arXiv research

Paper develops a fair pricing algorithm for dynamic settings with uncertain demand.

Proposes a new method for predicting uncertain net electricity demand.

A new method uses GANs for robust optimization under uncertain data.

Strategic valuation of efficient and well-timed network investments under uncertain electricity market environment has become increasingly challenging, because there generally exist multiple interacting options in these investments, and failing to systematically consider these options can lead to decisions that underva…

A framework for the generation of bridge-specific fragility utilizing the capabilities of machine learning and stripe-based approach is presented in this paper. The proposed methodology using random forests helps to generate or update fragility curves for a new set of input parameters with less computational effort and…

Learning from electronic medical records (EMR) is challenging due to their relational nature and the uncertain dependence between a patient's past and future health status. Statistical relational learning is a natural fit for analyzing EMRs but is less adept at handling their inherent latent structure, such as connecti…

We study continuous time Bertrand oligopolies in which a small number of firms producing similar goods compete with one another by setting prices. We first analyze a static version of this game in order to better understand the strategies played in the dynamic setting. Within the static game, we characterize the Nash e…

In urban environments, supply resources have to be constantly matched to the "right" locations (where customer demand is present) so as to improve quality of life. For instance, ambulances have to be matched to base stations regularly so as to reduce response time for emergency incidents in EMS (Emergency Management Sy…

Optimizes decision-making with uncertain variables using auxiliary observations.

Optimal vehicle repositioning policy found for shared mobility services.

Supplier learns to price contracts against a learning retailer.

The paper explores how to handle uncertain evidence in probabilistic models.

New method calculates Shapley values for uncertain functions.

In this paper, within the framework of uncertainty theory, the valuation of equity warrants is investigated. Different from the methods of probability theory, the equity warrants pricing problem is solved by using the method of uncertain calculus. Based on the assumption that the firm price follows an uncertain differe…

SPINN optimizes neural network inference on devices and cloud.

Quantum methods model uncertain volatility in financial markets.

New model predicts dynamic volatility in uncertain financial markets.

The target of this paper is to consider model the risky asset price on the financial market under the Knightian uncertainty, and pricing the ask and bid prices of the uncertain risk. We use the nonlinear analysis tool, i.e., G-frame work [26], to construct the model of the risky asset price and bid-ask pricing for the …

Study calculates Bayes risk for semi-supervised learning with uncertain labels.

New algorithm for uncertain time series classification.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has demonstrated a great potential for automatically solving decision-making problems in complex uncertain environments. RL proposes a computational approach that allows learning through interaction in an environment with stochastic behavior, where agents take actions to maximize some cumula…

New algorithm for reinforcement learning in uncertain environments with unknown thresholds.

For autonomous agents to successfully operate in the real world, anticipation of future events and states of their environment is a key competence. This problem has been formalized as a sequence extrapolation problem, where a number of observations are used to predict the sequence into the future. Real-world scenarios …

A method for accurate pricing of multidimensional derivatives under uncertain volatility.

The paper addresses portfolio allocation with uncertain covariance matrices, finding a logarithmic risk dependence.

Bayesian Gaussian process models handle uncertain data locations in PDE approximations.

Framework for games with uncertain parameters, ensuring no player can improve by changing strategy.

Model quantifies uncertainty's impact on European option prices.

IDT learns human preferences from uncertain decisions, even when humans are suboptimal.

The paper tackles robust control with uncertain dependence using data-driven methods.

Investor optimizes portfolio under dynamic risk preferences.

Paper proposes online optimization for uncertain systems using machine learning and DRO.

The neural network (NN)-based direct uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods have achieved the state of the art performance since the first inauguration, known as the lower-upper-bound estimation (LUBE) method. However, currently-available cost functions for uncertainty guided NN training are not always converging and …

This paper tackles JSSP with uncertain task durations using DRL.

This paper first describes a class of uncertain stochastic control systems with Markovian switching, and derives an Itô-Liu formula for Markov-modulated processes. And we characterize an optimal control law, which satisfies the generalized Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation with Markovian switching. Then, by using …

This paper improves learning uncertain Bayesian networks from incomplete data.

With the wide development of black-box machine learning algorithms, particularly deep neural network (DNN), the practical demand for the reliability assessment is rapidly rising. On the basis of the concept that `Bayesian deep learning knows what it does not know,' the uncertainty of DNN outputs has been investigated a…

Proposes a new uncertain volatility model with worst-case scenario analysis.

Hybrid Bayesian-conformal framework improves uncertainty quantification in healthcare predictions.

In this paper, we propose the uncertain volatility models with stochastic bounds. Like the regular uncertain volatility models, we know only that the true model lies in a family of progressively measurable and bounded processes, but instead of using two deterministic bounds, the uncertain volatility fluctuates between …

UnKGCP generates prediction intervals for uncertain knowledge graphs with statistical guarantees.

AIRBO optimizes robustly under uncertain inputs.

This paper proposes a joint energy and data market to handle uncertainty in energy procurement.

Novel pricing method for equity-indexed annuities under uncertain volatility and stochastic interest rate.

GPMI method interpolates uncertain atrial conduction velocity on non-Euclidean manifolds.

A machine learning approach to compute Black-Scholes prices with uncertain volatility.

The paper tackles mean-variance analysis in Bayesian optimization under uncertainty.

Novel algorithms for online learning with uncertain feedback graphs reduce regret.