Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,051 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

124248371495 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for two-step importance weighting

A new one-step method for covariate shift adaptation.

problem Real-world data often violates the assumption of same distribution for training and test samples.
method Proposes a one-step optimization approach to jointly learn the model and weights.
result The proposed method achieves a generalization error bound and is empirically effective.

New estimator improves off-policy evaluation for large action spaces.

problem Conventional importance-weighting approaches suffer from excessive variance in off-policy evaluation for large discrete action spaces.
method Proposes OffCEM estimator based on conjunct effect model (CEM), applying importance weighting only to action clusters and using model-based reward estimation for residual effects.
result Proposed estimator is unbiased under local correctness condition, providing substantial improvements in OPE especially with many actions.

Unified framework for sequence models using test-time regression.

problem Designing efficient sequence models with associative memory.
method Formalizing associative recall as regression over input tokens, deriving various sequence models.
result Clarifies the effectiveness of query-key normalization in softmax attention and offers new generalizations.

New method estimates spatial weights matrix for lattice data, improving prediction accuracy.

problem Estimating spatial dependence structure for regular lattice data.
method Adaptive lasso with cross-sectional resampling to estimate sparse spatial weights matrix.
result Improves prediction accuracy of nitrogen dioxide concentrations.

Adaptive importance sampling (AIS) uses past samples to update the \textit{sampling policy} qtq_t at each stage tt. Each stage tt is formed with two steps : (i) to explore the space with ntn_t points according to qtq_t and (ii) to exploit the current amount of information to update the sampling policy. The very funda…

2018-06-04abs ↗pdf ↗

The weighted and directed network of countries based on the number of overseas banks is analyzed in terms of its fragility to the banking crisis of one country. We use two different models to describe transmission of shocks, one local and the other global. Depending on the original source of the crisis, the overall siz…

2014-03-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New method identifies parameters of wider shallow neural networks with biases.

problem Identifying parameters of wide shallow neural networks with biases from finite samples.
method Two-step pipeline: direction of weights via second order information, signs via algebraic evaluations, biases via gradient descent.
result Constructive methods and theoretical guarantees of finite sample identification for wider shallow networks with biases.

Efficiently optimizes constrained problems with two-step lookahead BO.

problem Optimizing constrained problems with limited computational resources.
method Two-step lookahead Bayesian optimization with inequality constraints, using a novel unbiased gradient estimator.
result Significantly improves query efficiency over previous methods.

The paper extends two-step homogeneous geodesics to homogeneous Finsler spaces.

problem Extending two-step homogeneous geodesics to Finsler spaces.
method Providing sufficient conditions for (α,β)(α,β) spaces and decomposable cubic spaces to have two-step Finsler geodesic orbit spaces.
result Presented examples of two-step Finsler geodesic orbit spaces.

We consider a method popular in the literature of associating a two-step nilpotent Lie algebra with a finite simple graph. We prove that the two-step nilpotent Lie algebras associated with two graphs are Lie isomorphic if and only if the graphs from which they arise are isomorphic.

2013-10-12abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper introduces new actuarial-consistent valuations for insurance liabilities.

problem Valuation of insurance liabilities considering both financial and actuarial risks.
method Proposes two-step actuarial valuations and actuarial-consistent procedures.
result Actuarial-consistent valuations are equivalent to two-step actuarial valuations under coherence.

New loss function restores importance weighting in overparameterized models.

problem Restoring importance weighting in overparameterized neural networks.
method Introduced polynomially-tailed losses to restore effects of importance weighting.
result Polynomially-tailed losses improve performance in correcting distribution shift.

Proves conjecture about compatible SKT and balanced metrics on compact solvmanifolds.

problem Compact complex manifolds with both SKT and balanced metrics.
method Shear construction and classification of two-step solvable Lie algebras.
result Proves conjecture for compact two-step solvmanifolds with invariant complex structures.

Importance-weighted risk minimization is a key ingredient in many machine learning algorithms for causal inference, domain adaptation, class imbalance, and off-policy reinforcement learning. While the effect of importance weighting is well-characterized for low-capacity misspecified models, little is known about how it…

2018-12-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved neural spike inference from calcium imaging data.

problem Neural spike inference from calcium imaging data.
method Importance weighted adversarial variational autoencoders (IWAE) with adversarial training.
result Adversarial IWAE methods outperform VAEs in inferring neural spikes.

Proposes novel wSVMs for sparse learning and accurate probability estimation.

problem Sparse features with redundant noise limit the performance of existing wSVMs.
method Develops 1\ell^1-norm and elastic net regularized wSVMs for automatic variable selection and probability estimation.
result Elastic net regularized wSVMs achieve superior performance in variable selection and probability estimation.

Optimizes weights for better model performance in shifting data.

problem Improper importance weighting leads to poor model performance in data shifts.
method Interprets weights as a bias-variance trade-off and optimizes them simultaneously with model parameters.
result Optimizing weights significantly improves model generalization performance.

A Riemannian Einstein solvmanifold (possibly, any noncompact homogeneous Einstein space) is almost completely determined by the nilradical of its Lie algebra. A nilpotent Lie algebra, which can serve as the nilradical of an Einstein metric solvable Lie algebra, is called an Einstein nilradical. Despite a substantial pr…

2008-05-06abs ↗pdf ↗

Sharp analysis of out-of-distribution error in overparameterized models with importance weights.

problem Understanding and quantifying the degradation of performance in overparameterized models when faced with underrepresented data.
method Sharp analysis of an overparameterized Gaussian mixture model with spurious features and cost-sensitive interpolating solutions incorporating importance weights.
result Characterization of a novel tradeoff between worst-case robustness and average accuracy as a function of importance weight magnitude.

This paper compares gradient estimators in importance-weighted VI and justifies the superiority of DREP over REP.

problem Understanding the impact of gradient estimators on importance-weighted VI algorithms.
method Unified theoretical comparison of reparameterized and doubly-reparameterized gradient estimators tied to IWAE, VR, and VR-IWAE bounds.
result Formally justifies the superiority of doubly-reparameterized gradient estimators over reparameterized ones in importance-weighted VI.

An intrinsic problem of classifiers based on machine learning (ML) methods is that their learning time grows as the size and complexity of the training dataset increases. For this reason, it is important to have efficient computational methods and algorithms that can be applied on large datasets, such that it is still …

2013-04-12abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel Bayesian computation method using importance weighting improves numerical stability and performance.

problem Bayesian computation stability and performance issues.
method Nonparametric approach via feature means, importance weighting, and kernel Bayes' rule.
result Importance weighted kernel Bayes' rule yields superior numerical stability and performance.

Corrects distribution shift in target shift scenarios using importance weighting.

problem Analyzes importance weighting for correcting distribution shift under target shift.
method Analyzed importance-weighted kernel ridge regression under target shift.
result Shows that importance weighting corrects the train-test mismatch without altering input-space complexity.

New framework forecasts ES using weighted quantiles.

problem Forecasting Expected Shortfall (ES) in financial markets.
method Two-step procedure: VaR estimation through quantile regressions, ES computation as weighted average.
result Proposed models outperform other methods in stock market indices forecasting.

The standard interpretation of importance-weighted autoencoders is that they maximize a tighter lower bound on the marginal likelihood than the standard evidence lower bound. We give an alternate interpretation of this procedure: that it optimizes the standard variational lower bound, but using a more complex distribut…

2017-04-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Importance sampling has become an important tool for the computation of tail-based risk measures. Since such quantities are often determined mainly by rare events standard Monte Carlo can be inefficient and importance sampling provides a way to speed up computations. This paper considers moderate deviations for the wei…

2013-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified framework for analyzing pessimism in off-policy learning with regularized importance sampling.

problem High variance in importance weighting for off-policy learning.
method Unified PAC-Bayesian study of pessimism with regularized importance sampling.
result Derivation of a tractable PAC-Bayesian generalization bound for common importance weight regularizations.

Corrects bias in learned generative models using likelihood-free importance weighting.

problem Bias in learned generative models relative to true data distribution.
method Estimate likelihood ratio using a classifier, apply importance weighting.
result Consistently improves goodness-of-fit metrics for deep generative models.