A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We show how an ensemble of Q∗-functions can be leveraged for more effective exploration in deep reinforcement learning. We build on well established algorithms from the bandit setting, and adapt them to the Q-learning setting. We propose an exploration strategy based on upper-confidence bounds (UCB). Our experimen…
The paper improves Q-learning by incorporating pessimism for better sample efficiency.
problem Improving sample efficiency in asynchronous Q-learning with non-i.i.d. data.
method Developed an algorithmic framework that incorporates the principle of pessimism into asynchronous Q-learning, penalizing infrequently-visited state-action pairs based on suitable lower confidence bounds (LCBs).
result Achieved near-optimal sample complexity, providing theoretical support for the use of pessimism in non-i.i.d. data.
Efficient exploration remains a major challenge for reinforcement learning. One reason is that the variability of the returns often depends on the current state and action, and is therefore heteroscedastic. Classical exploration strategies such as upper confidence bound algorithms and Thompson sampling fail to appropri…
The estimation of probabilities of default (PDs) for low default portfolios by means of upper confidence bounds is a well established procedure in many financial institutions. However, there are often discussions within the institutions or between institutions and supervisors about which confidence level to use for the…
Study on statistical inference for nonlinear stochastic approximation with Markovian data.
problem Statistical inference for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian data.
method Established a functional central limit theorem for the partial-sum process of the target parameter estimate, providing asymptotic pivotal statistics for constructing confidence intervals.
result Valid and efficient asymptotic inference method for nonlinear stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian data.
This note gives a short, self-contained, proof of a sharp connection between Gittins indices and Bayesian upper confidence bound algorithms. I consider a Gaussian multi-armed bandit problem with discount factor γ. The Gittins index of an arm is shown to equal the γ-quantile of the posterior distribution of the arm'…
Federated learning (FL) provides a communication-efficient approach to solve machine learning problems concerning distributed data, without sending raw data to a central server. However, existing works on FL only utilize first-order gradient descent (GD) and do not consider the preceding iterations to gradient update w…
This paper studies accelerations in Q-learning algorithms. We propose an accelerated target update scheme by incorporating the historical iterates of Q functions. The idea is conceptually inspired by the momentum-based accelerated methods in the optimization theory. Conditions under which the proposed accelerated algor…
In this paper, the method UCB-RS, which resorts to recommendation system (RS) for enhancing the upper-confidence bound algorithm UCB, is presented. The proposed method is used for dealing with non-stationary and large-state spaces multi-armed bandit problems. The proposed method has been targeted to the problem of the …
This paper analyzes regret bounds for Gaussian process Thompson sampling.
problem Analyzing the performance of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) in Bayesian optimization.
method The paper derives several regret bounds for GP-TS, including a lower bound, upper bounds on the second moment of cumulative regret, expected lenient regret, and improved cumulative regret.
result The paper provides improved regret upper bounds for GP-TS, showing that it suffers from a polynomial dependence on 1/δ with probability δ.
Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) method is arguably the most celebrated one used in online decision making with partial information feedback. Existing techniques for constructing confidence bounds are typically built upon various concentration inequalities, which thus lead to over-exploration. In this paper, we propose a n…
The most general formulation of Penrose's inequality yields a lower bound for ADM mass in terms of the area, charge, and angular momentum of black holes. This inequality is in turn equivalent to an upper and lower bound for the area in terms of the remaining quantities. In this note, we establish the lower bound for a …
While momentum-based accelerated variants of stochastic gradient descent (SGD) are widely used when training machine learning models, there is little theoretical understanding on the generalization error of such methods. In this work, we first show that there exists a convex loss function for which the stability gap fo…