Specifying utility functions is a key step towards applying the discrete choice framework for understanding the behaviour processes that govern user choices. However, identifying the utility function specifications that best model and explain the observed choices can be a very challenging and time-consuming task. This …
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A new model uses neural networks for consistent discrete choice analysis.
In a market with stochastic investment opportunities, we study an optimal consumption investment problem for an agent with recursive utility of Epstein-Zin type. Focusing on the empirically relevant specification where both risk aversion and elasticity of intertemporal substitution are in excess of one, we characterize…
RUMBoost combines RUMs and deep learning for better choice modelling.
New framework for evaluating multiclass classifier calibration.
CEFOL uses deep learning for dynamic programming with recursive utility.
A framework for eliciting utility functions from investor preferences.
Designs a DNN with alternative-specific utility functions for improved choice analysis.
Karl Menger's 1934 paper on the St. Petersburg paradox contains mathematical errors that invalidate his conclusion that unbounded utility functions, specifically Bernoulli's logarithmic utility, fail to resolve modified versions of the St. Petersburg paradox.
Optimal portfolios are found for a wide range of utility functions under hyperbolic returns.
This paper introduces a dual problem to study a continuous-time consumption and investment problem with incomplete markets and stochastic differential utility. For Epstein-Zin utility, duality between the primal and dual problems is established. Consequently the optimal strategy of the consumption and investment proble…
Bayesian decision theory outlines a rigorous framework for making optimal decisions based on maximizing expected utility over a model posterior. However, practitioners often do not have access to the full posterior and resort to approximate inference strategies. In such cases, taking the eventual decision-making task i…
FairDTD improves fairness in GNNs by distilling dual teacher knowledge, balancing utility and bias.
This paper analyzes popular time-nonseparable utility functions that describe "habit formation" consumer preferences comparing current consumption with the time averaged past consumption of the same individual and "catching up with the Joneses" (CuJ) models comparing individual consumption with a cross-sectional averag…
Study adds investment gains and losses to recursive utility model, proving existence and uniqueness of utility process.
We demonstrate a limitation of discounted expected utility, a standard approach for representing the preference to risk when future cost is discounted. Specifically, we provide an example of the preference of a decision maker that appears to be rational but cannot be represented with any discounted expected utility. A …
New risk measures for financial and ESG risks using utility functions.
Solves optimal control for trading multiple mean-reverting assets.
New approach for learning with unknown utilities without explicit specification.
This paper proposes a systematic framework to design a classification model that yields a classifier which optimizes a utility function based on prior knowledge. Specifically, as the data size grows, we prove that the produced classifier asymptotically converges to the optimal classifier, an extended version of the Bay…
Kramkov and Sirbu (2006, 2007) have shown that first-order approximations of power utility-based prices and hedging strategies can be computed by solving a mean-variance hedging problem under a specific equivalent martingale measure and relative to a suitable numeraire. In order to avoid the introduction of an addition…
The effectiveness of utility-maximization techniques for portfolio management relies on our ability to estimate correctly the parameters of the dynamics of the underlying financial assets. In the setting of complete or incomplete financial markets, we investigate whether small perturbations of the market coefficient pr…
Study on equilibrium with non-convex preferences.
Study finds 'happiness' search data predicts stock returns, suggesting utility needs impact firm performance.
This paper discusses the sensitivity of the long-term expected utility of optimal portfolios for an investor with constant relative risk aversion. Under an incomplete market given by a factor model, we consider the utility maximization problem with long-time horizon. The main purpose is to find the long-term sensitivit…
Assuming that agents' preferences satisfy first-order stochastic dominance, we show how the Expected Utility paradigm can rationalize all optimal investment choices: the optimal investment strategy in any behavioral law-invariant (state-independent) setting corresponds to the optimum for an expected utility maximizer w…
We introduce the concept of singular recursive utility. This leads to a kind of singular BSDE which, to the best of our knowledge, has not been studied before. We show conditions for existence and uniqueness of a solution for this kind of singular BSDE. Furthermore, we analyze the problem of maximizing the singular rec…
SMOTE-DP enhances synthetic data privacy without sacrificing utility.
Optimal reinsurance contracts for multiple dependent risks are derived without specific dependency assumptions.
Optimizes portfolios with GM returns using convex optimization.
Data-driven anomaly detection methods suffer from the drawback of detecting all instances that are statistically rare, irrespective of whether the detected instances have real-world significance or not. In this paper, we are interested in the problem of specifically detecting anomalous instances that are known to have …
In this paper, we consider the classical problem of utility maximization in a financial market allowing jumps. Assuming that the constraint set is a compact set, rather than a convex one, we use a dynamic method from which we derive a specific BSDE. We then aim at showing existence and uniqueness results for the introd…
Generative model learns investment strategies without explicit utility specification.
Distributed devices such as mobile phones can produce and store large amounts of data that can enhance machine learning models; however, this data may contain private information specific to the data owner that prevents the release of the data. We wish to reduce the correlation between user-specific private information…
Generative model captures how individuals process travel information under uncertainty.
TVineSynth generates synthetic data to balance privacy and utility.
Optimal defenses protect FL models from gradient reconstruction attacks.
FCA improves fair clustering by optimizing utility and fairness.
This work defines observation-specific explanations for black-box models.
Paper establishes utility theory for synthetic data generation.
Study finds cheapest possible payoff under ambiguity, linking to maxmin expected utility.
New algorithm tackles non-linear utility in MNL bandits with regret.
This paper takes a look at the Talmudic rule aka the 1/N rule aka the uniform investment strategy from the viewpoint of elementary microeconomics. Specifically, we derive the cardinal utility function for a Talmud-obeying agent which happens to have the Cobb-Douglas form. Further, we investigate individual supply and d…
This work analyzes fairness-accuracy trade-offs using causal methods.
Study on utility maximization with Tsallis entropy in reinforcement learning.
Variational Bayes (VB) methods have emerged as a fast and computationally-efficient alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for scalable Bayesian estimation of mixed multinomial logit (MMNL) models. It has been established that VB is substantially faster than MCMC at practically no compromises in predict…
This paper analyzes risk perception and aversion in decision-making.
New method calibrates noise for attack risk, improving ML model accuracy.