A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
ALT transforms time series data for better classification.
\textit{SummerTime} seeks to summarize globally time series signals and provides a fixed-length, robust summarization of the variable-length time series. Many classical machine learning methods for classification and regression depend on data instances with a fixed number of features. As a result, those methods cannot …
ALT improves TSC by capturing complex patterns in time series data.
This paper proposes a method for modeling event sequences with ambiguous timestamps, a time-discounting convolution. Unlike in ordinary time series, time intervals are not constant, small time-shifts have no significant effect, and inputting timestamps or time durations into a model is not effective. The criteria that …
Predicts next actions in soccer possessions using path signatures.
Time series constitute a challenging data type for machine learning algorithms, due to their highly variable lengths and sparse labeling in practice. In this paper, we tackle this challenge by proposing an unsupervised method to learn universal embeddings of time series. Unlike previous works, it is scalable with respe…
New coding theorem shows achievable rate matches theoretical limit.
The prevalence of wearable sensors (e.g., smart wristband) is creating unprecedented opportunities to not only inform health and wellness states of individuals, but also assess and infer personal attributes, including demographic and personality attributes. However, the data captured from wearables, such as heart rate …
While neural sequence generation models achieve initial success for many NLP applications, the canonical decoding procedure with left-to-right generation order (i.e., autoregressive) in one-pass can not reflect the true nature of human revising a sentence to obtain a refined result. In this work, we propose XL-Editor, …
Optimal weight windows are symmetric rectangles centered at peak.
ReCAP adapts to dynamic financial markets by segmenting and combining policy vectors.
One of the ubiquitous representation of long DNA sequence is dividing it into shorter k-mer components. Unfortunately, the straightforward vector encoding of k-mer as a one-hot vector is vulnerable to the curse of dimensionality. Worse yet, the distance between any pair of one-hot vectors is equidistant. This is partic…
Differentiable Window improves attention modules by enabling more focused attentions.
Study on elastic curves with variable stiffness, derived from bending energy.
The task of clustering unlabeled time series and sequences entails a particular set of challenges, namely to adequately model temporal relations and variable sequence lengths. If these challenges are not properly handled, the resulting clusters might be of suboptimal quality. As a key solution, we present a joint clust…
A new kernel Stein test assesses fit for variable-length sequential data.
BAWS adapts window size for financial risk forecasting.
Optimal weight windows are found by projecting the origin onto a convex polytope.
We study topology of configuration spaces of planar linkages having one leg of variable length. Such telescopic legs are common in modern robotics where they are used for shock absorbtion and serve a variety of other purposes. Using a Morse theoretic technique, we compute explicitly, in terms of the metric data, the Be…
Current end-to-end deep Reinforcement Learning (RL) approaches require jointly learning perception, decision-making and low-level control from very sparse reward signals and high-dimensional inputs, with little capability of incorporating prior knowledge. This results in prohibitively long training times for use on rea…
Five simple soft sensor methodologies with two update conditions were compared on two experimentally-obtained datasets and one simulated dataset. The soft sensors investigated were moving window partial least squares regression (and a recursive variant), moving window random forest regression, the mean moving window of…
Paper introduces a differentiable STFT for continuous window length optimization.
New linear models improve time series classification efficiency and interpretability.
We describe our first-place solution to the Animal Behavior Challenge (ABC 2018) on predicting gender of bird from its GPS trajectory. The task consisted in predicting the gender of shearwater based on how they navigate themselves across a big ocean. The trajectories are collected from GPS loggers attached on shearwate…
Novel time series forecasting method using sliding window signatures.
Auto-regressive models improve smoothing efficiency with exponentially tapered windows.
Proposes a sliding window method for better portfolio trading.
We present a new algorithm for the 2D Sliding Window Discrete Fourier Transform (SWDFT). Our algorithm avoids repeating calculations in overlapping windows by storing them in a tree data-structure based on the ideas of the Cooley- Tukey Fast Fourier Transform (FFT). For an array and wi…
Improved convergence of fixed-point methods using windowed Anderson acceleration.
Improved Granger causality method for dynamic time series data.
WeldNet reduces complex dynamics to simpler, manageable segments.
In many applications, monitoring area under the ROC curve (AUC) in a sliding window over a data stream is a natural way of detecting changes in the system. The drawback is that computing AUC in a sliding window is expensive, especially if the window size is large and the data flow is significant. In this paper we propo…
Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are a powerful approach for time series prediction. However, their performance is strongly affected by their architecture and hyperparameter settings. The architecture optimization of RNNs is a time-consuming task, where the search space is typically a mixture of real, integer and categ…
Study predicts cryptocurrency trends using LSTM model.
Optimizes sliding window approach for tracking Gaussian densities.
BWS selects best window subsets for efficient data pruning.
Occupant behavior (OB) and in particular window openings need to be considered in building performance simulation (BPS), in order to realistically model the indoor climate and energy consumption for heating ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC). However, the proposed OB window opening models are often biased towards …
We identify 'critical windows' in diffusion models where specific features emerge, providing a theoretical framework.
We study the dynamics of the linear and non-linear serial dependencies in financial time series in a rolling window framework. In particular, we focus on the detection of episodes of statistically significant two- and three-point correlations in the returns of several leading currency exchange rates that could offer so…
We present the Latent Sequence Decompositions (LSD) framework. LSD decomposes sequences with variable lengthed output units as a function of both the input sequence and the output sequence. We present a training algorithm which samples valid extensions and an approximate decoding algorithm. We experiment with the Wall …
Proposes a method to train classifiers with delayed feedback using a time window.
Tree-based LSTM improves sequential regression with missing data.
Statistical test verifies long-term rating system calibration with overlapping time windows.
We propose probabilistic models that can extrapolate learning curves of iterative machine learning algorithms, such as stochastic gradient descent for training deep networks, based on training data with variable-length learning curves. We study instantiations of this framework based on random forests and Bayesian recur…
CrossAD detects anomalies in time series data by considering cross-scale associations and cross-window modeling.
K-fold Cross Validation is commonly used to evaluate classifiers and tune their hyperparameters. However, it assumes that data points are Independent and Identically Distributed (i.i.d.) so that samples used in the training and test sets can be selected randomly and uniformly. In Human Activity Recognition datasets, we…
New algorithms achieve optimal regret in sliding window model with limited memory.
This paper addresses the question of identifying the time-window in short-term past from which the information regarding the future occupant's window opening actions and resulting window states in buildings can be predicted. The addressed sequence duration was in the range between 30 and 240 time-steps of indoor climat…