A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Machine learning can improve 2SLS first stage predictions, but nonlinear methods often introduce bias.
We propose a novel method designed for large-scale regression problems, namely the two-stage best-scored random forest (TBRF). "Best-scored" means to select one regression tree with the best empirical performance out of a certain number of purely random regression tree candidates, and "two-stage" means to divide the or…
In this paper, we propose a novel investment strategy for portfolio optimization problems. The proposed strategy maximizes the expected portfolio value bounded within a targeted range, composed of a conservative lower target representing a need for capital protection and a desired upper target representing an investmen…
Paper introduces robust distribution regression using kernel methods.
New algorithm protects privacy in IVaR regression while maintaining accuracy.
In the high-dimensional regression model a response variable is linearly related to covariates, but the sample size is smaller than . We assume that only a small subset of covariates is `active' (i.e., the corresponding coefficients are non-zero), and consider the model-selection problem of identifying the a…
Algorithmic decision making process now affects many aspects of our lives. Standard tools for machine learning, such as classification and regression, are subject to the bias in data, and thus direct application of such off-the-shelf tools could lead to a specific group being unfairly discriminated. Removing sensitive …
New method tackles endogeneity in online learning with improved regret bounds.
Study on -function estimation for continuous state-action MDPs, deriving rates and conditions.
New ARIMA framework improves forecast accuracy for economic and financial time series.
CD converges linearly for MCP/SCAD penalized least squares.
This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and test samples. Conditional on the tuning parameter, the training sample creates …
Proposes KAR for nonlinear causal discovery using kernel methods.
Illustrates interleaved learning with Kalman Filter for linear least squares.
We study randomized sketching methods for approximately solving least-squares problem with a general convex constraint. The quality of a least-squares approximation can be assessed in different ways: either in terms of the value of the quadratic objective function (cost approximation), or in terms of some distance meas…
Cross validation residuals are well known for the ordinary least squares model. Here leave-M-out cross validation is extended to generalised least squares. The relationship between cross validation residuals and Cook's distance is demonstrated, in terms of an approximation to the difference in the generalised residual …
We compare the risk of ridge regression to a simple variant of ordinary least squares, in which one simply projects the data onto a finite dimensional subspace (as specified by a Principal Component Analysis) and then performs an ordinary (un-regularized) least squares regression in this subspace. This note shows that …
BCRL learns a Bellman complete representation for offline RL policy evaluation.
Transformers can handle endogeneity in linear regression using IV methods.
The paper improves Kaczmarz algorithm with momentum for linear least squares.
New algorithm improves online binary classification with constant time complexity.
The paper analyzes methods for estimating linear functionals from observational data, proving upper bounds and showing optimal procedures.
Reduced-rank method improves least-squares regression under output regularity.
Proposes a partitioned least squares model for feature grouping.
ESNs trained with Tikhonov least squares approximate ergodic dynamical systems in L2(μ) norm.
The kernel least mean squares (KLMS) algorithm is a computationally efficient nonlinear adaptive filtering method that "kernelizes" the celebrated (linear) least mean squares algorithm. We demonstrate that the least mean squares algorithm is closely related to the Kalman filtering, and thus, the KLMS can be interpreted…
A new algorithm solves nonnegative least squares faster with nonnegative data.
Proposes a transfer learning framework to improve U.S. election prediction models.
Estimates linear model from noisy covariates and instruments using spectral regularization.
The paper identifies saddlepoints in unsupervised auto-encoding neural nets.
The paper proposes a least squares method for binary compressive sampling with low intrinsic dimension signals.
Iterative methods for fitting a Gaussian Random Field (GRF) model via maximum likelihood (ML) estimation requires solving a nonconvex optimization problem. The problem is aggravated for anisotropic GRFs where the number of covariance function parameters increases with the dimension. Even evaluation of the likelihood fu…
This paper studies an unsupervised deep learning-based numerical approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs). The approach makes use of the deep neural network to approximate solutions of PDEs through the compositional construction and employs least-squares functionals as loss functions to determine para…
Instrumental variable (IV) regression is a strategy for learning causal relationships in observational data. If measurements of input X and output Y are confounded, the causal relationship can nonetheless be identified if an instrumental variable Z is available that influences X directly, but is conditionally independe…
We propose a new forward-backward stochastic differential equation solver for high-dimensional derivatives pricing problems by combining deep learning solver with least square regression technique widely used in the least square Monte Carlo method for the valuation of American options. Our numerical experiments demonst…
We introduce a novel semi-supervised version of the least squares classifier. This implicitly constrained least squares (ICLS) classifier minimizes the squared loss on the labeled data among the set of parameters implied by all possible labelings of the unlabeled data. Unlike other discriminative semi-supervised method…
New method speeds up solving L0-regularized least-squares problems.
Least squares estimator fails to achieve optimal risk in bounded distributions, but non-linear predictors can.
Sparse linear regression, which entails finding a sparse solution to an underdetermined system of linear equations, can formally be expressed as an -constrained least-squares problem. The Orthogonal Least-Squares (OLS) algorithm sequentially selects the features (i.e., columns of the coefficient matrix) to greedil…
We introduce the implicitly constrained least squares (ICLS) classifier, a novel semi-supervised version of the least squares classifier. This classifier minimizes the squared loss on the labeled data among the set of parameters implied by all possible labelings of the unlabeled data. Unlike other discriminative semi-s…
We prove the statistical consistency of kernel Partial Least Squares Regression applied to a bounded regression learning problem on a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Partial Least Squares stands out of well-known classical approaches as e.g. Ridge Regression or Principal Components Regression, as it is not defined as…
Tensor completion estimates missing components by exploiting the low-rank structure of multi-way data. The recently proposed methods based on tensor train (TT) and tensor ring (TR) show better performance in image recovery than classical ones. Compared with TT and TR, the projected entangled pair state (PEPS), which is…
Randomized matrix compression techniques, such as the Johnson-Lindenstrauss transform, have emerged as an effective and practical way for solving large-scale problems efficiently. With a focus on computational efficiency, however, forsaking solutions quality and accuracy becomes the trade-off. In this paper, we investi…
DRIVE improves IV estimation by accounting for distributional uncertainties.
This book introduces linear models and their theories rigorously.
The ratio of two probability densities can be used for solving various machine learning tasks such as covariate shift adaptation (importance sampling), outlier detection (likelihood-ratio test), and feature selection (mutual information). Recently, several methods of directly estimating the density ratio have been deve…
The least-squares support vector machine is a frequently used kernel method for non-linear regression and classification tasks. Here we discuss several approximation algorithms for the least-squares support vector machine classifier. The proposed methods are based on randomized block kernel matrices, and we show that t…
Efficiently estimates private least squares with linear error growth.