RISE learns decisions with sensitive variables, improving worst-case outcomes.
problem Uncertainty and bias in decisions due to delayed sensitive variable data.
method Incorporates sensitive variables offline but not at deployment, using quantile or infimum optimization.
result Improves worst-case outcomes for individuals affected by unavailable sensitive variables.
New method for mixed-variable GSA improves material design efficiency.
problem Designing materials with both quantitative and qualitative variables.
method Integrates LVGP with Sobol' analysis for mixed-variable GSA.
result Accelerates exploration of novel MOF candidates in combinatorial design spaces.
SADCBO optimizes contextual variables by balancing relevance and cost.
problem Optimizing contextual variables with varying costs and unknown relevance.
method Adaptive selection of relevant contextual variables using sensitivity analysis and early stopping.
result Consistent improvement in optimization across various examples.
Package provides sensitivity analysis for neural networks.
problem Understanding how input variables affect neural network predictions.
method Partial derivatives method to calculate sensitivities.
result Allows evaluation of variable importance and input-output relationships.
We derive a novel sensitivity analysis of input variables for predictive epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. We use Bayesian neural networks with latent variables as a model class and illustrate the usefulness of our sensitivity analysis on real-world datasets. Our method increases the interpretability of complex blac…
Enhances sensitivity analysis for correlated inputs.
problem Estimating sensitivity indices in models with correlated inputs.
method Proposes an extension of Sobol' estimator using a linear correlation model.
result Improves accuracy in variance-based sensitivity analysis.
Paper introduces AIF for anomaly detection with variable feature sensitivity.
problem Lack of variable sensitivity in anomaly detection methods.
method Extended Isolation Forest with feature sensitivities (Anisotropic Isolation Forest).
result AIF enables anomaly detection with controllable sensitivity to different features.
EXOC framework uses auxiliary variables for counterfactual fairness in machine learning.
problem Balancing fairness and predictive accuracy in models with sensitive attributes.
method EXOC framework uses auxiliary variables to define an auxiliary node and a control node for counterfactual fairness.
result EXOC framework outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in achieving counterfactual fairness.
Training classification models on imbalanced data tends to result in bias towards the majority class. In this paper, we demonstrate how variable discretization and cost-sensitive logistic regression help mitigate this bias on an imbalanced credit scoring dataset, and further show the application of the variable discret…
Global sensitivity analysis with variance-based measures suffers from several theoretical and practical limitations, since they focus only on the variance of the output and handle multivariate variables in a limited way. In this paper, we introduce a new class of sensitivity indices based on dependence measures which o…
A framework for sensitivity measures using scoring functions.
problem Constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional.
method Score-based sensitivities constructed via consistent scoring functions.
result Demonstrated intuitive and desirable properties of score-based sensitivities.
Recently there has been a significant interest in learning disentangled representations, as they promise increased interpretability, generalization to unseen scenarios and faster learning on downstream tasks. In this paper, we investigate the usefulness of different notions of disentanglement for improving the fairness…
New framework for estimating treatment effects in observational studies.
problem Estimating average treatment effects in the presence of unobserved confounders.
method Distributionally robust optimization, sensitivity models.
result Sharp bounds on average treatment effects under distributional assumptions.
Proposes ICE-based metric for better understanding interactions in black-box models.
problem Misleading global sensitivity metrics in black-box models due to interaction effects.
method Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) curves to compute feature importance and interactions.
result ICE-based metric provides richer insights into feature importance and interactions.
For nonlinear supervised learning models, assessing the importance of predictor variables or their interactions is not straightforward because it can vary in the domain of the variables. Importance can be assessed locally with sensitivity analysis using general methods that rely on the model's predictions or their deri…
We develop a method for quantile-based sensitivity analysis in models with discontinuities.
problem Uncertainty in interpreting discontinuous models using traditional derivatives.
method Quantile-based derivatives for discontinuous models with discrete inputs.
result Derivatives of quantile-based outputs are well-defined and provide meaningful insights.
A new method uses variational autoencoders to speed up greenhouse gas sensitivity calculations.
problem Computational inefficiency in generating LPDM sensitivities from gas mole fraction observations.
method Developed a convolutional variational autoencoder (CVAE) to emulate LPDM sensitivities in a low-dimensional space.
result The CVAE-based emulator outperforms traditional methods and can be applied to various LPDMs.
Random forest hyperparameters affect variable selection in omics studies.
problem Impact of hyperparameters on variable selection in random forests.
method Two simulation studies using theoretical and empirical data.
result Hyperparameters influence variable selection more than the splitting strategy and sample fraction.
New method explains sensitivity of test data uncertainty in Bayesian inference.
problem Widespread belief that test data similarity reduces epistemic uncertainty.
method Information-theoretic decomposition of predictive uncertainty.
result Defines sensitivity using information-theoretic quantities.
New algorithm makes machine learning fairer by removing bias from data.
problem Reduces bias in machine learning models through orthogonal data transformation.
method Orthogonal to Bias (OB) algorithm based on structural causal models.
result Promotes counterfactual fairness without sacrificing model accuracy.
New method calculates sensitivity of system failure probability.
problem Difficulty in computing sensitivity of failure probability.
method Monte Carlo strategy using response gradient and kernel smoothing.
result Single Monte Carlo run for sensitivity estimates.
The optimization of high dimensional functions is a key issue in engineering problems but it frequently comes at a cost that is not acceptable since it usually involves a complex and expensive computer code. Engineers often overcome this limitation by first identifying which parameters drive the most the function varia…
Hedging methods to mitigate the exposure of variable annuity products to market risks require the calculation of market risk sensitivities (or "Greeks"). The complex, path-dependent nature of these products means these sensitivities typically must be estimated by Monte Carlo simulation. Standard market practice is to m…
Efficiently identifies key input variables for expensive functions using active learning.
problem Efficiently identify key input variables for expensive, black-box functions.
method Proposes novel active learning acquisition functions targeting derivative-based global sensitivity measures (DGSMs) under Gaussian process surrogate models.
result Active learning substantially enhances sample efficiency of DGSM estimation, especially with limited evaluation budgets.
Method bounds continuous-valued treatment effects when confounding variables are hidden.
problem Inferring causal effects of continuous treatments when hidden confounders are present.
method Novel methodology to bound average and conditional average continuous-valued treatment effects.
result Method gives tighter coverage of true dose-response curve than existing methods.
Paper introduces P-sensitive functions and their applications in robust optimization and financial models.
problem Developing robust models for financial and optimization problems under uncertainty.
method Introducing P-sensitive functions and their localization representations, applying to optimization and financial models.
result P-sensitive functions are precisely those that can be localized, providing a new perspective on robust modeling.
This paper presents an automatic approach for selecting optimal meta-models for sensitivity analysis in complex systems.
problem Efficient surrogate models for high-dimensional problems in virtual prototyping.
method Automatic selection of meta-models, variable space reduction, and advanced sensitivity measures.
result Optimal meta-models and subspace identification for accurate probabilistic analysis.
Two ANOVA-based algorithms boost random Fourier feature models for function approximation.
problem Approximating high-dimensional functions with low-order interactions.
method Utilizes ANOVA decomposition to learn low-order functions and index sets of important variables.
result Significantly reduces approximation error compared to existing methods.
Global Sensitivity Analysis improves feature importance ranking in Random Forests.
problem Improving feature importance ranking in Random Forests.
method Applying Global Sensitivity Analysis to Random Forests for feature ranking.
result Our method provides a novel way to rank features based on their importance.
Neural framework for conditional OT maps learns from categorical and continuous variables.
problem Learning conditional optimal transport maps between complex distributions.
method Hypernetwork generates adaptive transport layer parameters based on conditioning variables.
result Our method outperforms simpler conditioning methods in comprehensive ablation studies.
The paper proposes a new method to measure risk with fine-grained tail sensitivity.
problem Risk measures that do not account for tail sensitivity are insufficient for machine learning systems.
method The approach involves specifying a reference distribution with desired tail behavior and constructing risk measures compatible with this upper probability.
result Risk measures with fine-grained tail sensitivity can replace the expectation operator in machine learning systems.
Develops a method to estimate policy values robustly in the presence of confounding variables.
problem Infinite-horizon reinforcement learning with unobserved confounding variables makes policy evaluation unidentifiable.
method Robust approach estimating sharp bounds on policy value using optimization over state-occupancy ratios and sensitivity model.
result Proves convergence to sharp bounds as more confounded data is collected.
Bayesian neural networks with latent variables are scalable and flexible probabilistic models: They account for uncertainty in the estimation of the network weights and, by making use of latent variables, can capture complex noise patterns in the data. We show how to extract and decompose uncertainty into epistemic and…
Theory and methods to mitigate omitted variable bias in causal machine learning.
problem Mitigating omitted variable bias in causal machine learning models.
method Developed a general theory and flexible statistical inference methods for bounding and testing the magnitude of omitted variable bias.
result Simple plausibility judgments can bound the magnitude of omitted variable bias in complex, nonlinear models.
This paper solves the dynamic portfolio choice problem. Using an explicit solution with a power utility, we construct a bridge between a continuous and discrete VAR model to assess portfolio sensitivities. We find, from a well analyzed example that the optimal allocation to stocks is particularly sensitive to Sharpe ra…
Applications of machine learning tools to problems of physical interest are often criticized for producing sensitivity at the expense of transparency. To address this concern, we explore a data planing procedure for identifying combinations of variables -- aided by physical intuition -- that can discriminate signal fro…
The paper introduces new processors for fair credit scoring.
problem Fairness in credit scoring with multiple sensitive variables.
method Logical processors (LP) and Multistage processors (MP).
result Logical processors are effective for handling multiple sensitive variables.
A/B testing improves marketing decisions by selecting effective stratification variables.
problem Improving the sensitivity of A/B testing through stratified sampling.
method Designing an algorithm to select a subset of stratification variables for variance reduction.
result The subset selection method outperforms other variance reduction techniques in A/B testing.
We develop a general variational inference method that preserves dependency among the latent variables. Our method uses copulas to augment the families of distributions used in mean-field and structured approximations. Copulas model the dependency that is not captured by the original variational distribution, and thus …
This work introduces a fair learning method for diverse sensitive attributes.
problem Fairness in supervised learning with complex sensitive attributes.
method Neural network with a simple random sampler for fairness penalties.
result The method improves fairness and utility on benchmark data.
Paper introduces NumLLM for better financial text understanding with numeric variables.
problem Poor performance of existing financial large language models in numeric financial text.
method Constructed financial corpus, fine-tuned with LoRA modules, merged into foundation model.
result NumLLM achieves best performance on financial question-answering benchmark, especially with numeric questions.
A new RL framework for risk-sensitive decision-making using convex scoring functions.
problem Time-inconsistent risk measures in reinforcement learning.
method Convex scoring functions, augmented state space, auxiliary variable, customized Actor-Critic algorithm.
result Theoretical guarantees for approximation and convergence under certain conditions.
FairICP addresses equalized odds fairness for multiple sensitive attributes.
problem Equalized odds fairness for multiple sensitive attributes.
method Adversarial learning with inverse conditional permutation.
result Promotes equalized odds under complex, multi-dimensional sensitive attributes.
With the aim of building machine learning systems that incorporate standards of fairness and accountability, we explore explicit subgroup sample complexity bounds. The work is motivated by the observation that classifier predictions for real world datasets often demonstrate drastically different metrics, such as accura…
Variable selection for Gaussian process models is often done using automatic relevance determination, which uses the inverse length-scale parameter of each input variable as a proxy for variable relevance. This implicitly determined relevance has several drawbacks that prevent the selection of optimal input variables i…
Framework achieves fairness in predictions using partially known causal graph over clusters of variables.
problem Achieving fairness in algorithmic decisions when causal graph knowledge is limited.
method Leverages a causal graph over clusters of variables to train a prediction model, reducing interventional distribution discrepancies.
result Framework strikes a better balance between fairness and accuracy than existing approaches under limited causal graph knowledge.
The paper explores SHAP scores and their connection to functional ANOVA, highlighting challenges in approximations.
problem Estimating SHAP scores and understanding their limitations.
method Using the connection to functional ANOVA, the paper outlines the challenges in SHAP approximations and their relation to feature distribution and ANOVA terms.
result Challenges in SHAP approximations are primarily due to feature distribution and the number of ANOVA terms estimated.
Study finds economic data may not be as sparse as previously thought.
problem Modeling economic relations with many variables and prior sensitivity issues.
method Bayesian approach with Spike-and-Slab prior to evaluate variable selection and shrinkage.
result Prior distribution affects detection of sparsity patterns in economic data.