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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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108215323430 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for upper confidence bound

Paper improves regret bounds for Gaussian process upper confidence bound in Bayesian optimization.

problem Minimizing regret in Gaussian process bandit optimization.
method Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) algorithm with refined analysis.
result Achieves O(Tln2T)O(\sqrt{T \ln^2 T}) cumulative regret under squared exponential kernel.

A new differentiable UCB algorithm for linear bandits learns adaptive confidence bounds.

problem Inability of UCB to strike optimal exploration-exploitation due to confidence bounds.
method Proposes a differentiable linear bandit algorithm and a gradient estimator for learning adaptive confidence bounds.
result Achieves a ildeO(β^dT) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\hatβ\sqrt{dT}) upper bound of TT-round regret.

This paper improves GP-UCB by using a shifted exponential distribution for confidence parameters.

problem Theoretical confidence parameter in GP-UCB increases with iterations, leading to large values.
method Introduced IRGP-UCB, a randomized variant of GP-UCB using a shifted exponential distribution for confidence parameters.
result IRGP-UCB achieves sub-linear regret without increasing the confidence parameter.

Improved Bayesian optimisation method using randomised Gaussian process UCB.

problem Improving performance in Bayesian optimisation.
method Developed a modified Gaussian process upper confidence bound (GP-UCB) acquisition function.
result The method achieves better performance than GP-UCB in various problems.

Bayesian methods improve drug discovery experiment design.

problem Optimizing drug screening experiments in high-dimensional data.
method Bayesian inference and optimisation with upper confidence bound algorithms, Thompson sampling, and sparse tree search.
result Sparse tree search techniques outperform other methods in drug toxicity screening.

A new method optimizes robustness measures under input uncertainty using randomized Gaussian process upper confidence bound.

problem Optimizing robustness measures under input uncertainty.
method Randomized robustness measure GP-UCB (RRGP-UCB) that samples β from a chi-squared-based distribution.
result RRGP-UCB provides tight bounds on expected regret.

This paper analyzes regret bounds for Gaussian process Thompson sampling.

problem Analyzing the performance of Gaussian process Thompson sampling (GP-TS) in Bayesian optimization.
method The paper derives several regret bounds for GP-TS, including a lower bound, upper bounds on the second moment of cumulative regret, expected lenient regret, and improved cumulative regret.
result The paper provides improved regret upper bounds for GP-TS, showing that it suffers from a polynomial dependence on 1/δ1/δ with probability δδ.

New bounds for Bayesian bandits show prior improves performance.

problem Improving regret bounds for Bayesian bandits.
method Upper confidence bound algorithm with finite-time logarithmic regret bounds.
result Derives O(cΔlogn)O(c_Δ\log n) and O(chlog2n)O(c_h \log^2 n) upper bounds for Bayesian bandits.

Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) method is arguably the most celebrated one used in online decision making with partial information feedback. Existing techniques for constructing confidence bounds are typically built upon various concentration inequalities, which thus lead to over-exploration. In this paper, we propose a n…

2019-06-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate inference improve regret bounds in stochastic linear bandits.

problem Theoretical justification for Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate inference in stochastic linear bandits.
method Proposed a theoretical framework to analyze approximate inference impact and conducted frequentist regret analysis on LinTS and LinBUCB.
result LinTS and LinBUCB preserve their original regret upper bounds with larger constant terms in approximate inference settings.

This paper proposes a DGP approach with UCBs for point target tracking over WSNs.

problem Uncertainty quantification in distributed machine learning-based tracking over WSNs.
method Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) approach with upper confidence bounds (UCBs).
result UCBs provide 88% and 42% higher probability of encompassing true target states in X and Y coordinates, respectively.

Upper bound on withdrawal success for geometric Levy alpha-stable wealth process.

problem Estimating the probability of completing a withdrawal schedule.
method Constructing a log-Levy alpha-stable lower bound and applying it to a schedule of withdrawals.
result Necessary conditions on initial investment and parameters for a 95% confidence of completing kk withdrawals.

EB-TCε identifies the best arm with ε confidence in stochastic bandits.

problem Identifying the best arm in stochastic bandits with a fixed level of confidence.
method EB-TCε is a novel sampling rule for ε-best arm identification in stochastic bandits.
result EB-TCε is the first anytime algorithm for fixed confidence or fixed budget identification.

Study optimizes dynamic product selection and pricing using censored preference feedback.

problem Maximizing revenue from dynamic assortment and pricing decisions.
method Proposes a censored multinomial logit model and LCB pricing strategy combined with UCB or TS product selection.
result Achieves optimal regret bounds for dynamic pricing and selection.

Paper defines and solves a problem in representation learning to ensure fairness with high confidence.

problem Learning fair representations with high confidence guarantees for all downstream tasks.
method Formally defines the problem, introduces FRG framework, proves high probability fairness, and demonstrates effectiveness empirically.
result FRG framework provides high-confidence guarantees for limiting unfairness across all downstream models and tasks.

EBUCB framework achieves optimal regret with bounded approximate inference error.

problem Theoretical gap between practical performance and theoretical justification of Bayesian bandit algorithms with approximate inference.
method Enhanced Bayesian Upper Confidence Bound (EBUCB) framework that accommodates bandit problems with approximate inference.
result EBUCB achieves optimal regret order O(logT)O(\log T) under certain conditions on inference error.

Algorithm aggregates rewards from multiple players to learn related tasks in online bandit learning.

problem Learning related but slightly different tasks in an online setting with heterogeneous feedback.
method RobustAgg(ε)(ε) algorithm that aggregates rewards from different players.
result Achieves instance-dependent regret guarantees and nearly matching lower bounds.

A new algorithm for better decision-making in recommendation systems.

problem Stochastic multi-armed bandit problem and cold start problem in recommender systems.
method Proposes Hellinger-UCB, a variant of UCB algorithm using squared Hellinger distance.
result Hellinger-UCB reaches the theoretical lower bound and outperforms other algorithms in practical applications.

We study an extension of the classic stochastic multi-armed bandit problem which involves multiple plays and Markovian rewards in the rested bandits setting. In order to tackle this problem we consider an adaptive allocation rule which at each stage combines the information from the sample means of all the arms, with t…

2020-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper presents robust confidence sequences for means with known moment bounds and arbitrary corruption.

problem Tackles robustness to outliers and adversarial corruptions in mean estimation.
method Designs new robust exponential supermartingales to create confidence sequences.
result Achieves optimal width and shows smaller margin of error compared to fixed-time robust methods.

Bayes-UCBVI tackles reinforcement learning with a new upper confidence bound method.

problem Optimizing exploration in reinforcement learning without bonuses.
method Bayes-UCBVI uses a quantile of a Q-value function posterior as an upper confidence bound.
result Proves a regret bound of order O~(H3SAT)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{H^3SAT}) for tabular reinforcement learning.

New algorithm optimizes online decision-making with dynamically generated actions.

problem Balancing action generation costs with optimal decision-making in online learning.
method Doubly-optimistic algorithm using LCB for action selection and UCB for action generation.
result Achieves optimal regret bound of O(Tdd+2ddd+2+dTlogT)O(T^{\frac{d}{d+2}}d^{\frac{d}{d+2}} + d\sqrt{T\log T}).

I introduce and analyse an anytime version of the Optimally Confident UCB (OCUCB) algorithm designed for minimising the cumulative regret in finite-armed stochastic bandits with subgaussian noise. The new algorithm is simple, intuitive (in hindsight) and comes with the strongest finite-time regret guarantees for a hori…

2016-03-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Contextual bandits are widely used in Internet services from news recommendation to advertising, and to Web search. Generalized linear models (logistical regression in particular) have demonstrated stronger performance than linear models in many applications where rewards are binary. However, most theoretical analyses …

2017-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

A new UCB algorithm for heavy-tailed bandits with near-optimal regret.

problem Sequential decision making in uncertain environments with heavy-tailed rewards.
method Data-driven, distribution-free UCB algorithm combining resampled median-of-means and UCB.
result Near-optimal regret bound for heavy-tailed distributions.

Nonparametric modeling approaches show very promising results in the area of system identification and control. A naturally provided model confidence is highly relevant for system-theoretical considerations to provide guarantees for application scenarios. Gaussian process regression represents one approach which provid…

2018-11-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We present two algorithms for Bayesian optimization in the batch feedback setting, based on Gaussian process upper confidence bound and Thompson sampling approaches, along with frequentist regret guarantees and numerical results.

2019-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently identifies good policies by choosing contexts for human feedback.

problem Efficiently identifying good policies in applications with high feedback costs.
method Introduces offline contextual dueling bandit setting and an upper-confidence-bound style algorithm.
result Proves a regret bound and shows superior performance over uniformly sampled contexts.

New algorithm reduces regret in linear mixture SSPs without cost bounds.

problem Learning optimal paths in stochastic environments with cost constraints.
method Extended value iteration with variance-aware confidence set.
result Achieves nearly minimax optimal regret bound of O(dBK)O(dB_*\sqrt{K}).

Algorithm maximizes rewards with a budget and giving up option.

problem Sequential decision-making with stochastic rewards and resource consumption.
method Upper Confidence Bound (UCB) algorithm for maximizing cumulative reward.
result Logarithmic regret bound with improved dependence on problem parameters.