Value selection reduces model size while maintaining accuracy.
problem Space efficiency in model size reduction.
method Two probabilistic methods based on information theory's metric: PVS and P + VS.
result Value selection achieves balance between accuracy and model size reduction.
Shapley values criticized for feature selection, leading to new insights.
problem Using Shapley values for feature selection is problematic.
method Introduced and critiqued Shapley values as feature selection tools, using counterexamples and simulations.
result Shapley values may not always align with feature selection goals.
CASP selects reliable policies for two-stage recommender systems by considering both value and support.
problem The selection of a generator in two-stage recommender systems affects both the policy value and the data support used to estimate it.
method CASP combines doubly robust value estimation with a support-burden penalty.
result CASP selects lower-burden policies when estimated value and support credibility are in tension.
This paper enhances stability selection by evaluating overall results robustness and identifying optimal regularization values.
problem Improving the robustness and reliability of high-dimensional variable selection.
method Developed a stability estimator to evaluate stability of stability selection results, calibrating key parameters.
result Identified optimal regularization value and improved stability of variable selection.
Greedy selection works well in a toy model of independent increments.
problem Iterative selection of maximum-value processes from i.i.d. stochastic processes.
method Fixed greedy selection at each stage.
result Optimal strategy is greedy selection under independent increments.
Random forest hyperparameters affect variable selection in omics studies.
problem Impact of hyperparameters on variable selection in random forests.
method Two simulation studies using theoretical and empirical data.
result Hyperparameters influence variable selection more than the splitting strategy and sample fraction.
e-values rank features for model performance.
problem Feature selection for parametric models.
method Data depths and resampling-based algorithm.
result e-values distinguish essential features.
Study optimal portfolio selection with Recovery Average Value at Risk, showing better control over liabilities.
problem Optimizing portfolios with a new risk measure under known or uncertain distributions.
method Existence results for mean-risk optimal portfolios under different distributional assumptions.
result Portfolio selection under Recovery Average Value at Risk provides better control over liabilities.
MinShap improves feature selection accuracy and stability in complex models.
problem Challenging feature selection in unknown non-linear relationships.
method Combines Shapley values with a modified approach to feature selection.
result MinShap outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms in accuracy and stability.
Paper tackles policy selection in offline RL without hyperparameters.
problem Selecting between policies and value functions in offline RL.
method Designs hyperparameter-free algorithms based on BVFT for policy selection.
result Demonstrates effectiveness in discrete-action benchmarks like Atari.
A method selects candidates based on predictions with statistical control.
problem Screening candidates for resource-intensive steps like hiring or drug discovery.
method Wraps around any prediction model to produce a subset of candidates with controlled false selection rate.
result Empirically demonstrates selection of candidates whose predictions exceed a data-dependent threshold.
OptCS optimizes model selection after conformal inference, controlling FDR and power loss.
problem Challenges in model selection for conformal inference, especially when limited labeled data and many model choices are available.
method OptCS framework that allows valid statistical testing after flexible data-driven model optimization, using novel multiple testing procedures.
result Valid conformal p-values constructed despite substantial data reuse, maintaining FDR control.
Purpose: Machine learning is broadly used for clinical data analysis. Before training a model, a machine learning algorithm must be selected. Also, the values of one or more model parameters termed hyper-parameters must be set. Selecting algorithms and hyper-parameter values requires advanced machine learning knowledge…
Many model selection algorithms produce a path of fits specifying a sequence of increasingly complex models. Given such a sequence and the data used to produce them, we consider the problem of choosing the least complex model that is not falsified by the data. Extending the selected-model tests of Fithian et al. (2014)…
The goal of supervised feature selection is to find a subset of input features that are responsible for predicting output values. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso) allows computationally efficient feature selection based on linear dependency between input features and output values. In this pa…
Since risky positions in multivariate portfolios can be offset by various choices of capital requirements that depend on the exchange rules and related transaction costs, it is natural to assume that the risk measures of random vectors are set-valued. Furthermore, it is reasonable to include the exchange rules in the a…
Framework selects real estate redevelopment uses by integrating value, risk, complexity, and irreversibility.
problem Persistent underperformance of real estate assets due to structural misalignment.
method Integrates real-options logic and multi-criteria decision analysis.
result Reduces over-complexification and misalignment in strategic use selection.
A homological selection theorem for C-spaces, as well as, a finite-dimensional homological selection theorem is established. We apply the finite-dimensional homological selection theorem to obtain fixed-point theorems for usco homologically UV^n set-valued maps.
Unified view on selective credit assignment for reinforcement learning.
problem Efficient credit assignment in reinforcement learning.
method Unified temporal-difference algorithms with selective weightings.
result New algorithms for backward credit assignment and off-policy learning.
In this paper, we present a new wrapper feature selection approach based on Jensen-Shannon (JS) divergence, termed feature selection with maximum JS-divergence (FSMJ), for text categorization. Unlike most existing feature selection approaches, the proposed FSMJ approach is based on real-valued features which provide mo…
The most popular approach for analyzing survival data is the Cox regression model. The Cox model may, however, be misspecified, and its proportionality assumption may not always be fulfilled. An alternative approach for survival prediction is random forests for survival outcomes. The standard split criterion for random…
SCoRE provides risk control for selective prediction models.
problem Enforcing strict error control in selective prediction models.
method SCoRE framework based on conformal inference and hypothesis testing.
result SCoRE offers binary trust decisions with finite-sample error control.
A new method uses Shapley values to select important features for classification.
problem Feature selection for improving classification models.
method Classification game with Shapley value apportioning of hinge loss.
result Threshold 0 on SVEA value identifies significant features.
New method reduces computational cost for selective inference.
problem Over-conditioning in selective inference.
method Parametric programming-based selective inference (PP-based SI) with bounded p-values.
result Reduced computational cost while maintaining desired precision.
Bayesian approach improves Shapley value estimation efficiency.
problem Efficiently estimating Shapley values in machine learning models.
method Bayesian experimental design using Gaussian process surrogate and adaptive coalition selection.
result Consistently improves sample efficiency in low-budget settings.
New model uses interval-valued CVaR for better risk assessment in finance.
problem Measuring tail risk in rapidly changing financial markets.
method Employing random intervals to describe asset returns and using ICVaR as a risk measure.
result Optimal portfolio selection models show better risk assessment in real data.
PASTIS selects minimal models from stochastic dynamics data.
problem Overfitting in model selection for stochastic dynamics.
method Combining likelihood-estimation statistics with extreme value theory.
result PASTIS reliably identifies minimal models, even with low sampling rates or error.
Selective state-adaptive regularization improves offline RL performance.
problem Extrapolation errors and value overestimation in static dataset RL.
method State-adaptive regularization coefficients trust Bellman-driven results selectively.
result Significant improvement in performance on D4RL benchmark.
Extends model-x framework to handle missing data.
problem Inability to control false selections in missing data settings.
method Posterior sampled imputation, univariate imputation, joint imputation and sampling knockoffs.
result Preserves theoretical guarantees of model-x framework in missing data setting.
Proposes a new jackknife method for time series hyperparameter selection.
problem Hyperparameter selection for time series models.
method Artificial delete-d jackknife approach.
result Asymptotic and finite-sample advantages demonstrated.
Statistical guarantees for hyperparameter selection
problem Hyperparameter selection in AI systems
method Learn-then-test framework
result Provable reliability and safety
Proposes a method to quantify the reliability of salient regions in deep learning models using p-values.
problem Difficulty in assessing the reliability of saliency maps generated by deep learning models.
method Proposes a selective inference framework to quantify the reliability of salient regions as selected hypotheses by deep learning models.
result The method can provably control the probability of false positive detections of salient regions.
We present a method for constructing the log-optimal portfolio using the well-calibrated forecasts of market values. Dawid's notion of calibration and the Blackwell approachability theorem are used for computing well-calibrated forecasts. We select a portfolio using this "artificial" probability distribution of market …
The study proposes using TD error for selecting σ in Q(σ, λ).
problem Selecting the value of σ in Q(σ, λ) based on state characteristics.
method TD error as a heuristic for selecting σ.
result TD error can effectively select σ based on state characteristics.
FEM improves attention mechanisms by applying value-driven log-linear tilts.
problem Standard attention mechanisms read via convex average, limiting channel-wise selection.
method Free Energy Mixer (FEM) applies a value-driven, per-channel log-linear tilt to a fast prior over indices.
result FEM outperforms strong baselines on NLP, vision, and time-series tasks.
A new method selects regions of interest in GC-MS data without prior target selection.
problem Challenges in GC-MS data analysis due to fragmentation and shared fragment ions.
method Uses a pseudo F-ratio moving window (ψFRMV) to automatically select regions of interest. result Algorithm can accurately identify signal regions in GC-MS data.
Method selects features robust to concept shift using Shapley values.
problem Feature selection in static data does not work well with concept shifts.
method Establishes a direct relationship between Shapley values and prediction errors, detecting individual variable biases.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art feature selection methods in concept shift scenarios.
The paper provides high-probability bounds on false discovery proportions in conformal inference.
problem Existing methods fail to provide high-probability bounds on the realized false discovery proportion.
method Constructing a high-probability envelope for the empirical distribution function of null conformal p-values by sampling from their joint distribution.
result Establishes finite-sample, distribution-free upper bounds on the FDP that hold simultaneously over all possible rejection thresholds.
Shapley value improves model interpretation but not causal inference.
problem Improving model interpretability without losing predictive power.
method Analyzed Shapley value in Bayesian networks, linking it to conditional independence.
result Eliminating high Shapley value variables does not harm predictive performance, but low Shapley value variables can.
Paper improves risk estimation for rare events in sequential decisions.
problem Estimating tail risk in high confidence levels with limited data.
method Combines extreme value theory and automated threshold selection.
result Improves performance in estimating tail risk for some distributions.
Study predicts soccer player market values using machine learning and SHAP for interpretability.
problem Predicting accurate market values for professional soccer players.
method Ensemble machine learning models, SHAP for interpretability, Boruta for feature selection.
result GBDT model achieved high predictive accuracy (R-squared 0.901, RMSE 3,221,632.175).
New algorithms for model selection in off-policy evaluation of reinforcement learning.
problem Hyperparameter tuning for off-policy evaluation methods in reinforcement learning.
method Developed new model-free and model-based selectors with theoretical guarantees and a new experimental protocol.
result New model-free selector, LSTD-Tournament, demonstrates promising empirical performance.
There is a need for the development of models that are able to account for discreteness in data, along with its time series properties and correlation. Our focus falls on INteger-valued AutoRegressive (INAR) type models. The INAR type models can be used in conjunction with existing model-based clustering techniques to …
Paper relaxes symmetry conditions for universal feature selection in noisy data.
problem Feature selection in noisy data with weak symmetry.
method Developed a universal feature selection framework using singular value decomposition of canonical dependence matrix.
result Selected features achieve asymptotically optimal error exponents up to a residual term.
Develops a statistical test for IV, improving feature selection reliability.
problem Lack of statistical justification in conventional IV-based feature selection.
method Establishes connection with Jeffreys divergence and proposes a nonparametric hypothesis test.
result The J-Divergence test provides rigorous guarantees and is more reliable than traditional IV thresholds.
In the panoply of pattern classification techniques, few enjoy the intuitive appeal and simplicity of the nearest neighbor rule: given a set of samples in some metric domain space whose value under some function is known, we estimate the function anywhere in the domain by giving the value of the nearest sample per the …
Null-Calibrated Conformal Selection via Target-Membership Scores
problem Identifying test candidates whose unknown responses fall in a target region while controlling the false discovery rate
method Membership-score-based conformal selection
result Finite-sample valid null p-values
Method selects the best deep learner for time-series prediction using Bayesian networks.
problem Selecting the most effective deep learning model for time-series prediction.
method Bayesian network selects deep learners based on input variables and cluster training data.
result Threshold value determines which deep learners predict time-series data robustly.