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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,932 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for trial-and-error

Efficiently find near-optimal medical treatments with less trial and error.

problem Finding effective medical treatments through trial and error.
method Formalizes the problem, uses a causal inference framework, and proposes model-based dynamic programming and greedy algorithms.
result Our methods compare favorably to model-free reinforcement learning, offering a more transparent trade-off between search time and treatment efficacy.

Automates kernel discovery for longitudinal data analysis.

problem Handling irregularly sampled, sparse longitudinal data with multilevel correlation.
method Combines deep neural networks and non-parametric kernel methods to discover complex multilevel correlation structure.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods on benchmark data sets.

DOVI improves reinforcement learning with offline data, reducing trial-and-error in critical scenarios.

problem Lack of sample efficiency in deep reinforcement learning for critical applications.
method Proposes DOVI algorithm to incorporate confounded observational data provably efficiently.
result DOVI reduces regret by a multiplicative factor compared to pure online setting, especially when data are informative.

MLtuner automatically tunes settings for training tunables (such as the learning rate, the momentum, the mini-batch size, and the data staleness bound) that have a significant impact on large-scale machine learning (ML) performance. Traditionally, these tunables are set manually, which is unsurprisingly error-prone and…

2018-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Designers of AI agents often iterate on the reward function in a trial-and-error process until they get the desired behavior, but this only guarantees good behavior in the training environment. We propose structuring this process as a series of queries asking the user to compare between different reward functions. Thus…

2018-09-09abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce Dynamic Planning Networks (DPN), a novel architecture for deep reinforcement learning, that combines model-based and model-free aspects for online planning. Our architecture learns to dynamically construct plans using a learned state-transition model by selecting and traversing between simulated states and…

2018-12-28abs ↗pdf ↗

SALSA automatically adjusts learning rates in stochastic gradient methods.

problem Automatic adjustment of learning rates in stochastic gradient methods.
method SALSA uses a line-search procedure to gradually increase the learning rate, then a statistical test to decrease it.
result SALSA matches the performance of best hand-tuned learning rate schedules in deep learning tasks.

Predictive business process monitoring methods exploit logs of completed cases of a process in order to make predictions about running cases thereof. Existing methods in this space are tailor-made for specific prediction tasks. Moreover, their relative accuracy is highly sensitive to the dataset at hand, thus requiring…

2016-12-07abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved sample efficiency in reinforcement learning with deep Gaussian processes.

problem Efficiently learn to control actions with limited interaction data.
method Deep Gaussian processes that simulate dynamics with depth and prior knowledge.
result Significantly improved early sample efficiency across various tasks, including half-cheetah control.

Traditionally, deep learning algorithms update the network weights whereas the network architecture is chosen manually, using a process of trial and error. In this work, we propose two novel approaches that automatically update the network structure while also learning its weights. The novelty of our approach lies in o…

2018-04-07abs ↗pdf ↗

The process of designing neural architectures requires expert knowledge and extensive trial and error. While automated architecture search may simplify these requirements, the recurrent neural network (RNN) architectures generated by existing methods are limited in both flexibility and components. We propose a domain-s…

2017-12-20abs ↗pdf ↗

Active learning method for ABC statistics selection reduces expert work and improves posterior estimates.

problem Handling intractable likelihood functions in models with domain knowledge.
method Active learning method for selecting summary statistics in ABC.
result Better posterior estimates than existing methods, especially with limited simulation budget.

Many activation functions have been proposed in the past, but selecting an adequate one requires trial and error. We propose a new methodology of designing activation functions within a neural network at each layer. We call this technique an "activation ensemble" because it allows the use of multiple activation functio…

2017-02-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We analyze SGAs for statistical inference via asymptotics, improving tuning methods.

problem Improper tuning of SGAs for optimization and sampling.
method Characterize large-sample asymptotics of SGAs via step-size and sample-size scaling limits.
result Iterate averaging with large step size is robust and asymptotically has covariance proportional to MLE's.

AGAN automates GAN design, outperforming human-designed models.

problem Designing effective GAN architectures requires human expertise and trial-and-error.
method Automated neural architecture search (AGAN) for deep generative models.
result AGAN finds architectures that outperform state-of-the-art models in unsupervised and supervised image generation tasks.

The design of good heuristics or approximation algorithms for NP-hard combinatorial optimization problems often requires significant specialized knowledge and trial-and-error. Can we automate this challenging, tedious process, and learn the algorithms instead? In many real-world applications, it is typically the case t…

2017-04-05abs ↗pdf ↗

Automated multi-task learning algorithm that optimizes network topology.

problem Over-sharing in multi-task learning leads to over-generalization and suboptimal performance.
method Tree-structured design space with gumbel-softmax sampling for differentiable network splitting.
result End-to-end trainable algorithm that optimizes network topology for multiple objectives across tasks.

This paper reviews hyperparameter optimization methods and best practices.

problem Finding optimal hyperparameters for machine learning models.
method Various hyperparameter optimization methods are reviewed, including grid search, random search, evolutionary algorithms, Bayesian optimization, Hyperband, and racing.
result Practical recommendations for conducting hyperparameter optimization are provided.

POEM predicts drug properties without tuning, outperforming other methods.

problem Predicting drug properties from molecular structures efficiently.
method POEM combines multiple molecular representations without hyperparameter tuning.
result POEM outperforms industry-standard methods across 17 tasks.

Recommender systems play a crucial role in mitigating the problem of information overload by suggesting users' personalized items or services. The vast majority of traditional recommender systems consider the recommendation procedure as a static process and make recommendations following a fixed strategy. In this paper…

2017-12-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Reinforcement learning refers to a group of methods from artificial intelligence where an agent performs learning through trial and error. It differs from supervised learning, since reinforcement learning requires no explicit labels; instead, the agent interacts continuously with its environment. That is, the agent sta…

2018-09-29abs ↗pdf ↗

Policy Gradient (PG) algorithms are among the best candidates for the much-anticipated applications of reinforcement learning to real-world control tasks, such as robotics. However, the trial-and-error nature of these methods poses safety issues whenever the learning process itself must be performed on a physical syste…

2019-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper tackles safe exploration in RL by a conservative safety critic.

problem Safe exploration in reinforcement learning (RL) when partially trained policies are deployed.
method Learning a conservative safety estimate through a critic, provably bounding catastrophic failures.
result The approach provably converges to competitive task performance with significantly lower catastrophic failure rates.

Data application developers and data scientists spend an inordinate amount of time iterating on machine learning (ML) workflows -- by modifying the data pre-processing, model training, and post-processing steps -- via trial-and-error to achieve the desired model performance. Existing work on accelerating machine learni…

2018-08-03abs ↗pdf ↗

Deep convolutional neural networks have achieved great success in various applications. However, training an effective DNN model for a specific task is rather challenging because it requires a prior knowledge or experience to design the network architecture, repeated trial-and-error process to tune the parameters, and …

2018-02-15abs ↗pdf ↗

Study improves materials discovery for high-entropy alloys using sparse linear models.

problem Inefficient materials discovery due to combinatorial explosion in alloy compositions.
method Sparse mixed linear modeling with anchor-based guidance for feature selection and prediction.
result Developed a method that balances predictive performance and interpretability for materials discovery.

LinFACT identifies all ε-best arms in linear bandits with near-optimal efficiency.

problem Efficiently identifying multiple optimal candidates in high trial-and-error cost tasks.
method LinFACT algorithm designed for linear bandits, with information-theoretic lower bound and upper bound derivation integration.
result LinFACT achieves instance optimality, matching lower bound up to a logarithmic factor.

The variational autoencoder (VAE) framework is a popular option for training unsupervised generative models, featuring ease of training and latent representation of data. The objective function of VAE does not guarantee to achieve the latter, however, and failure to do so leads to a frequent failure mode called posteri…

2019-04-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Current pharmaceutical formulation development still strongly relies on the traditional trial-and-error approach by individual experiences of pharmaceutical scientists, which is laborious, time-consuming and costly. Recently, deep learning has been widely applied in many challenging domains because of its important cap…

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗