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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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149298447596 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for unknown dynamical systems

Bayesian method synthesizes barrier certificates for unknown systems with latent states.

problem Certifying safety in systems with unknown dynamics and latent states.
method Bayesian inference with Metropolis-Hastings sampler and sum-of-squares program.
result Probabilistic validity of barrier certificates for unknown systems.

Bayesian algorithm stabilizes unknown continuous-time systems from unstable data.

problem Learning and stabilizing unknown continuous-time systems with uncertain dynamics.
method Bayesian learning algorithm that learns from unstable data to stabilize the system in finite time.
result The algorithm stabilizes unknown continuous-time stochastic linear systems effectively after a short time period.

Method learns dynamics of slow variables from stochastic data.

problem Modeling unknown multiscale stochastic systems with limited data.
method Data-driven approach to learn effective dynamics from bursts of observation data.
result Generative model accurately captures effective dynamics of slow variables.

Estimates system parameters from a single observation using kernel-based score.

problem Estimating parameters of a dynamical system from a high-dimensional signal.
method Kernel-based score to compare temporal dependencies between signal and model.
result Accuracy and efficiency demonstrated on chaotic systems.

MAGI-X learns unknown dynamics from data without numerical integration.

problem Difficult to propose ODEs in closed-form for complex systems.
method MAGI-X uses neural networks within a manifold-constrained Gaussian process framework.
result MAGI-X achieves competitive accuracy in fitting and forecasting with reduced computational time.

KCRL learns stable policies for nonlinear systems with formal guarantees.

problem Lack of stabilization guarantees in RL methods for safety-critical systems.
method KCRL uses Krasovskii's Lyapunov functions as a stability constraint and a primal-dual approach to learn stabilizing policies.
result KCRL guarantees learning a stabilizing policy in a finite number of interactions.

Improved RL algorithm stabilizes unknown linear systems with polynomial regret.

problem Learning and stabilizing unknown linear dynamical systems.
method Proposes an algorithm with an improved exploration strategy for fast stabilization.
result Achieves ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) regret after TT time steps.

Guaranteed reachable set for unknown nonlinear systems on manifolds.

problem Determining reachable set for unknown nonlinear systems on manifolds.
method Underapproximations of reachable set using local dynamics and bounds on dynamics rate of change.
result Guaranteed set of reachable states for systems on complete Riemannian manifolds.

Bayesian framework integrates prior and data knowledge for nonlinear dynamical systems.

problem Fusing diverse prior knowledge with data for accurate model learning.
method General-purpose Bayesian inference and learning framework combining explicit and implicit prior knowledge.
result Efficient parameter marginalization and closed-form densities for online and offline inference.

Develops inverse EKF for non-linear systems with stability guarantees and learning unknown dynamics.

problem Estimating adversary's Kalman-filtered estimates in highly non-linear systems.
method Proposes inverse extended Kalman filter (I-EKF) for second-order, Gaussian sum, and dithered forward models. Uses reproducing kernel Hilbert space for learning unknown dynamics.
result Derives theoretical stability guarantees for inverse second-order EKF.

In conventional ODE modelling coefficients of an equation driving the system state forward in time are estimated. However, for many complex systems it is practically impossible to determine the equations or interactions governing the underlying dynamics. In these settings, parametric ODE model cannot be formulated. Her…

2018-03-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops ΦΦ-DVAE for assimilating unstructured data into physical models.

problem Challenges in incorporating unstructured data into physical models.
method Physics-informed dynamical variational autoencoder (ΦΦ-DVAE) combining latent state-space model and VAE.
result Demonstrates data-efficient dynamics encoding with competitive performance and uncertainty quantification.

New model stabilizes asynchronous LTI systems, independent of synchronous stability.

problem Stability of asynchronous LTI systems under randomization and asynchrony.
method Introduced a new model for random asynchronous LTI systems and developed a method for system identification.
result Stability of random asynchronous LTI systems is independent of synchronous stability.

sFML learns stochastic dynamical systems from data.

problem Learning unknown stochastic dynamical systems from measurement data.
method sFML extends FML for deterministic systems, using a stochastic flow map composed of deterministic and stochastic sub-maps.
result sFML constructs a stochastic evolution model approximating unknown stochastic systems.

Despite significant effort in understanding complex systems (CS), we lack a theory for modeling, inference, analysis and efficient control of time-varying complex networks (TVCNs) in uncertain environments. From brain activity dynamics to microbiome, and even chromatin interactions within the genome architecture, many …

2018-11-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently learns MFC systems with unknown dynamics.

problem Learning in multi-agent systems with non-stationary interactions and combinatorial state/action spaces.
method Model-based reinforcement learning algorithm, M3UCRLM^3-UCRL, balancing exploration and exploitation.
result First general regret bounds for model-based reinforcement learning of MFC systems.

Deep neural networks with memory learn reduced equations from partial data.

problem Constructing governing equations for unknown dynamical systems from limited data.
method Formulate a discrete approximation of memory integrals, use deep neural networks to incorporate history terms.
result Deep neural networks can learn reduced equations with memory from partial data.

Efficient algorithm predicts unknown linear systems with long-term memory.

problem Predicting unknown and partially observed linear dynamical systems with long-term memory.
method Bounding the generalized Kolmogorov width of the Kalman filter model using spectral methods and conducting tight convex relaxation.
result Competes with Kalman filter in hindsight with only logarithmic regret.

AdaptOn achieves logarithmic regret in adaptive control of unknown partially observable linear systems.

problem Adaptive control in partially observable linear dynamical systems.
method AdaptOn algorithm that estimates system dynamics through online learning and gradient descent.
result AdaptOn achieves a logarithmic regret bound of polylog(T) after T steps.

LqgOpt learns optimal control in unknown LQG systems with minimal regret.

problem Adaptive control in partially observable linear quadratic Gaussian systems with unknown dynamics.
method Optimism in the face of uncertainty, predictor state evolution, closed-loop system identification, confidence bounds.
result Proves a regret upper bound of ildeO(T) ilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{T}) for LQG systems.

Bayesian ODEs with Gaussian processes infer unknown dynamics from data.

problem Estimating unknown continuous-time system dynamics from data.
method Bayesian nonparametric model using Gaussian processes, sparse variational inference, probabilistic shooting.
result Posterior predictive uncertainty scores outperform alternative methods on multiple ODE learning tasks.

Study learns linear system dynamics from noisy bilinear data.

problem Learning linear dynamics from bilinear observations with process and measurement noise.
method Regression with Kronecker product design, data-dependent and independent error bounds.
result Upper bounds on statistical error rates and sample complexity for learning dynamics matrices.

Study on identifying and inferring nonlinear dynamics on unknown networks.

problem Identifying network structure in nonlinear dynamic systems with unknown interactions.
method Showed network structure is not generically identified, requiring sufficient spectral heterogeneity. Developed necessary and sufficient conditions for identification and proposed a semiparametric estimator.
result Necessary and sufficient conditions for identification of network structure in nonlinear dynamic systems.

Advanced and effective collaborative filtering methods based on explicit feedback assume that unknown ratings do not follow the same model as the observed ones (\emph{not missing at random}). In this work, we build on this assumption, and introduce a novel dynamic matrix factorization framework that allows to set an ex…

2015-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

The optimal predictor for a linear dynamical system (with hidden state and Gaussian noise) takes the form of an autoregressive linear filter, namely the Kalman filter. However, a fundamental problem in reinforcement learning and control theory is to make optimal predictions in an unknown dynamical system. To this end, …

2019-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Linear dynamical systems are a fundamental and powerful parametric model class. However, identifying the parameters of a linear dynamical system is a venerable task, permitting provably efficient solutions only in special cases. This work shows that the eigenspectrum of unknown linear dynamics can be identified without…

2019-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

This work learns effective dynamics from short-term data of stochastic systems.

problem Learning effective dynamics from short-term data of stochastic systems.
method Proposes a novel algorithm using a neural network (Auto-SDE) to learn invariant slow manifold from data.
result Validated through numerical experiments to be accurate, stable, and effective.

This paper tackles adaptive control of unknown Markov jump systems with sample complexity and regret bounds.

problem Adaptive control of unknown Markov jump systems with changing dynamics.
method Identification-based adaptive control using a system identification algorithm and certainty equivalent control.
result The proposed adaptive control scheme achieves O(T)\mathcal{O}(\sqrt{T}) regret, improving to O(polylog(T))\mathcal{O}(polylog(T)) with partial knowledge.

We prove that stochastic gradient descent efficiently converges to the global optimizer of the maximum likelihood objective of an unknown linear time-invariant dynamical system from a sequence of noisy observations generated by the system. Even though the objective function is non-convex, we provide polynomial running …

2016-09-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes method for optimal control of unknown systems with latent states.

problem Jointly estimating dynamics and latent states in systems with unmeasurable states.
method Combination of particle Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and scenario theory.
result Probabilistic performance guarantees for optimal input trajectories.

Improved SINDy autoencoder for identifying noisy dynamical systems.

problem Robust identification of noisy dynamical systems from data.
method Incorporates noise-separating neural network structures into SINDy autoencoder architecture.
result Accurately recovers latent dynamics and estimates measurement noise from noisy observations.

Learning workable representations of dynamical systems is becoming an increasingly important problem in a number of application areas. By leveraging recent work connecting deep neural networks to systems of differential equations, we propose \emph{variational integrator networks}, a class of neural network architecture…

2019-10-21abs ↗pdf ↗