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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,694 papers · 148 categories

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52105157209 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for vague knowledge

New model of vague knowledge without strict partitions or transitivity.

problem Standard economic models of information fail to capture real-world vague knowledge.
method Relaxing assumptions of transitivity and partition structure to formalize vague knowledge.
result Vague knowledge can distinguish some states but not partition the state space.

Analysts use vague language in reports to convey useful information about future payoffs.

problem Lack of precise numerical forecasts in analyst reports.
method Empirical analysis of analyst reports to assess the predictive power of linguistic tone.
result The textual tone of analyst reports has predictive power for forecast errors and subsequent revisions, especially when language is vague and uncertainty is high.

We discuss fun problems, vaguely related to notions and theorems of a course in differential geometry. This paper can be regarded as a weekend "treasure chest" supplementing the course weekday lecture notes. The problems and solutions are not original, while their relation to the course might be so.

2019-12-12abs ↗pdf ↗

In shape analysis, the concept of shape spaces has always been vague, requiring a case-by-case approach for every new type of shape. In this paper, we give a general definition for an abstract space of shapes in a manifold. This notion encompasses every shape space studied so far in the literature, and offers a rigorou…

2015-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are known as black-box models. In other words, it is difficult to interpret the internal state of the model. Improving the interpretability of DNNs is one of the hot research topics. However, at present, the definition of interpretability for DNNs is vague, and the question of what is a high…

2019-09-12abs ↗pdf ↗

QLSTM outperforms LSTM in predicting KSE 100 index movements.

problem Predicting stock market movement in uncertain economic conditions.
method Used LSTM and QLSTM models on monthly data of economic indicators.
result QLSTM provided more accurate predictions of KSE 100 index values.

In an earlier paper we introduced rectangular diagrams of surfaces and showed that any isotopy class of a surface in the three-sphere can be presented by a rectangular diagram. Here we study transformations of those diagrams and introduce moves that allow transition between diagrams representing isotopic surfaces. We a…

2017-12-18abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we derive a Bayesian model order selection rule by using the exponentially embedded family method, termed Bayesian EEF. Unlike many other Bayesian model selection methods, the Bayesian EEF can use vague proper priors and improper noninformative priors to be objective in the elicitation of parameter prior…

2017-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

If NAS methods are solutions, what is the problem? Most existing NAS methods require two-stage parameter optimization. However, performance of the same architecture in the two stages correlates poorly. In this work, we propose a new problem definition for NAS, task-specific end-to-end, based on this observation. We arg…

2020-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

A complex-valued convolutional network (convnet) implements the repeated application of the following composition of three operations, recursively applying the composition to an input vector of nonnegative real numbers: (1) convolution with complex-valued vectors followed by (2) taking the absolute value of every entry…

2015-03-11abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework shows ERM is optimal for both interpolation and extrapolation in domain generalization.

problem Formalizing and solving the challenges of domain generalization.
method Reformulated domain generalization as an online game between a risk-minimizing player and an adversary.
result ERM is minimax-optimal for both interpolation and extrapolation in domain generalization.

Study finds no significant difference in neural network weights with quantum random numbers.

problem Effects of biased quantum random numbers on neural network initialization.
method Empirical study using quantum hardware and classical pseudo-random numbers.
result No statistically significant difference found between quantum random numbers and other types.

The paper tackles model collapse in GPLVMs by improving kernel flexibility and projection variance.

problem Model collapse in GPLVMs leading to vague latent representations.
method Theoretical analysis of projection variance, integration of SM and RFF kernels, and variational inference.
result The advisedRFLVM outperforms competing models in informative latent representations and missing data imputation.

Semantic code search is the task of retrieving relevant code given a natural language query. While related to other information retrieval tasks, it requires bridging the gap between the language used in code (often abbreviated and highly technical) and natural language more suitable to describe vague concepts and ideas…

2019-09-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Review of uncertainty representation methods in risk management.

problem Inadequate consideration of uncertainty in risk management.
method Systematic literature review of 370 publications.
result Probabilistic methods are predominant, but fuzzy and evidence-based approaches are also useful.

We introduce a simple combinatorial way, which we call a rectangular diagram of a surface, to represent a surface in the three-sphere. It has a particularly nice relation to the standard contact structure on S3\mathbb S^3 and to rectangular diagrams of links. By using rectangular diagrams of surfaces we are going, in p…

2016-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proves convergence of warped product manifolds to a nonnegative scalar curvature limit.

problem Proving convergence of sequences of manifolds with nonnegative scalar curvature.
method Warped product manifolds with diverging circular fibers, proving convergence in W1,pW^{1,p} sense.
result Sequence converges to an extreme limit space with nonnegative scalar curvature.

Paper studies identifiability and stability of drifting fields in generative modeling.

problem Identify and stabilize drifting fields in generative modeling.
method Introduces companion-elliptic kernel families to address limitations of Laplace kernel.
result Establishes field identifiability and demonstrates scalar observables for weak convergence.

The paper explores identifiability and stability in drifting fields using companion-elliptic kernels.

problem Identifying and stabilizing drifting fields in generative modeling.
method Introduces companion-elliptic kernel families and analyzes their properties to address identifiability and stability issues.
result Established field identifiability for arbitrary Borel probability measures and demonstrated that field convergence alone does not guarantee weak convergence.

For non-smooth surfaces, the measure of Brownian loops is derived using the Polyakov-Alvarez formula.

problem Deriving the measure of Brownian loops on non-smooth surfaces.
method Using the Polyakov-Alvarez formula and heat kernel traces.
result The measure of Brownian loops on non-smooth surfaces is derived and shown to be uniform.

Proposes using prior variable importance information in high-dimensional regression.

problem Using vague prior information on variable importance in high-dimensional settings.
method Fit a sequence of models indicated by the prior importance orderings, using ridge or Lasso regression.
result Cross-validation can select the best estimator from a sequence of models, with a logarithmic cost compared to the unknown best.

TadGAN detects anomalies in time series data using GANs and LSTM.

problem Challenges in detecting anomalies in time series data, especially without labeled data.
method TadGAN uses Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) with LSTM Recurrent Neural Networks to capture temporal correlations and compute anomaly scores.
result TadGAN outperforms 8 baseline methods in most cases, achieving the highest averaged F1 score.

A new framework for knowledge graph embedding using sheaves.

problem Learning representations for entities and relations in knowledge graphs.
method Using cellular sheaves to describe knowledge graph embeddings with consistency constraints.
result A generalized framework for reasoning about knowledge graph embedding models.

Framework evaluates the impact of prior knowledge in deep learning models.

problem Mitigating data-driven model shortcomings like data dependence and generalization ability.
method Model-agnostic framework inspired by interpretable machine learning, assessing data volume and estimation range effects.
result Complex relationship between data and knowledge, including dependence, synergistic, and substitution effects.

It is always demanding to learn robust visual representation for various learning problems; however, this learning and maintenance process usually suffers from noise, incompleteness or knowledge domain mismatch. Thus, robust representation learning by removing noisy features or samples, complementing incomplete data, a…

2019-09-28abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper aims to analyze knowledge consistency between pre-trained deep neural networks. We propose a generic definition for knowledge consistency between neural networks at different fuzziness levels. A task-agnostic method is designed to disentangle feature components, which represent the consistent knowledge, from…

2019-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Survey of methods to incorporate external knowledge into stock price prediction.

problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to market volatility and non-linearity.
method Survey of methods for acquiring and incorporating external knowledge into stock price prediction models.
result Systematic synthesis of previous studies on external knowledge types and their application in stock price prediction.