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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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275480107 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for up-down transformed-response rules

The conventional formal tool to detect effects of the financial persistence is in terms of the Hurst exponent. A typical corresponding result is that its value comes out close to 0.5, as characteristic for geometric Brownian motion, with at most small departures from this value in either direction depending on the mark…

2005-04-22abs ↗pdf ↗

The waiting time needed for a stock market index to undergo a given percentage change in its value is found to have an up-down asymmetry, which, surprisingly, is not observed for the individual stocks composing that index. To explain this, we introduce a market model consisting of randomly fluctuating stocks that occas…

2006-04-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Deleting refusal directions from models leads to systematically more optimistic decisions.

problem The impact of removing refusal directions from models on decision-making outcomes.
method Ablation study using a frozen pipeline of 21,600 weekly equity decisions.
result Ablation of refusal directions makes models more optimistic and justifies themselves more, but also reduces confidence.

Boosting methods for interval-censored data improve predictive accuracy in survival analysis.

problem Handling interval-censored data in survival analysis and time-to-event studies.
method Nonparametric boosting methods using censoring unbiased transformations and functional gradient descent.
result Effective boosting methods for regression and classification with interval-censored data, offering robust performance.

A non-trivial probability structure is evident in the binary data extracted from the up/down price movements of very high frequency data such as tick-by-tick data for USD/JPY. In this paper, we analyze the Sony bank USD/JPY rates, ignoring the small deviations from the market price. We then show there is a similar non-…

2005-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Changepoint detection is a central problem in time series and genomic data. For some applications, it is natural to impose constraints on the directions of changes. One example is ChIP-seq data, for which adding an up-down constraint improves peak detection accuracy, but makes the optimization problem more complicated.…

2017-03-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Study Cremona transformations in weighted projective planes to find rational cuspidal curves and Zariski pairs.

problem Finding rational cuspidal curves and Zariski pairs in weighted projective planes.
method Construct families of curves using Cremona transformations, compute fundamental groups, and use blow-up-down decompositions.
result Discover new examples of rational cuspidal curves and Zariski pairs in weighted projective planes.

Combines CNN and Transformer for financial time series forecasting.

problem Forecasting financial time series, especially stock prices, is challenging due to short-term and long-term dependencies.
method Uses CNN for short-term dependencies and Transformer for long-term dependencies.
result Demonstrated superior performance in forecasting stock price changes compared to traditional methods.

Compact models match or exceed GPT's performance in financial news sentiment analysis.

problem Improving financial sentiment analysis models without large computational costs.
method Fine-tuning non-generative, small-sized models (FinBERT, FinDRoBERTa) on a novel market score database.
result Fine-tuned models outperform GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 in zero-shot learning for financial news sentiment analysis.

Introduces Causal Energy Minimization to understand Transformer layers.

problem Empirical parameterization of Transformer blocks remains largely unexplored.
method Causal Energy Minimization framework that recasts Transformer layers as optimization steps on conditional energy functions.
result Identifies design space for Transformer layers including weight sharing and energy-based interpretations.

Since the machine learning techniques are improving rapidly, it has been shown that the image recognition techniques in deep neural networks can be used to detect jet substructure. And it turns out that deep neural networks can match or outperform traditional approach of expert features. However, there are disadvantage…

2017-11-07abs ↗pdf ↗

DeepCTRL integrates rules into deep learning models, allowing flexible control at inference.

problem Lack of flexibility in incorporating rules into deep learning models.
method Integrates rule representations into deep neural networks, enabling flexible control at inference.
result Improves rule verification ratio and accuracy gains at downstream tasks.

New methods prune unpromising rules from KGs, improving scalability and runtime.

problem Scalability issues in walk-based rule learning from KGs.
method Rule Hierarchy Framework (RHF) and Hierarchical Pruning (HPMs).
result Significant reductions in runtime and number of learned rules without compromising predictive performance.

GPT-4 improves stock price prediction from microblogging sentiments.

problem Improving stock price prediction using sentiment analysis of microblogs.
method Developed a novel method for contextual sentiment analysis using GPT-4, fine-tuning prompts for better accuracy.
result GPT-4 outperformed BERT in predicting stock price movements, achieving a peak accuracy of 71.47%.

In this study, we give the relationships between the conical curvatures of ruled surfaces drawn by the unit vectors of the ruling, central normal and central tangent of a regular ruled surface in the Euclidean -space. We obtain the differential equations characterizing slant ruled surfaces and if the reference ruled su…

2013-11-27abs ↗pdf ↗

New framework learns interpretable rule ensembles without sacrificing accuracy.

problem Trade-off between accuracy and interpretability in rule ensembles.
method Introduces local interpretability and a regularizer to promote it, using coordinate descent with local search.
result Learns rule ensembles with fewer rules to explain individual predictions, maintaining comparable accuracy.

Paper classifies ruled surfaces in Lorentz-Minkowski space for a specific flow.

problem Classifying ruled surfaces in Lorentz-Minkowski space.
method Examining homothetic self-similar solutions of the inverse mean curvature flow.
result Existence of two classes of non-cylindrical homothetic solitons.

In this study, we define some new types of ruled surfaces called slant ruled surfaces. We give some characterizations for a regular ruled surface to be a slant ruled surface in Euclidean 3- space. We show that if the slant ruled surface is developable then the striction curve is a general helix or a slant helix accordi…

2013-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

In this article supervised learning problems are solved using soft rule ensembles. We first review the importance sampling learning ensembles (ISLE) approach that is useful for generating hard rules. The soft rules are then obtained with logistic regression from the corresponding hard rules. In order to deal with the p…

2012-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Advances rule-based multi-label classification using conformal prediction.

problem Improving accuracy and decision making in multi-label classification.
method Combines conformal prediction with rule-based learning to provide natural conformity scores and calibrate rule assessments.
result Calibrated conformity scores enhance prediction accuracy and decision making.

Cryptocurrencies are ranked for efficiency using a new Complexity-Entropy Plane.

problem Evaluating the efficiency of cryptocurrencies using traditional financial metrics.
method Developed a Binary Complexity-Entropy Plane (BiCEP) to analyze daily price fluctuations of major cryptocurrencies.
result Only Shiba Inu (SHIB) is significantly inefficient, while most cryptocurrencies operate in close-to-efficient conditions.

In this paper, we consider non developable ruled surface with spacelike ruling, timelike ruling, respectively. We give the relations between the structure functions with the curvature and torsion of the striction line of the timelike and spacelike non developable ruled surfaces. Also, we have calculated the gaussian an…

2014-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The Lamarle Formula, given by Kruppa in \cite{Kr}, is known as a relationship between the Gaussian curvature and the distribution parameter of a ruled surface in the surface theory. The ruled surfaces were investigated in 3 different classes with respect to the character of base curves and rulings, \cite{Tu1},\cite{Tu2…

2010-01-05abs ↗pdf ↗

In this study, we introduce Darboux slant ruled surfaces in the Euclidean 3-space which is defined by the property that the Darboux vector of orthonormel frame of ruled surface makes a constant angle with a fixed, non-zero direction. We obtain the characterizations of Darboux slant ruled surfaces regarding the conical …

2013-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Generative models learn rules at different timescales, revealing a 'innovation window'.

problem Generative models' convergence to empirical training distribution rather than population distribution.
method Rule-valid synthetic tasks, analyzing τruleτ_{\mathrm{rule}} and τmemτ_{\mathrm{mem}} across training timescales.
result The 'innovation window' widens with increasing dataset size and narrows with rule complexity.

In this study, we define some new types of non-null ruled surfaces called slant ruled surfaces in the Minkowski 3-space E_1^3. We introduce some characterizations for a non-null ruled surface to be a slant ruled surface in E_1^3. Moreover, we obtain some corollaries which give the relationships between a non-null slant…

2016-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Simpler models outperform deep architectures with proper preprocessing and tuning.

problem Signal extraction from noisy cryptocurrency LOB data.
method Benchmarked a range of models including deep architectures and interpretable baselines.
result Simpler models can match and exceed deep architectures' performance with proper preprocessing and tuning.

FedRule uses graph neural networks to recommend rules for smart homes without centralizing data.

problem Manual rule setup for smart devices is inefficient and privacy-compromising.
method FedRule constructs user-specific graphs for rule recommendation, using federated learning to protect privacy.
result FedRule achieves comparable performance to centralized methods and outperforms others.

Paper explores folding patterns of curved creases preserving their geometric properties.

problem Investigating rigid-ruling folding motions of curved crease-rule patterns.
method Deriving conditions for rigid-ruling foldability and analyzing combinations of creases.
result Constant fold-angle creases are only compatible with other constant fold-angle creases.

We study the problem of predicting whether the price of the 21 most popular cryptocurrencies (according to coinmarketcap.com) will go up or down on day d, using data up to day d-1. Our C2P2 algorithm is the first algorithm to consider the fact that the price of a cryptocurrency c might depend not only on historical pri…

2019-06-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper extends transfer learning for decision rules, improving treatment rule estimation.

problem Estimating optimal individualized treatment rules under changing conditions.
method Bayes decision rules and low-dimensional empirical risk minimization.
result Consistent estimators and risk bounds established under mild conditions.

This paper considers generalized linear models using rule-based features, also referred to as rule ensembles, for regression and probabilistic classification. Rules facilitate model interpretation while also capturing nonlinear dependences and interactions. Our problem formulation accordingly trades off rule set comple…

2019-06-05abs ↗pdf ↗