Proposes a two-stage method for testing variable interactions with FDR control.
problem Testing pairwise interactions in high-dimensional data with dependence.
method Two-stage testing procedure with FDR control using Cramér type moderate deviation technique.
result The proposed method controls FDR and has comparable or improved statistical power.
Two-stage model improves credit scoring predictions.
problem Distribution shift in finance datasets.
method Two-stage model with out-of-distribution detection and domain knowledge.
result Highly reliable predictions for most datasets.
A new conformal prediction framework for two-stage models identifies stage-wise uncertainty.
problem Limited coverage guarantees and lack of modular structure understanding in existing conformal prediction methods.
method Decomposes prediction residuals into stage-specific components, calibrates parameters using FWER control, and adapts to non-stationary settings.
result Improves coverage and identifies stage-wise error contributions compared to standard conformal methods.
SARD improves adversarial robustness in two-stage L2D systems.
problem Adversarial attacks can manipulate query allocation in two-stage L2D systems.
method Introduces SARD, a convex learning algorithm with provable guarantees.
result SARD significantly improves robustness under adversarial attacks while maintaining strong clean performance.
A new framework integrates classification and regression tasks in multi-task learning.
problem Jointly solving classification and regression tasks in multi-task scenarios.
method Two-Stage Learning-to-Defer (L2D) framework with a unified deferral mechanism.
result Unified deferral mechanism ensures convergence to the Bayes-optimal rejector.
The paper provides a statistical decision-theoretical derivation of the Two-Stage approach for parameter estimation.
problem Theoretical justification for the Two-Stage approach in situations where likelihood is difficult to evaluate.
method Statistical decision-theoretical derivation leading to Bayesian and Minimax estimators.
result The Two-Stage approach is justified theoretically and applied to independent and identically distributed samples.
Two-stage recommender systems struggle with exploration, leading to linear regret.
problem Linear regret in two-stage recommender systems due to exploration issues.
method Proposed a method to synchronize exploration strategies between the ranker and nominators using LinUCB.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm experimentally.
We propose a two-stage hybrid approach with neural networks as the new feature construction algorithms for bankcard response classifications. The hybrid model uses a very simple neural network structure as the new feature construction tool in the first stage, then the newly created features are used as the additional i…
The paper analyzes how generated data improves adversarial training in high-dimensional regression.
problem Improving adversarial training in high-dimensional regression.
method Theoretical analysis of a two-stage training approach with generated data and pseudo-labels.
result Two-stage adversarial training achieves better performance than ridgeless training in high-dimensional linear regression.
We present generalization bounds for the TS-MKL framework for two stage multiple kernel learning. We also present bounds for sparse kernel learning formulations within the TS-MKL framework.
A two-stage training method improves GNN graph classification accuracy.
problem Maximizing GNN model capacity for graph classification.
method Two-stage training framework using triplet loss.
result Consistent improvement in accuracy up to 5.4\% points.
This work is attached to the BRICS 2013 competition. We propose a two-stage model for dealing with the temporal degradation of credit scoring models. This methodology produced motivating results in a 1-year horizon. We anticipate that it can be extended to other applications of risk assessment with great success. Futur…
New algorithm protects privacy in IVaR regression while maintaining accuracy.
problem Privacy leakage in classical IVaR methods.
method Noisy two-stage gradient descent with differential privacy guarantees.
result Achieves statistical efficiency and privacy in IVaR regression.
Two-stage recommender systems show better performance when components interact rather than operate independently.
problem Two-stage recommender systems are often treated as sums of their parts, ignoring interactions between components.
method Used synthetic and real-world data to demonstrate interactions between ranker and nominators. Derived a generalization lower bound and proposed a Mixture-of-Experts approach to learn optimal item pools.
result Independent nominator training can lead to performance on par with random recommendations, highlighting the importance of interactions.
SGD improves DR by solving two-stage sampling problems.
problem Improving the learning properties of SGD for distribution regression.
method Applying SGD to two-stage sampling problems in distribution regression.
result Theoretical guarantees for SGD's performance in DR, with optimal bounds.
TSCI estimates treatment effects using machine learning and data-adaptive methods for invalid instruments.
problem Estimating treatment effects with invalid instruments.
method Two-stage algorithm: first stage uses machine learning for nonlinearities, second stage selects and projects out instrument violations.
result Effective treatment effect estimation even with invalid instruments.
Power supply from renewable resources is on a global rise where it is forecasted that renewable generation will surpass other types of generation in a foreseeable future. Increased generation from renewable resources, mainly solar and wind, exposes the power grid to more vulnerabilities, conceivably due to their variab…
CASP selects reliable policies for two-stage recommender systems by considering both value and support.
problem The selection of a generator in two-stage recommender systems affects both the policy value and the data support used to estimate it.
method CASP combines doubly robust value estimation with a support-burden penalty.
result CASP selects lower-burden policies when estimated value and support credibility are in tension.
Proposes a two-stage method for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using gradient boosting trees.
problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in randomized clinical trials with high-dimensional predictive markers.
method Two-stage statistical learning procedure using gradient boosting trees (XGBoost) to estimate main effects and HTE.
result Improves efficiency in estimating heterogeneous treatment effects through nonparametric function estimation.
Improved learning theory for kernel distribution regression with two-stage sampling.
problem Distribution regression problem and two-stage sampling setting.
method Kernel methods, near-unbiased condition, new error bounds, convergence rates.
result Strictly improved convergence rates for three important classes of kernels.
To integrate strategic, tactical and operational decisions, the two-stage optimization has been widely used to guide dynamic decision making. In this paper, we study the two-stage stochastic programming for complex systems with unknown response estimated by simulation. We introduce the global-local metamodel assisted t…
Joint training improves model accuracy by selectively using privileged information.
problem Two-stage training can lead to model failure with noisy privileged information.
method Joint training of two models to use privileged information selectively.
result Joint training outperforms two-stage baselines on synthetic and real-world tasks.
Bayesian optimization tackles non-convex, two-stage stochastic problems efficiently.
problem Solving non-convex, two-stage stochastic optimization problems with expensive, black-box evaluations.
method Knowledge-gradient-based acquisition function for joint optimization of first- and second-stage variables.
result Comparable and superior empirical results compared to alternatives.
A new method for predicting insurance claims with statistical guarantees.
problem Creating accurate prediction intervals for insurance claims.
method Model-agnostic framework using split conformal prediction for frequency-severity modeling.
result Shows effectiveness on simulated and real datasets using various models.
Proposes two-stage robust and sparse distributed inference for large-scale data.
problem Statistical inference in large-scale, high-dimensional, and outlier-contaminated data.
method Two-stage approach: model selection with robust Lasso, fusion of local selections, and bootstrap methods for inference.
result Robust and computationally efficient inference procedures for variable selection, confidence intervals, and standard deviation approximations.
Two-stage mechanism designs reduce regret in recommender systems with stochastic covariates.
problem Designing effective recommender systems with user covariates sampled online.
method Two-stage algorithm integrating incentivized exploration with offline learning methods.
result Achieves sublinear regret while maintaining incentive compatibility.
This work analyzes a two-stage algorithm for single index models, showing precise asymptotics of gradient descent.
problem Learning single index models with non-convex optimization.
method Spectral initialization followed by gradient descent, with detailed analysis of dynamics and asymptotics.
result Gradient descent converges to long-time fixed points in the large system limit, representing mean field behavior.
POTEC tackles off-policy learning in large action spaces, improving effectiveness.
problem Existing OPL methods fail in large discrete action spaces due to bias or variance issues.
method Two-stage algorithm: cluster selection via policy-based approach, action selection via regression-based approach.
result POTEC provides substantial improvements in off-policy learning effectiveness, especially in large and structured action spaces.
With the increasing complexity of modern power systems, conventional dynamic load modeling with ZIP and induction motors (ZIP + IM) is no longer adequate to address the current load characteristic transitions. In recent years, the WECC composite load model (WECC CLM) has shown to effectively capture the dynamic load re…
D2KLab's approach predicts tweet engagement using two stages.
problem Predicting user engagement with tweets.
method Two-stage approach: feature learning and ensemble XGBoost.
result Ranked 22 in the 2020 RecSys Challenge leaderboard.
Proposes a two-stage method for selecting correlated predictors in high-dimensional data.
problem Selecting correlated predictors in high-dimensional data with unknown group structures.
method Two-stage approach: variable clustering followed by group selection.
result The two-stage method improves prediction accuracy and active predictor selection.
Improves statistical learning bounds with self-concordant losses.
problem Statistical prediction with nuisance components.
method Orthogonal statistical learning with self-concordant loss.
result Non-asymptotic bounds on excess risk improved by a dimension factor.
Paper proposes a two-stage ranking for personalized TV recommendations.
problem Improving TV recommendation accuracy and efficiency.
method First, identifies potential candidates using user viewing patterns. Then, ranks them based on user preferences and program textual information.
result The proposed model outperforms in recommendation accuracy and efficiency.
Paper tackles moment estimation under covariate shift with a two-stage algorithm.
problem Estimating moments under covariate shift when source and target distributions differ.
method Proposes a two-stage algorithm: first, an optimal estimator for the source distribution; second, likelihood ratio reweighting for calibration.
result Achieves minimax optimal bound for moment estimation.
This thesis tackles learning with multi-class abstention and multi-expert deferral, improving model reliability and efficiency.
problem Improving model reliability and efficiency in large language models (LLMs) by leveraging multiple experts.
method Developed new surrogate losses and consistency guarantees for multi-class classification and regression with deferral.
result Strong consistency guarantees for surrogate losses in multi-class classification and regression with deferral.
Differentially private method for estimating individualized treatment rules.
problem Estimating individualized treatment rules while preserving privacy.
method Differentially private two-stage empirical risk minimization (DP-2ERM).
result Improved privacy-utility trade-off demonstrated through simulations and applications.
Recent work on discriminative segmental models has shown that they can achieve competitive speech recognition performance, using features based on deep neural frame classifiers. However, segmental models can be more challenging to train than standard frame-based approaches. While some segmental models have been success…
Develops a two-stage approach for robust tensor completion of visual data.
problem Estimating missing values in high-order data with outliers.
method Coarse-to-fine framework and M-estimator-based robust tensor ring recovery.
result Superior performance compared to state-of-the-art robust algorithms.
Proposes a two-stage sector rotation method using machine learning and deep learning.
problem Identifying sectors with high investment attractiveness based on market conditions.
method Two-stage methodology: 1) Predict ETF prices using market indicators and feature selection, 2) Rank sectors based on predicted returns and select top sectors.
result The proposed methodology outperforms equally weighted portfolios and Echo State Networks show outstanding performance.
Two-stage framework detects multi-modal outliers.
problem Detecting outliers in multi-modal data structures.
method Combines global kernel PCA and local clustering stages.
result Significantly outperforms existing methods on challenging datasets.
We propose a novel method designed for large-scale regression problems, namely the two-stage best-scored random forest (TBRF). "Best-scored" means to select one regression tree with the best empirical performance out of a certain number of purely random regression tree candidates, and "two-stage" means to divide the or…
Community detection is a fundamental statistical problem in network data analysis. Many algorithms have been proposed to tackle this problem. Most of these algorithms are not guaranteed to achieve the statistical optimality of the problem, while procedures that achieve information theoretic limits for general parameter…
Study analyzes how COVID-19 impacts crypto and stock market volatility.
problem Impact of COVID-19 on cryptocurrency and stock market volatility.
method Two-stage multivariate EGARCH model with DCC approach, VaR and CFVaR.
result Significant spillover effects and conditional volatility surges after shocks.
DSNAS optimizes neural architecture and parameters in one step.
problem Poor correlation between architecture performance in two stages of NAS methods.
method Task-specific end-to-end approach with DSNAS framework.
result DSNAS discovers comparable accuracy networks in less time.
The paper develops an asymptotic theory of self-supervised pre-training.
problem Sharpness of current rates in self-supervised pre-training and their accuracy.
method Two-stage M-estimation and tools from Riemannian geometry.
result Characterization of the limiting distribution of the downstream test risk.
Attention-only transformers learn from context via two stages of inference.
problem Learning from corrupted token sequences in minimal transformers.
method Two-stage empirical Bayes interpretation: kernel-weighted posterior mean and particle dynamics.
result Effective denoising without explicit noise schedules, showing posterior-mean recovery under asymptotic conditions.
Two-stage risk control for ranked retrieval systems.
problem Assessing prediction uncertainty and risk control in sequential machine learning systems.
method Developed two-stage risk control methods based on LTT and CRC frameworks, leveraging sequential nature of retrieval and ranking phases.
result The proposed methods provide theoretical guarantees and reduce computational burden compared to prior work.
CobBO optimizes expensive functions in high dimensions by using a two-stage kernel approach.
problem Bayesian optimization struggles in high dimensions due to computational inefficiency.
method Coordinate backoff Bayesian Optimization with two-stage kernels.
result CobBO finds solutions comparable to or better than other methods in high dimensions.