Many nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter, e.g., the extended and the unscented Kalman filter, reduce the state densities to Gaussian densities. This approximation gives sufficient results in many cases. However, this filters only estimate states that are correlated with the observation. Therefore, sequential esti…
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48 results for “unscented Kalman filter”
Develops inverse unscented Kalman filter for non-linear systems.
problem Estimating defender's state in adversarial settings.
method Formulated inverse unscented Kalman filter (I-UKF) and reproducing kernel Hilbert space-based UKF (RKHS-UKF).
result Proposed filters are conservative estimators with upper-bounded error covariance.
The unscented transformation (UT) is an efficient method to solve the state estimation problem for a non-linear dynamic system, utilizing a derivative-free higher-order approximation by approximating a Gaussian distribution rather than approximating a non-linear function. Applying the UT to a Kalman filter type estimat…
RCUKF combines data-driven modeling and Bayesian estimation for accurate system state estimation.
problem Challenges in obtaining reliable process models for complex systems.
method Integrates reservoir computing with unscented Kalman filtering.
result Demonstrated effectiveness on benchmark problems and real-time vehicle trajectory estimation.
This study improves state estimation for nonlinear systems using conditional normalizing flows.
problem Performance degradation of traditional filtering algorithms in nonlinear systems with non-Gaussian uncertainty.
method Uses conditional normalizing flows with MLP, transformer, or state-space models for state and parameter estimation.
result Optimal-transport-inspired kinetic loss mitigates overparameterization in flows.
A new method for estimating adversarial strategies in nonlinear systems.
problem Inferring an intelligent adversarial agent's strategy in highly nonlinear systems.
method Formulated inverse cognition as a nonlinear Gaussian state-space model and developed an inverse UKF (IUKF) system.
result The estimation error of IUKF converges and closely follows the recursive Cramér-Rao lower bound.
The discriminative Kalman filter for nonlinear and non-Gaussian sequential Bayesian filteringstat.ML
The Kalman filter (KF) is used in a variety of applications for computing the posterior distribution of latent states in a state space model. The model requires a linear relationship between states and observations. Extensions to the Kalman filter have been proposed that incorporate linear approximations to nonlinear m…
Many sensors, such as range, sonar, radar, GPS and visual devices, produce measurements which are contaminated by outliers. This problem can be addressed by using fat-tailed sensor models, which account for the possibility of outliers. Unfortunately, all estimation algorithms belonging to the family of Gaussian filters…
Novel digital twin for complex systems improves performance.
problem Lack of practical implementation details for stochastic nonlinear MDOF systems.
method Decouples time-scales, uses physics-based model, Bayesian filtering, and machine learning.
result Excellent performance of proposed digital twin framework validated by examples.
Convolutional Bayesian filtering generalizes state estimation by incorporating inequality conditions.
problem Standard Bayesian filtering assumes exact conditional probabilities, limiting its applicability.
method Introducing inequality conditions transforms conditional probabilities into convolutional forms, expanding the filtering framework.
result Convolutional Bayesian filtering encompasses standard Bayesian filtering and allows for more nuanced model consideration.
Adaptive Heston model calibration using PCRLB and switching filters.
problem Estimating volatility in stochastic volatility models like Heston.
method Bayesian filtering (EKF, UKF, PF) with PCRLB for parameter estimation.
result Adaptive estimation of Heston model parameters improves volatility estimation.
A Modified Levy Jump-Diffusion Model Based on Market Sentiment Memory for Online Jump Predictionq-fin.ST
In this paper, we propose a modified Levy jump diffusion model with market sentiment memory for stock prices, where the market sentiment comes from data mining implementation using Tweets on Twitter. We take the market sentiment process, which has memory, as the signal of Levy jumps in the stock price. An online learni…
PDSim: A Shiny App for Simulating and Estimating Polynomial Diffusion Models in Commodity Futuresq-fin.ST
PDSim simulates and estimates commodity futures prices using polynomial diffusion models.
problem Simulating and estimating commodity futures prices using polynomial diffusion models.
method Developed an R package with a Shiny app for simulation and estimation of commodity futures prices using polynomial diffusion models.
result PDSim is the only package specifically designed for the simulation and estimation of the polynomial diffusion model.
Corporate Bond Yield Curve Modeling: A Rating-Based Regime-Switching Generalized CIR Approachq-fin.PR
Develops a new model to better predict corporate bond yields.
problem Persistent shifts in interest rates undermine single-regime models.
method Regime-switching generalized CIR model with two-state short-rate process and credit factors.
result The model improves joint curve fit and delivers interpretable probabilities.
Posterior Cramer-Rao Lower Bound based Adaptive State Estimation for Option Price Forecastingq-fin.CP
Novel method uses Bayesian filters and PCRLB for state estimation of option prices.
problem Estimating unobserved latent variables from option prices.
method Posterior Cramer-Rao Lower Bound (PCRLB) based adaptive state estimation using various Bayesian filters.
result Proposed method outperforms individual filters and improves forecasting.
Paper develops efficient recursive learning for multi-channel systems with heterogeneous dynamics.
problem Accurately learning system dynamics in complex, multi-channel systems with nonlinear and noisy data.
method Formulates system as Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs), introduces heterogeneous multi-output kernel, and develops recursive inference framework.
result Matches SOTA offline GPSSMs in accuracy with 1/100 runtime, and outperforms SOTA online GPSSMs by 70% in accuracy under noise with 1/20 runtime.
Inverse Particle Filtermath.OC
Develops an inverse particle filter for cognitive systems.
problem Tracking cognitive adversaries in counter-adversarial applications.
method Global filtering approach using Monte Carlo methods and differentiable I-PF.
result Demonstrates convergence to optimal inverse filter and improved estimation performance.
Improved Kalman filter for Stiefel manifold measurements.
problem Improving accuracy in measurements on Stiefel manifolds.
method Generalization of extended Kalman filter for Stiefel manifold-valued measurements.
result Significant improvement over raw measurements.
HKF uses neural networks to adapt Kalman filters for dynamic channel tracking.
problem Tracking channels with varying dynamics and Doppler values.
method Combines Kalman filters with hypernetworks for dynamic adaptation.
result HKF achieves up to 2dB gain over Kalman filters at high Doppler values.
In this paper, we revisit the Kalman filter theory. After giving the intuition on a simplified financial markets example, we revisit the maths underlying it. We then show that Kalman filter can be presented in a very different fashion using graphical models. This enables us to establish the connection between Kalman fi…
Illustrates interleaved learning with Kalman Filter for linear least squares.
problem Improving machine learning algorithms through interleaved learning.
method Simple statistical and optimization framework based on Kalman Filter.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of interleaved learning.
Recursive KalmanNet combines neural networks with Kalman filters for precise state estimation.
problem State estimation in systems with noisy measurements and non-Gaussian noise.
method Recursive KalmanNet uses a recurrent neural network to estimate states with consistent error covariance, optimizing for Gaussian negative log-likelihood.
result Recursive KalmanNet outperforms conventional Kalman filters and deep learning-based estimators in non-Gaussian noise conditions.
Transformers can approximate Kalman Filtering in linear systems with small error.
problem Approximating Kalman Filtering using Transformers for linear dynamical systems.
method Two-step reduction: 1) Softmax self-attention block approximates Nadaraya-Watson kernel smoothing, 2) This estimator approximates Kalman Filter.
result Constructs a Transformer that implements the Kalman Filter with small additive error, uniformly bounded in time.
Graph Kalman Filterscs.LG
Graph Kalman filters adapt classical filters to graph data.
problem Adapting classical Kalman filters to graph data.
method Generalizes Kalman filters to attributed graphs, learning state-transition and readout functions end-to-end.
result Adapted Kalman filters can predict graph outputs.
The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian Lévy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian Lévy noise may have infinite variance. A modified Kalman filter for linear systems wi…
Paper proves convergence of Kalman filter on Stiefel manifolds with measurement errors.
problem Filtering constant particle with measurement errors on Stiefel manifolds.
method Extended Kalman filter applied to Stiefel manifold-valued observations.
result Convergence of the extended Kalman filter proved for constant system process.
Long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned dynamical systemsmath.DS
This paper proves long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned systems.
problem Ensuring long-term accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for complex dynamical systems.
method Established conditions for long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned dynamical systems.
result Ensemble Kalman filters maintain small estimation error over long time horizons for chaotic and machine-learned systems.
Paper uses UKS to improve BLE RSSI for proximity inference in mobile phone apps.
problem Improper BLE RSSI for accurate proximity inference during pandemics.
method Single-dimensional Unscented Kalman Smoother (UKS) with Gaussian process observation transforms.
result UKS outperforms traditional methods in predicting infection risk from BLE RSSI.
Improved Kalman filter for non-linear, non-Gaussian data.
problem Estimating hidden variables with non-linear, non-Gaussian observations.
method Reproduces and extends Burkhart et al.'s discriminative Kalman filter.
result Enhanced filter performance for complex observation models.
State Space Expectation Propagation: Efficient Inference Schemes for Temporal Gaussian Processesstat.ML
Unified framework for efficient Gaussian process inference.
problem Efficient inference in non-conjugate Gaussian process models.
method Combines expectation propagation with linearization for improved efficiency.
result Unified view of various inference schemes, including classical smoothers and EP.
Paper introduces EnDKF for more accurate pose tracking.
problem Accurate pose tracking with directional uncertainty.
method EnDKF integrates unit-quaternion attitude representation for better directional uncertainty capture.
result Significant reduction in error compared to traditional methods.
The extended Kalman filter is perhaps the most standard tool to estimate in real time the state of a dynamical system from noisy measurements of some function of the system, with extensive practical applications (such as position tracking via GPS). While the plain Kalman filter for linear systems is well-understood, th…
A Kalman filter reduces valuation risk in business valuation models.
problem Reducing valuation risk in business valuation models.
method Recursive FCFF model with Kalman filtering to adjust WACC.
result Significant reduction in valuation risk by implementing Kalman filter.
Study uses Kalman-Filter to assess market efficiency in major stock markets.
problem Assessing market efficiency in major stock markets.
method Utilizes Kalman-Filter in two stages, assuming a trendline representing true market value.
result Significant portfolio returns in emerging and developed markets.
Paper presents a robust Kalman filter for state estimation.
problem Robust state estimation under process and measurement noise.
method Generalized Bayesian approach to a Weighted Observation Likelihood Filter (WoLF) framework.
result Achieved robust state estimation against both process and measurement noise.
We cast Amari's natural gradient in statistical learning as a specific case of Kalman filtering. Namely, applying an extended Kalman filter to estimate a fixed unknown parameter of a probabilistic model from a series of observations, is rigorously equivalent to estimating this parameter via an online stochastic natural…
Robust Kalman filtering method for outlier detection.
problem Outliers and misspecified measurement models in state-space models.
method Combines generalised Bayesian inference with Kalman filters for robustness and efficiency.
result Matches or outperforms other robust filtering methods at lower computational cost.
The Kalman filter and Heston model are used to estimate asset prices and trading performance.
problem Estimating asset prices using stochastic models.
method Kalman filter applied to mean-reverting processes and Heston model with method of moments.
result The Kalman filter and Heston model provide effective methods for estimating asset prices and trading performance.
Proposes CE-BASS for robust Kalman filtering with innovative and additive outliers.
problem Robustness to both innovative and additive outliers in Kalman filtering.
method Particle mixture Kalman filter with re-sampling of past states.
result CE-BASS efficiently handles multi-modality and trend changes in hidden state distributions.
Develops inverse extended Kalman filter for predicting adversarial steps.
problem Predicting adversarial Kalman filter estimates from limited information.
method Proposes inverse extended Kalman filter (I-EKF) for non-linear systems with unknown inputs.
result Derives I-EKF with theoretical stability guarantees and consistency proofs.
In this manuscript we introduce numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been developed to simulate spatiotemporal models. The contribution of this paper is to embed numerical Gaussian processes into the recursive Kalman filter equations. This embedding enables us t…
Improved stock volume prediction using Kalman Filters with various hidden states.
problem Improving accuracy of intraday trading volume prediction.
method Extended Kalman Filter with various hidden states for different stocks, using cross-validation to determine optimal state number.
result Demonstrated improved accuracy through comparison experiments and numerical analysis.
Extended Linear Regression: A Kalman Filter Approach for Minimizing Loss via Area Under the Curvecs.LG
Enhances linear regression with Kalman filter for loss minimization.
problem Minimizing loss in linear regression models.
method Integrates Kalman filter and SGD for optimal weight updates.
result Develops optimal linear regression equation with minimum area under curve.
We consider the nonlinear Kalman filtering problem using Kullback-Leibler (KL) and -divergence measures as optimization criteria. Unlike linear Kalman filters, nonlinear Kalman filters do not have closed form Gaussian posteriors because of a lack of conjugacy due to the nonlinearity in the likelihood. In this paper …
AD-EnKFs use machine learning to improve data assimilation in high-dimensional systems.
problem Data assimilation in high-dimensional, unknown dynamics systems.
method Auto-differentiable ensemble Kalman filters blending machine learning and ensemble Kalman filters.
result AD-EnKFs outperform existing methods in the Lorenz-96 model.
Develops inverse EKF for non-linear systems with stability guarantees and learning unknown dynamics.
problem Estimating adversary's Kalman-filtered estimates in highly non-linear systems.
method Proposes inverse extended Kalman filter (I-EKF) for second-order, Gaussian sum, and dithered forward models. Uses reproducing kernel Hilbert space for learning unknown dynamics.
result Derives theoretical stability guarantees for inverse second-order EKF.
This work preserves linear invariants in ensemble filters for non-Gaussian data assimilation.
problem Maintaining critical invariants like mass, stoichiometric balance, and charge in non-Gaussian data assimilation.
method Introducing a novel class of nonlinear ensemble filters using measure transport theory.
result Recovery of a constrained Kalman filter for Gaussian settings and combination with regularization techniques.
Improved Kalman filtering with hierarchical variational approach.
problem Inconsistent process covariance estimation and slow convergence speed in traditional variational Kalman filtering.
method Introducing a surrogate variable for process-noise-free state, reformulating CAVI, and sliding-window hyperparameter estimation.
result Enhanced convergence speed and superior estimation accuracy compared to existing methods.