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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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65130195260 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for variance components

msPCA solves sparse PCA for multiple components efficiently.

problem Sparse principal component analysis with multiple components.
method Alternating maximization algorithm for sparse loading vectors, with orthogonality or zero correlation constraints.
result Achieves high variance explained with sparse components and controlled feasibility violations.

New simulations advise caution in choosing principal components for multivariate functional data.

problem Inaccurate selection of principal components in multivariate functional data.
method Extensive simulations investigating the reliability of percentage of variance explained thresholds.
result Conventional threshold methods may fail to accurately explain overall variance in multivariate functional data.

New method relaxes PCA orthogonality constraints using explained variance of correlated components.

problem Difficulty in using PCA for sparse design due to orthogonality constraints and non-differentiable penalty.
method Introduce expvar(Y) to measure variance explained by correlated components, relax orthogonality constraints.
result Two expvar(Y) definitions suitable for block PCA formulations without orthogonality constraints.

The paper introduces a method to decompose variance in twin networks for better treatment effect estimation.

problem Accurate treatment effect estimation requires reliable uncertainty measures to locate model failures.
method Layer-wise variance decomposition using Monte Carlo Dropout in twin networks.
result The encoder component dominates under distributional shift, providing a practical diagnostic for data collection.

Probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) seeks a low dimensional representation of a data set in the presence of independent spherical Gaussian noise, Sigma = (sigma^2)*I. The maximum likelihood solution for the model is an eigenvalue problem on the sample covariance matrix. In this paper we consider the situa…

2011-06-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper explores the non-convex composition optimization in the form including inner and outer finite-sum functions with a large number of component functions. This problem arises in some important applications such as nonlinear embedding and reinforcement learning. Although existing approaches such as stochastic gr…

2017-11-13abs ↗pdf ↗

We address the problem of defining a group sparse formulation for Principal Components Analysis (PCA) - or its equivalent formulations as Low Rank approximation or Dictionary Learning problems - which achieves a compromise between maximizing the variance explained by the components and promoting sparsity of the loading…

2017-05-01abs ↗pdf ↗

CPCR mitigates bias in PCR for overparameterized models.

problem Bias in Principal Component Regression (PCR) for overparameterized models.
method Calibrated Principal Component Regression (CPCR) learns a low-variance prior in the PC subspace and calibrates the model in the original feature space.
result CPCR outperforms standard PCR in overparameterized settings, improving prediction across multiple problems.

Gradient Boosted Mixed Models estimate mean and variance components for clustered data.

problem Limited flexibility in linear mixed models for complex settings.
method Gradient Boosting extended to mixed models with likelihood-based gradients and flexible base learners.
result Accurate recovery of variance components and improved predictive accuracy.

New supervised and unsupervised NFLTs for elliptical distributions.

problem Understanding unsupervised No Free Lunch Theorems for elliptical distributions.
method Proved two equally optimal strategies for elliptical distributions, inspired PRIM-based bump-hunting algorithms.
result Optimal strategies for selecting principal components based on variance or volume.

The paper tackles mean-variance analysis in Bayesian optimization under uncertainty.

problem Optimizing decisions in uncertain environments considering trade-offs between average and variance of risk.
method Developed bounds for mean and variance risk measures in Gaussian Process models and proposed AL algorithms for multi-task, multi-objective, and constrained optimization scenarios.
result Proposed AL algorithms effectively address the mean-variance trade-off in uncertain optimization scenarios.

A new method interpolates between sampling and variational inference using stochastic mixtures.

problem Combining the strengths of sampling and variational inference methods.
method Develops a framework using stochastic mixtures of simple component distributions to interpolate between sampling and variational inference.
result Improves on both sampling and variational inference methods by reducing bias and variance.

Proposes σσ-PCA to learn identifiable linear transformations without whitening.

problem Cannot identify axes with equal variances in PCA.
method Unified model for linear and nonlinear PCA, introducing a missing piece to eliminate rotational indeterminacy.
result Eliminates subspace rotational indeterminacy in PCA.

R package spca computes sparse principal components efficiently.

problem Sparse principal components analysis (SPCA) for interpretable data.
method Least squares sparse principal component analysis (LS-SPCA) with efficient C++ backend.
result Computes sparse principal components that maximize variance and maintain strong correlations with PCs.

We propose algorithms for online principal component analysis (PCA) and variance minimization for adaptive settings. Previous literature has focused on upper bounding the static adversarial regret, whose comparator is the optimal fixed action in hindsight. However, static regret is not an appropriate metric when the un…

2019-01-23abs ↗pdf ↗

GBMixed boosts mixed models for clustered data, estimating mean and variance flexibly.

problem Flexible estimation of mean and variance components in clustered data.
method Gradient Boosting framework for linear mixed models with likelihood-based gradients.
result GBMixed accurately recovers complex nonlinear fixed effects and covariances.

We consider the following multi-component sparse PCA problem: given a set of data points, we seek to extract a small number of sparse components with disjoint supports that jointly capture the maximum possible variance. These components can be computed one by one, repeatedly solving the single-component problem and def…

2015-08-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The study analyzes pricing and hedging of STCDOs using an affine model with a catastrophic risk component.

problem Pricing and hedging of collateralized debt obligations (CDOs) with specific focus on mezzanine and equity tranches.
method Specified an affine two-factor model with a catastrophic risk component, estimated using QML and Kalman filter, derived variance-minimizing strategy, analyzed actual performance and simulated extreme loss scenarios.
result The variance-minimizing strategy is most effective for mezzanine tranches but fails for equity tranches.

The paper decomposes unsupervised learning's generalization error into model, data, and variance components.

problem Understanding the components of unsupervised learning's generalization error.
method Information-geometric decomposition of the Kullback-Leibler generalization error.
result The optimal rank in εε-PCA is the noise floor, balancing model-error gain and data-bias cost.

Optimizes reserve prices for first-price auctions to maximize revenue.

problem Optimizing reserve prices for first-price auctions in display advertising.
method Gradient-based algorithm to adaptively update and optimize reserve prices based on bidder responsiveness to experimental shocks.
result Revenue optimization in first-price auctions can be decomposed into demand and bidding components, and techniques are introduced to reduce variance of each.

Survey of SDR methods for high-dimensional regression and embedding.

problem Reducing dimensionality in high-dimensional data.
method Involves both statistical and machine learning approaches, covering inverse and forward regression methods.
result Supervised Kernel Dimension Reduction is equivalent to supervised PCA.

Study variance-optimal hedging of forward curve derivatives under stochastic volatility.

problem Variance-optimal hedging of forward curve derivatives with stochastic volatility.
method Assumes HJM-Musiela dynamics modulated by stochastic covariance, uses Galtchouk-Kunita-Watanabe projection.
result Density of finite-maturity strategies, convergence of finite-rank projections, decomposition of hedging error.

The weak variance-alpha-gamma process is a multivariate Lévy process constructed by weakly subordinating Brownian motion, possibly with correlated components with an alpha-gamma subordinator. It generalises the variance-alpha-gamma process of Semeraro constructed by traditional subordination. We compare three calibrati…

2018-01-26abs ↗pdf ↗

New method allocates capital based on tail central moments for financial risk assessment.

problem Inability of CTE-based capital allocation to reflect tail behavior of losses.
method Developed TCM-based capital allocation for normal mean-variance mixture distributions.
result TCM-based method captures tail risk contributions not detected by CTE.

Study on typical knots and links using grid diagrams, focusing on size, components, and writhe.

problem Understanding the statistical behavior of knots and links, especially their typical properties.
method Modeling knots and links with grid diagrams, examining three invariants: size, components, and writhe, through numerical analysis.
result The size of a random knot is uniformly distributed and linearly dependent on grid size, while the number of components follows a distribution whose mean and variance grow with log_2 of grid size.

Investigates projections onto explicit subspaces and their variance effects.

problem Understanding the variance preservation in explicit subspace projections.
method Investigates projections onto explicit subspaces of varying dimensionality and analyzes the variance effects.
result Developed new bounds for Euclidean distances and inner products.

SP-SPCA improves sparse PCA by adaptively adjusting variable penalties, enhancing interpretability and stability.

problem Poor interpretability and variable redundancy in PCA for high-dimensional data.
method Introduces a single equilibrium parameter to adaptively adjust variable penalties in the L2 regularization framework.
result Consistently outperforms standard sparse PCA methods in identifying sparse loading patterns and preserving cumulative variance.

We present a generalization of independent component analysis (ICA), where instead of looking for a linear transform that makes the data components independent, we look for a transform that makes the data components well fit by a tree-structured graphical model. Treating the problem as a semiparametric statistical prob…

2012-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A new portfolio method using quantum mechanics improves risk diversification.

problem Improving risk-based portfolio construction methods for multi-asset portfolios.
method Schrödinger principal component analysis applied to extract common factors from asset fluctuations.
result The proposed method outperforms conventional risk parity and other risk diversification methods.

In the recent years, banks have sold structured products such as worst-of options, Everest and Himalayas, resulting in a short correlation exposure. They have hence become interested in offsetting part of this exposure, namely buying back correlation. Two ways have been proposed for such a strategy : either pure correl…

2010-04-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Explains gradient descent methods and their convergence, focusing on simple analysis.

problem Understanding and analyzing gradient descent methods and their variants.
method Elementary mathematical analysis focusing on structures and assumptions of objective functions.
result Unified convergence analysis of various gradient descent methods and variants.

Paper addresses theoretical risks in neural MCCFR, proposing Robust Deep MCCFR for improved performance.

problem Theoretical risks in neural MCCFR, especially in large games.
method Adaptive framework with selective component deployment, including target networks, exploration, and variance-aware training.
result Robust Deep MCCFR achieves significant exploitability improvements in both Kuhn and Leduc Poker.

Proposes a method for valid inference in GPLSIMs with longitudinal data.

problem Challenges in longitudinal data inference due to within-subject correlation and unstable variance estimation.
method Profile estimating-equation approach using spline approximation and block empirical likelihood.
result Block empirical likelihood ratio statistic with Wilks-type chi-square limit for joint inference.

New method estimates latent gene expression factors without overlap with known confounders.

problem Estimating latent variance components in gene expression data with known confounders.
method Restricted maximum-likelihood method maximizing likelihood on orthogonal subspace.
result Method reduces runtime and attains greater likelihood values than gradient-based optimizers.

Gradient-flow optimization is reinterpreted as a statistical inference problem.

problem Optimizing training duration and assessing model performance in deep learning.
method Develops a statistical framework for gradient-flow training, treating it as a random-effects model.
result Establishes asymptotic optimality for prediction and reduces reliance on validation splits.

Drago optimizes DRO problems with faster convergence.

problem Distributionally robust optimization with closed, convex uncertainty sets.
method Primal-dual coupled variance reduction algorithm with cyclic and randomized updates.
result Achieves state-of-the-art linear convergence rate on strongly convex-strongly concave problems.