The paper develops time-uniform inference methods for stochastic approximation parameters.
problem Statistical inference for parameters in stochastic approximation problems.
method Analysis of averaged iterates convergence rates and construction of asymptotic confidence sequences.
result Valid asymptotic confidence sequences for parameters in stochastic approximation problems.
The paper provides uniform inference for high-dimensional graphical models.
problem Estimating dependencies in large sets of variables with high-dimensional data.
method Uniform estimation rates and sparsity guarantees for the square-root estimator in random design under approximate sparsity conditions.
result The paper establishes uniform estimation rates and sparsity guarantees for graphical models in high-dimensional settings.
In the product space H^n \times R; we obtain uniform a priori C^0 horizontal length estimates, uniform a priori C^1 boundary gradient estimates, as well as uniform modulus of continuity, for a class of horizontal minimal equations. In two independent variables, we derive a certain uniform global a priori C^1 estimates …
New method improves active statistical inference by reducing noise.
problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimates in active sampling lead to noisy results.
method Robust sampling strategies that interpolate between uniform and active sampling based on uncertainty scores.
result The robust sampling ensures that the estimator is never worse than uniform sampling and usually outperforms active inference.
This paper introduces time-uniform CLT-based confidence intervals for statistical inference.
problem Developing valid statistical inference methods for sequential data.
method Time-uniform central limit theory and strong invariance principles.
result Asymptotic confidence sequences (CSs) that are uniformly valid over time.
VBD improves variational dropout by using a hierarchical prior, enabling better regularization.
problem Improper log-uniform prior in VD causes ill-posed posterior inference.
method Introduces a hierarchical prior with a zero-mean Gaussian distribution and a uniform hyper-prior.
result VBD enables well-posed posterior inference and superior regularization performance.
Hypothesis tests in models whose dimension far exceeds the sample size can be formulated much like the classical studentized tests only after the initial bias of estimation is removed successfully. The theory of debiased estimators can be developed in the context of quantile regression models for a fixed quantile value…
Efficient non-uniform quantizer improves CNN performance on FPGA.
problem Improving CNN performance on low-power systems like mobile devices.
method Custom hardware-friendly non-uniform quantizer for parameters and activations using a single scale integer representation.
result Little degradation in accuracy on CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100 datasets.
New methods for private statistical inference under local differential privacy.
problem Private statistical inference for population means with bounded observations.
method Nonparametric, nonasymptotic statistical inference using a generalized randomized response mechanism.
result Private confidence intervals and sequences for population means under LDP constraints.
STR reparameterizes DNN weights with soft thresholds for better sparsity and accuracy.
problem Improving sparsity in DNNs for better accuracy and lower inference cost.
method Soft Threshold Reparameterization (STR) using the soft-threshold operator on DNN weights.
result STR achieves state-of-the-art accuracy and reduces FLOPs by up to 50%.
A debiasing method improves nonparametric regression's statistical properties.
problem Lack of theoretical guarantees for modern nonparametric regression methods.
method Model-free debiasing method incorporating a correction term.
result Debiased estimator satisfies pointwise and uniform risk convergence, asymptotic normality.
The paper develops statistical inference for gradient flows in optimization.
problem Uncertainty quantification along the entire optimization path.
method Uniform central limit theorem and algorithm-aware covariance estimator.
result Asymptotically valid confidence intervals for target parameter.
New flexible confidence sequences for robust statistical inference.
problem Creating robust statistical inference methods that work under mild assumptions.
method Proposed a new class of asymptotic time-uniform confidence sequences.
result Sharp asymptotic time-uniform confidence sequences achieved under mild assumptions.
New method for inferring Markov chains from large state spaces, applied to epidemic models.
problem Challenging to compute matrix exponentials and derivatives for large state spaces.
method Differentiated uniformization method for continuous-time Markov chains.
result Estimation of infection and recovery rates during the first wave of COVID-19 in Austria.
New methods for estimating and inferring nonparametric structural functions and elasticities.
problem Estimating and inferring nonparametric structural functions and their derivatives.
method Data-driven sieve dimension choice and uniform confidence bands construction.
result Optimal estimation and inference procedures with minimax rates of convergence.
Randomization is minimax-optimal for variance in experimental design, even with structure.
problem Designing optimal randomized experiments for variance minimization.
method Analyzing permutation symmetric and non-symmetric sets of outcomes, proposing inference-constrained MSOD.
result Randomization is minimax-optimal for variance, even with structure, and requires uniformity constraints for Fisher's exact test.
Study proposes learning optimal priors from data for better Bayesian inference.
problem Challenges the use of noninformative uniform priors in Bayesian inference.
method Machine learning approach to learn optimal priors from data using a target function.
result Study models consistently outperformed baseline models in Wikipedia category classification.
We improve GANs by enforcing reproducibility and using non-uniform sampling.
problem Overrepresentation of certain samples in GANs' marginal log-likelihood.
method Enforce reproducibility through matching empirical distribution to prior, use non-uniform sampling for mini-batch selection.
result Improved quality and variety in generated samples, validated on CIFAR10, Fashion MNIST, and CelebA.
The paper develops p-values for outlier detection using conformal inference.
problem Detecting outliers in nonparametric data sets.
method Conformal inference framework for constructing marginally valid but mutually dependent p-values.
result Valid p-values for outlier detection with conditional independence and marginal false discovery rate control.
Paper constructs unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
problem Unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
method Constructs unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
result Examples of unfaithful probability distributions in binary causal graphs.
Gaussian multiplicative noise is commonly used as a stochastic regularisation technique in training of deterministic neural networks. A recent paper reinterpreted the technique as a specific algorithm for approximate inference in Bayesian neural networks; several extensions ensued. We show that the log-uniform prior us…
The paper challenges the use of decision trees for pointwise inference due to slow convergence rates.
problem The slow convergence rates of decision trees in uniform norm, especially with non-vanishing probability.
method Demonstrates the limitations of adaptive recursive partitioning and shows how random forests can improve performance.
result Decision trees can fail to achieve polynomial rates of convergence in uniform norm, even with pruning.
A new data-driven sampling method improves GraphSAGE's accuracy in node classification.
problem High variance in neighborhood sampling leads to sub-optimum accuracy in GraphSAGE.
method A data-driven node sampling approach using a non-linear regressor trained with reinforcement learning.
result Enhanced GraphSAGE accuracy in inductive node classification benchmarks.
Paper tackles estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal processes from sparse data.
problem Estimating initial conditions of spatio-temporal advection-diffusion processes from sparse data.
method Regularized convex optimization problem with Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers.
result Efficient solutions for non-uniform and shifted uniform sampling schemes.
StatQAT optimizes quantization for deep networks, reducing computational cost and memory usage.
problem Optimal quantization parameters selection for deep neural networks with diverse data distributions.
method Statistical error analysis framework for uniform and floating-point quantization, iterative and analytic quantizers designed for arbitrary and Gaussian-like distributions.
result Improved accuracy and stability in training low-precision neural networks.
The paper develops methods for causal function estimation and inference with multiway clustered data.
problem Estimation and inference for causal functions under multiway clustering.
method Two-step procedure using machine learning for nuisance parameters and projection onto basis functions.
result Rejects the null hypothesis of uniformly zero effects and reveals heterogeneous treatment effects.
To train an inference network jointly with a deep generative topic model, making it both scalable to big corpora and fast in out-of-sample prediction, we develop Weibull hybrid autoencoding inference (WHAI) for deep latent Dirichlet allocation, which infers posterior samples via a hybrid of stochastic-gradient MCMC and…
Online SGD achieves consistent estimation in high-dimensional non-convex inference tasks.
problem Consistent estimation in high-dimensional non-convex optimization problems.
method Online stochastic gradient descent (SGD) on non-convex losses.
result Nearly sharp thresholds for sample complexity in high-dimensional settings.
This paper analyzes how differential privacy and data skewness affect membership inference attacks.
problem Membership inference attacks on privately trained models.
method Developed MPLens system to evaluate membership inference vulnerability.
result Membership inference risk is higher with skewed training data and differential privacy has trade-offs.
The paper develops efficient algorithms for variational inference with mixtures of isotropic Gaussians.
problem Efficiently approximating multimodal Bayesian posteriors.
method Develops a variational framework and efficient algorithms for mixtures of isotropic Gaussians.
result The approach provides accurate approximations of multimodal Bayesian posteriors while being memory and computationally efficient.
Efficient inference method for adaptive experiments with tighter confidence sequences.
problem Efficient inference of Average Treatment Effect in a changing policy sequential experiment.
method Semiparametric efficient inference using Adaptive Augmented Inverse-Probability Weighted estimator and asymptotic confidence sequences.
result Derives tighter confidence sequences for adaptive experiments under data-dependent stopping times.
New algorithm balances user reward and statistical inference by mixing TS with UR based on difference size.
problem Combining statistical inference with user reward in adaptive experiments.
method TS-PostDiff algorithm that uses UR when differences are small and TS when large.
result TS-PostDiff reduces false positives and increases statistical power for small differences, while maximizing reward for large ones.
A new algorithm speeds up rerandomization for better experiment balance.
problem Achieving optimal covariate balance in randomized experiments.
method Metropolis-Hastings framework with sampling-importance resampling.
result PSRSRR achieves significant speedups while maintaining statistical guarantees.
There are three principle paradigms of statistical inference: (i) Bayesian, (ii) information-based and (iii) frequentist inference. We describe an objective prior (the weighting or w-prior) which unifies objective Bayes and information-based inference. The w-prior is chosen to make the marginal probability an unbia…
Study identifies and estimates treatment effect heterogeneity within principal stratification subpopulations.
problem Causal inference with intermediate outcomes and treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Proposes a novel doubly cross-fit doubly robust machine learner to efficiently learn conditional principal causal effects under principal ignorability.
result Demonstrates informative patterns of treatment effect heterogeneity within the always-survivor subpopulation in an acute lung injury trial.
Understanding statistical inference under possibly non-sparse high-dimensional models has gained much interest recently. For a given component of the regression coefficient, we show that the difficulty of the problem depends on the sparsity of the corresponding row of the precision matrix of the covariates, not the spa…
Improves QMC for complex distributions using transport maps.
problem Challenges in applying QMC to general target distributions.
method Train a transport map to approximate target distributions, ensuring RQMC achieves superior error rates.
result Transport QMC achieves faster convergence rates than standard Monte Carlo under mild conditions.
New method infers hidden states in continuous-time phenomena better than traditional models.
problem Traditional HSMM's are limited to discrete time grids and cannot handle irregularly spaced data.
method Formulated integro-differential forward and backward equations for CTSMC's, introduced scalable Viterbi-type algorithm.
result Efficiently solved equations for posterior marginals and path estimates.
UDM reparameterization improves language model generation.
problem Mismatch between UDM training objective and denoising posterior.
method Leave-one-out denoising and absorbing state reformulation.
result Improved UDM generation through leave-one-out parameterization.
This thesis relaxes assumptions for causal discovery, making methods applicable to more complex systems.
problem Learning causal structures from observational data with latent variables.
method Alternative definition of k-Triangle Faithfulness for non-Gaussian distributions and uniform consistency proof.
result Uniform consistency of causal discovery algorithm under modified faithfulness assumption.
LSBI approximates likelihood with linear functions for cosmological parameter estimation.
problem Estimating cosmological parameters from complex data.
method Sequential Linear Simulation-based Inference (LSBI) using Gaussian approximations.
result LSBI achieves convergence after 4-5 rounds of simulations, comparable to neural methods.
ORAT improves model robustness against outliers and adversarial attacks.
problem Challenges of training data like outliers and adversarial samples.
method Bi-level optimization with robust rank-based loss function.
result ORAT achieves theoretical consistency and uniform convergence rates.
Develops methods for estimating and providing confidence bands in sparse high-dimensional additive models.
problem Estimating and providing reliable confidence bands for nonparametric components in high-dimensional additive models.
method Integrates sieve estimation into a high-dimensional Z-estimation framework, employing a multiplier bootstrap procedure.
result Constructs uniformly valid confidence bands for the target component f1 in sparse high-dimensional additive models. Meta learning optimizes neural network quantization for efficient inference.
problem Uniform bitwidth quantization is sub-optimal for neural network compression.
method Meta learning to automatically generate hybrid quantization policies.
result Meta learning outperforms uniform quantization and RL approaches.
Kernel ridge regression inference for nonstandard data.
problem Inferential theory for kernel ridge regression with nonstandard data.
method Constructs valid and sharp confidence sets using anti-symmetric multipliers.
result Develops a test for match effects in school matching mechanisms.
Improved statistical inference for expensive data using machine learning predictions.
problem Statistical inference under adaptive two-phase multiwave sampling with expensive measurements.
method Multiwave Predict-Then-Debias estimator combining proxy information and expensive measurements.
result Valid estimators and confidence intervals for M-estimation under adaptive sampling.
Proposes a method to calibrate deep neural network predictions using stochastic inferences.
problem Improving confidence calibration in deep neural networks.
method Interprets stochastic regularization as Bayesian model, designs a variance-weighted loss function.
result Demonstrates significant improvement in confidence calibration and classification accuracy.
This work reduces model size by 86.11% for recommender systems using 4-bit quantization.
problem Large memory consumption in embedding vectors for recommender systems.
method Post-training 4-bit quantization on embedding tables, including row-wise uniform quantization and codebook-based quantization.
result Consistently reduces accuracy degradation while significantly reducing model size.