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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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15314661 · Nov 201919922001200920182026
48 results for unscented filter

Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only estimate states that are correlated with the observation. Therefore, sequential esti…

2012-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

RCUKF combines data-driven modeling and Bayesian estimation for accurate system state estimation.

problem Challenges in obtaining reliable process models for complex systems.
method Integrates reservoir computing with unscented Kalman filtering.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on benchmark problems and real-time vehicle trajectory estimation.

A new method for estimating adversarial strategies in nonlinear systems.

problem Inferring an intelligent adversarial agent's strategy in highly nonlinear systems.
method Formulated inverse cognition as a nonlinear Gaussian state-space model and developed an inverse UKF (IUKF) system.
result The estimation error of IUKF converges and closely follows the recursive Cramér-Rao lower bound.

This study improves state estimation for nonlinear systems using conditional normalizing flows.

problem Performance degradation of traditional filtering algorithms in nonlinear systems with non-Gaussian uncertainty.
method Uses conditional normalizing flows with MLP, transformer, or state-space models for state and parameter estimation.
result Optimal-transport-inspired kinetic loss mitigates overparameterization in flows.

Modified model predicts stock price jumps using Twitter sentiment.

problem Predicting stock price jumps based on market sentiment.
method Modified Levy jump-diffusion model with memory from Twitter sentiment, optimized with UKF.
result Algorithm provides good performance in identifying asset return trends.

Novel digital twin for complex systems improves performance.

problem Lack of practical implementation details for stochastic nonlinear MDOF systems.
method Decouples time-scales, uses physics-based model, Bayesian filtering, and machine learning.
result Excellent performance of proposed digital twin framework validated by examples.

Many sensors, such as range, sonar, radar, GPS and visual devices, produce measurements which are contaminated by outliers. This problem can be addressed by using fat-tailed sensor models, which account for the possibility of outliers. Unfortunately, all estimation algorithms belonging to the family of Gaussian filters…

2015-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

Convolutional Bayesian filtering generalizes state estimation by incorporating inequality conditions.

problem Standard Bayesian filtering assumes exact conditional probabilities, limiting its applicability.
method Introducing inequality conditions transforms conditional probabilities into convolutional forms, expanding the filtering framework.
result Convolutional Bayesian filtering encompasses standard Bayesian filtering and allows for more nuanced model consideration.

Novel method uses Bayesian filters and PCRLB for state estimation of option prices.

problem Estimating unobserved latent variables from option prices.
method Posterior Cramer-Rao Lower Bound (PCRLB) based adaptive state estimation using various Bayesian filters.
result Proposed method outperforms individual filters and improves forecasting.

Develops a new model to better predict corporate bond yields.

problem Persistent shifts in interest rates undermine single-regime models.
method Regime-switching generalized CIR model with two-state short-rate process and credit factors.
result The model improves joint curve fit and delivers interpretable probabilities.

PDSim simulates and estimates commodity futures prices using polynomial diffusion models.

problem Simulating and estimating commodity futures prices using polynomial diffusion models.
method Developed an R package with a Shiny app for simulation and estimation of commodity futures prices using polynomial diffusion models.
result PDSim is the only package specifically designed for the simulation and estimation of the polynomial diffusion model.

Paper develops efficient recursive learning for multi-channel systems with heterogeneous dynamics.

problem Accurately learning system dynamics in complex, multi-channel systems with nonlinear and noisy data.
method Formulates system as Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs), introduces heterogeneous multi-output kernel, and develops recursive inference framework.
result Matches SOTA offline GPSSMs in accuracy with 1/100 runtime, and outperforms SOTA online GPSSMs by 70% in accuracy under noise with 1/20 runtime.

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), or particle filtering, is a popular class of methods for sampling from an intractable target distribution using a sequence of simpler intermediate distributions. Like other importance sampling-based methods, performance is critically dependent on the proposal distribution: a bad proposal c…

2015-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Robust optimization and statistical robustness improve robot navigation policies.

problem Efficiently finding optimal robot navigation policies in uncertain environments.
method Combining robust optimization and statistical robustness with improved Bayesian optimization techniques.
result Safe and repeatable robot navigation policies are achieved with improved robust optimization methods.

Paper uses UKS to improve BLE RSSI for proximity inference in mobile phone apps.

problem Improper BLE RSSI for accurate proximity inference during pandemics.
method Single-dimensional Unscented Kalman Smoother (UKS) with Gaussian process observation transforms.
result UKS outperforms traditional methods in predicting infection risk from BLE RSSI.

Unified framework for efficient Gaussian process inference.

problem Efficient inference in non-conjugate Gaussian process models.
method Combines expectation propagation with linearization for improved efficiency.
result Unified view of various inference schemes, including classical smoothers and EP.

A new SOHP filter improves trend estimation in economic time series.

problem Improving trend estimation in nonlinear economic time series.
method Recursive application of one-sided HP filter on updated cyclical components, combined with an incremental HP filtering algorithm.
result Better performance of SOHP filter compared to other HP-type filters on real economic data.

Deep density methods improve filtering in high-dimensional systems.

problem Nonlinear filtering in high-dimensional systems.
method Two deep density methods based on Feynman-Kac formulas and neural networks.
result Logarithmic deep backward stochastic differential equation filter outperforms classical methods in high dimensions.

The paper explores modifications to filter banks for speech recognition.

problem Improving speech recognition accuracy using modified filter banks.
method The authors investigate replacing triangular filters with Gabor or Gammatone filters, and rearranging filter bank computations to integrate features over smaller time scales.
result No significant improvements in phone error rate were observed with the modifications.

Pruning filters in CNNs improves interpretability, showing shape-selective filters are crucial for object recognition.

problem Interpreting the complex decision-making process of CNNs is challenging due to their large number of parameters.
method We developed a greedy structural compression scheme that prunes filters based on the classification accuracy reduction (CAR) index.
result Pruned filters in CNNs, especially those in the first and second layers, are more likely to be shape-selective, indicating their importance in object recognition.

Gradient filters track moving parameters under noisy data and misspecification.

problem Tracking multidimensional time-varying parameters under noisy observations and model misspecification.
method Gradient-based filters update parameters using the gradient of a postulated objective function, evaluated at either the predicted or updated parameters.
result Novel sufficient conditions for exponential stability of the filtered parameter path, and finite-sample and asymptotic mean squared error bounds.

We simplify Bayesian filtering by framing it as optimization, making it practical for high-dimensional systems.

problem Bayesian filtering struggles in high-dimensional state spaces like neural networks.
method We frame Bayesian filtering as optimization, using gradient descent for nonlinear cases.
result Our method results in effective, robust, and scalable filters for high-dimensional systems.

A novel method reduces dimensionality for filtering SRNs with observed variables.

problem Challenges in estimating hidden state variables in SRNs with limited observations.
method Filtered Markovian Projection (Filtered MP) for dimensionality reduction in filtering.
result Filtered MP guarantees consistency and superior computational efficiency in high dimensions.

Paper develops a particle filter for rapid model parameter adaptation and change detection.

problem Rapidly adapting to changes in model parameters and distinguishing between regime shifts and stochastic volatility.
method Incorporates genetic algorithm elements into a particle filter for accelerated adaptation and change detection.
result The filter adapts to regime shifts extremely rapidly and provides a clear heuristic for distinguishing between regime shifts and stochastic volatility.

New method filters large networks from financial data to reveal key subnetworks.

problem Filtering large dimensional networks to isolate key constituents.
method Exploits spectral properties of high-dimensional data networks, tuning for sparsity and consistency.
result Shows method can interpolate between zero and maximal filtering, preserving spectral properties.

Paper proves convergence of Kalman filter on Stiefel manifolds with measurement errors.

problem Filtering constant particle with measurement errors on Stiefel manifolds.
method Extended Kalman filter applied to Stiefel manifold-valued observations.
result Convergence of the extended Kalman filter proved for constant system process.

Net2Vec maps filters to vectors to reveal complex concept encoding.

problem Understanding how deep neural networks encode semantic concepts.
method Net2Vec framework that maps semantic concepts to vectorial embeddings based on filter responses.
result Multiple filters are often required to code for a concept, and filters help encode multiple concepts.

This work preserves linear invariants in ensemble filters for non-Gaussian data assimilation.

problem Maintaining critical invariants like mass, stoichiometric balance, and charge in non-Gaussian data assimilation.
method Introducing a novel class of nonlinear ensemble filters using measure transport theory.
result Recovery of a constrained Kalman filter for Gaussian settings and combination with regularization techniques.

EnSF improves accuracy in tracking high-dimensional nonlinear systems.

problem Low accuracy in high-dimensional, nonlinear filtering problems.
method Score-based diffusion model, mini-batch Monte Carlo estimator.
result EnSF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in tracking high-dimensional systems.

Unified deep sequential and state-space models for robust option pricing with uncertainty.

problem Combining robustness to noise and uncertainty measurement in option pricing models.
method Unscattered reservoir smoother (URS) integrating deep sequential and state-space models.
result URS achieves competitive forecasting accuracy and uncertainty measurement in noisy datasets.

Latent FxLMS accelerates ANC by adapting along low-dimensional filter weights.

problem Improving active noise control with neural adaptive filters.
method Training an auto-encoder on filter coefficients, constraining weights to latent variables, and updating in latent space.
result Latent FxLMS converges in fewer steps with comparable error to standard FxLMS.