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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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72145217289 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for valuative criterion

Complete criterion for VoI in multi-decision influence diagrams established.

problem Analyzing safety and fairness properties of AI systems using influence diagrams.
method Introduced ID homomorphisms and Tree of Systems to prove properties of multi-decision influence diagrams.
result First complete graphical criterion for VoI in influence diagrams with multiple decisions.

Kelly criterion, that maximizes the expectation value of the logarithm of wealth for bookmaker bets, gives an advantage over different class of strategies. We use projective symmetries for a explanation of this fact. Kelly's approach allows for an interesting financial interpretation of the Boltzmann/Shannon entropy. A…

2006-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper introduces a more efficient method for estimating level sets with a stopping criterion.

problem Efficiently estimating regions where a function exceeds a threshold without exhaustive evaluations.
method Acquisition strategy with a stopping criterion for εε-accurate level set estimation.
result The method satisfies εε-accuracy with a confidence level of 1δ1 - δ and guarantees on lower bounds of performance metrics.

In this paper, we study an insurer's reinsurance-investment problem under a mean-variance criterion. We show that excess-loss is the unique equilibrium reinsurance strategy under a spectrally negative Lévy insurance model when the reinsurance premium is computed according to the expected value premium principle. Furthe…

2017-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method calibrates value predictions in offline RL to improve reliability.

problem Difficulty in long-horizon value prediction in offline reinforcement learning.
method Bellman calibration, a weak reliability criterion, and Iterated Bellman Calibration.
result Finite-sample guarantees show that Bellman calibration error is controlled at nonparametric rates.

New criterion for cylinder stability in curved spaces.

problem Stability of cylinders in curved spaces.
method Extending Plateau-Rayleigh criterion to curved spaces and proving existence of instability threshold.
result Existence of a positive number L0L_0 for cylinder instability in E(κ,τ)\mathbb{E}(κ,τ) spaces.

We consider the problem of maximizing a real-valued continuous function ff using a Bayesian approach. Since the early work of Jonas Mockus and Antanas Žilinskas in the 70's, the problem of optimization is usually formulated by considering the loss function maxfMn\max f - M_n (where MnM_n denotes the best function value ob…

2014-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Study non-rectangular robust MDPs for average-reward, finding optimal policies and transient values.

problem Non-rectangular robust Markov decision processes under average-reward criterion.
method Proves history-dependent policies are robust-optimal, introduces transient-value framework, constructs epoch-based policy.
result Existence and properties of robust optimal policies, transient value bounds.

In the problem of domain adaptation for binary classification, the learner is presented with labeled examples from a source domain, and must correctly classify unlabeled examples from a target domain, which may differ from the source. Previous work on this problem has assumed that the performance measure of interest is…

2018-10-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Study optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers under random coefficients and jumps.

problem Optimal investment-reinsurance strategy for insurers with random coefficients and jumps.
method Solves backward stochastic differential equations with jumps under a convex cone constraint.
result Optimal strategy and value remain the same even with random coefficients and jumps.

We show how the signed evaluations of link polynomials can be used to calculate unknotting numbers. We use the Jones-Rong value of the Brandt-Lickorish-Millett-Ho polynomial Q to calculate the unknotting numbers of 8_{16}, 9_{49} and 6 further new entries in Kawauchi's tables. Another method is developed by applying an…

2004-05-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper describes a method to infer the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization.

problem Estimating the signal-to-noise ratio in portfolio optimization problems.
method A statistic similar to the Sharpe Ratio Information Criterion is used for inference.
result The method works well for reasonable sample and asset universe sizes.

Paper develops a new method for solving IBVPs on star-shaped domains.

problem Solving Inverse Boundary Value Problems (IBVP) for parallel transport equations.
method Covariant tomography, integrating geometric decomposition with specific interior extensions.
result Formal solvability criterion for higher-order IBVPs, validated through examples.

A new BO termination criterion for HPO reduces optimization time without sacrificing test performance.

problem Determining an optimal budget for hyperparameter optimization.
method A new termination criterion based on the discrepancy between predictive and computable target performance.
result The proposed termination criterion achieves a better trade-off between test performance and optimization time.

In this paper, we propose a Ward-like hierarchical clustering algorithm including spatial/geographical constraints. Two dissimilarity matrices D0D_0 and D1D_1 are inputted, along with a mixing parameter α[0,1]α\in [0,1]. The dissimilarities can be non-Euclidean and the weights of the observations can be non-uniform. The fi…

2017-07-12abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the risk criterion for investments based on the drawdown from the maximal value of the capital in the past. Depending on investor's risk attitude, thus his risk exposure, we find that the distribution of these drawdowns follows a general power law. In particular, if the risk exposure is Kelly-optimal, the expo…

1998-08-26abs ↗pdf ↗

The focal point of this paper is the so-called Kelly Criterion, a prescription for optimal resource allocation among a set of gambles which are repeated over time. The criterion calls for maximization of the expected value of the logarithmic growth of wealth. While significant literature exists providing the rationale …

2017-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Faster algorithms for solving multichain MDPs under average-reward criterion.

problem Navigating towards the best connected component in multichain MDPs.
method Developed algorithms to better solve the navigational subproblem, achieving faster convergence rates.
result Improved rates of convergence and sharper complexity measures for multichain MDPs.

An nn dimensional minimal submanifold ΣΣ of Rn+m\R^{n+m} is called non-parametric if ΣΣ can be represented as the graph of a vector-valued function f:DRnRmf:D\subset \R^n \mapsto \R^m. This note provides a sufficient condition for the stability of such ΣΣ in terms of the norm of the differential dfdf.

2002-11-01abs ↗pdf ↗

The Mean-Variance Criterion is equivalent to Second-order Stochastic Dominance under symmetric Elliptical distributions.

problem Determining the equivalence of Mean-Variance Criterion and Stochastic Dominance Criteria.
method Analyzing under symmetric and Skew-Elliptical distributions using Monte Carlo simulations.
result The Mean-Variance Criterion does not coincide with Second-order Stochastic Dominance for some types of risk-averse investors.

Let G be a Lie group and Q a quiver with relations. In this paper, we define G-valued representations of Q which directly generalize G-valued representations of finitely generated groups. Although as G-spaces, the G-valued quiver representations are more general than G-valued representations of finitely generated group…

2011-04-15abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a column of a rotating stationary surface in Euclidean space. We obtain a value l0>0l_0>0 in such way that if the length ll of column satisfies l>l0l>l_0, then the surface is instable. This extends, in some sense, previous results due to Plateau and Rayleigh for columns of surfaces with constant mean curvature…

2008-09-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Study stretch laminations in hyperbolic 3-manifolds via circle-valued maps.

problem Characterize stretch laminations in hyperbolic 3-manifolds.
method Use Thurston norm and Dehn filling slope length to determine stretch laminations as unions of core curves.
result Show existence of infinitely many examples with fibration and only closed leaves.

Develops moduli theory for Calabi-Yau pairs, constructing a projective space.

problem Constructing a moduli space for Calabi-Yau pairs at the Calabi-Yau wall.
method Develops moduli theory, proving S-completeness and ΘΘ-reductivity, constructing projective moduli space.
result Constructs a projective moduli space for degenerate P2\mathbb{P}^2 pairs.

Paper studies MCCR models with scale parameters tending to zero, revealing optimal learning rate and comparing robustness.

problem Analyzing MCCR models with scale parameters approaching zero.
method Investigates MCCR models with scale parameters tending to zero, revealing optimal learning rate and comparing robustness.
result Optimal learning rate of MCCR models is O(n1){\mathcal{O}}(n^{-1}) in the asymptotic sense.

We reduced Rudyak's conjecture that a degree one map between closed manifolds cannot raise the Lusternik-Schnirelmann category to the computation of the category of the product of two lens spaces Lpn×LqnL^n_p\times L_q^n with relatively prime pp and qq. We have computed cat(Lpn×Lqn)cat(L^n_p\times L^n_q) for values of p,q>n/2p,q>n/2. It…

2014-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Study equivariant isotopy in higher dimensions, finding exceptions.

problem Under what conditions are equivariant isotopic diffeomorphisms also equivariantly isotopic?
method Construct an invariant valued in the homology of an infinite cover to distinguish isotopic from equivariantly isotopic diffeomorphisms.
result Many equivariant diffeomorphisms are isotopic but not equivariantly isotopic in higher dimensions.

Active learning aims to train a classifier as fast as possible with as few labels as possible. The core element in virtually any active learning strategy is the criterion that measures the usefulness of the unlabeled data based on which new points to be labeled are picked. We propose a novel approach which we refer to …

2017-06-23abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework for modular reinforcement learning reduces sample complexity.

problem Achieving independent credit assignment in reinforcement learning.
method Defining modular credit assignment as minimizing algorithmic mutual information, introducing modularity criterion for causal analysis.
result Single-step temporal difference action-value methods meet the modularity criterion, improving sample efficiency.

Entropy Search (ES) and Predictive Entropy Search (PES) are popular and empirically successful Bayesian Optimization techniques. Both rely on a compelling information-theoretic motivation, and maximize the information gained about the argmax\arg\max of the unknown function; yet, both are plagued by the expensive computatio…

2017-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We address the problem of computing reliable policies in reinforcement learning problems with limited data. In particular, we compute policies that achieve good returns with high confidence when deployed. This objective, known as the \emph{percentile criterion}, can be optimized using Robust MDPs~(RMDPs). RMDPs general…

2019-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗