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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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179357536714 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for unknown context distributions

Optimal algorithm for contextual bandits with unknown context distributions.

problem Designing efficient algorithms for contextual bandits with unknown context distributions.
method Cross-learning setting, novel technique for coordinating multiple epochs.
result Nearly tight regret bound of O~(TK)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{TK}) for learning to bid in first-price auctions and sleeping bandits.

A federated learning algorithm tackles unknown contexts in multi-arm bandits.

problem Learning optimal actions in federated multi-arm bandits with unobserved contexts.
method Elimination-based algorithm for linearly parametrized reward functions.
result Proved regret bound for linearly parametrized reward functions.

Paper solves stochastic contextual linear bandits using linear bandit algorithms.

problem Stochastic contextual linear bandits with unknown context distribution.
method Establishes a reduction framework to convert to linear bandit problems.
result Achieves nearly optimal regret bound of O(dTlogT)O(d\sqrt{T\log T}).

Optimal pricing strategy for unknown valuation models with noisy feedback.

problem Minimizing regret in dynamic pricing with unknown valuation functions and noisy feedback.
method Proposes a minimax-optimal algorithm using discretization and data partitioning to handle unknown noise distribution and Lipschitz continuity of valuation functions.
result Achieves minimax-optimal regret bound matching the theoretical lower bound up to logarithmic factors.

Enhances activity recognition in wearable computing with context awareness and uncertainty quantification.

problem Context-dependent activity recognition and unknown contexts in wearable computing.
method Developed the α-{eta} network coupled with uncertainty quantification (UQ) based on maximum entropy.
result Improved accuracy and F-score by 10% through high-level context identification.

Generalization and adaptation of learned skills to novel situations is a core requirement for intelligent autonomous robots. Although contextual reinforcement learning provides a principled framework for learning and generalization of behaviors across related tasks, it generally relies on uninformed sampling of environ…

2019-10-07abs ↗pdf ↗

New algorithm reduces online learning error for unknown feature distributions.

problem Oracle-efficient hybrid online learning with unknown feature and label distributions.
method Computational efficient online predictor using ERM oracle for finite-VC and fat-shattering classes.
result Oracle-efficient sublinear regret bounds for hybrid online learning with unknown feature generation.

Algorithm identifies best arm in piecewise stationary linear bandits with minimal samples.

problem Identifying the best arm in a piecewise stationary linear bandit model with unknown contexts and changepoints.
method Design of PSε\varepsilonBAI+^+ algorithm, consisting of PSε\varepsilonBAI and Nε\varepsilonBAI subroutines.
result PSε\varepsilonBAI+^+ achieves optimal sample complexity up to a logarithmic factor.

A new algorithm optimizes unknown functions with noisy data and unmatched features.

problem Sequentially maximizing a function with unknown and noisy data and features not under control.
method Bayesian conditional mean embedding and Gaussian process for uncertainty.
result Empirically outperforms state-of-the-art algorithms.

Paper establishes MLE consistency for market microstructure models.

problem Estimating parameters in partially observed diffusion models.
method Tractable sufficient condition for MLE consistency based on stationary distribution.
result Maximum likelihood estimators are consistent for market microstructure parameters.

Thompson Sampling tackles noisy context in stochastic bandits.

problem Designing an action policy for noisy, corrupted contexts in stochastic bandits.
method Introducing a Thompson Sampling algorithm for Gaussian bandits with Gaussian context noise, adopting an information-theoretic analysis.
result Demonstrates the Bayesian regret of the proposed algorithm concerning the oracle's action policy.

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The assessment of risks should be carried out in accordance with the regulatory authority's requirement at high quantiles. In general, the underlying distribution function is unknown, the database is sparse, and therefore special tail models are used. Very often…

2019-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

EDRBO optimizes Bayesian optimization with continuous contexts using ensemble models and robust methods.

problem Bayesian optimization with unknown and continuous contextual distributions leads to suboptimal results.
method EDRBO uses ensemble surrogate models and Wasserstein ball ambiguity sets to handle uncertainty and maintain computational tractability.
result EDRBO achieves sublinear cumulative regret guarantees of order O(γTT)\mathcal{O}(γ_T \sqrt{T}).

Bayesian models use hyperparameters to indirectly assign priors, and this work shows how these priors can be derived from maximum entropy principles.

problem Understanding the assumptions and dependencies in Bayesian hierarchical models.
method Demonstrates how canonical distributions and maximum entropy principles can be used to derive marginal priors in hierarchical models.
result Marginal priors in hierarchical models derived from maximum entropy principles have different constraints compared to the original priors.

Consider a nonparametric contextual multi-arm bandit problem where each arm a[K]a \in [K] is associated to a nonparametric reward function fa:[0,1]Rf_a: [0,1] \to \mathbb{R} mapping from contexts to the expected reward. Suppose that there is a large set of arms, yet there is a simple but unknown structure amongst the arm reward…

2019-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

For a dataset of label-count pairs, an anonymized histogram is the multiset of counts. Anonymized histograms appear in various potentially sensitive contexts such as password-frequency lists, degree distribution in social networks, and estimation of symmetric properties of discrete distributions. Motivated by these app…

2019-10-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We explore the sequential decision making problem where the goal is to estimate uniformly well a number of linear models, given a shared budget of random contexts independently sampled from a known distribution. The decision maker must query one of the linear models for each incoming context, and receives an observatio…

2017-03-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Extends JKO scheme for iterative algorithms with unknown parameters.

problem Computational and statistical analysis of iterative algorithms with unknown parameters.
method Develops statistical methods to estimate unknown parameters and adapts JKO scheme.
result Establishes asymptotic theory for the statistical JKO scheme.

The paper tackles estimating optimal policy value in linear bandits with general context distributions.

problem Estimating the optimal policy value in linear bandits with general context distributions.
method The paper provides lower bounds and an algorithm for sublinear estimation of VV^* under stronger assumptions.
result A practical algorithm that estimates a problem-dependent upper bound on VV^* with O~(d)\widetilde{\mathcal{O}}(\sqrt{d}) samples.

Transformer learns context and regularization for ICL in inverse problems.

problem Learning context and effective regularization for transformer-based in-context learning (ICL) in inverse problems.
method Introduced a linear transformer to learn inverse mapping from contextual examples to weight vectors, addressing rank-deficient problems.
result Transformer implicitly learns a prior distribution and effective regularization strategy, outperforming traditional methods.

Statistical test verifies long-term rating system calibration with overlapping time windows.

problem Verifying supervisory requirements for overlapping time windows in rating systems.
method Analyzes long-run default rate distribution and correlation effects; presents conservative calibration test methods.
result Developed a test for individual and portfolio levels that can handle unknown variance.

Generative AI can solve in-context learning problems using a martingale perspective.

problem Estimating when a conditional generative model can solve an in-context learning problem.
method Bayesian interpretation, ancestral sampling, generative predictive p-value.
result Developed a method to assess the suitability of CGMs for ICL problems using generative predictive p-values.

We extend Bayesian multi-armed bandit (MAB) algorithms beyond their original setting by making use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. A MAB is a sequential decision making problem where the goal is to learn a policy that maximizes long term payoff, where only the reward of the executed action is observed. In the …

2018-08-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Bayesian nonparametric CMS improves frequency estimation for power-law data.

problem Estimating frequencies of low-frequency tokens in power-law data streams.
method Developed a learning-augmented count-min sketch using a normalized inverse Gaussian process prior.
result The approach achieves remarkable performance in estimating low-frequency tokens.

New Thompson Sampling for partially observed context bandits reduces regret logarithmically with time.

problem Improving Thompson Sampling for partially observed context bandits.
method Proposed a Thompson Sampling algorithm for partially observable contextual multi-armed bandits with theoretical performance guarantees.
result Regret scales logarithmically with time and the number of arms, and linearly with the dimension.

While normalizing flows have led to significant advances in modeling high-dimensional continuous distributions, their applicability to discrete distributions remains unknown. In this paper, we show that flows can in fact be extended to discrete events---and under a simple change-of-variables formula not requiring log-d…

2019-05-24abs ↗pdf ↗

A new pricing strategy learns customer valuations without noise distribution knowledge.

problem Setting optimal prices for products based on customer valuations with unknown noise.
method Developed a novel perturbed linear bandit framework to learn both contextual functions and market noise.
result Proved sub-linear regret bound and demonstrated superior performance on simulations and real data.

The paper analyzes meta-learning in a Gaussian setting, providing bounds and matching algorithms.

problem Understanding how task distributions influence transfer risk in meta-learning.
method Fixed design linear regression with Gaussian noise, Gaussian task distribution, weighted biased regularized regression method.
result A novel weighted version of biased regularized regression method matches distribution-dependent lower bounds on transfer risk up to a constant factor.

This paper proposes an online tree-based Bayesian approach for reinforcement learning. For inference, we employ a generalised context tree model. This defines a distribution on multivariate Gaussian piecewise-linear models, which can be updated in closed form. The tree structure itself is constructed using the cover tr…

2013-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Faster convergence of kernel mean embeddings using variance information.

problem Speeding up the convergence rate of kernel mean embeddings.
method Leveraging variance information in reproducing kernel Hilbert space and estimating variance from data.
result Efficiently estimate variance information from data to achieve distribution-agnostic convergence bounds.

We propose and study a multi-scale approach to vector quantization. We develop an algorithm, dubbed reconstruction trees, inspired by decision trees. Here the objective is parsimonious reconstruction of unsupervised data, rather than classification. Contrasted to more standard vector quantization methods, such as K-mea…

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

In real-world scenarios, different features have different acquisition costs at test-time which necessitates cost-aware methods to optimize the cost and performance trade-off. This paper introduces a novel and scalable approach for cost-aware feature acquisition at test-time. The method incrementally asks for features …

2018-11-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Over the past decades, researchers and ML practitioners have come up with better and better ways to build, understand and improve the quality of ML models, but mostly under the key assumption that the training data is distributed identically to the testing data. In many real-world applications, however, some potential …

2018-08-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper proposes using generalized lambda distributions for stochastic simulators.

problem Uncertainty quantification with complex stochastic models is computationally challenging.
method Flexible generalized lambda distribution approximates response PDF, parameters are sparse polynomial chaos expansions.
result Local inference of response PDF at each point of experimental design using replicated model evaluations.

The study compares Bayesian and frequentist approaches in deep learning.

problem Comparing Bayesian and frequentist inference in deep learning.
method Conducts a comparative analysis of point and posterior estimators across various settings.
result Amortized point estimators generally outperform posterior inference, though posterior inference remains competitive in some low-dimensional problems.

NP-PROV separates mean and variance spaces to improve function uncertainty.

problem Neural Processes fail on out-of-domain tasks due to shared latent space uncertainty.
method Separates mean and variance into function-value-related and position-related latent spaces.
result NP-PROV achieves state-of-the-art likelihood with bounded variance in drifts.

Nearest neighbor (k-NN) graphs are widely used in machine learning and data mining applications, and our aim is to better understand what they reveal about the cluster structure of the unknown underlying distribution of points. Moreover, is it possible to identify spurious structures that might arise due to sampling va…

2011-05-03abs ↗pdf ↗

ICON-OCnet solves optimal execution problems with neural networks and few examples.

problem Optimal order execution in markets with unknown price impact.
method Transformer-based neural network architecture (ICON-OCnet) that learns price impact from few examples and applies it to optimal execution strategies.
result ICON-OCnet accurately infers price impact models and retrieves optimal execution strategies for various propagator kernels.