learn the structure of a belief network from incomplete data- that is, in the presence of missing values or hidden variables. In a recent paper, I introduced an algorithm…
Mixture model-based clustering has become an increasingly popular data analysis technique since its introduction over fifty years ago, and is now commonly utilized within a family setting. Families of mixture models arise when the component parameters, usually the component covariance (or scale) matrices, are decompose…
Gradient-EM Bayesian meta-learning accelerates adaptation with reduced computation and improved robustness.
Analytical method approximates ELBO gradient in clutter problem.
This paper uses dynamical systems to analyze and ensure convergence of the Bayesian EM algorithm.
In this paper, we consider the problem of low-rank phase retrieval whose objective is to estimate a complex low-rank matrix from magnitude-only measurements. We propose a hierarchical prior model for low-rank phase retrieval, in which a Gaussian-Wishart hierarchical prior is placed on the underlying low-rank matrix to …
We provide simple schemes to build Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), block by block, inspired by a recent idea of computation skeletons. We show how by adjusting the types of blocks that are used within the computation skeleton, we can identify interesting relationships with Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs), deep kernel l…
This paper re-examines the problem of parameter estimation in Bayesian networks with missing values and hidden variables from the perspective of recent work in on-line learning [Kivinen & Warmuth, 1994]. We provide a unified framework for parameter estimation that encompasses both on-line learning, where the model is c…
One iteration of standard -means (i.e., Lloyd's algorithm) or standard EM for Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) scales linearly with the number of clusters , data points , and data dimensionality . In this study, we explore whether one iteration of -means or EM for GMMs can scale sublinearly with at run…
Bayesian neural network models improve uncertainty quantification in multivariate regression.
Paper compares hard and soft EM for BN learning from incomplete data.
In this publication, we combine two Bayesian non-parametric models: the Gaussian Process (GP) and the Dirichlet Process (DP). Our innovation in the GP model is to introduce a variation on the GP prior which enables us to model structured time-series data, i.e. data containing groups where we wish to model inter- and in…
EDML is a recently proposed algorithm for learning MAP parameters in Bayesian networks. In this paper, we present a number of new advances and insights on the EDML algorithm. First, we provide the multivalued extension of EDML, originally proposed for Bayesian networks over binary variables. Next, we identify a simplif…
Variational Bayes (VB), also known as independent mean-field approximation, has become a popular method for Bayesian network inference in recent years. Its application is vast, e.g. in neural network, compressed sensing, clustering, etc. to name just a few. In this paper, the independence constraint in VB will be relax…
In the classical Lagrangian approach to conservation laws of gauge-natural field theories a suitable (vector) density is known to generate the so--called {\em conserved Noether currents}. It turns out that along any section of the relevant gauge--natural bundle this density is the divergence of a skew--symmetric (tenso…
In this paper, we consider the sigmoid Gaussian Hawkes process model: the baseline intensity and triggering kernel of Hawkes process are both modeled as the sigmoid transformation of random trajectories drawn from Gaussian processes (GP). By introducing auxiliary latent random variables (branching structure, Pólya-Gamm…
We derive a novel variational expectation maximization approach based on truncated posterior distributions. Truncated distributions are proportional to exact posteriors within subsets of a discrete state space and equal zero otherwise. The treatment of the distributions' subsets as variational parameters distinguishes …
Estimates parameters in max-linear Bayesian networks with noise.
This paper models time-series data with a mixture of Markov chains, automatically determining the number of components.
MLE and CVE are equivalent under exponential families, leading to faster and more stable EM algorithms.
Paper improves tree probability estimation using stochastic optimization and variance reduction.
When a gauge-natural invariant variational principle is assigned, to determine {\em canonical} covariant conservation laws, the vertical part of gauge-natural lifts of infinitesimal principal automorphisms -- defining infinitesimal variations of sections of gauge-natural bundles -- must satisfy generalized Jacobi equat…
This paper bridges statistical and machine learning approaches to variational inference.
New EM algorithm improves deep generative network training.
In order to cluster or partition data, we often use Expectation-and-Maximization (EM) or Variational approximation with a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), which is a parametric probability density function represented as a weighted sum of Gaussian component densities. However, model selection to find underlying …
Paper proves EM algorithm convergence for mixtures of discrete and continuous parameters.
The paper develops a decision support system for hierarchical text classification of conference proceedings.
GFlowNet-EM learns complex latent variable models with discrete structures.
Novel Bayesian meta-reinforcement learning framework improves traffic signal control robustness.
Survey of factor analysis, PCA, variational inference, and VAE.
The K-Mean and EM algorithms are popular in clustering and mixture modeling, due to their simplicity and ease of implementation. However, they have several significant limitations. Both coverage to a local optimum of their respective objective functions (ignoring the uncertainty in the model space), require the apriori…
Inference and learning for probabilistic generative networks is often very challenging and typically prevents scalability to as large networks as used for deep discriminative approaches. To obtain efficiently trainable, large-scale and well performing generative networks for semi-supervised learning, we here combine tw…