A new method corrects bias in machine learning for trading by filtering out non-executable prices.
problem Contaminated data from price limits causes misleading performance metrics in trading models.
method Mask-first design with tradability filters, GPU optimization, and penalized losses.
result The system achieves Sharpe ratios of 1.63 on real data, significantly outperforming existing methods.
The paper analyzes how forgetting in LLMs is linked to simple task-upstream example associations.
problem Forgetting of upstream knowledge in fine-tuned LLMs.
method Empirical analysis of forgotten examples in N upstream examples after M new tasks, using low-rank matrix approximation. result Forgetting can be predicted efficiently using matrix completion over empirical associations.
The paper develops adaptive confidence intervals for Efron's Gaussian two-groups model with unknown contamination.
problem Developing robust uncertainty quantification for Efron's Gaussian two-groups model with unknown contamination fraction.
method The approach involves Fourier-based certification procedures to find minimax-optimal adaptive confidence intervals.
result The minimax-optimal length of adaptive confidence intervals is polynomially worse than when contamination fraction is known.
The paper finds a surprising positive correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in global value chains.
problem The puzzling positive correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in industries and countries.
method Analysis of a simple model of random Input/Output tables and experiments on empirical data.
result Upstreamness and downstreamness of the same industrial sector/country are positively correlated with a slope close to +1.
Model forgets examples; this research predicts which ones to replay.
problem Language models forget examples during updates, leading to errors.
method Train forecasting models to predict which examples will be forgotten.
result Forecasting models can reduce forgetting of upstream pretraining examples.
Study uses multidimensional SE-NBD process to analyze default portfolios and identify shock amplification.
problem Analyzing interactions and shock propagation in default portfolios with multiple sectors.
method Applied multidimensional self-exciting negative binomial distribution (SE-NBD) process to 13 sectors.
result Identified upstream and downstream sectors, showing shock amplification in default portfolios.
NeVI-Cut uses neural networks to efficiently propagate uncertainty without feedback.
problem Efficiently propagating uncertainty in downstream Bayesian analysis without feedback.
method NeVI-Cut combines neural networks and normalizing flows for variational inference.
result NeVI-Cut achieves significant computational gains and higher accuracy than traditional methods.
UBM transfers bias mitigation from upstream to downstream tasks efficiently.
problem Bias in fine-tuned language models across various tasks.
method Apply bias mitigation to an upstream model, then fine-tune a downstream model on this mitigated model.
result UBM effects transfer to new downstream tasks, creating less biased models.
Paper examines adversarial attacks on weather forecasting models, focusing on TC trajectory prediction.
problem Adversarial attacks can mislead downstream TC trajectory predictions in DLWF models.
method Proposes Cyc-Attack, a method using a surrogate model and skewness-aware loss function to generate adversarial TC paths.
result Cyc-Attack achieves higher true positive rates and lower false alarm rates compared to conventional methods.
Study shows scaling up models doesn't always improve downstream tasks.
problem Understanding why scaling up models doesn't always improve downstream performance.
method Systematic study of 4800 experiments on various models, analyzing performance on 20 downstream tasks.
result Performance on downstream tasks saturates as model size increases, revealing a nonlinear relationship.
New algorithm REFUEL shows multitask representation learning is more sample-efficient in RL.
problem Understanding the benefit of representation learning in reinforcement learning.
method Developed REFUEL algorithm for multitask low-rank RL, analyzing both upstream and downstream tasks.
result Multitask representation learning is provably more sample-efficient than individual task learning.
A contamination in a 3-manifold is an object interpolating between the contact structure and the lamination. Contaminations seem to provide a link between 3-dimensional contact geometry and the classical topology of 3-manifolds, as described in a separate paper. In this paper we deal with contaminations carried by bran…
Deep tabular models outperform GBDT in medical diagnosis tasks.
problem Transfer learning for tabular data in medical diagnosis.
method Proposes a pseudo-feature method for transfer learning between different feature sets.
result Tabular neural networks outperform GBDT in medical diagnosis tasks.
A robust loss for anomaly mitigation and unsupervised contamination classification
problem Detecting and mitigating contamination in supervised and unsupervised settings
method Neural Bayesian Anomaly Mitigation (NBAM)
result Recovering the structure of contamination and identifying label-flip pairs
New methods detect modular structure in neural networks, revealing surprising effects of dropout.
problem Detecting functional modules in neural networks for learning, compositionality, and generalization.
method Two families of methods: upstream and downstream, to define similarity between units.
result Dropout dramatically increased modularity, and there's little agreement between upstream and downstream methods.
Study minimax robustness in statistical estimation under Wasserstein contamination.
problem Adversarial perturbations in statistical data.
method Developed minimax theory for ℓqr losses under Wasserstein-r contaminations. result Exact minimax risk identified for joint contaminations in location estimation and prediction in linear regression.
Study shows robust method for estimating density ratios even with heavy contamination.
problem Estimating density ratios in the presence of heavy contamination.
method Weighted density ratio estimation (DRE) with doubly strong robustness.
result Weighted DRE achieves sparse consistency under heavy contamination.
Generative models can still learn from contaminated data, but with limitations.
problem How much contamination can generative models tolerate?
method Characterized robustness under contaminated enumerations, proving generation is achievable for all countable collections if contamination fraction converges to zero.
result Generation under contamination is achievable for all countable collections if contamination fraction converges to zero, but dense generation is strictly less robust.
Algorithm identifies Pareto set in bandits with contaminated feedback.
problem Identifying Pareto set in multi-objective bandits with adversarial contamination.
method Sample median-based multi-objective adaptive elimination algorithm.
result Sample complexity bound that depends on contamination probability.
New algorithm resists contamination in high-dimensional regression with optimal performance.
problem Adversarial and measurement errors in high-dimensional data.
method Adversarial Contamination-resistant Iterative Hard Thresholding (AC-IHT) algorithm.
result Achieves minimax near-optimal estimation and signal-adaptive support recovery.
Motivated by applications of bandit algorithms in education, we consider a stochastic multi-armed bandit problem with ε-contaminated rewards. We allow an adversary to give arbitrary unbounded contaminated rewards with full knowledge of the past and future. We impose the constraint that for each time t the…
ASCEND discovers causal relationships in multi-omics data by leveraging known hierarchical structure.
problem Causal inference in high-dimensional multi-omics data, especially when ignoring the hierarchical structure.
method Two-tiered divide-and-conquer strategy with ancestral conditioning sets.
result Achieves polynomial-time complexity and accurately recovers ancestral relationships.
Paper introduces RAS for robust MTL with contamination.
problem Representation-based multi-task learning struggles with contamination.
method Robust and Adaptive Spectral (RAS) method.
result RAS prevents negative transfer and performs well with up to 80% contamination.
Trimming helps in conformal prediction when it separates anomaly scores.
problem Effectiveness of trimming in conformal prediction under contamination.
method Analyse fixed-threshold trimming as a replacement of the contaminated calibration law with a retained law.
result Trimming helps when it separates anomaly scores, reducing clean-target coverage to a one-dimensional score-CDF transfer problem.
Improved robust regression with clean covariates achieves better rates than Huber's model.
problem Robust regression under adaptive contamination of responses with clean covariates.
method Exploiting clean covariates to construct an estimator achieving better rates than Huber's model.
result Improved estimation rate even with constant contamination, achieving consistency.
Bayesian method estimates contamination factor for unsupervised anomaly detection.
problem No good methods for estimating contamination factor in unsupervised anomaly detection.
method Bayesian approach using mixture formulation of anomaly detector outputs.
result Estimated contamination factor distribution is well-calibrated and improves anomaly detection performance.
New test ensures quality of shared data in machine learning.
problem Ensuring quality of external data in machine learning tasks.
method Distribution-free two-sample testing procedures grounded in conformal outlier detection.
result Identifies valuable external data agents for model personalization.
New method trims network data to resist adversarial contamination.
problem Adversarial contamination in network data affects statistical and algorithmic performance.
method Proposes a new trimming method operating in model space to address both block and white noise contamination.
result Demonstrates superior performance in simulations compared to direct trimming.
New algorithm reduces contamination in supervised learning.
problem Learning with contamination in supervised learning.
method Iterative polynomial filtering.
result Efficient learning of functions with contamination.
Paper shows MoM is optimal under adversarial contamination for certain distributions.
problem Optimality of MoM under adversarial contamination.
method Upper and lower bounds for MoM's error under adversarial contamination.
result MoM is (minimax) optimal for distributions with finite variance and infinite variance with finite absolute moments.
The paper analyzes how conformal prediction works with contaminated reference data.
problem The impact of contamination on the validity and power of conformal prediction methods.
method The paper analyzes the impact of contamination on the validity of conformal methods and proposes a data-cleaning framework to enhance power.
result The proposed data-cleaning framework can effectively enhance power while maintaining type-I error control.
Robust score matching improves parameter estimation in contaminated data.
problem Parameter estimation in data contaminated by outliers.
method Geometric median of means to develop a robust score matching procedure.
result Consistent parameter estimates in contaminated data settings.
Enhances performance on downstream tasks using multi-domain data.
problem Improving performance on tasks with limited downstream data.
method Deep transfer learning framework leveraging shared and domain-specific features.
result Significantly improves convergence rate for learning Lipschitz functions.
A low rank matrix X has been contaminated by uniformly distributed noise, missing values, outliers and corrupt entries. Reconstruction of X from the singular values and singular vectors of the contaminated matrix Y is a key problem in machine learning, computer vision and data science. In this paper we show that common…
Efficiently estimates mean in contaminated Gaussian data with near-optimal sample complexity.
problem Robust mean estimation in the presence of mean-shift contamination.
method First computationally efficient algorithm with near-optimal sample complexity and polynomial-time running.
result Approximates the target mean to any desired accuracy with constant fraction of outliers tolerated.
A theory of cellwise contamination for compositional data using log-ratios.
problem Contamination in compositional data analysis.
method Develops a theory combining contamination model and propagation theorem.
result Reduction in cellwise breakdown value by (D−1)/D for certain estimators. This paper studies active learning in the context of robust statistics. Specifically, we propose a variant of the Best Arm Identification problem for \emph{contaminated bandits}, where each arm pull has probability ε of generating a sample from an arbitrary contamination distribution instead of the true und…
Many machine learning problems can be characterized by mutual contamination models. In these problems, one observes several random samples from different convex combinations of a set of unknown base distributions. It is of interest to decontaminate mutual contamination models, i.e., to recover the base distributions ei…
Study tackles contamination and heterogeneity in multi-task learning, improving robustness and personalization.
problem Challenges in integrating related tasks due to contamination and heterogeneity.
method Proposes a filtering-based robust multi-task gradient descent method to estimate global and clean task-specific minimizers.
result Demonstrates improved robustness and personalization compared to existing methods.
Optimal transport adapted for contaminated probabilities, showing equivalence under specific conditions.
problem Adapting optimal transport for ε-contaminated sets. method Generalized optimal transport problems with lower probabilities, showing equivalence under ε-contaminations. result Monge's and Kantorovich's problems coincide under ε-contaminated sets, but not always. Paper uses DNN-based MoM-GAN to estimate contaminated data distributions.
problem Estimating distributions of data with outliers or contamination.
method Combines GAN and MoM estimation with DNN for modeling.
result DNN-based MoM-GAN achieves better error bounds than other methods.
We study the problem of learning representations with controllable connectivity properties. This is beneficial in situations when the imposed structure can be leveraged upstream. In particular, we control the connectivity of an autoencoder's latent space via a novel type of loss, operating on information from persisten…
Theoretical study shows AI models can recover from contaminated training data.
problem Data contamination in AI training can degrade model performance.
method Theoretical analysis and experiments on various data types.
result Models converge to true distribution under mild conditions, with rate dependent on real data fraction.
We propose in this paper a method for studying contact structures in 3-manifolds by means of branched surfaces. We explain what it means for a contact structure to be carried by a branched surface embedded in a 3-manifold. To make the transition from contact structures to branched surfaces, we first define auxiliary ob…
Study robustness of split conformal prediction in data contamination setting.
problem Robustness of split conformal prediction under data contamination.
method Analyze split conformal prediction's performance in a contaminated data setting and propose a new method.
result Demonstrated the impact of corrupted data on prediction intervals' coverage and efficiency.
Robustly aligns datasets with partial GW distance to handle contamination.
problem Aligning contaminated datasets using Gromov-Wasserstein distances.
method Proposes a partial GW distance estimator to minimize distortion from outliers.
result The partial GW distance estimator is minimax optimal and near-optimal in finite samples.
Study enhances robustness of In-CVaR based regression models under perturbation and contamination.
problem Enhancing robustness of nonlinear regression models under perturbation and contamination.
method Introduces interval conditional value-at-risk (In-CVaR) and rigorously analyzes its robustness properties under both perturbation and contamination.
result The In-CVaR based estimator is qualitatively robust in terms of the Prokhorov metric if and only if the largest portion of losses is trimmed.
Study on private and robust multi-armed bandits with contaminated heavy-tailed rewards.
problem Private and robust multi-armed bandits with contaminated heavy-tailed rewards.
method Proposed a meta-algorithm with a private and robust mean estimation sub-routine exttt{PRM}.
result Achieved nearly-optimal regret for two heavy-tailed settings.