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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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306191121 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for unknown switches

A network of agents attempt to learn some unknown state of the world drawn by nature from a finite set. Agents observe private signals conditioned on the true state, and form beliefs about the unknown state accordingly. Each agent may face an identification problem in the sense that she cannot distinguish the truth in …

2015-03-11abs ↗pdf ↗

In the present paper, we studied a Dynamic Stochastic Block Model (DSBM) under the assumptions that the connection probabilities, as functions of time, are smooth and that at most ss nodes can switch their class memberships between two consecutive time points. We estimate the edge probability tensor by a kernel-type p…

2017-05-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Many complex dynamical phenomena can be effectively modeled by a system that switches among a set of conditionally linear dynamical modes. We consider two such models: the switching linear dynamical system (SLDS) and the switching vector autoregressive (VAR) process. Our Bayesian nonparametric approach utilizes a hiera…

2010-03-19abs ↗pdf ↗

New RL algorithm reduces policy switching cost to loglog(T) with similar regret.

problem Low policy switching cost in real-life RL applications.
method Stage-wise exploration and adaptive policy elimination.
result Regret of O(HSAloglogT)O(HSA \log\log T) with O(HSAloglogT)O(HSA \log\log T) switching cost.

This paper tackles near-optimal adversarial RL with switching costs, providing algorithms and matching lower bounds.

problem Adversarial RL with switching costs, where loss distribution can be non-stationary or adversarial.
method Developed novel switching-reduced algorithms with matching lower bounds for known and unknown transition functions.
result Achieved near-optimal performance in adversarial RL with switching costs, matching theoretical lower bounds.

Improved ASR for English-isiZulu code-switched speech with semi-supervised training.

problem Improving ASR for code-switched speech between English and isiZulu.
method Semi-supervised training using automatic transcription of multilingual speech data.
result Semi-supervised training achieved significant WER reduction in ASR performance.

New algorithm for continuous-time switching systems using variational inference.

problem Inference in time-series data with continuous-time switching systems.
method Developed a variational inference algorithm combining Gaussian process approximation and posterior inference for Markov jump processes.
result Bayesian latent state estimates and point estimates of unknown parameters for arbitrary points on the real axis.

Bayesian method clusters time series with varying dynamics.

problem Modeling and clustering time series with unknown number of clusters and dynamics.
method Hierarchical Dirichlet process and Gaussian process for modeling time series patterns and variations.
result Efficiently clusters time series with varying dynamics without unnecessary proliferation of clusters.

New algorithm minimizes cumulative loss in dynamic linear bandits without prior knowledge of comparator switches.

problem Minimizing cumulative loss in dynamic linear bandits with unknown number of switches.
method Combining several bandit algorithms to adapt to unknown number of switches without prior knowledge.
result First algorithm achieving optimal regret guarantee of O(d(1+ST)T)\mathcal{O}\big(\sqrt{d(1+S_T) T}\big) up to poly-logarithmic terms.

Researchers develop a method to control nonlinear systems with Koopman operator regression.

problem Controlling nonlinear systems with finite action spaces.
method Koopman operator regression for dynamics estimation and model predictive control for control.
result The method yields a linear switching predictive model for control.

In this paper, we study optimal switching problems under ambiguity. To characterize the optimal switching under ambiguity in the finite horizon, we use multidimensional reflected backward stochastic differential equations (multidimensional RBSDEs) and show that a value function of the optimal switching under ambiguity …

2016-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

This work extends identifiability analysis to sequential latent variable models, focusing on Switching Dynamical Systems.

problem Identifying latent variables in sequential data models.
method Proved identifiability of Markov Switching Models and established conditions for Switching Dynamical Systems.
result Identifiability of latent variables and non-linear mappings in Switching Dynamical Systems up to affine transformations.

The problem of optimal switching between nonlinear autonomous subsystems is investigated in this study where the objective is not only bringing the states to close to the desired point, but also adjusting the switching pattern, in the sense of penalizing switching occurrences and assigning different preferences to util…

2014-11-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Code-switching, the alternation of languages within a conversation or utterance, is a common communicative phenomenon that occurs in multilingual communities across the world. This survey reviews computational approaches for code-switched Speech and Natural Language Processing. We motivate why processing code-switched …

2019-03-25abs ↗pdf ↗

Study approximates financial market with discrete-time models.

problem Approximating continuous-time financial market models with discrete-time.
method Constructs discrete-time market models with Markov switching and proves convergence.
result Discrete-time models converge to continuous-time Black-Scholes model with Markov switching.

This paper studies deep learning methodologies for portfolio optimization in the US equities market. We present a novel residual switching network that can automatically sense changes in market regimes and switch between momentum and reversal predictors accordingly. The residual switching network architecture combines …

2019-10-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimizes control of hybrid systems with multiple switching processes.

problem Optimal control of hybrid systems with multiple Markov switching processes.
method Combines two separate Markov chains into one synthetic chain, derives HJB equations, and solves the portfolio choice problem.
result Derives explicit solutions and value functions for the optimal control problem.

New algorithm learns switching dynamics from multiple neural signals.

problem Learning accurate switching dynamical system models from multimodal neural data.
method Unsupervised learning algorithm for multiscale switching dynamical system models.
result Switching multiscale dynamical system models outperform single-scale models in behavior decoding.

Paper tackles utility maximization with job-switching and retirement constraints.

problem Maximizing utility with job-switching and retirement constraints.
method Dual-martingale approach and double obstacle problem theory.
result Characterization of optimal job-switching strategy and wealth boundaries.

Paper presents an efficient algorithm for linear MDP with low switching cost.

problem Large state space reinforcement learning problems with low switching cost.
method First algorithm for linear MDP with low switching cost, achieving near-optimal regret and switching cost.
result Regret bound of $\widetilde{O}\left(\sqrt{d^3H^4K} ight)$ and near-optimal switching cost of $O\left(d H\log K ight)$.

Study minimax off-policy evaluation in multi-armed bandits with known and unknown behavior policies.

problem Evaluate policies in multi-armed bandits with unknown behavior policies.
method Develop minimax rate-optimal procedures for known and unknown behavior policies, including the Switch estimator and Chebyshev polynomial-based estimator.
result Plug-in estimator achieves optimal competitive ratio up to a logarithmic factor when behavior policy is unknown.

Study strategic competition in commodity markets using impulse-switching controls.

problem Strategic competition between upstream and downstream firms in commodity markets.
method Non-zero-sum stochastic differential game with mixed impulse/switching controls.
result Multiple Nash equilibria found, depending on the number of switches by the downstream firm.

Optimal switching regret for all segmentations in online convex optimisation.

problem Non-stationary online convex optimisation problems.
method Developed an efficient algorithm to achieve optimal switching regret on every possible segmentation.
result Achieved asymptotically optimal switching regret on every possible segmentation simultaneously.

This paper addresses parameter estimation for wave equations with Markovian switching.

problem Parameter estimation for wave equations with abrupt changes.
method Bayesian statistical framework using discrete sparse Bayesian learning.
result Strong performance in parameter estimation for variable coefficient PDEs.

In this paper, we derive the family switching formula of -n two-sphere fiber bundle embedded in a smooth four-manifold fiber bundle. In the smooth category, it is a partial generalization of Fintushel-Stern's argument for four-manifolds. We also derive an algebraic analogue of the family switching formula, allowing the…

2003-08-20abs ↗pdf ↗

It has been widely assumed that a neural network cannot be recovered from its outputs, as the network depends on its parameters in a highly nonlinear way. Here, we prove that in fact it is often possible to identify the architecture, weights, and biases of an unknown deep ReLU network by observing only its output. Ever…

2019-10-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Regime switching volatility models provide a tractable method of modelling stochastic volatility. Currently the most popular method of regime switching calibration is the Hamilton filter. We propose using the Baum-Welch algorithm, an established technique from Engineering, to calibrate regime switching models instead. …

2009-04-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Audit fees change based on company and economic factors during auditor switching.

problem Understanding how audit fees change when auditors switch firms.
method Examined the impact of auditor switching on audit fees, considering company characteristics and economic data.
result The direction and magnitude of audit fee changes during switching depend on economic stability and company characteristics.

LaMBO optimizes modular systems with switching costs, achieving better results than existing methods.

problem Optimizing systems with costly variable updates in a sequence of modules.
method Lazy Modular Bayesian Optimization (LaMBO) that minimizes switching costs.
result LaMBO achieves vanishing regret and improves over existing cost-aware Bayesian optimization algorithms.

Develops identifiability theory for multi-lag regime-switching models.

problem Ensuring interpretability of deep latent variable models with multi-lag dependencies.
method Formulates a general theoretical framework for multi-lag Regime-Switching Models (RSMs), proving identifiability of number of regimes and multi-lag transitions.
result Establishes identifiability conditions for multi-lag regime-switching models, including Markov Switching Models and Switching Dynamical Systems.

We study online learning when partial feedback information is provided following every action of the learning process, and the learner incurs switching costs for changing his actions. In this setting, the feedback information system can be represented by a graph, and previous works studied the expected regret of the le…

2018-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗