A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Study introduces TeMoP model for better stock market predictions.
A novel approach predicts long-term stock price trends using 2D-convolutional encoders and semantic segmentation.
We present a representation learning framework for financial time series forecasting. One challenge of using deep learning models for finance forecasting is the shortage of available training data when using small datasets. Direct trend classification using deep neural networks trained on small datasets is susceptible …
A crucial challenge in image-based modeling of biomedical data is to identify trends and features that separate normality and pathology. In many cases, the morphology of the imaged object exhibits continuous change as it deviates from normality, and thus a generative model can be trained to model this morphological con…
QuantNet learns global market trends to improve trading strategies.
One of the major advantages in using Deep Learning for Finance is to embed a large collection of information into investment decisions. A way to do that is by means of compression, that lead us to consider a smaller feature space. Several studies are proving that non-linear feature reduction performed by Deep Learning …
Multivariate time series are routinely encountered in real-world applications, and in many cases, these time series are strongly correlated. In this paper, we present a deep learning structural time series model which can (i) handle correlated multivariate time series input, and (ii) forecast the targeted temporal sequ…
Analyzes NFT market trends, trade networks, and visual features.
DeepVARMA predicts chemical industry index trends using LSTM and VARMAX models.
New model predicts multiple future trends from merchant transactions.
Develops a new trend power indicator using DSP techniques.
Time-related features improve time series forecasting models.
Forecast future volatilities and correlations based on current trends.
Bitcoin's attention is linked to Google Trends data, not general uncertainty.
Stockformer uses wavelet transform and multi-task learning to predict stock returns and trends.
Enhanced trend-following strategy using network momentum for commodity futures.
This paper uses Bayesian models to analyze CTA returns across short and long-term trends.
Extracting the underlying trend signal is a crucial step to facilitate time series analysis like forecasting and anomaly detection. Besides noise signal, time series can contain not only outliers but also abrupt trend changes in real-world scenarios. To deal with these challenges, we propose a robust trend filtering al…
Paper uses AI to predict market trends better than traditional methods.
Ethereum trends analyzed through blockchain transactions and Google searches.
The monitoring and management of numerous and diverse time series data at Alibaba Group calls for an effective and scalable time series anomaly detection service. In this paper, we propose RobustTAD, a Robust Time series Anomaly Detection framework by integrating robust seasonal-trend decomposition and convolutional ne…
The detrending moving average (DMA) algorithm is one of the best performing methods to quantify the long-term correlations in nonstationary time series. Many long-term correlated time series in real systems contain various trends. We investigate the effects of polynomial trends on the scaling behaviors and the performa…
Paper optimizes trend-following portfolios using autocorrelation models.
Much information available on the web is copied, reused or rephrased. The phenomenon that multiple web sources pick up certain information is often called trend. A central problem in the context of web data mining is to detect those web sources that are first to publish information which will give rise to a trend. We p…
Currently, there starts a research trend to leverage neural architecture for recommendation systems. Though several deep recommender models are proposed, most methods are too simple to characterize users' complex preference. In this paper, for a fine-grain analysis, users' ratings are explained from multiple perspectiv…
Enhanced LSTM predicts equity trends, outperforming traditional methods.
Empirical study on trends reversion in financial markets.
In this paper we study automatically recognized trends and investigate their statistics. To do that we introduce the notion of a wavelength for time series via cross correlation and use this wavelength to calibrate the 1-2-3 trend indicator of Maier-Paape [Automatic One Two Three, Quantitative Finance, 2013] to automat…
In this article, we discuss various implementation of L1 filtering in order to detect some properties of noisy signals. This filter consists of using a L1 penalty condition in order to obtain the filtered signal composed by a set of straight trends or steps. This penalty condition, which determines the number of breaks…
X-Trend quickly adapts to new financial regimes, increasing Sharpe ratio by 18.9%.
The paper examines how NFT valuations correlate with market data and social trends.
We establish the existence of anomalous excess returns based on trend following strategies across four asset classes (commodities, currencies, stock indices, bonds) and over very long time scales. We use for our studies both futures time series, that exist since 1960, and spot time series that allow us to go back to 18…
Analyzes retail trends from sales, search, and reviews.
Piecewise Aggregate Approximation (PAA) is a competitive basic dimension reduction method for high-dimensional time series mining. When deployed, however, the limitations are obvious that some important information will be missed, especially the trend. In this paper, we propose two new approaches for time series that u…
Trends in terrestrial temperature variability are perhaps more relevant for species viability than trends in mean temperature. In this paper, we develop methodology for estimating such trends using multi-resolution climate data from polar orbiting weather satellites. We derive two novel algorithms for computation that …
Short-term trend-following has stopped delivering profits since 2009, especially on smaller market ticks.
This paper presents a fast and robust algorithm for trend filtering, a recently developed nonparametric regression tool. It has been shown that, for estimating functions whose derivatives are of bounded variation, trend filtering achieves the minimax optimal error rate, while other popular methods like smoothing spline…
Proposes LSTM for financial market trend forecasting.
Study refines trend-following strategy to improve adaptability.
Trend following in cryptocurrencies yields high returns, similar to commodities.
We find stationary distributions in a financial model with trends and mean-reversion.
Study detects emerging trends in financial news articles about Microsoft.
We investigate possible origins of trends using a deterministic threshold model, where we refer to long-term variabilities of price changes (price movements) in financial markets as trends. From the investigation we find two phenomena. One is that the trend of monotonic increase and decrease can be generated by dealers…
We introduce a simple extension of the minority game in which the market rewards contrarian (resp. trend-following) strategies when it is far from (resp. close to) efficiency. The model displays a smooth crossover from a regime where contrarians dominate to one where trend-followers dominate. In the intermediate phase,…
New model estimates species population trends from citizen science data.
Optimal trend-following strategy uses simple EMA, avoiding complex cherry-picked signals.
Many studies have shown that there are good reasons to claim very low predictability of currency nevertheless, the deviations from true randomness exist which have potential predictive and prognostic power [J.James, Quantitative finance 3 (2003) C75-C77]. We analyze the local trends which are of the main focus of the t…
Empirical analysis of financial market trends and reversions across various time scales.